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Derby vs Stoke Result & Analysis

Date: 18/09/2021
Time: 15:00
Final 2-1
Derby
Derby
Vs
27%
37%
36%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Stoke
Stoke
England: Championship
Referee: J Simpson

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Derby win✓ Hit
27.1%
Avg Implied 26.1% · @ 3.65
Edge
+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
36.9%
Avg Implied 30.8% · @ 3.09
Edge
+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Stoke win✗ Miss
36.0%
Avg Implied 43.1% · @ 2.21
Edge
-7.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

DerbyDerby

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L12L33D11D12L10W00D11D02L00DH·BIR24/04A·SWA01/05H·SHE08/05H·HUD07/08A·PET14/08A·HUL18/08H·MID21/08H·NOT28/08A·BIR10/09A·WES14/09
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.871.301.210.930.561.62
vs Stronger (5)1.001.001.251.000.001.00
vs Similar (23)0.871.221.200.900.621.46
vs Weaker (2)0.503.00--0.503.00
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StokeStoke

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D02L20W32W00D31W10W03L21W11DA·NOT24/04H·QPR01/05A·BOU08/05H·REA07/08A·BIR14/08A·SWA17/08H·NOT21/08A·FUL28/08H·HUD11/09H·BAR15/09
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.271.271.001.001.53
vs Stronger (6)1.171.501.501.501.001.50
vs Similar (21)1.001.141.180.910.801.40
vs Weaker (3)2.001.671.501.003.003.00
Clean sheet %37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Derby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%22%29%20%029%128%215%36%42%51%6+
The model estimates around 1.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 1 (29%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
50.9%
Under 1.5
49.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
23.3%
@ 2.52-14.3%
Under 2.5
76.7%
@ 1.52+14.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
8.8%
Under 3.5
91.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
32.9%
No
67.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
20.2%
0-1
16.0%
1-1
14.3%
1-0
13.0%
0-2
7.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-0
5.4%
2-1 ✓
4.9%
Derby goals ↓
Stoke goals →
01234
020%16%7.9%2.4%0.5%
113%14%5.9%1.8%0.4%
25.4%4.9%2.2%0.7%0.2%
31.3%1.2%0.6%0.2%0.0%
40.3%0.2%0.1%0.0%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Derby goals (down), columns = Stoke goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Fulham
1.96
Bournemouth
1.91
Huddersfield
1.78
Nottingham Forest
1.74
Luton
1.63
Sheffield United
1.63
Middlesbrough
1.52
Blackburn
1.50
Millwall
1.50
West Brom
1.46
QPR
1.43
Coventry
1.39
Preston
1.39
Stoke
1.35
Swansea
1.33
Blackpool
1.30
Bristol City
1.20
Derby
1.20
Cardiff
1.15
Hull
1.11
Reading
1.02
Birmingham
1.02
Peterboro
0.80
Barnsley
0.65
Derby is 0.15 points worse than Stoke in terms of average points per game (1.20 vs 1.35).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Fulham
2.30
Bournemouth
1.61
Nottingham Forest
1.59
Huddersfield
1.39
Luton
1.37
Sheffield United
1.37
Bristol City
1.35
Coventry
1.30
QPR
1.30
Middlesbrough
1.28
Blackburn
1.28
Swansea
1.26
Stoke
1.24
Reading
1.17
Blackpool
1.17
Millwall
1.15
Preston
1.13
West Brom
1.13
Birmingham
1.09
Cardiff
1.09
Derby
0.98
Peterboro
0.93
Hull
0.89
Barnsley
0.72
Derby is 0.26 goals worse than Stoke in terms of goals scored per game (0.98 vs 1.24).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Bournemouth
0.85
Nottingham Forest
0.87
Fulham
0.93
Millwall
0.98
West Brom
0.98
Sheffield United
0.98
Huddersfield
1.02
Middlesbrough
1.09
Blackburn
1.09
Stoke
1.13
Derby
1.15
Hull
1.17
Luton
1.20
Preston
1.22
Blackpool
1.26
Coventry
1.28
QPR
1.28
Swansea
1.48
Cardiff
1.48
Barnsley
1.59
Birmingham
1.63
Bristol City
1.67
Reading
1.89
Peterboro
1.89
Derby is 0.02 goals worse than Stoke in terms of goals conceded per game (1.15 vs 1.13).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Swansea
64%
Fulham
61%
Sheffield United
57%
Bournemouth
57%
QPR
54%
Coventry
53%
Stoke
52%
West Brom
52%
Derby
51%
Nottingham Forest
50%
Preston
50%
Middlesbrough
49%
Huddersfield
48%
Peterboro
48%
Reading
48%
Millwall
46%
Hull
46%
Blackpool
46%
Cardiff
45%
Barnsley
45%
Blackburn
45%
Bristol City
45%
Luton
44%
Birmingham
44%
Derby is 1.2 percentage points worse than Stoke in terms of average possession (51% vs 52%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

