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Derby vs Oxford Result & Analysis

Date: 11/02/2025
Time: 19:45
Final 0-0
Derby
Derby
Vs
41%
30%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Oxford
Oxford
England: Championship
Referee: S Martin

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Derby win✗ Miss
40.8%
Avg Implied 43.7% · @ 2.18
Edge
-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
29.6%
Avg Implied 30.6% · @ 3.11
Edge
-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Oxford win✗ Miss
29.7%
Avg Implied 25.7% · @ 3.70
Edge
+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

DerbyDerby

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W01L24L01L11D02L01L12L01L11DH·WES26/12H·LEE29/12A·SHE01/01A·BRI04/01A·LEY14/01H·WAT18/01H·SUN21/01A·CAR25/01H·SHE01/02A·NOR08/02
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.231.291.070.751.38
vs Stronger (5)0.401.400.001.000.671.67
vs Similar (24)1.171.251.501.080.831.42
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %20% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Oxford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

OxfordOxford

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W10W11D13L11D10W32W00D11D01LH·PLY29/12A·MIL01/01A·PRE04/01A·EXE11/01A·PLY14/01H·BLA18/01H·LUT21/01A·STO25/01H·BRI01/02A·BUR04/02
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.471.471.330.531.60
vs Stronger (6)0.332.331.003.000.002.00
vs Similar (24)1.171.251.541.080.731.45
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Derby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%018%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
71.9%
Under 1.5
28.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
44.8%
@ 2.62+8.5%
Under 2.5
55.2%
@ 1.49-8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.5%
Under 3.5
76.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
51.1%
No
48.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.1%
1-0
10.2%
0-0 ✓
9.8%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
8.2%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
5.3%
Derby goals ↓
Oxford goals →
01234
09.8%8.2%5.3%2.0%0.6%
110%14%7.1%2.7%0.7%
27.7%8.6%4.8%1.8%0.5%
33.5%3.9%2.2%0.8%0.2%
41.2%1.3%0.7%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Derby goals (down), columns = Oxford goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Leeds
2.17
Burnley
2.17
Sheffield United
2.00
Sunderland
1.65
Coventry
1.50
Bristol City
1.48
Blackburn
1.43
Millwall
1.43
West Brom
1.39
Middlesbrough
1.39
Swansea
1.33
Sheffield Weds
1.26
Norwich
1.24
Watford
1.24
QPR
1.22
Portsmouth
1.17
Oxford
1.15
Stoke
1.11
Preston
1.09
Derby
1.09
Luton
1.07
Hull
1.07
Plymouth
1.00
Cardiff
0.96
Derby is 0.07 points worse than Oxford in terms of average points per game (1.09 vs 1.15).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Leeds
2.07
Norwich
1.54
Burnley
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.39
Coventry
1.39
Sheffield United
1.37
Sheffield Weds
1.30
Bristol City
1.28
Sunderland
1.26
Portsmouth
1.26
West Brom
1.24
Watford
1.15
QPR
1.15
Blackburn
1.15
Swansea
1.11
Plymouth
1.11
Oxford
1.07
Preston
1.04
Derby
1.04
Cardiff
1.04
Millwall
1.02
Luton
0.98
Stoke
0.98
Hull
0.96
Derby is 0.02 goals worse than Oxford in terms of goals scored per game (1.04 vs 1.07).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Burnley
0.35
Leeds
0.65
Sheffield United
0.78
Sunderland
0.96
West Brom
1.02
Blackburn
1.04
Millwall
1.07
Hull
1.17
Bristol City
1.20
Swansea
1.22
Middlesbrough
1.22
Derby
1.22
Coventry
1.26
Preston
1.28
Watford
1.33
Stoke
1.35
QPR
1.37
Oxford
1.41
Norwich
1.48
Luton
1.50
Sheffield Weds
1.50
Portsmouth
1.54
Cardiff
1.59
Plymouth
1.91
Derby is 0.20 goals better than Oxford in terms of goals conceded per game (1.22 vs 1.41).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Leeds
62%
Norwich
58%
Swansea
58%
Burnley
57%
Middlesbrough
56%
Coventry
55%
West Brom
54%
Watford
53%
Sheffield United
51%
Bristol City
51%
Hull
50%
Blackburn
49%
Sunderland
49%
Preston
48%
Sheffield Weds
48%
Stoke
47%
Cardiff
47%
QPR
47%
Luton
45%
Portsmouth
45%
Derby
43%
Oxford
43%
Millwall
42%
Plymouth
42%
Derby is 0.1 percentage points better than Oxford in terms of average possession (43% vs 43%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

