This opponent (Twente) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Twente
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
1.83
1.47
2.00
0.73
1.67
vs Stronger (8)
1.12
2.75
1.00
3.00
1.25
2.50
vs Similar (8)
0.88
1.50
1.50
1.50
0.25
1.50
vs Weaker (14)
1.21
1.50
1.71
1.71
0.71
1.29
Clean sheet %
13% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Den Haag) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.9%
Under 1.5
26.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
47.4%
Under 2.5
52.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.7%
Under 3.5
74.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.5%
No
46.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.9%
0-0
8.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1 ✓
8.4%
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
5.9%
Den Haag goals ↓
Twente goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.9%
8.2%
5.9%
2.4%
0.8%
1
8.9%
14%
7.8%
3.2%
1.0%
2
6.8%
8.4%
5.2%
2.1%
0.7%
3
3.0%
3.7%
2.3%
1.0%
0.3%
4
1.0%
1.2%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Den Haag goals (down), columns = Twente goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
PSV Eindhoven
2.44
Ajax
2.32
AZ Alkmaar
2.09
Feyenoord
1.94
Utrecht
1.59
Vitesse
1.44
Den Haag
1.38
Heerenveen
1.35
PEC Zwolle
1.29
Heracles
1.24
Excelsior
1.18
Groningen
1.12
Willem II
1.09
NAC Breda
1.00
VVV Venlo
1.00
Roda
0.88
Sparta Rotterdam
0.79
Twente
0.71
Den Haag is 0.68 points better than Twente in terms of average points per game (1.38 vs 0.71).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ajax
2.62
PSV Eindhoven
2.56
Feyenoord
2.24
AZ Alkmaar
2.12
Vitesse
1.85
Utrecht
1.71
Heracles
1.47
Groningen
1.47
Willem II
1.47
Heerenveen
1.41
Den Haag
1.32
Roda
1.24
PEC Zwolle
1.24
Excelsior
1.21
NAC Breda
1.21
Twente
1.09
VVV Venlo
1.03
Sparta Rotterdam
1.00
Den Haag is 0.24 goals better than Twente in terms of goals scored per game (1.32 vs 1.09).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ajax
0.97
AZ Alkmaar
1.12
Feyenoord
1.15
PSV Eindhoven
1.15
Vitesse
1.38
Groningen
1.47
Utrecht
1.56
Den Haag
1.56
Heerenveen
1.56
PEC Zwolle
1.59
VVV Venlo
1.59
Excelsior
1.65
NAC Breda
1.68
Willem II
1.85
Twente
1.85
Heracles
1.88
Roda
2.03
Sparta Rotterdam
2.21
Den Haag is 0.29 goals better than Twente in terms of goals conceded per game (1.56 vs 1.85).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
DH
Den Haag
For 5.7 · Against 6.7 · Total 12.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.3 · Against 10.1 · Total 20.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Twente
For 4.8 · Against 4.3 · Total 9.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.6 · Against 11.6 · Total 25.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
DH
Den Haag
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.3
11.4
11.1
2.2
2.2
2.2
22.9
23.0
22.7
vs Stronger (35)
11.6
11.4
11.8
1.9
1.6
2.1
21.0
19.7
22.2
vs Similar (15)
10.6
11.3
9.8
3.1
3.2
2.8
26.1
28.0
23.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
73%
73%
73%
22%
15%
29%
53%
60%
47%
% under line
27%
27%
27%
78%
85%
71%
47%
40%
53%
This opponent (Twente) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Twente
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
10.8
9.3
2.5
2.3
2.7
25.8
25.7
25.9
vs Stronger (14)
9.2
11.0
7.5
2.3
2.2
2.3
24.4
23.2
25.5
vs Similar (13)
11.4
12.0
10.8
2.5
2.1
2.8
25.2
27.8
22.8
vs Weaker (23)
9.7
10.0
9.4
2.7
2.5
2.8
26.9
25.9
27.9
% over line
60%
67%
53%
34%
24%
44%
80%
73%
87%
% under line
40%
33%
47%
66%
76%
56%
20%
27%
13%
This opponent (Den Haag) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Sparta Rotterdam
12.4
Excelsior
11.8
PSV Eindhoven
11.7
AZ Alkmaar
11.5
NAC Breda
11.4
Heracles
11.3
Den Haag
11.3
Utrecht
10.9
Feyenoord
10.9
Groningen
10.6
Vitesse
10.5
VVV Venlo
10.4
Ajax
10.3
Twente
10.0
Heerenveen
10.0
Roda
9.9
Willem II
9.6
PEC Zwolle
9.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Ajax
4.3
Twente
4.2
PSV Eindhoven
4.0
PEC Zwolle
3.8
NAC Breda
3.8
Groningen
3.7
Den Haag
3.7
Excelsior
3.5
VVV Venlo
3.5
Utrecht
3.3
AZ Alkmaar
3.3
Vitesse
3.1
Heerenveen
3.0
Willem II
3.0
Sparta Rotterdam
3.0
Feyenoord
3.0
Heracles
3.0
Roda
2.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Heerenveen
26.9
Twente
25.8
Sparta Rotterdam
25.4
Ajax
25.1
Vitesse
24.8
Utrecht
24.6
Feyenoord
24.4
Heracles
24.4
Excelsior
24.3
NAC Breda
24.2
AZ Alkmaar
24.0
PSV Eindhoven
23.9
PEC Zwolle
23.2
Willem II
22.9
Den Haag
22.9
Roda
22.8
Groningen
22.7
VVV Venlo
22.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
59.4%
Under 9.5
40.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