DerbyDerby

For 4.5 · Against 4.4 · Total 8.9

🚩 Corners

16045228473355246610643941210871016103A·WESA·BIRH·NOTH·MIDA·HULA·PETH·HUDH·SHEA·SWAH·BIR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.1

🟨 Cards

601132412431243223122556465530A·WESA·BIRH·NOTH·MIDA·HULA·PETH·HUDH·SHEA·SWAH·BIR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.6 · Against 11.9 · Total 23.5

⚠️ Fouls

35010861967157117139171510131512132218251322182232232735A·WESA·BIRH·NOTH·MIDA·HULA·PETH·HUDH·SHEA·SWAH·BIR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

StokeStoke

For 6.3 · Against 5.0 · Total 11.3

🚩 Corners

1601243578625567693691631681581013159109H·BARH·HUDA·FULH·NOTA·SWAA·BIRH·REAA·BOUH·QPRA·NOT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.2

🟨 Cards

70252312222121212117514232332H·BARH·HUDA·FULH·NOTA·SWAA·BIRH·REAA·BOUH·QPRA·NOT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.2 · Against 8.7 · Total 20.9

⚠️ Fouls

31012121689786146871671714111311724241614201523312418H·BARH·HUDA·FULH·NOTA·SWAA·BIRH·REAA·BOUH·QPRA·NOT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

DerbyDerby

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.58.28.83.13.03.224.224.623.7
vs Stronger (9)9.38.410.52.92.43.522.921.424.8
vs Similar (38)8.38.18.53.23.23.124.325.323.4
vs Weaker (3)8.39.08.03.33.03.526.028.025.0
% over line34%33%35%42%42%42%72%75%69%
% under line66%67%65%58%58%58%28%25%31%
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StokeStoke

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.68.810.43.03.22.924.125.023.1
vs Stronger (10)8.77.210.22.63.02.223.222.224.2
vs Similar (35)9.68.910.43.33.33.224.325.722.8
vs Weaker (5)11.011.310.52.42.72.024.225.023.0
% over line48%38%58%34%35%33%72%85%58%
% under line52%62%42%66%65%67%28%15%42%
This opponent (Derby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
West Brom
10.8
Sheffield United
10.7
Luton
10.2
QPR
10.2
Swansea
9.9
Nottingham Forest
9.8
Middlesbrough
9.8
Blackpool
9.6
Stoke
9.6
Hull
9.5
Fulham
9.5
Huddersfield
9.4
Bournemouth
9.4
Cardiff
9.3
Peterboro
9.3
Blackburn
9.0
Barnsley
9.0
Bristol City
8.9
Reading
8.9
Preston
8.9
Coventry
8.8
Millwall
8.7
Derby
8.5
Birmingham
8.4

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Bournemouth
3.5
Peterboro
3.5
Coventry
3.5
Blackburn
3.4
Huddersfield
3.3
Middlesbrough
3.3
Swansea
3.2
Nottingham Forest
3.2
Reading
3.2
Blackpool
3.1
Derby
3.1
Barnsley
3.1
Fulham
3.0
Stoke
3.0
QPR
3.0
Millwall
3.0
Sheffield United
3.0
Hull
3.0
Cardiff
2.9
Luton
2.9
West Brom
2.8
Birmingham
2.8
Bristol City
2.7
Preston
2.6

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Peterboro
26.2
Coventry
26.0
Reading
25.9
Middlesbrough
25.8
Cardiff
25.6
Bournemouth
25.6
Blackpool
25.1
Hull
25.0
Nottingham Forest
24.9
Swansea
24.7
Luton
24.5
Birmingham
24.4
Derby
24.2
Stoke
24.1
Millwall
24.0
Blackburn
23.8
Huddersfield
23.6
Bristol City
23.3
Barnsley
23.1
Preston
22.6
Fulham
22.6
QPR
22.4
West Brom
21.9
Sheffield United
19.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
31.0%
Under 9.5
69.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
43.8%
Under 3.5
56.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
66.9%
Under 21.5
33.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

DerbyDerby

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-110W00D01L11D00D00D00D10W01L00DH·BIR24/04A·SWA01/05H·SHE08/05H·HUD07/08A·PET14/08A·HUL18/08H·MID21/08H·NOT28/08A·BIR10/09A·WES14/09
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.530.640.570.120.50
vs Stronger (5)0.400.800.500.750.001.00
vs Similar (23)0.390.480.700.500.150.46
vs Weaker (2)0.000.50--0.000.50
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StokeStoke