DerbyDerby

For 5.7 · Against 5.0 · Total 10.7

🚩 Corners

150422210584487611429534764151212131511811A·NORH·SHEA·CARH·SUNH·WATA·BRIA·SHEH·LEEH·WESA·LUT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.0

🟨 Cards

40221112111313211111314232443224A·NORH·SHEA·CARH·SUNH·WATA·BRIA·SHEH·LEEH·WESA·LUT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.9 · Against 9.9 · Total 20.8

⚠️ Fouls

2607810121112912111112788149138141215222321221916232126A·NORH·SHEA·CARH·SUNH·WATA·BRIA·SHEH·LEEH·WESA·LUT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

OxfordOxford

For 4.4 · Against 4.7 · Total 9.1

🚩 Corners

1503125355654336244396315810117967153A·BURH·BRIA·STOH·LUTH·BLAA·PLYA·PREA·MILH·PLYH·CAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.2

🟨 Cards

802244433313113312114876426122A·BURH·BRIA·STOH·LUTH·BLAA·PLYA·PREA·MILH·PLYH·CAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 12.2 · Total 23.2

⚠️ Fouls

28011109141014111712101081312111591514721232428221825262421A·BURH·BRIA·STOH·LUTH·BLAA·PLYA·PREA·MILH·PLYH·CAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

DerbyDerby

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.510.410.63.33.23.421.722.820.6
vs Stronger (5)11.811.512.02.22.02.320.422.019.3
vs Similar (35)10.910.910.83.43.23.621.722.221.1
vs Weaker (10)8.28.08.53.63.63.622.624.819.8
% over line64%58%70%54%48%60%55%67%43%
% under line36%42%30%46%52%40%45%33%57%
This opponent (Oxford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

OxfordOxford

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.19.810.43.74.03.422.021.522.5
vs Stronger (7)11.311.511.22.63.52.217.719.017.0
vs Similar (38)10.09.910.03.94.03.823.222.224.4
vs Weaker (5)9.88.012.53.43.73.018.619.018.0
% over line57%50%65%52%56%48%55%54%57%
% under line43%50%35%48%44%52%45%46%43%
This opponent (Derby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Sheffield Weds
11.6
QPR
11.4
Luton
11.3
Coventry
11.2
Stoke
11.1
Sheffield United
10.9
Portsmouth
10.6
West Brom
10.5
Derby
10.5
Leeds
10.5
Millwall
10.5
Swansea
10.3
Hull
10.3
Plymouth
10.3
Middlesbrough
10.3
Bristol City
10.2
Sunderland
10.2
Blackburn
10.1
Norwich
10.0
Oxford
10.0
Watford
10.0
Burnley
9.7
Cardiff
9.5
Preston
9.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Sunderland
4.6
Watford
4.5
Portsmouth
4.4
Luton
4.1
Norwich
4.0
Burnley
4.0
Stoke
4.0
Blackburn
4.0
Preston
3.9
Middlesbrough
3.9
Sheffield Weds
3.9
Swansea
3.9
Oxford
3.8
Leeds
3.8
Hull
3.8
Sheffield United
3.8
Coventry
3.8
QPR
3.7
Cardiff
3.7
Bristol City
3.6
Plymouth
3.6
West Brom
3.6
Millwall
3.6
Derby
3.5

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Luton
25.1
Portsmouth
24.4
Sunderland
24.3
Preston
24.0
Millwall
24.0
Watford
23.8
Leeds
23.8
Sheffield Weds
23.4
Plymouth
23.3
Hull
22.8
Swansea
22.7
Burnley
22.5
Blackburn
22.5
QPR
22.5
Coventry
22.3
Norwich
22.3
Oxford
21.9
Bristol City
21.8
Derby
21.7
Cardiff
21.5
Stoke
21.1
Sheffield United
20.7
Middlesbrough
20.5
West Brom
19.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
57.1%
Under 9.5
42.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
58.3%
Under 3.5
41.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
49.9%
Under 21.5
50.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

