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Derby vs Stoke Result & Analysis

Date: 06/04/2026
Time: 15:00
Final 2-0
Derby
Derby
Vs
45%
29%
26%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Stoke
Stoke
England: Championship
Referee: E Bell

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Derby win✓ Hit
44.9%
Avg Implied 54.8% · @ 1.71
Edge
-9.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.1%
Avg Implied 24.9% · @ 3.77
Edge
+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Stoke win✗ Miss
26.1%
Avg Implied 20.3% · @ 4.61
Edge
+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

DerbyDerby

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L20W02L24L31W21W01L10W10W23LH·IPS07/02H·SWA14/02A·WAT21/02A·HUL24/02H·BLA28/02H·SHE07/03A·MIL10/03A·POR16/03H·BIR21/03A·COV03/04
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.571.271.401.271.731.27
vs Stronger (4)1.252.501.002.332.003.00
vs Similar (26)1.621.081.501.001.711.14
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StokeStoke

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L12L22D21W12L02L33D31W13L20WA·CHA11/02H·FUL15/02H·LEI21/02H·OXF25/02A·COV28/02A·SWA07/03H·IPS10/03H·WAT14/03A·PRE20/03H·SHE03/04
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.231.591.180.771.31
vs Stronger (6)1.001.501.251.500.501.50
vs Similar (24)1.291.171.691.080.821.27
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Derby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%018%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.9%
Under 1.5
28.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
44.8%
@ 1.81-6.6%
Under 2.5
55.2%
@ 1.92+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.6%
Under 3.5
76.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
50.4%
No
49.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.8%
1-0
10.9%
0-0
9.7%
2-1
9.0%
2-0 ✓
8.7%
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
4.7%
Derby goals ↓
Stoke goals →
01234
09.7%7.5%4.5%1.6%0.4%
111%14%6.5%2.3%0.6%
28.7%9.0%4.7%1.6%0.4%
34.1%4.3%2.2%0.8%0.2%
41.5%1.5%0.8%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Derby goals (down), columns = Stoke goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Coventry
2.07
Ipswich
1.83
Millwall
1.75
Southampton
1.71
Middlesbrough
1.67
Hull
1.63
Wrexham
1.54
Derby
1.50
Norwich
1.41
Swansea
1.39
Birmingham
1.39
Bristol City
1.35
Preston
1.30
Sheffield United
1.30
QPR
1.26
Watford
1.24
Portsmouth
1.20
Stoke
1.20
Charlton
1.15
West Brom
1.15
Leicester
1.13
Blackburn
1.13
Oxford
1.02
Sheffield Weds
0.39
Derby is 0.30 points better than Stoke in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 1.20).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Coventry
2.11
Ipswich
1.74
Southampton
1.73
Wrexham
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.49
Hull
1.49
Derby
1.46
Sheffield United
1.43
Norwich
1.37
Millwall
1.33
QPR
1.33
Bristol City
1.28
Leicester
1.26
Swansea
1.24
Birmingham
1.24
Preston
1.20
Watford
1.15
Stoke
1.11
Portsmouth
1.07
West Brom
1.04
Oxford
0.98
Charlton
0.96
Blackburn
0.91
Sheffield Weds
0.63
Derby is 0.35 goals better than Stoke in terms of goals scored per game (1.46 vs 1.11).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Coventry
0.98
Middlesbrough
1.00
Ipswich
1.02
Millwall
1.06
Southampton
1.19
Norwich
1.22
Birmingham
1.22
Blackburn
1.22
Stoke
1.22
Charlton
1.26
West Brom
1.26
Oxford
1.28
Swansea
1.28
Bristol City
1.28
Derby
1.28
Hull
1.35
Preston
1.35
Portsmouth
1.39
Watford
1.41
Wrexham
1.41
Sheffield United
1.43
Leicester
1.48
QPR
1.59
Sheffield Weds
1.93
Derby is 0.07 goals worse than Stoke in terms of goals conceded per game (1.28 vs 1.22).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Middlesbrough
59%
Southampton
56%
Ipswich
56%
Coventry
55%
Swansea
55%
Birmingham
54%
Norwich
54%
Sheffield United
52%
Leicester
52%
Stoke
52%
West Brom
52%
Watford
51%
Portsmouth
50%
Bristol City
49%
Wrexham
48%
Blackburn
48%
Millwall
48%
QPR
46%
Preston
46%
Hull
45%
Sheffield Weds
45%
Derby
44%
Charlton
42%
Oxford
40%
Derby is 7.5 percentage points worse than Stoke in terms of average possession (44% vs 52%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

