Deportivo La Coruna hosts Elche in a Spain: La Liga matchup on August 17, 2026. The home side is coming off a defeat, having lost 1-2 to Las Palmas. Meanwhile, Elche is looking to bounce back from a draw against Girona. The model predicts an away win, with a 37% chance of Elche securing the three points.
The expected total number of goals is 2.6, with a most likely score of 1-1 occurring 13.8% of the time. Deportivo La Coruna has averaged 1.42 goals scored and 1.33 conceded at home, while Elche has averaged 1 goal scored and 1.78 conceded away from home against similar opponents.
The model's selections include Over 1.5 with a 74.8% probability, offering a 9% edge, and Under 3.5 with a 73.3% probability. The home win percentage is 34%, the draw percentage is 29%, and the away win percentage is 37%.
Results analysis
In a shock to the pre-match favourite, Deportivo La Coruna and Elche settled for a 1-1 draw, extending Deportivo’s run of wins after a recent draw and ending Elche’s streak of defeats. The model had tipped an away win with a 39 % probability, but that call proved wrong. Every suggested pick was a hit: Home under 3.5 goals at 95.5 %, Away under 3.5 goals at 94.0 %, Over 19.5 fouls at 91.2 %, Over 2.5 cards at 85.4 %, Home under 2.5 goals at 85.2 %, Away +2 handicap at 84.8 %, Over 21.5 fouls at 82.3 %, and Away under 2.5 goals at 82.1 %. The final result, a stalemate, underlined the unpredictability of La Liga fixtures.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Deportivo La Coruna win✗ Miss
33.2%
Avg Implied 42.9% · @ 2.20
Edge
-9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.38
1xBet
2.26
SBO
2.23
Marathonbet
2.22
Pinnacle
2.22
Draw✓ Hit
27.8%
Avg Implied 30.8% · @ 3.07
Edge
-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
BetVictor
3.20
1xBet
3.20
Marathonbet
3.15
Pinnacle
3.11
Dafabet
3.10
Elche win✗ Miss
39.1%
Avg Implied 26.3% · @ 3.59
Edge
+12.7%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.91
1xBet
3.84
Bet365
3.80
Marathonbet
3.78
Unibet
3.75
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Deportivo La Coruna
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.03
1.25
1.25
1.36
0.79
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (25)
1.32
1.00
1.43
1.14
1.18
0.82
vs Weaker (4)
1.50
1.25
0.00
3.00
2.00
0.67
Clean sheet %
27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Elche) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Elche
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
1.57
1.71
1.21
1.00
1.88
vs Stronger (9)
1.33
2.44
1.60
2.20
1.00
2.75
vs Similar (20)
1.35
1.20
1.78
0.67
1.00
1.64
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Deportivo La Coruna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.7%
@ 1.40+10.5%
Under 1.5
22.3%
@ 2.86-10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.44
10Bet
1.42
Pinnacle
1.41
BetVictor
1.41
Bet365
1.40
Under
Bet365
3.00
Pinnacle
2.99
Unibet
2.95
Betano
2.90
Betfair
2.88
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
52.4%
@ 2.28+10.8%
Under 2.5
47.6%
@ 1.63-10.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.41
1xBet
2.36
SBO
2.31
Bet365
2.30
Betano
2.30
Under
1xBet
1.69
Betano
1.65
Marathonbet
1.64
SBO
1.64
Unibet
1.64
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.2%
@ 4.11+7.4%
Under 3.5
69.8%
@ 1.22-7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.33
888Sport
4.33
10Bet
4.20
Unibet
4.20
Betano
4.05
Under
Betano
1.25
888Sport
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Unibet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
57.4%
@ 1.92+8.8%
No
42.6%
@ 1.82-8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
888Sport
1.95
BetVictor
1.95
William Hil
1.95
Bet365