DerbyDerby

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-110W00D01L01L11D01L01L00D00D00DH·WES26/12H·LEE29/12A·SHE01/01A·BRI04/01A·LEY14/01H·WAT18/01H·SUN21/01A·CAR25/01H·SHE01/02A·NOR08/02
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.500.570.430.190.56
vs Stronger (5)0.200.800.000.500.331.00
vs Similar (24)0.420.460.670.420.170.50
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Oxford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

OxfordOxford

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D10W12L10W00D12L00D00D01LH·PLY29/12A·MIL01/01A·PRE04/01A·EXE11/01A·PLY14/01H·BLA18/01H·LUT21/01A·STO25/01H·BRI01/02A·BUR04/02
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.630.470.670.330.60
vs Stronger (6)0.171.000.501.500.000.75
vs Similar (24)0.460.540.460.540.450.55
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Derby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Derby over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derby over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derby over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oxford over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oxford over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oxford over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

DerbyDerby

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D01L23L00D00D01L00D12L01L11DH·WES26/12H·LEE29/12A·SHE01/01A·BRI04/01A·LEY14/01H·WAT18/01H·SUN21/01A·CAR25/01H·SHE01/02A·NOR08/02
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.730.710.640.560.81
vs Stronger (5)0.200.600.000.500.330.67
vs Similar (24)0.750.790.830.670.670.92
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Oxford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