DerbyDerby

For 3.5 · Against 4.8 · Total 8.3

🚩 Corners

1402662311266223372262378814885104810A·COVH·BIRA·PORA·MILH·SHEH·BLAA·HULA·WATH·SWAH·IPS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.5

🟨 Cards

802146231134222222242583274446A·COVH·BIRA·PORA·MILH·SHEH·BLAA·HULA·WATH·SWAH·IPS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.9 · Against 13.2 · Total 25.1

⚠️ Fouls

32015121216131413771110149191113201291427282720182428243223A·COVH·BIRA·PORA·MILH·SHEH·BLAA·HULA·WATH·SWAH·IPS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

StokeStoke

For 5.4 · Against 7.3 · Total 12.7

🚩 Corners

1807297675951317877411156916131418815111211H·SHEA·PREH·WATH·IPSA·SWAA·COVH·OXFH·LEIH·FULA·CHA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.0

🟨 Cards

7021124245211212112423364723336H·SHEA·PREH·WATH·IPSA·SWAA·COVH·OXFH·LEIH·FULA·CHA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.2 · Against 9.0 · Total 18.2

⚠️ Fouls

27016117121113131412767115565106527192427191316111511H·SHEA·PREH·WATH·IPSA·SWAA·COVH·OXFH·LEIH·FULA·CHA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

DerbyDerby

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.810.29.54.03.84.222.521.723.2
vs Stronger (7)9.911.28.05.04.55.724.122.226.7
vs Similar (43)9.89.99.73.83.74.022.221.622.7
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line46%50%42%50%54%46%58%54%62%
% under line54%50%58%50%46%54%42%46%38%
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StokeStoke

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.510.610.53.94.03.920.922.419.2
vs Stronger (8)9.511.07.03.14.01.719.521.017.0
vs Similar (41)10.810.511.04.14.04.221.222.819.6
vs Weaker (1)10.010.0-3.03.0-21.021.0-
% over line62%67%57%46%48%43%44%56%30%
% under line38%33%43%54%52%57%56%44%70%
This opponent (Derby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Sheffield United
11.6
Millwall
10.9
Oxford
10.9
Southampton
10.9
Middlesbrough
10.8
Norwich
10.7
Portsmouth
10.7
Preston
10.6
Blackburn
10.6
Stoke
10.5
Hull
10.4
Leicester
10.4
Sheffield Weds
10.2
Wrexham
10.2
Coventry
10.2
Ipswich
10.1
QPR
10.1
Birmingham
9.9
Watford
9.8
Derby
9.8
Swansea
9.8
Bristol City
9.7
West Brom
9.6
Charlton
9.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Watford
4.5
Portsmouth
4.1
Ipswich
4.1
Hull
4.0
Derby
4.0
Southampton
4.0
Swansea
4.0
Stoke
3.9
Blackburn
3.9
Coventry
3.9
Charlton
3.8
Norwich
3.7
Leicester
3.7
Sheffield United
3.7
QPR
3.7
Bristol City
3.6
Birmingham
3.6
Middlesbrough
3.6
Millwall
3.5
Preston
3.5
Oxford
3.5
West Brom
3.4
Wrexham
3.4
Sheffield Weds
3.1

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Ipswich
23.5
Swansea
23.2
Southampton
22.9
Portsmouth
22.6
Derby
22.5
Leicester
22.4
Blackburn
22.1
Birmingham
22.1
Middlesbrough
22.0
Charlton
21.9
Oxford
21.9
Hull
21.7
QPR
21.6
Sheffield United
21.6
Millwall
21.5
Sheffield Weds
21.4
West Brom
21.3
Watford
21.2
Coventry
21.1
Norwich
21.1
Stoke
20.9
Bristol City
20.9
Preston
20.1
Wrexham
18.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
58.8%
Under 9.5
41.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
55.6%
Under 3.5
44.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
55.2%
Under 21.5
44.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