55.4%
Under 3.5
44.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
64.5%
Under 21.5
35.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
DH
Den Haag
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.80
0.47
0.93
0.33
0.67
vs Stronger (19)
0.42
0.89
0.44
0.89
0.40
0.90
vs Similar (11)
0.36
0.64
0.50
1.00
0.20
0.20
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Twente) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Twente
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.70
0.73
0.93
0.27
0.47
vs Stronger (8)
0.38
1.00
0.25
1.25
0.50
0.75
vs Similar (8)
0.50
0.50
0.75
0.50
0.25
0.50
vs Weaker (14)
0.57
0.64
1.00
1.00
0.14
0.29
Clean sheet %
43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Den Haag) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Den Haag over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Den Haag over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Den Haag over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Twente over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Twente over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Twente over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
DH
Den Haag
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.70
0.93
0.60
0.73
0.80
vs Stronger (19)
0.74
0.84
1.00
0.78
0.50
0.90
vs Similar (11)
1.00
0.45
0.83
0.33
1.20
0.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Twente) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Twente
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
1.13
0.73
1.07
0.47
1.20
vs Stronger (8)
0.75
1.75
0.75
1.75
0.75
1.75
vs Similar (8)
0.38
1.00
0.75
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (14)
0.64
0.86
0.71
0.71
0.57
1.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Den Haag) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Den Haag over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Den Haag over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Den Haag over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Twente over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Twente over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Twente over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
79.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
78.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
75.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
74.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
73.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
71.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Twente · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Marko Pjaca57%
Max Bruns50%
Younes Taha50%
Wout Weghorst33%
Daan Rots33%
Daouda Weidmann33%
Ruud Nijstad20%
Robin Pröpper14%
Ramiz Zerrouki14%
Thomas Van den Belt0%
Sam Lammers0%
Bart van Rooij0%
Lars Unnerstall0%
Mathias Kjølø0%
Kristian Hlynsson0%
Sondre Ørjasæter0%
Aske Adelgaard0%
Guilherme Peixoto0%
Lucas Vennegoor of Hesselink0%
Filip Thorvaldsen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Daan Rots33%
Robin Pröpper29%
Ramiz Zerrouki29%
Younes Taha25%
Wout Weghorst17%
Daouda Weidmann17%
Sondre Ørjasæter17%
Aske Adelgaard17%
Marko Pjaca0%
Thomas Van den Belt0%
Sam Lammers0%
Bart van Rooij0%
Lars Unnerstall0%
Mathias Kjølø0%
Kristian Hlynsson0%
Max Bruns0%
Guilherme Peixoto0%
Lucas Vennegoor of Hesselink0%
Ruud Nijstad0%
Filip Thorvaldsen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Daouda Weidmann50%
Sondre Ørjasæter50%
Wout Weghorst33%
Marko Pjaca14%
Bart van Rooij14%
Ramiz Zerrouki14%
Thomas Van den Belt0%
Sam Lammers0%
Robin Pröpper0%
Lars Unnerstall0%
Mathias Kjølø0%
Kristian Hlynsson0%
Daan Rots0%
Max Bruns0%
Younes Taha0%
Aske Adelgaard0%
Guilherme Peixoto0%
Lucas Vennegoor of Hesselink0%
Ruud Nijstad0%
Filip Thorvaldsen0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Younes Taha50%
Daouda Weidmann50%
Wout Weghorst33%
Daan Rots33%
Marko Pjaca29%
Max Bruns17%
Thomas Van den Belt0%
Sam Lammers0%
Robin Pröpper0%
Bart van Rooij0%
Lars Unnerstall0%
Ramiz Zerrouki0%
Mathias Kjølø0%
Kristian Hlynsson0%
Sondre Ørjasæter0%
Aske Adelgaard0%
Guilherme Peixoto0%
Lucas Vennegoor of Hesselink0%
Ruud Nijstad0%
Filip Thorvaldsen0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Netherlands: Eredivisie 2017/18 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Netherlands: Eredivisie stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Twente
PSV Eindhoven
Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
Feyenoord
Utrecht
Vitesse
Heerenveen
PEC Zwolle
Heracles
Excelsior
Groningen
Willem II
NAC Breda
VVV Venlo
Roda
Sparta Rotterdam