1.95
Marathonbet
1.93
No
Betfair
1.87
Betano
1.85
William Hil
1.83
Unibet
1.83
888Sport
1.83
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
13.2%@ 5.62+5.1%
1-2
8.7%@ 11.65+4.8%
2-1
7.9%@ 8.62+2.7%
0-1
7.9%@ 8.54+2.6%
0-0
7.4%@ 7.47+1.4%
1-0
7.1%@ 6.13-0.3%
0-2
6.6%@ 16.71+3.9%
2-2
5.8%@ 14.68+2.7%
Deportivo La Coruna goals ↓
Elche goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.4%
7.9%
6.6%
3.2%
1.2%
1
7.1%
13%
8.7%
4.2%
1.5%
2
5.5%
7.9%
5.8%
2.8%
1.0%
3
2.4%
3.5%
2.5%
1.2%
0.4%
4
0.8%
1.2%
0.8%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Deportivo La Coruna goals (down), columns = Elche goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Barcelona
2.47
Real Madrid
2.26
Villarreal
1.89
Atletico Madrid
1.82
Real Betis
1.58
Celta Vigo
1.42
Getafe
1.34
Rayo Vallecano
1.32
Valencia
1.29
Real Sociedad
1.21
Espanyol
1.21
Athletic Club
1.18
Sevilla
1.13
Elche
1.13
Alaves
1.13
Levante
1.11
Osasuna
1.11
Malaga
1.10
Racing Santander
1.10
Deportivo La Coruna
1.08
Deportivo La Coruna is 0.05 points worse than Elche in terms of average points per game (1.08 vs 1.13).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Barcelona
2.50
Real Madrid
2.03
Villarreal
1.89
Atletico Madrid
1.63
Real Sociedad
1.55
Real Betis
1.55
Celta Vigo
1.39
Elche
1.29
Levante
1.24
Sevilla
1.21
Valencia
1.21
Osasuna
1.16
Alaves
1.16
Athletic Club
1.13
Espanyol
1.13
Rayo Vallecano
1.08
Malaga
1.08
Racing Santander
1.08
Deportivo La Coruna
1.06
Getafe
0.84
Deportivo La Coruna is 0.23 goals worse than Elche in terms of goals scored per game (1.06 vs 1.29).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Real Madrid
0.92
Barcelona
0.95
Getafe
1.00
Atletico Madrid
1.16
Rayo Vallecano
1.16
Villarreal
1.21
Real Betis
1.26
Celta Vigo
1.26
Osasuna
1.32
Valencia
1.45
Espanyol
1.45
Alaves
1.47
Elche
1.50
Athletic Club
1.53
Sevilla
1.58
Levante
1.61
Real Sociedad
1.61
Malaga
1.69
Racing Santander
1.69
Deportivo La Coruna
1.72
Deportivo La Coruna is 0.22 goals worse than Elche in terms of goals conceded per game (1.72 vs 1.50).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Barcelona
69%
Real Madrid
59%
Elche
58%
Rayo Vallecano
53%
Atletico Madrid
53%
Real Sociedad
51%
Sevilla
51%
Celta Vigo
50%
Real Betis
50%
Athletic Club
49%
Alaves
48%
Valencia
48%
Osasuna
47%
Villarreal
45%
Levante
43%
Espanyol
42%
Getafe
40%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Deportivo La Coruna
For 5.0 · Against 5.2 · Total 10.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.9 · Total 5.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.3 · Against 13.2 · Total 26.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Elche
For 4.0 · Against 4.6 · Total 8.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.6 · Total 5.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.2 · Against 15.5 · Total 29.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Deportivo La Coruna
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
8.5
9.7
4.8
4.4
5.1
23.5
24.8
22.1
vs Stronger (1)
10.0
10.0
-
0.0
0.0
-
18.0
18.0
-
vs Similar (43)
9.2
8.7
9.7
5.1
4.8
5.4
24.2
25.2
23.1
vs Weaker (6)
7.2
5.5
9.0
3.2
2.5
3.5
18.2
23.0
15.0
% over line
42%
32%
52%
70%
64%
76%
67%
76%
58%
% under line
58%
68%
48%
30%
36%
24%
33%
24%
42%
This opponent (Elche) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Elche
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.3
8.8
7.8
4.6
4.6
4.6
28.0
26.4
29.3
vs Stronger (12)
8.9
9.3
8.5
4.2
4.8
3.5
25.3
24.5
26.2
vs Similar (34)
8.1
8.5
7.7
5.0
4.7
5.2
29.1
27.6
30.3
vs Weaker (4)
8.5
10.0
7.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
25.0
19.0
31.0
% over line
35%
45%
27%
70%
68%
71%
88%
77%
96%
% under line
65%
55%
73%