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L10W21W00D10W00D01L00D11DA·NOT24/04H·QPR01/05A·BOU08/05H·REA07/08A·BIR14/08A·SWA17/08H·NOT21/08A·FUL28/08H·HUD11/09H·BAR15/09
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.500.400.400.530.60
vs Stronger (6)0.500.330.000.500.750.25
vs Similar (21)0.380.520.360.360.400.70
vs Weaker (3)1.000.671.000.501.001.00
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Derby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Derby over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derby over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derby over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

DerbyDerby

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L12L32W00D12L10W00D01L01L00DH·BIR24/04A·SWA01/05H·SHE08/05H·HUD07/08A·PET14/08A·HUL18/08H·MID21/08H·NOT28/08A·BIR10/09A·WES14/09
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.770.570.360.441.12
vs Stronger (5)0.600.200.750.250.000.00
vs Similar (23)0.480.740.500.400.461.00
vs Weaker (2)0.502.50--0.502.50
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StokeStoke

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L10W11D00D21W10W02L21W00DA·NOT24/04H·QPR01/05A·BOU08/05H·REA07/08A·BIR14/08A·SWA17/08H·NOT21/08A·FUL28/08H·HUD11/09H·BAR15/09
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.770.870.600.470.93
vs Stronger (6)0.671.171.501.000.251.25
vs Similar (21)0.620.620.820.550.400.70
vs Weaker (3)1.001.000.500.502.002.00
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Derby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Derby over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derby over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derby over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.591.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards87.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners87.2%-------✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls80.7%-------✗ Miss
Under 10.5 corners79.4%-------✗ Miss
Under 2.576.7%1.52-----+14.3%✗ Miss
Under 4.5 cards74.7%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Derby · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
S. Szmodics75%
Carlton Morris33%
L. Salvesen20%
Bobby Clark20%
Rhian Brewster0%
C. Taylor0%
Craig Forsyth0%
Lewis Travis0%
A. Mowatt0%
Ryan Hedges0%
J. Ward0%
Corey Blackett-Taylor0%
J. Widell Zetterström0%
D. Sanderson0%
Filip Bilbija0%
Oscar Fraulo0%
Sondre Langås0%
M. Johnston0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lewis Travis75%
Sondre Langås60%
D. Sanderson40%
Rhian Brewster25%
A. Mowatt25%
Corey Blackett-Taylor25%
Oscar Fraulo25%
C. Taylor20%
M. Johnston20%
L. Salvesen0%
S. Szmodics0%
Carlton Morris0%
Craig Forsyth0%
Ryan Hedges0%
J. Ward0%
J. Widell Zetterström0%
Filip Bilbija0%
Bobby Clark0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bobby Clark40%
Carlton Morris33%
Oscar Fraulo25%
Rhian Brewster0%
L. Salvesen0%
S. Szmodics0%
C. Taylor0%
Craig Forsyth0%
Lewis Travis0%
A. Mowatt0%
Ryan Hedges0%
J. Ward0%
Corey Blackett-Taylor0%
J. Widell Zetterström0%
D. Sanderson0%
Filip Bilbija0%
Sondre Langås0%
M. Johnston0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
S. Szmodics25%
Corey Blackett-Taylor25%
L. Salvesen20%
Bobby Clark20%
Rhian Brewster0%
C. Taylor0%
Carlton Morris0%
Craig Forsyth0%
Lewis Travis0%
A. Mowatt0%
Ryan Hedges0%
J. Ward0%
J. Widell Zetterström0%
D. Sanderson0%
Filip Bilbija0%
Oscar Fraulo0%
Sondre Langås0%
M. Johnston0%
Stoke · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Róbert Boženík33%
Ethan Galbraith33%
Eric Bocat20%
S. Gallagher17%
G. Hirst0%
Sorba Thomas0%
B. Johnson0%
B. Wilmot0%
Svante Ingelsson0%
Maksym Talovierov0%
V. Johansson0%
M. Manhoef0%
T. Rigo0%
Bosun Lawal0%
Luke Graham0%
Jun-Ho Bae0%
El Hadji Djibril Soumaré0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Bosun Lawal50%
Jun-Ho Bae40%
S. Gallagher33%
Svante Ingelsson33%
Maksym Talovierov33%
Ethan Galbraith33%
G. Hirst25%
Luke Graham25%
Sorba Thomas20%
B. Johnson0%
B. Wilmot0%
Róbert Boženík0%
V. Johansson0%
Eric Bocat0%
M. Manhoef0%
T. Rigo0%
El Hadji Djibril Soumaré0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
T. Rigo25%
Sorba Thomas20%
Jun-Ho Bae20%
S. Gallagher17%
G. Hirst0%
B. Johnson0%
B. Wilmot0%
Svante Ingelsson0%
Róbert Boženík0%
Maksym Talovierov0%
Ethan Galbraith0%
V. Johansson0%
Eric Bocat0%
M. Manhoef0%
Bosun Lawal0%
Luke Graham0%
El Hadji Djibril Soumaré0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
S. Gallagher33%
T. Rigo25%
G. Hirst0%
Sorba Thomas0%
B. Johnson0%
B. Wilmot0%
Svante Ingelsson0%
Róbert Boženík0%
Maksym Talovierov0%
Ethan Galbraith0%
V. Johansson0%
Eric Bocat0%
M. Manhoef0%
Bosun Lawal0%
Luke Graham0%
Jun-Ho Bae0%
El Hadji Djibril Soumaré0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOU (31)
€573m
NFO (28)
€551m
FUL (21)
€329m
COV (27)
€237m
MID (29)
€142m
SHU (27)
€110m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
QPR (28)
€71m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
CAR (25)
€29m
LUT (26)
€29m
HUD (26)
€16m
BLA (22)
€11m
REA (20)
€10m
BAR (21)
€8m
PET (23)
€7m
Derby's squad is €22m less valuable than Stoke's (€57m vs €79m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
FUL (9)
€178m
COV (8)
€85m
MID (12)
€74m
SWA (13)
€56m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
DER (8)
€25m
HUL (7)
€22m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
LUT (10)
€13m
BLA (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
REA (6)
€3m
PET (8)
€3m
BAR (5)
€2m
Derby's attack is €11m less valuable than Stoke's (€25m vs €35m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOU (6)
€106m
COV (6)
€52m
NFO (4)
€52m
SHU (5)
€32m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
FUL (3)
€28m
MID (5)
€27m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BLB (7)
€7m
LUT (6)
€4m
HUD (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
PRE (3)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
BAR (7)
€3m
BLA (5)
€3m
PET (5)
€1m
Derby's midfield is €2m more valuable than Stoke's (€14m vs €11m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NFO (15)
€236m
BOU (14)
€182m
FUL (9)
€123m
COV (13)
€99m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
BLB (12)
€14m
LUT (10)
€12m
CAR (10)
€10m
HUD (13)
€8m
BLA (9)
€4m
REA (9)
€4m
BAR (9)
€3m
PET (10)
€3m
Derby's defence is €14m less valuable than Stoke's (€18m vs €32m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
DER wins
1
Draws
1
STK wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Derby vs Stoke · H/A from DER
DateH/AGameScore
20/03/21AStoke Vs DER1-0
12/12/20HDER Vs Stoke0-0

