This opponent (Heracles) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Heracles
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.67
1.83
2.00
1.71
1.38
1.94
vs Stronger (10)
0.90
2.00
1.17
2.33
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (19)
1.95
1.74
2.43
1.14
1.67
2.08
vs Weaker (1)
4.00
2.00
4.00
2.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Den Haag) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.6%
Under 1.5
14.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
64.8%
Under 2.5
35.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
42.8%
Under 3.5
57.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
66.6%
No
33.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.8%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-2
6.8%
2-0 ✓
5.6%
1-0
5.3%
3-1
5.2%
0-1
4.5%
Den Haag goals ↓
Heracles goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.5%
4.5%
4.3%
2.2%
0.9%
1
5.3%
11%
7.7%
4.0%
1.6%
2
5.6%
8.8%
6.8%
3.6%
1.4%
3
3.3%
5.2%
4.1%
2.1%
0.8%
4
1.5%
2.3%
1.8%
0.9%
0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Den Haag goals (down), columns = Heracles goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Ajax
2.53
PSV Eindhoven
2.44
Feyenoord
1.91
AZ Alkmaar
1.71
Vitesse
1.56
Utrecht
1.56
Heracles
1.41
Groningen
1.32
Den Haag
1.32
Willem II
1.29
VVV Venlo
1.21
Heerenveen
1.21
PEC Zwolle
1.15
Emmen
1.12
Fortuna Sittard
1.00
Excelsior
0.97
De Graafschap
0.85
NAC Breda
0.68
Den Haag is 0.09 points worse than Heracles in terms of average points per game (1.32 vs 1.41).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ajax
3.50
PSV Eindhoven
2.88
Feyenoord
2.21
Vitesse
2.06
AZ Alkmaar
1.88
Heerenveen
1.88
Heracles
1.79
Utrecht
1.76
Den Haag
1.71
Willem II
1.71
Fortuna Sittard
1.47
VVV Venlo
1.38
Excelsior
1.35
PEC Zwolle
1.29
Emmen
1.21
Groningen
1.15
De Graafschap
1.12
NAC Breda
0.85
Den Haag is 0.09 goals worse than Heracles in terms of goals scored per game (1.71 vs 1.79).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
PSV Eindhoven
0.76
Ajax
0.94
Groningen
1.21
Feyenoord
1.21
AZ Alkmaar
1.26
Vitesse
1.50
Utrecht
1.50
PEC Zwolle
1.68
Den Haag
1.85
VVV Venlo
1.85
Heracles
2.00
Willem II
2.12
Emmen
2.12
Heerenveen
2.15
NAC Breda
2.18
De Graafschap
2.21
Excelsior
2.32
Fortuna Sittard
2.35
Den Haag is 0.15 goals better than Heracles in terms of goals conceded per game (1.85 vs 2.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
DH
Den Haag
For 5.6 · Against 6.4 · Total 12.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 1.6 · Total 2.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.9 · Against 11.7 · Total 21.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Heracles
For 5.3 · Against 4.1 · Total 9.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.3 · Total 3.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.7 · Against 12.3 · Total 23.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
DH
Den Haag
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.2
11.8
10.7
3.4
3.5
3.3
23.2
23.1
23.3
vs Stronger (28)
11.6
11.5
11.8
3.2
3.1
3.3
21.7
20.5
22.8
vs Similar (22)
10.6
12.2
9.1
3.7
4.1
3.3
25.1
26.3
24.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
68%
71%
65%
40%
29%
50%
58%
67%
50%
% under line
32%
29%
35%
60%
71%
50%
42%
33%
50%
This opponent (Heracles) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Heracles
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.9
11.6
10.3
3.2
3.3
3.0
24.1
24.0
24.2
vs Stronger (16)
10.2
10.2
10.1
3.2
4.0
2.5
25.1
23.8
26.5
vs Similar (31)
11.0
12.2
10.0
3.1
2.7
3.4
23.8
23.7
23.8
vs Weaker (3)
14.3
13.0
17.0
3.7
4.5
2.0
22.3
27.5
12.0
% over line
62%
67%
58%
34%
38%
31%
64%
62%
65%
% under line
38%
33%
42%
66%
62%
69%
36%
38%
35%
This opponent (Den Haag) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Excelsior
12.4
Fortuna Sittard
11.3
Feyenoord
11.3
Ajax
11.2
AZ Alkmaar
11.2
Den Haag
11.2
Heracles
10.9
PSV Eindhoven
10.8
Utrecht
10.6
NAC Breda
10.6
Emmen
10.4
PEC Zwolle
10.4
VVV Venlo
10.4
Vitesse
10.2
Willem II
10.0
Groningen
9.6
De Graafschap
9.6
Heerenveen
9.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
PSV Eindhoven
4.1
PEC Zwolle
4.0
Fortuna Sittard
4.0
De Graafschap
3.8
Groningen
3.7
Ajax
3.6
AZ Alkmaar
3.5
NAC Breda
3.4
Vitesse
3.4
Den Haag
3.4
Emmen
3.4
Excelsior
3.3
Utrecht
3.3
Willem II
3.2
VVV Venlo
3.2
Heracles
3.2
Heerenveen
3.1
Feyenoord
2.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Fortuna Sittard
25.0
Heerenveen
24.8
De Graafschap
24.4
Vitesse