30%
32%
29%
12%
23%
4%
This opponent (Deportivo La Coruna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Rayo Vallecano
10.8
Atletico Madrid
10.8
Barcelona
10.8
Real Madrid
10.6
Racing Santander
10.5
Alaves
10.4
Real Sociedad
10.2
Levante
10.0
Espanyol
9.8
Valencia
9.8
Athletic Club
9.6
Sevilla
9.3
Deportivo La Coruna
9.1
Osasuna
9.1
Villarreal
9.1
Real Betis
9.1
Malaga
9.1
Getafe
8.8
Elche
8.4
Celta Vigo
8.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Racing Santander
6.6
Rayo Vallecano
5.8
Getafe
5.4
Malaga
5.3
Sevilla
5.2
Deportivo La Coruna
5.0
Real Sociedad
5.0
Alaves
4.9
Osasuna
4.9
Real Madrid
4.9
Espanyol
4.8
Real Betis
4.8
Levante
4.8
Elche
4.8
Celta Vigo
4.7
Valencia
4.6
Athletic Club
4.6
Barcelona
4.4
Villarreal
4.3
Atletico Madrid
4.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Getafe
29.2
Alaves
28.8
Elche
28.0
Sevilla
27.6
Real Sociedad
26.9
Racing Santander
26.7
Espanyol
25.7
Rayo Vallecano
25.6
Athletic Club
25.4
Osasuna
25.3
Levante
24.8
Celta Vigo
24.5
Villarreal
24.5
Malaga
24.4
Valencia
24.3
Real Madrid
24.0
Real Betis
23.7
Deportivo La Coruna
23.3
Barcelona
21.8
Atletico Madrid
20.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
39.0%
@ 2.31-0.9%
Under 9.5
61.0%
@ 1.54+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.40
Pinnacle
2.36
Marathonbet
2.34
Unibet
2.28
Betano
2.25
Under
Betano
1.60
Pinnacle
1.58
Unibet
1.54
Marathonbet
1.50
Betfair
1.50
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
69.3%
@ 1.52+8.0%
Under 3.5
30.7%
@ 2.41-8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.57
Pinnacle
1.51
Unibet
1.49
Under
Pinnacle
2.54
Unibet
2.40
Betano
2.30
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
82.3%
Under 21.5
17.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Deportivo La Coruna or Draw✓ Hit
60.9%
Avg Implied 73.1% · @ 1.29
Edge
-12.1%
33%
28%
39%
covers Deportivo La Coruna + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.36
William Hil
1.33
888Sport
1.33
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.30
Deportivo La Coruna or Elche✗ Miss
72.2%
Avg Implied 70.1% · @ 1.35
Edge
+2.1%
33%
28%
39%
covers Deportivo La Coruna + Elche
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.40
Bet365
1.36
Unibet
1.36
William Hil
1.36
Draw or Elche✓ Hit
66.8%
Avg Implied 56.8% · @ 1.66
Edge
+10.0%
33%
28%
39%
covers Draw + Elche
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.72
Betano
1.72
Marathonbet
1.71
10Bet
1.67
Unibet
1.67
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Deportivo La Coruna over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
73.4%
@ 1.28+0.3%
Under
26.6%
@ 3.47-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
1.30
Betano
1.29
BetVictor
1.29
1xBet
1.29
Pinnacle
1.29
Under
Betfair
3.80
Pinnacle
3.71
Unibet
3.50
Bet365
3.50
BetVictor
3.40
Deportivo La Coruna over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
38.1%
@ 2.38-1.3%
Under
61.9%
@ 1.54+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
2.50
Pinnacle
2.49
Betfair
2.40
Marathonbet
2.39
BetVictor
2.38
Under
1xBet
1.59
Pinnacle
1.57
Betano
1.57
Marathonbet
1.57
Unibet
1.56
Deportivo La Coruna over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
14.8%
@ 5.56-2.0%
Under
85.2%
@ 1.12+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.50
888Sport
6.00
Bet365
6.00
1xBet
5.60
BetVictor
5.50
Under
Betano
1.16
Unibet
1.14
888Sport
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
10Bet
1.12
Deportivo La Coruna over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.5%
@ 14.50-2.1%
Under
95.5%
@ 1.03+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
17.00
Bet365
17.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.04
888Sport