DerbyDerby

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/09/21AWest Brom Vs DER0-0
10/09/21ABirmingham Vs DER2-0
28/08/21HDER Vs Nottingham Forest1-1
21/08/21HDER Vs Middlesbrough0-0
18/08/21AHull Vs DER0-1
14/08/21APeterboro Vs DER2-1
07/08/21HDER Vs Huddersfield1-1
08/05/21HDER Vs Sheffield Weds3-3
01/05/21ASwansea Vs DER2-1
24/04/21HDER Vs Birmingham1-2

StokeStoke

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/09/21HSTK Vs Barnsley1-1
11/09/21HSTK Vs Huddersfield2-1
28/08/21AFulham Vs STK3-0
21/08/21HSTK Vs Nottingham Forest1-0
17/08/21ASwansea Vs STK1-3
14/08/21ABirmingham Vs STK0-0
07/08/21HSTK Vs Reading3-2
08/05/21ABournemouth Vs STK0-2
01/05/21HSTK Vs QPR0-2
24/04/21ANottingham Forest Vs STK1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Derby
Derby
England: Championship
Recent: 1 Wins / 5 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDLD1.02
HomeLDDDD1.17
AwayLLWLD0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%25%23%
AVG goals1.901.831.96
Over 1.5 %56%58%54%
Over 2.5 %30%17%42%
Over 3.5 %10%8%12%
Scored0.780.920.65
Conceded1.120.921.31
BTTS36%42%31%
Clean Sheet30%29%31%
Corners8.508.218.77
Cards3.123.043.19
Stoke
Stoke
England: Championship
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLWD1.40
HomeLWWWD1.62
AwayDWDWL1.17
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%46%25%
AVG goals2.342.542.12
Over 1.5 %68%65%71%
Over 2.5 %40%46%33%
Over 3.5 %20%23%17%
Scored1.181.380.96
Conceded1.161.151.17
BTTS44%54%33%
Clean Sheet42%38%46%
Corners9.588.8510.38
Cards3.043.152.92

