This opponent (PEC Zwolle) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
PEC Zwolle
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
1.87
1.73
1.73
0.80
2.00
vs Stronger (14)
0.93
2.79
1.29
2.86
0.57
2.71
vs Similar (15)
1.47
1.07
2.00
0.71
1.00
1.38
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
1.00
3.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Den Haag) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.3%
Under 1.5
18.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
57.8%
@ 1.68+1.3%
Under 2.5
42.2%
@ 2.18-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
35.4%
Under 3.5
64.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
61.4%
No
38.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.3%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
8.0%
1-0
6.7%
2-2
6.3%
2-0
6.2%
0-0
6.1%
0-1
6.0%
Den Haag goals ↓
PEC Zwolle goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.1%
6.0%
5.1%
2.4%
0.9%
1
6.7%
12%
8.0%
3.8%
1.4%
2
6.2%
8.8%
6.3%
3.0%
1.1%
3
3.2%
4.6%
3.3%
1.6%
0.6%
4
1.3%
1.8%
1.3%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Den Haag goals (down), columns = PEC Zwolle goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Ajax
2.59
PSV Eindhoven
2.12
AZ Alkmaar
2.09
Vitesse
1.79
Feyenoord
1.74
Utrecht
1.56
Groningen
1.47
Sparta Rotterdam
1.38
Heracles
1.29
Twente
1.21
Fortuna Sittard
1.21
Heerenveen
1.15
PEC Zwolle
1.12
Willem II
0.91
Waalwijk
0.88
Emmen
0.88
VVV Venlo
0.68
Den Haag
0.65
Den Haag is 0.47 points worse than PEC Zwolle in terms of average points per game (0.65 vs 1.12).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ajax
3.00
AZ Alkmaar
2.21
PSV Eindhoven
2.18
Feyenoord
1.88
Vitesse
1.53
Utrecht
1.53
Fortuna Sittard
1.47
Sparta Rotterdam
1.44
Twente
1.41
PEC Zwolle
1.29
Heerenveen
1.26
VVV Venlo
1.26
Heracles
1.24
Willem II
1.18
Groningen
1.18
Emmen
1.18
Waalwijk
0.97
Den Haag
0.85
Den Haag is 0.44 goals worse than PEC Zwolle in terms of goals scored per game (0.85 vs 1.29).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ajax
0.68
PSV Eindhoven
1.03
Feyenoord
1.06
Groningen
1.09
Vitesse
1.12
AZ Alkmaar
1.21
Utrecht
1.21
Sparta Rotterdam
1.41
Heerenveen
1.44
Twente
1.47
PEC Zwolle
1.56
Heracles
1.56
Waalwijk
1.62
Fortuna Sittard
1.71
Willem II
2.00
Emmen
2.00
Den Haag
2.24
VVV Venlo
2.68
Den Haag is 0.68 goals worse than PEC Zwolle in terms of goals conceded per game (2.24 vs 1.56).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
DH
Den Haag
For 2.3 · Against 7.0 · Total 9.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 1.6 · Total 2.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.8 · Against 9.4 · Total 18.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
PEC Zwolle
For 4.6 · Against 5.3 · Total 9.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.4 · Total 2.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 11.8 · Total 23.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
DH
Den Haag
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.4
10.6
10.2
3.5
3.1
3.8
21.3
22.7
20.0
vs Stronger (34)
10.8
11.2
10.4
3.2
2.7
3.6
20.9
22.1
19.9
vs Similar (16)
9.6
9.4
9.8
4.1
3.9
4.2
22.0
23.9
20.1
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
60%
67%
54%
42%
33%
50%
46%
58%
35%
% under line
40%
33%
46%
58%
67%
50%
54%
42%
65%
This opponent (PEC Zwolle) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
PEC Zwolle
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.6
9.8
11.4
3.2
3.5
2.9
22.5
22.8
22.3
vs Stronger (19)
10.1
8.4
11.6
3.2
3.7
2.7
23.2
24.7
21.8
vs Similar (30)
11.0
10.8
11.2
3.1
3.2
3.0
21.9
21.0
22.6
vs Weaker (1)
9.0
9.0
-
6.0
6.0
-
31.0
31.0
-
% over line
56%
50%
62%
46%
58%
35%
64%
67%
62%
% under line
44%
50%
38%
54%
42%
65%
36%
33%
38%
This opponent (Den Haag) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Heerenveen
11.4
PEC Zwolle
10.6
Fortuna Sittard
10.6
Ajax
10.5
Sparta Rotterdam
10.4
Feyenoord
10.4
Den Haag
10.4
PSV Eindhoven
10.4
AZ Alkmaar
10.3
Utrecht
10.3
Vitesse
10.2
Heracles
10.2
VVV Venlo
10.0
Emmen
9.8
Groningen
9.8
Twente
9.7
Willem II
9.6
Waalwijk
9.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Vitesse
3.9
Emmen
3.8
Heracles
3.7
Waalwijk
3.7
Twente
3.6
Fortuna Sittard
3.5
Den Haag
3.5
Groningen
3.4
Willem II
3.4
Sparta Rotterdam
3.3
Feyenoord
3.2
PEC Zwolle
3.2
Utrecht
3.1
AZ Alkmaar
3.1
Ajax
3.1
VVV Venlo
2.9
PSV Eindhoven
2.9
Heerenveen
2.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Heracles