OxfordOxford

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W01L01L01L10W20W00D11D00DH·PLY29/12A·MIL01/01A·PRE04/01A·EXE11/01A·PLY14/01H·BLA18/01H·LUT21/01A·STO25/01H·BRI01/02A·BUR04/02
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.831.000.670.201.00
vs Stronger (6)0.171.330.501.500.001.25
vs Similar (24)0.710.711.080.540.270.91
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Derby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Derby over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derby over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derby over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oxford over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oxford over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oxford over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 25.5 fouls79.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards77.4%-------✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards77.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.576.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.571.9%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Derby
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jerry Yates24%
Ebou Adams13%
Lars-Jørgen Salvesen12%
Kayden Jackson8%
Corey Blackett-Taylor8%
David Ozoh8%
Craig Forsyth7%
Marcus Harness7%
Nathaniel Méndez-Laing7%
Curtis Nelson7%
Harrison Armstrong7%
Matthew Clarke6%
Kane Wilson6%
Dajaune Brown6%
Kenzo Goudmijn5%
Eiran Joe Cashin5%
Liam Thompson3%
Nathaniel Phillips3%
Josh Vickers0%
Kemar Roofe0%
Ben Osborn0%
Tom Barkhuizen0%
Ryan Nyambe0%
Callum Elder0%
Sonny Bradley0%
James Collins0%
Joe Ward0%
Jacob Widell Zetterström0%
Tawanda Chirewa0%
Sondre Klingen Langås0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Tawanda Chirewa33%
Callum Elder28%
Marcus Harness27%
Ebou Adams27%
Eiran Joe Cashin23%
Sondre Klingen Langås21%
Liam Thompson20%
Harrison Armstrong20%
Nathaniel Phillips16%
Kayden Jackson12%
Matthew Clarke12%
Joe Ward12%
Nathaniel Méndez-Laing12%
Sonny Bradley11%
Ryan Nyambe11%
Curtis Nelson10%
Craig Forsyth10%
Tom Barkhuizen10%
Kenzo Goudmijn9%
Corey Blackett-Taylor8%
Ben Osborn8%
James Collins5%
Jacob Widell Zetterström5%
Jerry Yates2%
Lars-Jørgen Salvesen0%
Josh Vickers0%
Kane Wilson0%
Kemar Roofe0%
Dajaune Brown0%
David Ozoh0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Callum Elder10%
Craig Forsyth10%
Jerry Yates10%
Marcus Harness7%
Nathaniel Méndez-Laing7%
Nathaniel Phillips6%
Dajaune Brown6%
Kenzo Goudmijn5%
Kayden Jackson4%
Ben Osborn4%
Curtis Nelson3%
Kane Wilson3%
Ebou Adams2%
Lars-Jørgen Salvesen0%
Josh Vickers0%
Kemar Roofe0%
Tom Barkhuizen0%
Ryan Nyambe0%
Sonny Bradley0%
James Collins0%
Matthew Clarke0%
Joe Ward0%
Corey Blackett-Taylor0%
Jacob Widell Zetterström0%
Liam Thompson0%
Eiran Joe Cashin0%
Tawanda Chirewa0%
Sondre Klingen Langås0%
David Ozoh0%
Harrison Armstrong0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ebou Adams13%
Lars-Jørgen Salvesen12%
Jerry Yates10%
Nathaniel Méndez-Laing7%
Dajaune Brown6%
Kenzo Goudmijn5%
Eiran Joe Cashin5%
Kayden Jackson4%
Kane Wilson3%
Craig Forsyth2%
Josh Vickers0%
Kemar Roofe0%
Ben Osborn0%
Tom Barkhuizen0%
Ryan Nyambe0%
Callum Elder0%
Sonny Bradley0%
James Collins0%
Matthew Clarke0%
Joe Ward0%
Marcus Harness0%
Curtis Nelson0%
Corey Blackett-Taylor0%
Jacob Widell Zetterström0%
Nathaniel Phillips0%
Liam Thompson0%
Tawanda Chirewa0%
Sondre Klingen Langås0%
David Ozoh0%
Harrison Armstrong0%
Oxford
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Michał Helik25%
Dane Scarlett19%
Greg Leigh17%
Mark Harris13%
Rúben Rodrigues10%
Ciaron Brown10%
Przemysław Płacheta9%
Tyler Goodrham9%
Stanley Mills9%
Cameron Brannagan9%
Siriki Dembélé8%
Louie Sibley8%
Ole Romeny7%
Benjamin Nelson6%
Hidde ter Avest5%
Sam Long4%
Elliott Moore4%
Matt Phillips3%
Idris El Mizouni3%
Will Vaulks2%
Jamie Cumming0%
Owen Dale0%
Peter Kioso0%
Joe Bennett0%
Kyle Edwards0%
Josh McEachran0%
Jordan Thorniley0%
Matt Ingram0%
Tom Bradshaw0%
Will Goodwin0%
Alex Matos0%
Malcolm Ebiowei0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Cameron Brannagan29%
Elliott Moore26%
Alex Matos25%
Louie Sibley23%
Michał Helik20%
Peter Kioso19%
Stanley Mills18%
Malcolm Ebiowei17%
Ole Romeny14%
Ciaron Brown14%
Tyler Goodrham14%
Przemysław Płacheta12%
Tom Bradshaw9%
Will Vaulks9%
Mark Harris9%
Joe Bennett8%
Siriki Dembélé8%
Sam Long8%
Josh McEachran7%
Matt Phillips7%
Idris El Mizouni7%
Benjamin Nelson6%
Rúben Rodrigues5%
Hidde ter Avest5%
Dane Scarlett5%
Greg Leigh3%
Jamie Cumming2%
Owen Dale0%
Kyle Edwards0%
Jordan Thorniley0%
Matt Ingram0%
Will Goodwin0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kyle Edwards14%
Tyler Goodrham14%
Przemysław Płacheta9%
Cameron Brannagan9%
Siriki Dembélé8%
Louie Sibley8%
Elliott Moore7%
Rúben Rodrigues7%
Josh McEachran7%
Ciaron Brown7%
Matt Phillips7%
Idris El Mizouni7%
Mark Harris6%
Will Vaulks4%
Sam Long4%
Peter Kioso3%
Greg Leigh3%
Jamie Cumming0%
Owen Dale0%
Joe Bennett0%
Jordan Thorniley0%
Matt Ingram0%
Tom Bradshaw0%
Hidde ter Avest0%
Ole Romeny0%
Michał Helik0%
Dane Scarlett0%
Will Goodwin0%
Benjamin Nelson0%
Stanley Mills0%
Alex Matos0%
Malcolm Ebiowei0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Przemysław Płacheta9%
Cameron Brannagan9%
Rúben Rodrigues7%
Ole Romeny7%
Michał Helik5%
Tyler Goodrham5%
Siriki Dembélé4%
Ciaron Brown2%
Mark Harris2%
Jamie Cumming0%
Elliott Moore0%
Owen Dale0%
Peter Kioso0%
Joe Bennett0%
Kyle Edwards0%
Matt Phillips0%
Josh McEachran0%
Jordan Thorniley0%
Matt Ingram0%
Tom Bradshaw0%
Will Vaulks0%
Idris El Mizouni0%
Sam Long0%
Hidde ter Avest0%
Greg Leigh0%
Louie Sibley0%
Dane Scarlett0%
Will Goodwin0%
Benjamin Nelson0%
Stanley Mills0%
Alex Matos0%
Malcolm Ebiowei0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
COV (27)
€237m
MID (29)
€142m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
QPR (28)
€71m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CAR (25)
€29m
LUT (26)
€29m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
PLY (25)
€13m
Derby's squad is €37m more valuable than Oxford's (€57m vs €20m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
COV (8)
€85m
MID (12)
€74m
BUR (14)
€70m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
HUL (7)
€22m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
LUT (10)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
PLY (8)
€4m
Derby's attack is €19m more valuable than Oxford's (€25m vs €6m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (6)
€110m
LEE (5)
€98m
COV (6)
€52m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BUR (3)
€8m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
LUT (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
PRE (3)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
Derby's midfield is €8m more valuable than Oxford's (€14m vs €6m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (11)
€163m
SUN (15)
€125m
COV (13)
€99m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
BUR (11)
€37m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
LUT (10)
€12m
CAR (10)
€10m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
PLY (11)
€6m
Derby's defence is €10m more valuable than Oxford's (€18m vs €8m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
3
DER wins
1
Draws
1
OXF wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Derby vs Oxford · H/A from DER
DateH/AGameScore
22/10/24AOxford Vs DER1-1
29/12/23AOxford Vs DER2-3
15/08/23HDER Vs Oxford1-2
11/03/23AOxford Vs DER2-3
30/07/22HDER Vs Oxford1-0