DerbyDerby

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D01L22D01L21W01L10W10W11DH·IPS07/02H·SWA14/02A·WAT21/02A·HUL24/02H·BLA28/02H·SHE07/03A·MIL10/03A·POR16/03H·BIR21/03A·COV03/04
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.500.670.531.070.47
vs Stronger (4)0.750.750.670.671.001.00
vs Similar (26)0.880.460.670.501.070.43
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StokeStoke

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W10W11D11D00D20W10W11D10WA·CHA11/02H·FUL15/02H·LEI21/02H·OXF25/02A·COV28/02A·SWA07/03H·IPS10/03H·WAT14/03A·PRE20/03H·SHE03/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.370.940.120.380.69
vs Stronger (6)0.670.330.750.000.501.00
vs Similar (24)0.710.381.000.150.360.64
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %73% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Derby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Derby over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derby over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derby over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

DerbyDerby

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D20W01L02L30W00D00D00D00D12LH·IPS07/02H·SWA14/02A·WAT21/02A·HUL24/02H·BLA28/02H·SHE07/03A·MIL10/03A·POR16/03H·BIR21/03A·COV03/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.770.730.730.670.80
vs Stronger (4)0.501.750.331.671.002.00
vs Similar (26)0.730.620.830.500.640.71
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StokeStoke

