This opponent (Vitesse) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vitesse
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.07
1.50
2.27
1.27
1.87
1.73
vs Stronger (12)
1.58
1.83
1.71
1.43
1.40
2.40
vs Similar (18)
2.39
1.28
2.75
1.12
2.10
1.40
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Den Haag) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
84.7%
Under 1.5
15.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
63.2%
@ 1.52+1.2%
Under 2.5
36.8%
@ 2.48-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
41.1%
Under 3.5
58.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
65.7%
No
34.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
8.2%
2-2
6.8%
0-1
5.3%
0-2
5.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-0
5.0%
Den Haag goals ↓
Vitesse goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.9%
5.3%
5.2%
2.9%
1.2%
1
5.2%
11%
8.4%
4.6%
1.9%
2
5.0%
8.2%
6.8%
3.7%
1.5%
3
2.7%
4.4%
3.6%
2.0%
0.8%
4
1.1%
1.8%
1.5%
0.8%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Den Haag goals (down), columns = Vitesse goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
AZ Alkmaar
2.24
Ajax
2.24
Feyenoord
2.00
PSV Eindhoven
1.88
Willem II
1.69
Utrecht
1.64
Vitesse
1.58
Heracles
1.38
Groningen
1.35
Sparta Rotterdam
1.27
Heerenveen
1.27
Emmen
1.23
VVV Venlo
1.08
Twente
1.04
PEC Zwolle
1.00
Fortuna Sittard
1.00
Den Haag
0.73
Waalwijk
0.58
Den Haag is 0.85 points worse than Vitesse in terms of average points per game (0.73 vs 1.58).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ajax
2.72
AZ Alkmaar
2.16
PSV Eindhoven
2.08
Utrecht
2.00
Feyenoord
2.00
Vitesse
1.73
Sparta Rotterdam
1.58
Heerenveen
1.58
Heracles
1.54
Willem II
1.42
PEC Zwolle
1.42
Twente
1.31
Emmen
1.23
Fortuna Sittard
1.12
Groningen
1.04
Waalwijk
1.04
Den Haag
0.96
VVV Venlo
0.92
Den Haag is 0.77 goals worse than Vitesse in terms of goals scored per game (0.96 vs 1.73).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
AZ Alkmaar
0.68
Ajax
0.92
Groningen
1.00
PSV Eindhoven
1.08
Heracles
1.31
Willem II
1.31
Vitesse
1.35
Utrecht
1.36
Feyenoord
1.40
Heerenveen
1.58
Emmen
1.73
Sparta Rotterdam
1.73
Twente
1.77
VVV Venlo
1.96
Fortuna Sittard
2.00
Den Haag
2.08
PEC Zwolle
2.12
Waalwijk
2.31
Den Haag is 0.73 goals worse than Vitesse in terms of goals conceded per game (2.08 vs 1.35).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
DH
Den Haag
For 3.8 · Against 6.3 · Total 10.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 1.7 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 10.7 · Total 21.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Vitesse
For 5.6 · Against 4.3 · Total 9.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.5 · Against 10.3 · Total 20.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
DH
Den Haag
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.4
10.5
10.4
3.4
3.2
3.6
22.3
23.0
21.6
vs Stronger (30)
11.0
10.8
11.2
3.3
3.4
3.2
22.1
23.5
20.4
vs Similar (20)
9.7
10.0
9.4
3.6
2.9
4.2
22.8
22.2
23.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
60%
60%
60%
46%
36%
56%
56%
68%
44%
% under line
40%
40%
40%
54%
64%
44%
44%
32%
56%
This opponent (Vitesse) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vitesse
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.0
11.1
10.9
4.0
4.4
3.5
22.6
23.0
22.2
vs Stronger (16)
10.9
10.8
11.1
4.5
4.8
4.1
22.8
22.3
23.4
vs Similar (34)
11.0
11.2
10.8
3.7
4.2
3.3
22.5
23.4
21.7
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
64%
64%
64%
66%
72%
60%
58%
60%
56%
% under line
36%
36%
36%
34%
28%
40%
42%
40%
44%
This opponent (Den Haag) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Sparta Rotterdam
11.6
PEC Zwolle
11.2
Fortuna Sittard
11.1
Vitesse
11.0
Feyenoord
11.0
Ajax
10.9
AZ Alkmaar
10.7
Den Haag
10.4
VVV Venlo
10.3
PSV Eindhoven
10.2
Heracles
10.2
Utrecht
10.1
Heerenveen
10.1
Emmen
10.0
Twente
9.8
Willem II
9.7
Groningen
9.4
Waalwijk
9.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Vitesse
4.0
Twente
3.9
Fortuna Sittard
3.8
Emmen
3.8
Waalwijk
3.8
Willem II
3.7
PSV Eindhoven
3.6
Heracles
3.5
PEC Zwolle
3.4
Den Haag
3.4
Groningen
3.4
Utrecht
3.4
AZ Alkmaar
3.2
Ajax
3.2
VVV Venlo
3.1
Sparta Rotterdam
3.0
Feyenoord
2.8
Heerenveen
2.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Twente
25.2
Emmen
24.3
Sparta Rotterdam
23.9
Heracles
23.9
VVV Venlo
23.3
Willem II
23.3
Fortuna Sittard
23.1
Vitesse
22.6
PEC Zwolle
22.5
Utrecht
22.4
Den Haag
22.3
Groningen