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Elche over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
76.6%
@ 1.49+14.1%
Under
23.4%
@ 2.48-14.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.55
1xBet
1.52
Bet365
1.50
BetVictor
1.50
Betano
1.50
Under
Betfair
2.60
Pinnacle
2.55
Bet365
2.50
Betano
2.50
888Sport
2.50
Elche over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
42.6%
@ 3.45+15.4%
Under
57.4%
@ 1.28-15.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.85
Marathonbet
3.62
Bet365
3.50
BetVictor
3.50
10Bet
3.40
Under
1xBet
1.31
888Sport
1.30
Betano
1.30
Betfair
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Elche over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
17.9%
@ 9.49+8.0%
Under
82.1%
@ 1.04-8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
1xBet
10.50
Marathonbet
9.90
888Sport
9.50
Betfair
9.00
Under
888Sport
1.06
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Unibet
1.03
Betfair
1.03
Elche over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.0%
@ 23.50+1.8%
Under
94.0%
@ 1.01-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
29.00
Bet365
29.00
Betano
12.50
Under
888Sport
1.01
Betano
1.01
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Deportivo La Coruna, so a minus line means Deportivo La Coruna give that many goals of a start and Elche receive them. At -1, Deportivo La Coruna must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Deportivo La Coruna win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Deportivo La Coruna)Actual: Elche
Deportivo La Coruna -2
5.3%
@ 9.86-3.8%
Draw -2
9.9%
@ 6.33-4.3%
Elche +2
84.8%
@ 1.18+8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
12.00
Bet365
10.00
10Bet
9.50
Unibet
9.00
Marathonbet
8.80
Draw
Betfair
7.00
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.35
10Bet
6.00
Unibet
5.80
Away
Bet365
1.20
Unibet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Betfair
1.14
Handicap -1 (Deportivo La Coruna)Actual: Elche
Deportivo La Coruna -1
15.2%
@ 4.25-5.9%
Draw -1
18.0%
@ 3.62-6.9%
Elche +1
66.8%
@ 1.67+12.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.33
10Bet
4.20
Marathonbet
4.20
Unibet
4.00
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Marathonbet
3.72
Unibet
3.60
10Bet
3.55
Betfair
3.50
Away
Marathonbet
1.71
Bet365
1.67
10Bet
1.67
Unibet
1.66
Betfair
1.62
Handicap +1 (Deportivo La Coruna)Actual: Deportivo La Coruna
Deportivo La Coruna +1
60.9%
@ 1.26-10.8%
Draw +1
19.8%
@ 5.07+2.0%
Elche -1
19.2%
@ 8.68+8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.30
10Bet
1.28
Bet365
1.25
Unibet
1.25
Betfair
1.22
Draw
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.20
Betfair
5.00
Unibet
4.90
10Bet
4.75
Away
Betfair
10.00
Bet365
9.00
Marathonbet
8.40
Unibet
8.00
10Bet
8.00
Handicap +2 (Deportivo La Coruna)Actual: Deportivo La Coruna
Deportivo La Coruna +2
80.8%
@ 1.05-6.4%
Draw +2
11.9%
@ 10.62+3.3%
Elche -2
7.3%
@ 22.00+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.06
10Bet
1.05
Unibet
1.05
Betfair
1.04
Draw
Betfair
12.00
Bet365
12.00
Unibet
10.00
10Bet
8.50
Away
Betfair
26.00
Bet365
23.00
Unibet
20.00
10Bet
19.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Deportivo La Coruna
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.50
0.62
0.50
0.50
0.50
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (25)
0.64
0.52
0.71
0.50
0.55
0.55
vs Weaker (4)
0.25
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Elche) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Elche
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.57
0.64
0.50
0.50
0.62
vs Stronger (9)
0.56
1.33
0.80
1.20
0.25
1.50
vs Similar (20)
0.60
0.25
0.56
0.11
0.64
0.36