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FulhamFulham4690
59%
2.0
10643+63
3.2
80%
54%
35%
10.4
57%
3.9
50%
21.1
43%
329
178281232.30.9
61%
2BournemouthBournemouth4688
54%
1.9
7439+35
2.5
74%
50%
20%
10.1
61%
4.2
59%
21.8
50%
573
2851061821.60.8
57%
3HuddersfieldHuddersfield4682
50%
1.8
6447+17
2.4
74%
43%
17%
9.4
46%
3.6
50%
19.5
30%
16
4481.41.0
48%
4Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest4680
50%
1.7
7340+33
2.5
78%
46%
20%
9.9
54%
4.7
72%
23.2
59%
551
263522361.60.9
50%
5Sheffield UnitedSheffield United4675
46%
1.6
6345+18
2.3
63%
41%
28%
9.8
50%
3.7
50%
20.6
48%
110
2932491.41.0
57%
6LutonLuton4675
46%
1.6
6355+8
2.6
72%
48%
26%
9.5
52%
3.9
52%
22.9
50%
29
134121.41.2
44%
7MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough4670
43%
1.5
5950+9
2.4
76%
39%
20%
10.3
61%
4.6
67%
23.0
67%
142
7427411.31.1
49%
8BlackburnBlackburn4669
41%
1.5
5950+9
2.4
65%
43%
24%
9.3
54%
4.5
65%
22.0
57%
36
157141.31.1
45%
9MillwallMillwall4669
39%
1.5
5345+8
2.1
67%
37%
13%
10.4
59%
3.3
39%
21.1
48%
85
3029251.21.0
46%
10West BromWest Brom4667
39%
1.5
5245+7
2.1
63%
39%
20%
9.8
54%
3.5
50%
21.1
46%
52
1522151.11.0
52%
11QPRQPR4666
41%
1.4
6059+1
2.6
74%
52%
24%
10.0
50%
3.5
46%
21.6
43%
71
2915271.31.3
54%
12CoventryCoventry4664
37%
1.4
6059+1
2.6
74%
48%
26%
10.6
63%
3.8
52%
21.1
43%
237
8552991.31.3
53%
13PrestonPreston4664
35%
1.4
5256-4
2.3
67%
48%
24%
9.9
54%
3.7
54%
21.7
43%
43
173221.11.2
50%
14StokeStoke4662
37%
1.3
5752+5
2.4
67%
46%
20%
10.2
54%
3.8
54%
20.5
39%
79
3511321.21.1
52%
15SwanseaSwansea4661
35%
1.3
5868-10
2.7
67%
52%
35%
8.9
48%
3.9
48%
21.7
43%
91
569261.31.5
64%
16BlackpoolBlackpool4660
35%
1.3
5458-4
2.4
70%
41%
20%
8.9
41%
3.6
50%
21.5
48%
11
4341.21.3
46%
17DerbyDerby4655
30%
1.2
4553-8
2.1
63%
39%
17%
9.3
50%
4.1
59%
21.1
37%
57
2514181.01.2
51%
18Bristol CityBristol City4655
33%
1.2
6277-15
3.0
85%
61%
33%
10.1
52%
3.4
46%
20.6
41%
66
2919181.31.7
45%
19CardiffCardiff4653
33%
1.2
5068-18
2.6
72%
52%
22%
9.5
37%
3.8
52%
20.3
41%
29
154101.11.5
45%
20HullHull4651
30%
1.1
4154-13
2.1
67%
30%
13%
9.7
59%
3.3
43%
20.7
35%
105
2231520.91.2
46%
21BirminghamBirmingham4647
24%
1.0
5075-25
2.7
78%
54%
28%
9.7
52%
3.2
46%
21.4
50%
93
4612351.11.6
44%
22ReadingReading4647
28%
1.0
5487-33
3.1
74%
59%
35%
9.0
41%
3.8
52%
22.3
52%
10
3341.21.9
48%
23PeterboroPeterboro4637
20%
0.8
4387-44
2.8
80%
61%
30%
9.7
50%
3.5
43%
22.4
52%
7
3130.91.9
48%
24BarnsleyBarnsley4630
13%
0.7
3373-40
2.3
74%
37%
17%
9.8
52%
3.2
39%
21.1
46%
8
2330.71.6
45%
England: Championship 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →

← all matches