DerbyDerby

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/02/25ANorwich Vs DER1-1
01/02/25HDER Vs Sheffield United0-1
25/01/25ACardiff Vs DER2-1
21/01/25HDER Vs Sunderland0-1
18/01/25HDER Vs Watford0-2
14/01/25ALeyton Orient Vs DER1-1
04/01/25ABristol City Vs DER1-0
01/01/25ASheffield Weds Vs DER4-2
29/12/24HDER Vs Leeds0-1
26/12/24HDER Vs West Brom2-1

OxfordOxford

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/02/25ABurnley Vs OXF1-0
01/02/25HOXF Vs Bristol City1-1
25/01/25AStoke Vs OXF0-0
21/01/25HOXF Vs Luton3-2
18/01/25HOXF Vs Blackburn1-0
14/01/25APlymouth Vs OXF1-1
11/01/25AExeter Vs OXF3-1
04/01/25APreston Vs OXF1-1
01/01/25AMillwall Vs OXF0-1
29/12/24HOXF Vs Plymouth2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Derby
Derby
England: Championship
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLD1.32
HomeWLLLL1.80
AwayLLDLD0.84
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%56%16%
AVG goals2.282.242.32
Over 1.5 %70%68%72%
Over 2.5 %44%44%44%
Over 3.5 %10%8%12%
Scored1.221.441.00
Conceded1.060.801.32
BTTS48%40%56%
Clean Sheet34%44%24%
Corners10.4710.3810.57
Cards3.533.333.74
Oxford
Oxford
England: Championship
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDDL1.32
HomeWWWWD1.84
AwayDLDDL0.80
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%52%16%
AVG goals2.702.962.44
Over 1.5 %78%80%76%
Over 2.5 %46%48%44%
Over 3.5 %30%36%24%
Scored1.341.800.88
Conceded1.361.161.56
BTTS54%60%48%
Clean Sheet28%36%20%
Corners10.139.8310.43
Cards3.914.123.70

