This opponent (Willem II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Willem II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.5
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
2.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.67
2.17
1.40
2.13
1.93
2.20
vs Stronger (10)
1.10
2.00
0.80
2.00
1.40
2.00
vs Similar (20)
1.95
2.25
1.70
2.20
2.20
2.30
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Den Haag) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (20%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
90.4%
Under 1.5
9.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
73.8%
Under 2.5
26.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
53.5%
Under 3.5
46.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
73.6%
No
26.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
8.7%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-2
7.3%
3-1
4.9%
1-3
4.9%
3-2
4.7%
2-3
4.7%
Den Haag goals ↓
Willem II goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
2.9%
3.3%
4.0%
2.5%
1.2%
1
3.3%
8.7%
7.6%
4.9%
2.3%
2
4.0%
7.6%
7.3%
4.7%
2.2%
3
2.5%
4.9%
4.7%
3.0%
1.4%
4
1.2%
2.3%
2.2%
1.4%
0.7%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Den Haag goals (down), columns = Willem II goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Ajax
2.53
PSV Eindhoven
2.44
Feyenoord
1.91
AZ Alkmaar
1.71
Vitesse
1.56
Utrecht
1.56
Heracles
1.41
Groningen
1.32
Den Haag
1.32
Willem II
1.29
VVV Venlo
1.21
Heerenveen
1.21
PEC Zwolle
1.15
Emmen
1.12
Fortuna Sittard
1.00
Excelsior
0.97
De Graafschap
0.85
NAC Breda
0.68
Den Haag is 0.03 points better than Willem II in terms of average points per game (1.32 vs 1.29).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ajax
3.50
PSV Eindhoven
2.88
Feyenoord
2.21
Vitesse
2.06
AZ Alkmaar
1.88
Heerenveen
1.88
Heracles
1.79
Utrecht
1.76
Den Haag
1.71
Willem II
1.71
Fortuna Sittard
1.47
VVV Venlo
1.38
Excelsior
1.35
PEC Zwolle
1.29
Emmen
1.21
Groningen
1.15
De Graafschap
1.12
NAC Breda
0.85
Den Haag and Willem II are level in goals scored per game (both 1.71).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
PSV Eindhoven
0.76
Ajax
0.94
Groningen
1.21
Feyenoord
1.21
AZ Alkmaar
1.26
Vitesse
1.50
Utrecht
1.50
PEC Zwolle
1.68
Den Haag
1.85
VVV Venlo
1.85
Heracles
2.00
Willem II
2.12
Emmen
2.12
Heerenveen
2.15
NAC Breda
2.18
De Graafschap
2.21
Excelsior
2.32
Fortuna Sittard
2.35
Den Haag is 0.26 goals better than Willem II in terms of goals conceded per game (1.85 vs 2.12).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
DH
Den Haag
For 5.7 · Against 6.0 · Total 11.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.0 · Against 0.9 · Total 1.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.8 · Against 9.0 · Total 17.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Willem II
For 4.2 · Against 4.9 · Total 9.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.0 · Against 1.9 · Total 2.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.9 · Against 14.7 · Total 24.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
DH
Den Haag
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.4
11.7
11.1
2.9
3.0
2.8
21.7
21.7
21.7
vs Stronger (29)
11.6
10.8
12.2
2.8
3.1
2.6
20.9
20.5
21.2
vs Similar (21)
11.1
12.6
9.4
3.0
2.9
3.1
22.7
23.0
22.4
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
74%
75%
73%
34%
25%
42%
52%
62%
42%
% under line
26%
25%
27%
66%
75%
58%
48%
38%
58%
This opponent (Willem II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Willem II
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
10.2
9.6
3.3
3.6
3.0
23.3
22.3
24.3
vs Stronger (16)
9.7
10.0
9.3
3.2
3.7
2.6
21.6
22.8
20.0
vs Similar (34)
10.0
10.4
9.7
3.3
3.6
3.1
24.1
22.1
26.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
48%
52%
44%
44%
52%
36%
62%
64%
60%
% under line
52%
48%
56%
56%
48%
64%
38%
36%
40%
This opponent (Den Haag) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Excelsior
12.2
Den Haag
11.4
Fortuna Sittard
11.3
AZ Alkmaar
11.1
Feyenoord
11.0
Ajax
10.9
PSV Eindhoven
10.8
Heracles
10.8
Vitesse
10.8
PEC Zwolle
10.8
NAC Breda
10.6
Utrecht
10.5
VVV Venlo
10.3
Emmen
10.1
Willem II
9.9
De Graafschap
9.9
Heerenveen
9.6
Groningen
9.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Fortuna Sittard
3.6
PEC Zwolle
3.5
PSV Eindhoven
3.5
Groningen
3.5
Vitesse
3.5
Emmen
3.4
De Graafschap
3.3
Heracles
3.3
Ajax
3.3
AZ Alkmaar
3.3
Willem II
3.3