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Deportivo La Coruna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Deportivo La Coruna over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Deportivo La Coruna over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Deportivo La Coruna over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elche over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elche over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elche over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Deportivo La Coruna
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.53
0.62
0.75
0.86
0.29
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (25)
0.68
0.48
0.71
0.64
0.64
0.27
vs Weaker (4)
1.25
0.75
0.00
2.00
1.67
0.33
Clean sheet %
57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Elche) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Elche
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
1.00
1.07
0.71
0.50
1.25
vs Stronger (9)
0.78
1.11
0.80
1.00
0.75
1.25
vs Similar (20)
0.75
0.95
1.22
0.56
0.36
1.27
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Deportivo La Coruna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Deportivo La Coruna over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Deportivo La Coruna over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Deportivo La Coruna over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elche over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elche over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elche over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Home under 3.5 goals
95.5%
1.03
Betano
1.04
888Sport
1.03
Bet365
1.02
-
-
+2.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
94.0%
1.01
888Sport
1.01
Betano
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-1.8%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
91.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
85.2%
1.12
Betano
1.16
Unibet
1.14
888Sport
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
10Bet
1.12
+2.0%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
85.0%
1.25
Betano
1.25
-
-
-
-
+10.5%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
84.8%
1.18
Bet365
1.20
Unibet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Betfair
1.14
+8.2%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
82.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
82.1%
1.04
888Sport
1.06
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Unibet
1.03
Betfair
1.03
-8.0%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
81.9%
1.16
Betano
1.20
Unibet
1.18
1xBet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
80.8%
1.05
Bet365
1.06
10Bet
1.05
Unibet
1.05
Betfair
1.04
-
-6.4%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
77.7%
1.40
Betano
1.44
10Bet
1.42
Pinnacle
1.41
BetVictor
1.41
Bet365
1.40
+10.5%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
76.6%
1.49
Pinnacle
1.55
1xBet
1.52
Bet365
1.50
BetVictor
1.50
Betano
1.50
+14.1%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
73.4%
1.28
888Sport
1.30
Betano
1.29
BetVictor
1.29
1xBet
1.29
Pinnacle
1.29
+0.3%
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
72.6%
1.30
Betano
1.35
Unibet
1.32
Betfair
1.29
1xBet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.26
+2.1%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
72.2%
1.35
1xBet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.40
Bet365
1.36
Unibet
1.36
William Hil
1.36
+2.1%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Deportivo La Coruna
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang100%
Ximo Navarro0%
Giacomo Quagliata0%
Mario Soriano0%
Adrià Altimira0%
Leo Román0%
Luismi Cruz0%
Lucas Noubi0%
