This opponent (Villarreal) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Villarreal
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.29
0.88
1.67
0.78
0.88
1.00
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (6)
1.67
0.83
1.75
1.00
1.50
0.50
vs Weaker (8)
1.25
0.88
2.00
1.00
0.80
0.80
Clean sheet %
35% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Deportivo La Coruna) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
64.4%
Under 1.5
35.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
36.2%
Under 2.5
63.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
16.9%
Under 3.5
83.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
44.5%
No
55.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.8%
0-0
13.1%
1-0
11.5%
0-1
11.0%
2-1
7.3%
1-2 ✓
7.1%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
6.5%
Deportivo La Coruna goals ↓
Villarreal goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
13%
11%
6.5%
2.3%
0.6%
1
11%
15%
7.1%
2.5%
0.7%
2
7.0%
7.3%
3.9%
1.4%
0.4%
3
2.5%
2.7%
1.4%
0.5%
0.1%
4
0.7%
0.7%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Deportivo La Coruna goals (down), columns = Villarreal goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Barcelona
2.39
Real Madrid
2.37
Atletico Madrid
2.32
Villarreal
1.68
Athletic Club
1.63
Celta Vigo
1.58
Sevilla
1.37
Real Sociedad
1.26
Malaga
1.26
Real Betis
1.18
Las Palmas
1.16
Valencia
1.16
Espanyol
1.13
Eibar
1.13
Deportivo La Coruna
1.11
Sporting Gijon
1.03
Granada CF
1.03
Rayo Vallecano
1.00
Getafe
0.95
Levante
0.84
Deportivo La Coruna is 0.58 points worse than Villarreal in terms of average points per game (1.11 vs 1.68).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Barcelona
2.95
Real Madrid
2.89
Atletico Madrid
1.66
Athletic Club
1.53
Rayo Vallecano
1.37
Celta Vigo
1.34
Sevilla
1.34
Eibar
1.29
Granada CF
1.21
Valencia
1.21
Real Sociedad
1.18
Deportivo La Coruna
1.18
Las Palmas
1.18
Villarreal
1.16
Sporting Gijon
1.05
Espanyol
1.05
Malaga
1.00
Getafe
0.97
Levante
0.97
Real Betis
0.89
Deportivo La Coruna is 0.03 goals better than Villarreal in terms of goals scored per game (1.18 vs 1.16).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Atletico Madrid
0.47
Barcelona
0.76
Real Madrid
0.89
Malaga
0.92
Villarreal
0.92
Athletic Club
1.18
Real Sociedad
1.26
Valencia
1.26
Sevilla
1.32
Real Betis
1.37
Las Palmas
1.39
Celta Vigo
1.55
Deportivo La Coruna
1.61
Eibar
1.61
Sporting Gijon
1.63
Getafe
1.76
Granada CF
1.82
Levante
1.84
Rayo Vallecano
1.92
Espanyol
1.95
Deportivo La Coruna is 0.68 goals worse than Villarreal in terms of goals conceded per game (1.61 vs 0.92).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Deportivo La Coruna
For 4.0 · Against 6.4 · Total 10.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.0 · Against 11.1 · Total 21.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Villarreal
For 5.2 · Against 6.2 · Total 11.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 3.0 · Total 5.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.2 · Against 12.8 · Total 28.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Deportivo La Coruna
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (17)
10.1
10.6
9.6
4.9
5.2
4.6
23.7
22.9
24.4
vs Stronger (5)
8.0
8.3
7.5
4.2
3.7
5.0
22.6
21.7
24.0
vs Similar (12)
10.9
12.0
10.1
5.2
6.2
4.4
24.2
23.6
24.6
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
53%
62%
44%
76%
75%
78%
65%
62%
67%
% under line
47%
38%
56%
24%
25%
22%
35%
38%
33%
This opponent (Villarreal) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Villarreal
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (17)
11.0
10.6
11.5
5.6
5.7
5.5
29.2
27.0
31.8
vs Stronger (3)
9.0
9.0
9.0
5.3
4.0
8.0
25.7
23.0
31.0
vs Similar (6)
11.2
11.2
11.0
5.5
6.2
4.0
31.0
29.0
35.0
vs Weaker (8)
11.6
10.7
12.2
5.8
6.0
5.6
29.2
27.0
30.6
% over line
71%
56%
88%
88%
100%
75%
88%
78%
100%
% under line
29%
44%
12%
12%
0%
25%
12%
22%
0%
This opponent (Deportivo La Coruna) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Real Madrid
11.4
Valencia
11.3
Villarreal
11.0
Sevilla
10.9
Athletic Club
10.9
Celta Vigo
10.8
Espanyol