22.2
Waalwijk
22.0
AZ Alkmaar
21.4
Ajax
21.2
Heerenveen
21.1
Feyenoord
21.0
PSV Eindhoven
20.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
58.3%
Under 9.5
41.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
45.6%
Under 3.5
54.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
55.3%
Under 21.5
44.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
DH
Den Haag
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
1.00
0.87
0.93
0.47
1.07
vs Stronger (19)
0.53
1.11
0.67
0.78
0.40
1.40
vs Similar (11)
0.91
0.82
1.17
1.17
0.60
0.40
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Vitesse) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vitesse
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.80
0.67
0.87
1.07
0.73
vs Stronger (12)
0.50
0.92
0.57
1.00
0.40
0.80
vs Similar (18)
1.11
0.72
0.75
0.75
1.40
0.70
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Den Haag) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Den Haag over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Den Haag over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Den Haag over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vitesse over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vitesse over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vitesse over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
DH
Den Haag
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.87
1.13
0.60
0.60
1.13
vs Stronger (19)
0.68
1.16
0.67
0.78
0.70
1.50
vs Similar (11)
1.18
0.36
1.83
0.33
0.40
0.40
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Vitesse) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vitesse
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
0.70
1.60
0.40
0.80
1.00
vs Stronger (12)
1.08
0.92
1.14
0.43
1.00
1.60
vs Similar (18)
1.28
0.56
2.00
0.38
0.70
0.70
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Den Haag) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Den Haag over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Den Haag over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Den Haag over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vitesse over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vitesse over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vitesse over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
86.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
84.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls
75.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 4.5 cards
73.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
71.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
70.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Vitesse · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Naoufal Bannis75%
Ayman Sellouf25%
Filipe de Ferreira25%
Marco Schikora0%
Valon Zumberi0%
Ricardo-Felipe Schwarz0%
Marcus Steffen0%
Chiel Olde Keizer0%
Pontus Dahbo0%
Nino Zonneveld0%
Mathijs Marschalk0%
Eduard Probst0%
Omar Achouitar0%
Maximilian Brüll0%
João Pinto0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Chiel Olde Keizer50%
Nino Zonneveld33%
Mathijs Marschalk33%
Ayman Sellouf25%
Ricardo-Felipe Schwarz25%
Naoufal Bannis0%
Marco Schikora0%
Valon Zumberi0%
Filipe de Ferreira0%
Marcus Steffen0%
Pontus Dahbo0%
Eduard Probst0%
Omar Achouitar0%
Maximilian Brüll0%
João Pinto0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Filipe de Ferreira50%
Naoufal Bannis25%
Marco Schikora25%
Omar Achouitar25%
Ayman Sellouf0%
Valon Zumberi0%
Ricardo-Felipe Schwarz0%
Marcus Steffen0%
Chiel Olde Keizer0%
Pontus Dahbo0%
Nino Zonneveld0%
Mathijs Marschalk0%
Eduard Probst0%
Maximilian Brüll0%
João Pinto0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Naoufal Bannis75%
Ayman Sellouf25%
Chiel Olde Keizer25%
Marco Schikora0%
Valon Zumberi0%
Filipe de Ferreira0%
Ricardo-Felipe Schwarz0%
Marcus Steffen0%
Pontus Dahbo0%
Nino Zonneveld0%
Mathijs Marschalk0%
Eduard Probst0%
Omar Achouitar0%
Maximilian Brüll0%
João Pinto0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Netherlands: Eredivisie 2019/20 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Netherlands: Eredivisie stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Vitesse
Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
Feyenoord
PSV Eindhoven
Willem II
Utrecht
Heracles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Sparta Rotterdam
Emmen
VVV Venlo
Twente
PEC Zwolle
Fortuna Sittard
Waalwijk