VVV Venlo
3.2
NAC Breda
3.2
Utrecht
3.2
Heerenveen
2.9
Excelsior
2.9
Den Haag
2.9
Feyenoord
2.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Emmen
24.4
De Graafschap
24.1
Heracles
23.8
Fortuna Sittard
23.8
Heerenveen
23.3
Willem II
23.3
Vitesse
23.2
VVV Venlo
23.2
Utrecht
22.8
PEC Zwolle
22.7
Groningen
22.7
Ajax
22.3
AZ Alkmaar
22.2
NAC Breda
22.2
PSV Eindhoven
21.8
Den Haag
21.7
Excelsior
21.4
Feyenoord
21.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
60.8%
Under 9.5
39.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
30.1%
Under 3.5
69.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
49.1%
Under 21.5
50.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
DH
Den Haag
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.83
0.93
0.86
0.69
0.81
vs Stronger (17)
0.76
0.88
0.78
0.67
0.75
1.12
vs Similar (13)
0.85
0.77
1.20
1.20
0.62
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Willem II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Willem II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
1.07
0.73
1.07
0.80
1.07
vs Stronger (10)
0.60
1.10
0.60
0.80
0.60
1.40
vs Similar (20)
0.85
1.05
0.80
1.20
0.90
0.90
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Den Haag) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Den Haag over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Den Haag over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Den Haag over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Willem II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Willem II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Willem II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
DH
Den Haag
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.97
0.71
1.07
0.75
0.88
vs Stronger (17)
0.71
1.18
0.78
1.33
0.62
1.00
vs Similar (13)
0.77
0.69
0.60
0.60
0.88
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Willem II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Willem II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
1.10
0.67
1.07
1.13
1.13
vs Stronger (10)
0.50
0.90
0.20
1.20
0.80
0.60
vs Similar (20)
1.10
1.20
0.90
1.00
1.30
1.40
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Den Haag) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Den Haag over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Den Haag over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Den Haag over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Willem II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Willem II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Willem II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
93.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
90.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
85.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls
80.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5
73.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
BTTS Yes
73.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
72.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Willem II · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Devin Haen67%
Uriel van Aalst33%
Justin Hoogma0%
Alessandro Ciranni0%
Nathan Tjoe-A-On0%
Finn Stam0%
Mats Lemmens0%
Jaden Slory0%
Kasper Boogaard0%
Eser Gürbüz0%
Per van Loon0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nathan Tjoe-A-On33%
Justin Hoogma0%
Alessandro Ciranni0%
Devin Haen0%
Finn Stam0%
Mats Lemmens0%
Jaden Slory0%
Kasper Boogaard0%
Eser Gürbüz0%
Per van Loon0%
Uriel van Aalst0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nathan Tjoe-A-On67%
Justin Hoogma0%
Alessandro Ciranni0%
Devin Haen0%
Finn Stam0%
Mats Lemmens0%
Jaden Slory0%
Kasper Boogaard0%
Eser Gürbüz0%
Per van Loon0%
Uriel van Aalst0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nathan Tjoe-A-On33%
Devin Haen33%
Jaden Slory33%
Justin Hoogma0%
Alessandro Ciranni0%
Finn Stam0%
Mats Lemmens0%
Kasper Boogaard0%
Eser Gürbüz0%
Per van Loon0%
Uriel van Aalst0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Netherlands: Eredivisie 2018/19 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Netherlands: Eredivisie stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Willem II
Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
Feyenoord
AZ Alkmaar
Vitesse
Utrecht
Heracles
Groningen
Heerenveen
VVV Venlo
PEC Zwolle
Emmen
Fortuna Sittard
Excelsior
De Graafschap
NAC Breda