24.3
PEC Zwolle
24.2
Heracles
24.1
Emmen
24.0
Utrecht
23.7
Ajax
23.2
Den Haag
23.2
PSV Eindhoven
23.1
AZ Alkmaar
23.1
VVV Venlo
23.1
Groningen
23.0
Willem II
22.9
NAC Breda
22.6
Excelsior
22.5
Feyenoord
22.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
65.0%
Under 9.5
35.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
39.2%
Under 3.5
60.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
61.9%
Under 21.5
38.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
DH
Den Haag
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.97
0.64
1.07
0.88
0.88
vs Stronger (16)
0.75
1.19
0.71
1.14
0.78
1.22
vs Similar (14)
0.79
0.71
0.57
1.00
1.00
0.43
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Heracles) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Heracles
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.87
0.86
0.79
0.44
0.94
vs Stronger (10)
0.30
0.80
0.50
0.83
0.00
0.75
vs Similar (19)
0.68
0.84
0.86
0.57
0.58
1.00
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
2.00
3.00
2.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Den Haag) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Den Haag over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Den Haag over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Den Haag over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heracles over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heracles over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heracles over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
DH
Den Haag
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
1.00
0.57
0.93
0.69
1.06
vs Stronger (16)
0.44
1.25
0.43
1.29
0.44
1.22
vs Similar (14)
0.86
0.71
0.71
0.57
1.00
0.86
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Heracles) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Heracles
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.97
1.14
0.93
0.94
1.00
vs Stronger (10)
0.60
1.20
0.67
1.50
0.50
0.75
vs Similar (19)
1.26
0.89
1.57
0.57
1.08
1.08
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Den Haag) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Den Haag over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Den Haag over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Den Haag over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heracles over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heracles over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heracles over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
89.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
85.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
78.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
76.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
76.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Heracles · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Tristan van Gilst100%
Jean-Paul N'Djoli75%
Mario Borac33%
Damon Mirani25%
David Vicente25%
Djevencio van der Kust25%
Sem Scheperman25%
Chafik Abbas0%
Mike te Wierik0%
Thomas Bruns0%
David Tomić0%
Fabian De Keijzer0%
Maurice Wrusch0%
Manny Rodríguez0%
Max Hauswirth0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jean-Paul N'Djoli50%
Chafik Abbas25%
Mike te Wierik25%
Damon Mirani0%
Thomas Bruns0%
David Vicente0%
David Tomić0%
Fabian De Keijzer0%
Djevencio van der Kust0%
Sem Scheperman0%
Tristan van Gilst0%
Maurice Wrusch0%
Manny Rodríguez0%
Max Hauswirth0%
Mario Borac0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Chafik Abbas50%
Djevencio van der Kust50%
Thomas Bruns25%
David Vicente25%
Tristan van Gilst25%
Jean-Paul N'Djoli25%
Max Hauswirth25%
Damon Mirani0%
Mike te Wierik0%
David Tomić0%
Fabian De Keijzer0%
Sem Scheperman0%
Maurice Wrusch0%
Manny Rodríguez0%
Mario Borac0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tristan van Gilst100%
Jean-Paul N'Djoli75%
Mario Borac33%
Chafik Abbas25%
Max Hauswirth25%
Damon Mirani0%
Mike te Wierik0%
Thomas Bruns0%
David Vicente0%
David Tomić0%
Fabian De Keijzer0%
Djevencio van der Kust0%
Sem Scheperman0%
Maurice Wrusch0%
Manny Rodríguez0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Netherlands: Eredivisie 2018/19 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Netherlands: Eredivisie stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Heracles
Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
Feyenoord
AZ Alkmaar
Vitesse
Utrecht
Groningen
Willem II
Heerenveen
VVV Venlo
PEC Zwolle
Emmen
Fortuna Sittard
Excelsior
De Graafschap
NAC Breda