24.1
Twente
24.0
Vitesse
23.6
Emmen
23.4
Willem II
23.4
VVV Venlo
23.1
PEC Zwolle
22.5
Feyenoord
22.5
Fortuna Sittard
22.4
Waalwijk
22.3
Sparta Rotterdam
22.1
Groningen
21.8
AZ Alkmaar
21.6
Utrecht
21.6
Den Haag
21.3
Ajax
21.0
PSV Eindhoven
20.4
Heerenveen
20.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
62.9%
Under 9.5
37.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.9%
Under 3.5
67.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
52.5%
Under 21.5
47.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
DH
Den Haag
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
1.07
0.21
0.93
0.56
1.19
vs Stronger (22)
0.32
1.23
0.20
1.00
0.42
1.42
vs Similar (8)
0.62
0.62
0.25
0.75
1.00
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (PEC Zwolle) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
PEC Zwolle
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
1.00
0.67
1.00
0.40
1.00
vs Stronger (14)
0.50
1.57
0.71
1.57
0.29
1.57
vs Similar (15)
0.53
0.47
0.57
0.43
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Den Haag) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Den Haag over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Den Haag over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Den Haag over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PEC Zwolle over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PEC Zwolle over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PEC Zwolle over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
DH
Den Haag
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
1.23
0.79
0.64
0.31
1.75
vs Stronger (22)
0.50
1.55
0.70
0.70
0.33
2.25
vs Similar (8)
0.62
0.38
1.00
0.50
0.25
0.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (PEC Zwolle) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
PEC Zwolle
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.87
1.07
0.73
0.40
1.00
vs Stronger (14)
0.43
1.21
0.57
1.29
0.29
1.14
vs Similar (15)
0.93
0.60
1.43
0.29
0.50
0.88
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Den Haag) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Den Haag over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Den Haag over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Den Haag over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PEC Zwolle over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PEC Zwolle over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PEC Zwolle over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
92.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
83.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
81.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
78.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
74.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
PEC Zwolle · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Nick Viergever25%
Koen Kostons25%
Elias Sørensen25%
Ryan Thomas0%
Dylan Mbayo0%
Simon Graves0%
Jasper Schendelaar0%
Odysseus Velanas0%
Thijs Oosting0%
Tobias Sommer0%
Olivier Aertssen0%
Ibrahim Cissoko0%
Damian van der Haar0%
Gabriel Reiziger0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Gabriel Reiziger33%
Ryan Thomas25%
Koen Kostons25%
Olivier Aertssen25%
Nick Viergever0%
Dylan Mbayo0%
Simon Graves0%
Jasper Schendelaar0%
Odysseus Velanas0%
Thijs Oosting0%
Elias Sørensen0%
Tobias Sommer0%
Ibrahim Cissoko0%
Damian van der Haar0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dylan Mbayo25%
Thijs Oosting25%
Nick Viergever0%
Ryan Thomas0%
Simon Graves0%
Jasper Schendelaar0%
Odysseus Velanas0%
Koen Kostons0%
Elias Sørensen0%
Tobias Sommer0%
Olivier Aertssen0%
Ibrahim Cissoko0%
Damian van der Haar0%
Gabriel Reiziger0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Koen Kostons25%
Nick Viergever0%
Ryan Thomas0%
Dylan Mbayo0%
Simon Graves0%
Jasper Schendelaar0%
Odysseus Velanas0%
Thijs Oosting0%
Elias Sørensen0%
Tobias Sommer0%
Olivier Aertssen0%
Ibrahim Cissoko0%
Damian van der Haar0%
Gabriel Reiziger0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Netherlands: Eredivisie 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Netherlands: Eredivisie stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
PEC Zwolle
Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar
Vitesse
Feyenoord
Utrecht
Groningen
Sparta Rotterdam
Heracles
Twente
Fortuna Sittard
Heerenveen
Willem II
Waalwijk
Emmen
VVV Venlo