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LeedsLeeds46100
63%
2.2
9530+65
2.7
78%
46%
28%
10.1
59%
3.4
39%
22.5
61%
427
166981632.10.7
62%
2BurnleyBurnley46100
61%
2.2
6916+53
1.8
54%
33%
15%
9.1
43%
3.9
59%
23.4
63%
115
708371.50.3
57%
3Sheffield UnitedSheffield United4692
61%
2.0
6336+27
2.2
70%
35%
13%
10.6
63%
4.1
59%
22.4
57%
110
2932491.40.8
51%
4SunderlandSunderland4676
46%
1.7
5844+14
2.2
61%
43%
22%
9.7
46%
4.5
67%
23.5
65%
392
1571101251.31.0
49%
5CoventryCoventry4669
43%
1.5
6458+6
2.7
80%
52%
24%
11.6
70%
3.7
48%
21.3
43%
237
8552991.41.3
55%
6Bristol CityBristol City4668
37%
1.5
5955+4
2.5
80%
46%
20%
9.6
46%
3.7
54%
21.3
52%
66
2919181.31.2
51%
7BlackburnBlackburn4666
41%
1.4
5348+5
2.2
65%
39%
13%
9.9
61%
4.0
52%
24.1
72%
36
157141.21.0
49%
8MillwallMillwall4666
39%
1.4
4749-2
2.1
50%
30%
20%
10.3
63%
3.0
41%
24.6
72%
85
3029251.01.1
42%
9West BromWest Brom4664
33%
1.4
5747+10
2.3
72%
37%
17%
10.3
52%
3.8
52%
21.7
57%
52
1522151.21.0
54%
10MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough4664
39%
1.4
6456+8
2.6
65%
46%
26%
10.1
59%
3.7
52%
21.5
57%
142
7427411.41.2
56%
11SwanseaSwansea4661
37%
1.3
5156-5
2.3
59%
46%
17%
9.5
43%
3.6
59%
23.6
65%
91
569261.11.2
58%
12Sheffield WedsSheffield Weds4658
33%
1.3
6069-9
2.8
83%
52%
28%
11.1
67%
3.8
43%
23.8
67%
21
7681.31.5
48%
13NorwichNorwich4657
30%
1.2
7168+3
3.0
80%
52%
33%
10.0
54%
4.0
59%
22.7
57%
107
4631291.51.5
58%
14WatfordWatford4657
35%
1.2
5361-8
2.5
70%
57%
15%
10.2
57%
4.6
67%
23.1
63%
88
2838221.21.3
53%
15QPRQPR4656
30%
1.2
5363-10
2.5
83%
52%
22%
10.7
54%
3.8
54%
23.1
63%
71
2915271.21.4
47%
16PortsmouthPortsmouth4654
30%
1.2
5871-13
2.8
74%
61%
28%
11.1
63%
4.2
67%
24.0
63%
32
135141.31.5
45%
17OxfordOxford4653
28%
1.2
4965-16
2.5
72%
37%
24%
10.3
52%
3.7
54%
21.1
43%
20
6681.11.4
43%
18StokeStoke4651
26%
1.1
4562-17
2.3
70%
37%
24%
10.2
52%
4.0
65%
21.3
50%
79
3511321.01.3
47%
19DerbyDerby4650
28%
1.1
4856-8
2.3
65%
39%
17%
10.2
54%
3.4
46%
21.3
50%
57
2514181.01.2
43%
20PrestonPreston4650
22%
1.1
4859-11
2.3
74%
48%
22%
9.5
50%
4.0
59%
24.3
76%
43
173221.01.3
48%
21HullHull4649
26%
1.1
4454-10
2.1
65%
30%
13%
10.4
63%
3.5
46%
22.3
52%
105
2231521.01.2
50%
22LutonLuton4649
28%
1.1
4569-24
2.5
65%
43%
22%
10.8
65%
4.1
59%
24.3
72%
29
134121.01.5
45%
23PlymouthPlymouth4646
24%
1.0
5188-37
3.0
83%
61%
35%
9.5
41%
3.5
48%
23.0
67%
13
4361.11.9
42%
24CardiffCardiff4644
20%
1.0
4873-25
2.6
83%
43%
24%
9.7
48%
3.7
50%
22.9
65%
29
154101.01.6
47%
England: Championship 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →

← all matches