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L02L12L10W01L02L13L21W02L10WA·CHA11/02H·FUL15/02H·LEI21/02H·OXF25/02A·COV28/02A·SWA07/03H·IPS10/03H·WAT14/03A·PRE20/03H·SHE03/04
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.870.651.060.380.62
vs Stronger (6)0.331.170.501.500.000.50
vs Similar (24)0.580.790.690.920.450.64
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Derby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Derby over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derby over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derby over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards79.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.576.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls75.9%-------✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards75.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.571.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls71.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners70.8%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Derby
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Carlton Morris32%
Patrick Agyemang24%
Sammie Szmodics23%
Rhian Brewster23%
Jaydon Banel21%
Ben Brereton Díaz17%
Sondre Langås12%
Lars-Jørgen Salvesen9%
Bobby Clark9%
Matthew Clarke7%
David Ozoh6%
Liam Thompson6%
Oscar Fraulo5%
Joe Ward5%
Craig Forsyth5%
Ebou Adams4%
Andreas Weimann4%
Callum Elder3%
Dion Sanderson2%
Josh Vickers0%
Ryan Nyambe0%
Lewis Travis0%
Danny Batth0%
Kayden Jackson0%
Corey Blackett-Taylor0%
Richard O'Donnell0%
Kenzo Goudmijn0%
Derry Murkin0%
Jacob Widell Zetterström0%
Max Johnston0%
Dajaune Brown0%
Cruz Allen0%
Owen Eames0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lewis Travis39%
Sammie Szmodics38%
Ebou Adams35%
Callum Elder30%
Liam Thompson28%
Dion Sanderson20%
Oscar Fraulo20%
David Ozoh20%
Matthew Clarke20%
Ben Brereton Díaz20%
Bobby Clark18%
Carlton Morris16%
Sondre Langås16%
Patrick Agyemang16%
Ryan Nyambe14%
Josh Vickers11%
Kayden Jackson10%
Lars-Jørgen Salvesen9%
Craig Forsyth9%
Danny Batth8%
Derry Murkin8%
Andreas Weimann7%
Joe Ward7%
Jaydon Banel7%
Max Johnston7%
Rhian Brewster3%
Jacob Widell Zetterström3%
Corey Blackett-Taylor0%
Richard O'Donnell0%
Kenzo Goudmijn0%
Dajaune Brown0%
Cruz Allen0%
Owen Eames0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Callum Elder20%
Joe Ward20%
Derry Murkin17%
Andreas Weimann11%
Corey Blackett-Taylor10%
Matthew Clarke9%
Patrick Agyemang8%
Sammie Szmodics8%
Ben Brereton Díaz7%
Max Johnston7%
Bobby Clark7%
Rhian Brewster6%
Carlton Morris6%
Lars-Jørgen Salvesen6%
Sondre Langås4%
Lewis Travis4%
Josh Vickers0%
Ebou Adams0%
Craig Forsyth0%
Ryan Nyambe0%
Danny Batth0%
Kayden Jackson0%
Richard O'Donnell0%
Kenzo Goudmijn0%
Jacob Widell Zetterström0%
Dion Sanderson0%
Liam Thompson0%
Oscar Fraulo0%
Dajaune Brown0%
David Ozoh0%
Jaydon Banel0%
Cruz Allen0%
Owen Eames0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Patrick Agyemang18%
Carlton Morris10%
Sammie Szmodics8%
Ben Brereton Díaz5%
Matthew Clarke4%
Sondre Langås4%
Rhian Brewster3%
Bobby Clark2%
Lars-Jørgen Salvesen0%
Josh Vickers0%
Ebou Adams0%
Craig Forsyth0%
Andreas Weimann0%
Ryan Nyambe0%
Lewis Travis0%
Danny Batth0%
Callum Elder0%
Kayden Jackson0%
Joe Ward0%
Corey Blackett-Taylor0%
Richard O'Donnell0%
Kenzo Goudmijn0%
Derry Murkin0%
Jacob Widell Zetterström0%
Dion Sanderson0%
Liam Thompson0%
Oscar Fraulo0%
Max Johnston0%
Dajaune Brown0%
David Ozoh0%
Jaydon Banel0%
Cruz Allen0%
Owen Eames0%
Stoke
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Sorba Thomas19%
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi19%
Lewis Baker17%
Lamine Cissé11%
Divin Mubama11%
Million Manhoef10%
Sam Gallagher10%
Milan Smit7%
Ben Gibson7%
Jun-Ho Bae7%
Ben Wilmot5%
Róbert Boženík4%
Junior Tchamadeu4%
Bosun Lawal3%
Steven​ N'Zonzi3%
Tomáš Rigo3%
Ben Pearson3%
Aaron Cresswell0%
Gavin Bazunu0%
Maksym Talovierov0%
Tatsuki Seko0%
Viktor Johansson0%
Eric Bocat0%
Jamie Donley0%
Ashley Phillips0%
Tommy Simkin0%
Favour Fawunmi0%
Raphael Otegbayo0%
Sydney Agina0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Junior Tchamadeu42%
Maksym Talovierov42%
Ben Pearson35%
Favour Fawunmi25%
Bosun Lawal23%
Sydney Agina20%
Sorba Thomas19%
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi19%
Lewis Baker17%
Lamine Cissé14%
Ashley Phillips14%
Ben Wilmot14%
Tommy Simkin12%
Divin Mubama11%
Tatsuki Seko9%
Róbert Boženík8%
Million Manhoef8%
Viktor Johansson8%
Ben Gibson7%
Steven​ N'Zonzi6%
Tomáš Rigo6%
Jun-Ho Bae4%
Aaron Cresswell4%
Sam Gallagher0%
Gavin Bazunu0%
Eric Bocat0%
Jamie Donley0%
Milan Smit0%
Raphael Otegbayo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Sorba Thomas21%
Jamie Donley17%
Aaron Cresswell12%
Million Manhoef8%
Lamine Cissé8%
Junior Tchamadeu8%
Milan Smit7%
Jun-Ho Bae7%
Eric Bocat6%
Lewis Baker6%
Viktor Johansson4%
Divin Mubama4%
Tomáš Rigo3%
Ashley Phillips2%
Tatsuki Seko2%
Steven​ N'Zonzi0%
Ben Gibson0%
Sam Gallagher0%
Ben Pearson0%
Ben Wilmot0%
Róbert Boženík0%
Gavin Bazunu0%
Maksym Talovierov0%
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi0%
Bosun Lawal0%
Tommy Simkin0%
Favour Fawunmi0%
Raphael Otegbayo0%
Sydney Agina0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Divin Mubama14%
Lamine Cissé14%
Million Manhoef12%
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi12%
Sorba Thomas11%
Tomáš Rigo9%
Milan Smit7%
Bosun Lawal7%
Lewis Baker6%
Róbert Boženík4%
Ben Wilmot3%
Ashley Phillips2%
Jun-Ho Bae2%
Steven​ N'Zonzi0%
Aaron Cresswell0%
Ben Gibson0%
Sam Gallagher0%
Ben Pearson0%
Gavin Bazunu0%
Maksym Talovierov0%
Tatsuki Seko0%
Viktor Johansson0%
Eric Bocat0%
Jamie Donley0%
Junior Tchamadeu0%
Tommy Simkin0%
Favour Fawunmi0%
Raphael Otegbayo0%
Sydney Agina0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (31)
€280m
COV (27)
€237m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
WRE (32)
€77m
QPR (28)
€71m
LEI (22)
€69m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CHA (29)
€31m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
Derby's squad is €22m less valuable than Stoke's (€57m vs €79m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
HUL (7)
€22m
LEI (7)
€20m
CHA (13)
€18m
PRE (6)
€17m
BLB (8)
€15m
WRE (9)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
Derby's attack is €11m less valuable than Stoke's (€25m vs €35m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
COV (6)
€52m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WRE (9)
€23m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
LEI (4)
€13m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
CHA (3)
€3m
PRE (3)
€3m
Derby's midfield is €2m more valuable than Stoke's (€14m vs €11m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
WRE (14)
€39m
LEI (11)
€36m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
CHA (13)
€10m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
Derby's defence is €14m less valuable than Stoke's (€18m vs €32m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
2
DER wins
2
Draws
3
STK wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Derby vs Stoke · H/A from DER
DateH/AGameScore
09/08/25AStoke Vs DER3-1
03/05/25HDER Vs Stoke0-0
02/11/24AStoke Vs DER2-1
30/12/21AStoke Vs DER1-2
18/09/21HDER Vs Stoke2-1
20/03/21AStoke Vs DER1-0
12/12/20HDER Vs Stoke0-0