10.7
Malaga
10.7
Barcelona
10.6
Eibar
10.4
Deportivo La Coruna
10.1
Rayo Vallecano
10.0
Getafe
10.0
Real Sociedad
9.6
Real Betis
9.6
Levante
9.6
Granada CF
9.5
Sporting Gijon
9.5
Atletico Madrid
8.6
Las Palmas
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Espanyol
6.8
Real Betis
6.7
Granada CF
6.6
Levante
6.5
Real Sociedad
6.4
Celta Vigo
6.3
Sevilla
6.2
Valencia
6.2
Malaga
6.2
Eibar
6.1
Athletic Club
5.7
Villarreal
5.6
Sporting Gijon
5.6
Getafe
5.4
Atletico Madrid
5.3
Rayo Vallecano
5.2
Real Madrid
5.2
Las Palmas
5.2
Barcelona
4.9
Deportivo La Coruna
4.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Valencia
34.5
Espanyol
33.9
Granada CF
31.1
Levante
30.2
Villarreal
29.2
Celta Vigo
28.9
Las Palmas
28.9
Sevilla
28.6
Malaga
28.6
Real Sociedad
28.0
Real Betis
27.8
Athletic Club
27.6
Rayo Vallecano
27.6
Eibar
27.5
Getafe
26.7
Barcelona
26.2
Sporting Gijon
25.6
Atletico Madrid
25.4
Real Madrid
24.4
Deportivo La Coruna
23.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
65.1%
Under 9.5
34.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
80.9%
Under 3.5
19.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
88.2%
Under 21.5
11.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Deportivo La Coruna
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.76
0.47
0.88
0.62
0.67
0.33
vs Stronger (5)
0.00
0.60
0.00
0.67
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (12)
1.08
0.42
1.40
0.60
0.86
0.29
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
65% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Villarreal) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Villarreal
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.35
0.29
0.44
0.44
0.25
0.12
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (6)
0.67
0.17
0.50
0.25
1.00
0.00
vs Weaker (8)
0.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.20
Clean sheet %
71% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Deportivo La Coruna) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Deportivo La Coruna over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Deportivo La Coruna over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Deportivo La Coruna over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Villarreal over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Villarreal over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Villarreal over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Deportivo La Coruna
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.71
0.47
0.75
0.25
0.67
0.67
vs Stronger (5)
1.40
0.60
1.00
0.33
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (12)
0.42
0.42
0.60
0.20
0.29
0.57
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
59% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Villarreal) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Villarreal
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.94
0.59
1.22
0.33
0.62
0.88
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (6)
1.00
0.67
1.25
0.75
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (8)
1.25
0.38
2.00
0.00
0.80
0.60
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Deportivo La Coruna) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Deportivo La Coruna over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Deportivo La Coruna over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Deportivo La Coruna over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Villarreal over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Villarreal over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Villarreal over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
94.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
91.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
88.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
83.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
80.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
78.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
76.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Deportivo La Coruna · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang100%