Lorenzo Amatucci0%
Jonathan Asp Jensen0%
Bright Ede0%
Bil Nsongo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ximo Navarro67%
Giacomo Quagliata33%
Mario Soriano33%
Adrià Altimira33%
Lorenzo Amatucci33%
Bil Nsongo33%
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang0%
Leo Román0%
Luismi Cruz0%
Lucas Noubi0%
Jonathan Asp Jensen0%
Bright Ede0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mario Soriano33%
Luismi Cruz33%
Lorenzo Amatucci33%
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang0%
Ximo Navarro0%
Giacomo Quagliata0%
Adrià Altimira0%
Leo Román0%
Lucas Noubi0%
Jonathan Asp Jensen0%
Bright Ede0%
Bil Nsongo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang67%
Ximo Navarro0%
Giacomo Quagliata0%
Mario Soriano0%
Adrià Altimira0%
Leo Román0%
Luismi Cruz0%
Lucas Noubi0%
Lorenzo Amatucci0%
Jonathan Asp Jensen0%
Bright Ede0%
Bil Nsongo0%
Elche
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Fernando Niño33%
Marc Aguado33%
Buba Sangaré33%
Matías Dituro0%
Gonzalo Villar0%
Tete Morente0%
David Affengruber0%
Germán Valera0%
Víctor Chust0%
Lucas Cepeda0%
Ali Houary0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Gonzalo Villar33%
Ali Houary33%
Matías Dituro0%
Tete Morente0%
David Affengruber0%
Germán Valera0%
Víctor Chust0%
Fernando Niño0%
Marc Aguado0%
Lucas Cepeda0%
Buba Sangaré0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Gonzalo Villar33%
Tete Morente33%
Lucas Cepeda33%
Matías Dituro0%
David Affengruber0%
Germán Valera0%
Víctor Chust0%
Fernando Niño0%
Marc Aguado0%
Buba Sangaré0%
Ali Houary0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Fernando Niño33%
Matías Dituro0%
Gonzalo Villar0%
Tete Morente0%
David Affengruber0%
Germán Valera0%
Víctor Chust0%
Marc Aguado0%
Lucas Cepeda0%
Buba Sangaré0%
Ali Houary0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (27)
€1456m
BAR (30)
€1282m
AM (25)
€653m
VIL (24)
€325m
RS (24)
€247m
AC (29)
€241m
RB (25)
€235m
CV (24)
€163m
SEV (25)
€134m
VAL (27)
€125m
ESP (24)
€119m
GET (24)
€90m
LEV (26)
€89m
RS (20)
€89m
DLC (29)
€84m
ELC (27)
€79m
RV (23)
€76m
OSA (22)
€71m
ALA (25)
€68m
MAL (27)
€41m
Deportivo La Coruna's squad is €5m more valuable than Elche's (€84m vs €79m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (10)
€842m
BAR (10)
€590m
AM (9)
€290m
RB (10)
€131m
VIL (8)
€124m
RS (10)
€110m
AC (10)
€106m
CV (9)
€57m
LEV (10)
€51m
DLC (9)
€49m
SEV (8)
€45m
VAL (10)
€40m
ESP (9)
€39m
GET (5)
€36m
ELC (13)
€34m
RS (7)
€34m
RV (10)
€30m
MAL (11)
€26m
OSA (8)
€25m
ALA (8)
€24m
Deportivo La Coruna's attack is €15m more valuable than Elche's (€49m vs €34m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (8)
€324m
RM (5)
€238m
AM (6)
€155m
RS (5)
€58m
AC (7)
€57m
VIL (4)
€52m
VAL (5)
€46m
CV (3)
€35m
RB (5)
€33m
ESP (5)
€31m
GET (6)
€28m
RS (5)
€28m
SEV (5)
€23m
ALA (8)
€22m
LEV (5)
€16m
DLC (7)
€13m
OSA (4)
€12m
ELC (5)
€12m
RV (4)
€9m
MAL (5)
€6m
Deportivo La Coruna and Elche have a similar midfield value (both €13m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (12)
€377m
BAR (12)
€368m
AM (10)
€208m
VIL (12)
€148m
RS (9)
€79m
AC (12)
€77m
CV (12)
€71m
RB (10)
€70m
SEV (12)
€65m
ESP (10)
€48m
VAL (12)
€39m
RV (9)
€36m
OSA (10)
€33m
ELC (9)
€33m
RS (8)
€28m
GET (13)
€26m
DLC (13)
€22m
LEV (11)
€22m
ALA (9)
€22m
MAL (11)
€9m
Deportivo La Coruna's defence is €11m less valuable than Elche's (€22m vs €33m).
Spain: La Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: La Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Barcelona
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Alaves
Osasuna
Sevilla
Real Betis
Levante
Racing Santander
Real Sociedad
Espanyol
Athletic Club
Getafe
Villarreal
Celta Vigo
Valencia
Rayo Vallecano
Malaga