DerbyDerby

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/04/26ACoventry Vs DER3-2
21/03/26HDER Vs Birmingham1-0
16/03/26APortsmouth Vs DER0-1
10/03/26AMillwall Vs DER1-0
07/03/26HDER Vs Sheffield Weds2-1
28/02/26HDER Vs Blackburn3-1
24/02/26AHull Vs DER4-2
21/02/26AWatford Vs DER2-0
14/02/26HDER Vs Swansea2-0
07/02/26HDER Vs Ipswich1-2

StokeStoke

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/04/26HSTK Vs Sheffield Weds2-0
20/03/26APreston Vs STK3-1
14/03/26HSTK Vs Watford3-1
10/03/26HSTK Vs Ipswich3-3
07/03/26ASwansea Vs STK2-0
28/02/26ACoventry Vs STK2-1
25/02/26HSTK Vs Oxford2-1
21/02/26HSTK Vs Leicester2-2
15/02/26HSTK Vs Fulham1-2
11/02/26ACharlton Vs STK1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Derby
Derby
England: Championship
Recent: 5 Wins / 0 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWL1.40
HomeLWWWW1.33
AwayLLLWL1.46
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%33%42%
AVG goals2.582.382.77
Over 1.5 %70%67%73%
Over 2.5 %48%38%58%
Over 3.5 %26%21%31%
Scored1.341.171.50
Conceded1.241.211.27
BTTS62%62%62%
Clean Sheet26%29%23%
Corners9.8410.179.54
Cards4.003.834.15
Stoke
Stoke
England: Championship
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWLW1.32
HomeDWDWW1.48
AwayDLLLL1.13
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%41%30%
AVG goals2.222.412.00
Over 1.5 %64%70%57%
Over 2.5 %42%48%35%
Over 3.5 %16%19%13%
Scored1.081.330.78
Conceded1.141.071.22
BTTS38%48%26%
Clean Sheet36%33%39%
Corners10.5410.5910.48
Cards3.923.963.87