Ximo Navarro0%
Giacomo Quagliata0%
Mario Soriano0%
Adrià Altimira0%
Leo Román0%
Luismi Cruz0%
Lucas Noubi0%
Lorenzo Amatucci0%
Jonathan Asp Jensen0%
Bright Ede0%
Bil Nsongo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ximo Navarro67%
Giacomo Quagliata33%
Mario Soriano33%
Adrià Altimira33%
Lorenzo Amatucci33%
Bil Nsongo33%
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang0%
Leo Román0%
Luismi Cruz0%
Lucas Noubi0%
Jonathan Asp Jensen0%
Bright Ede0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mario Soriano33%
Luismi Cruz33%
Lorenzo Amatucci33%
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang0%
Ximo Navarro0%
Giacomo Quagliata0%
Adrià Altimira0%
Leo Román0%
Lucas Noubi0%
Jonathan Asp Jensen0%
Bright Ede0%
Bil Nsongo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang67%
Ximo Navarro0%
Giacomo Quagliata0%
Mario Soriano0%
Adrià Altimira0%
Leo Román0%
Luismi Cruz0%
Lucas Noubi0%
Lorenzo Amatucci0%
Jonathan Asp Jensen0%
Bright Ede0%
Bil Nsongo0%
Villarreal · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gerard Moreno33%
Nicolas Pépé33%
Pape Gueye33%
Georges Mikautadze33%
Juan Foyth0%
Ayoze Pérez0%
Santi Comesaña0%
Tajon Buchanan0%
Alberto Moleiro0%
Carlos Romero0%
Luiz Júnior0%
Ilias Akhomach0%
Santiago Mouriño0%
Renato Veiga0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Juan Foyth67%
Santiago Mouriño67%
Nicolas Pépé33%
Pape Gueye33%
Carlos Romero33%
Renato Veiga33%
Gerard Moreno0%
Ayoze Pérez0%
Santi Comesaña0%
Tajon Buchanan0%
Georges Mikautadze0%
Alberto Moleiro0%
Luiz Júnior0%
Ilias Akhomach0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Georges Mikautadze33%
Alberto Moleiro33%
Juan Foyth0%
Gerard Moreno0%
Nicolas Pépé0%
Ayoze Pérez0%
Pape Gueye0%
Santi Comesaña0%
Tajon Buchanan0%
Carlos Romero0%
Luiz Júnior0%
Ilias Akhomach0%
Santiago Mouriño0%
Renato Veiga0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Georges Mikautadze67%
Juan Foyth33%
Gerard Moreno33%
Nicolas Pépé0%
Ayoze Pérez0%
Pape Gueye0%
Santi Comesaña0%
Tajon Buchanan0%
Alberto Moleiro0%
Carlos Romero0%
Luiz Júnior0%
Ilias Akhomach0%
Santiago Mouriño0%
Renato Veiga0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (27)
€1456m
BAR (30)
€1282m
AM (25)
€653m
VIL (24)
€325m
RS (24)
€247m
AC (29)
€241m
RB (25)
€235m
CV (24)
€163m
SEV (25)
€134m
VAL (27)
€125m
ESP (24)
€119m
GET (24)
€90m
LEV (26)
€89m
DLC (29)
€84m
RV (23)
€76m
MAL (27)
€41m
LP (27)
€30m
SG (23)
€28m
GC (18)
€17m
EIB (24)
€15m
Deportivo La Coruna's squad is €240m less valuable than Villarreal's (€84m vs €325m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (10)
€842m
BAR (10)
€590m
AM (9)
€290m
RB (10)
€131m
VIL (8)
€124m
RS (10)
€110m
AC (10)
€106m
CV (9)
€57m
LEV (10)
€51m
DLC (9)
€49m
SEV (8)
€45m
VAL (10)
€40m
ESP (9)
€39m
GET (5)
€36m
RV (10)
€30m
MAL (11)
€26m
SG (8)
€14m
LP (12)
€14m
EIB (8)
€7m
GC (5)
€6m
Deportivo La Coruna's attack is €75m less valuable than Villarreal's (€49m vs €124m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (8)
€324m
RM (5)
€238m
AM (6)
€155m
RS (5)
€58m
AC (7)
€57m
VIL (4)
€52m
VAL (5)
€46m
CV (3)
€35m
RB (5)
€33m
ESP (5)
€31m
GET (6)
€28m
SEV (5)
€23m
LEV (5)
€16m
DLC (7)
€13m
RV (4)
€9m
MAL (5)
€6m
SG (5)
€5m
EIB (6)
€3m
GC (3)
€3m
LP (5)
€3m
Deportivo La Coruna's midfield is €39m less valuable than Villarreal's (€13m vs €52m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (12)
€377m
BAR (12)
€368m
AM (10)
€208m
VIL (12)
€148m
RS (9)
€79m
AC (12)
€77m
CV (12)
€71m
RB (10)
€70m
SEV (12)
€65m
ESP (10)
€48m
VAL (12)
€39m
RV (9)
€36m
GET (13)
€26m
DLC (13)
€22m
LEV (11)
€22m
LP (10)
€13m
MAL (11)
€9m
SG (10)
€9m
GC (10)
€9m
EIB (10)
€5m
Deportivo La Coruna's defence is €127m less valuable than Villarreal's (€22m vs €148m).
Spain: La Liga 2015/16 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: La Liga stats & trends →
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Barcelona
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Athletic Club
Celta Vigo
Sevilla
Malaga
Real Sociedad
Real Betis
Valencia
Las Palmas
Eibar
Espanyol
Sporting Gijon
Granada CF
Rayo Vallecano
Getafe
Levante