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CoventryCoventry4695
61%
2.1
9745+52
3.1
83%
63%
37%
9.6
41%
3.7
48%
20.8
43%
237
8552992.11.0
55%
2IpswichIpswich4684
50%
1.8
8047+33
2.8
85%
52%
26%
9.6
39%
4.4
63%
24.5
72%
280
13066851.71.0
56%
3MillwallMillwall4884
50%
1.8
6451+13
2.4
79%
46%
21%
11.1
56%
3.6
46%
21.0
35%
85
3029251.31.1
48%
4SouthamptonSouthampton4882
46%
1.7
8357+26
2.9
85%
60%
33%
10.7
62%
4.1
62%
22.8
58%
205
7253791.71.2
56%
5MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough4982
45%
1.7
7349+24
2.5
67%
51%
29%
11.0
57%
3.8
55%
21.8
49%
142
7427411.51.0
59%
6HullHull4980
47%
1.6
7366+7
2.8
76%
61%
35%
10.3
61%
4.2
59%
21.2
41%
105
2231521.51.3
45%
7WrexhamWrexham4671
41%
1.5
6965+4
2.9
83%
50%
33%
9.9
50%
3.4
50%
19.2
30%
77
1523391.51.4
48%
8DerbyDerby4669
43%
1.5
6759+8
2.7
76%
52%
24%
10.0
48%
4.2
57%
22.9
61%
57
2514181.51.3
44%
9NorwichNorwich4665
41%
1.4
6356+7
2.6
83%
48%
15%
10.3
59%
3.9
59%
21.2
41%
107
4631291.41.2
54%
10BirminghamBirmingham4664
37%
1.4
5756+1
2.5
78%
46%
17%
9.9
50%
3.8
48%
22.1
48%
93
4612351.21.2
54%
11SwanseaSwansea4664
39%
1.4
5759-2
2.5
76%
50%
20%
9.9
50%
4.1
63%
22.7
61%
91
569261.21.3
55%
12Bristol CityBristol City4662
37%
1.3
5959+0
2.6
72%
46%
26%
9.9
52%
3.8
57%
21.3
48%
66
2919181.31.3
49%
13Sheffield UnitedSheffield United4660
39%
1.3
6666+0
2.9
74%
59%
33%
11.7
70%
4.1
57%
21.5
43%
110
2932491.41.4
52%
14PrestonPreston4660
33%
1.3
5562-7
2.5
80%
48%
24%
10.8
59%
3.4
48%
19.9
28%
43
173221.21.3
46%
15QPRQPR4658
35%
1.3
6173-12
2.9
76%
63%
37%
10.0
50%
3.7
57%
20.5
41%
71
2915271.31.6
46%
16WatfordWatford4657
30%
1.2
5365-12
2.6
80%
48%
24%
10.2
57%
4.5
57%
21.2
41%
88
2838221.21.4
51%
17StokeStoke4655
33%
1.2
5156-5
2.3
70%
43%
20%
10.8
59%
4.0
43%
20.3
39%
79
3511321.11.2
52%
18PortsmouthPortsmouth4655
30%
1.2
4964-15
2.5
67%
43%
24%
10.7
65%
4.0
50%
21.8
57%
32
135141.11.4
50%
19West BromWest Brom4653
28%
1.2
4858-10
2.3
67%
46%
17%
9.1
43%
3.4
39%
20.8
41%
52
1522151.01.3
52%
20CharltonCharlton4653
28%
1.2
4458-14
2.2
67%
39%
15%
9.7
48%
3.6
48%
21.6
48%
31
183101.01.3
42%
21LeicesterLeicester4652
26%
1.1
5868-10
2.7
85%
54%
28%
11.1
63%
3.6
41%
21.7
50%
69
2013361.31.5
52%
22BlackburnBlackburn4652
28%
1.1
4256-14
2.1
70%
39%
13%
10.4
59%
3.8
54%
20.7
43%
36
157140.91.2
48%
23OxfordOxford4647
24%
1.0
4559-14
2.3
67%
46%
20%
11.2
70%
3.4
43%
21.6
46%
20
6681.01.3
40%
24Sheffield WedsSheffield Weds4618
4%
0.4
2989-60
2.6
80%
52%
24%
10.4
54%
3.0
41%
21.7
50%
21
7680.61.9
45%
England: Championship 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →

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