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Derby vs Wrexham Result & Analysis

Date: 04/01/2026
Time: 15:00
Final 1-2
Derby
Derby
Vs
38%
30%
32%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Wrexham
Wrexham
England: Championship
Referee: M Corlett

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Derby win✗ Miss
38.0%
Avg Implied 42.3% · @ 2.23
Edge
-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.9%
Avg Implied 30.2% · @ 3.12
Edge
-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Wrexham win✓ Hit
32.2%
Avg Implied 27.5% · @ 3.42
Edge
+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

DerbyDerby

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-323L21W12L13L11D30W11D11D12L10WH·WAT22/11A·SWA25/11A·MID29/11H·LEI06/12H·MIL10/12A·SHE15/12H·POR20/12A·BIR26/12A·LEI29/12H·MID01/01
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.231.141.291.501.19
vs Stronger (3)2.002.673.005.001.501.50
vs Similar (27)1.261.071.001.001.501.14
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Wrexham) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

WrexhamWrexham

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D20W11D11D02L22D12L53W21W20WA·IPS22/11H·BRI26/11H·BLA29/11A·PRE06/12A·HUL10/12H·WAT13/12A·SWA19/12H·SHE26/12H·PRE29/12A·BLA01/01
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.571.271.881.501.211.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)1.801.602.572.001.121.25
vs Weaker (15)1.330.931.331.111.330.67
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Derby) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%019%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.5%
Under 1.5
28.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
44.3%
@ 2.35+4.6%
Under 2.5
55.7%
@ 1.55-4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.2%
Under 3.5
76.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
51.1%
No
48.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.2%
0-0
9.9%
1-0
9.8%
0-1
8.8%
2-1
8.3%
1-2 ✓
7.5%
2-0
7.1%
0-2
5.9%
Derby goals ↓
Wrexham goals →
01234
09.9%8.8%5.9%2.3%0.7%
19.8%14%7.5%2.9%0.9%
27.1%8.3%4.8%1.9%0.5%
33.1%3.6%2.1%0.8%0.2%
41.0%1.1%0.7%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Derby goals (down), columns = Wrexham goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Coventry
2.07
Ipswich
1.83
Millwall
1.75
Southampton
1.71
Middlesbrough
1.67
Hull
1.63
Wrexham
1.54
Derby
1.50
Norwich
1.41
Swansea
1.39
Birmingham
1.39
Bristol City
1.35
Preston
1.30
Sheffield United
1.30
QPR
1.26
Watford
1.24
Portsmouth
1.20
Stoke
1.20
Charlton
1.15
West Brom
1.15
Leicester
1.13
Blackburn
1.13
Oxford
1.02
Sheffield Weds
0.39
Derby is 0.04 points worse than Wrexham in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 1.54).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Coventry
2.11
Ipswich
1.74
Southampton
1.73
Wrexham
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.49
Hull
1.49
Derby
1.46
Sheffield United
1.43
Norwich
1.37
Millwall
1.33
QPR
1.33
Bristol City
1.28
Leicester
1.26
Swansea
1.24
Birmingham
1.24
Preston
1.20
Watford
1.15
Stoke
1.11
Portsmouth
1.07
West Brom
1.04
Oxford
0.98
Charlton
0.96
Blackburn
0.91
Sheffield Weds
0.63
Derby is 0.04 goals worse than Wrexham in terms of goals scored per game (1.46 vs 1.50).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Coventry
0.98
Middlesbrough
1.00
Ipswich
1.02
Millwall
1.06
Southampton
1.19
Norwich
1.22
Birmingham
1.22
Blackburn
1.22
Stoke
1.22
Charlton
1.26
West Brom
1.26
Oxford
1.28
Swansea
1.28
Bristol City
1.28
Derby
1.28
Hull
1.35
Preston
1.35
Portsmouth
1.39
Watford
1.41
Wrexham
1.41
Sheffield United
1.43
Leicester
1.48
QPR
1.59
Sheffield Weds
1.93
Derby is 0.13 goals better than Wrexham in terms of goals conceded per game (1.28 vs 1.41).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Middlesbrough
59%
Southampton
56%
Ipswich
56%
Coventry
55%
Swansea
55%
Birmingham
54%
Norwich
54%
Sheffield United
52%
Leicester
52%
Stoke
52%
West Brom
52%
Watford
51%
Portsmouth
50%
Bristol City
49%
Wrexham
48%
Blackburn
48%
Millwall
48%
QPR
46%
Preston
46%
Hull
45%
Sheffield Weds
45%
Derby
44%
Charlton
42%
Oxford
40%
Derby is 3.7 percentage points worse than Wrexham in terms of average possession (44% vs 48%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

DerbyDerby

For 5.6 · Against 5.5 · Total 11.1

🚩 Corners

18049431126451117638924931371310618917612H·MIDA·LEIA·BIRH·PORA·SHEH·MILH·LEIA·MIDA·SWAH·WAT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.7

🟨 Cards

602221241114233222214362555223H·MIDA·LEIA·BIRH·PORA·SHEH·MILH·LEIA·MIDA·SWAH·WAT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 10.8 · Total 22.1

⚠️ Fouls

30012912101317748109131111139201081521223011182222223023H·MIDA·LEIA·BIRH·PORA·SHEH·MILH·LEIA·MIDA·SWAH·WAT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

WrexhamWrexham

For 4.7 · Against 5.8 · Total 10.5

🚩 Corners

1808433757571282167724251261212810181467A·BLAH·PREH·SHEA·SWAH·WATA·HULA·PREH·BLAH·BRIA·IPS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.2 · Total 3.7

🟨 Cards

90241222361111312326034912435A·BLAH·PREH·SHEA·SWAH·WATA·HULA·PREH·BLAH·BRIA·IPS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.3 · Against 9.7 · Total 19.0

⚠️ Fouls

26010141110712108109686861110817924211918191414171826A·BLAH·PREH·SHEA·SWAH·WATA·HULA·PREH·BLAH·BRIA·IPS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

DerbyDerby

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.110.110.13.63.43.721.120.521.7
vs Stronger (5)10.211.78.05.44.07.522.620.026.5
vs Similar (45)10.19.910.33.43.33.420.920.621.3
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line49%50%48%40%42%38%47%42%52%
% under line51%50%52%60%58%62%53%58%48%
This opponent (Wrexham) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

WrexhamWrexham

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.49.69.23.33.33.319.819.620.1
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (16)8.99.48.53.63.23.918.917.620.2
vs Weaker (34)9.69.89.53.23.43.120.320.520.0
% over line52%52%52%44%40%48%34%28%40%
% under line48%48%48%56%60%52%66%72%60%
This opponent (Derby) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Coventry
10.9
Oxford
10.7
Norwich
10.6
Sheffield Weds
10.6
Sheffield United
10.5
Portsmouth
10.3
Millwall
10.2
Hull
10.2
Middlesbrough
10.1
Derby
10.1
QPR
10.1
Leicester
9.9
Blackburn
9.9
Stoke
9.9
Preston
9.9
Southampton
9.8
West Brom
9.7
Ipswich
9.7
Watford
9.6
Birmingham
9.5
Bristol City
9.4
Wrexham
9.4
Swansea
9.3
Charlton
9.2

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Watford
4.3
Stoke
4.1
Portsmouth
4.0
Ipswich
3.9
Birmingham
3.9
Swansea
3.8
QPR
3.7
Blackburn
3.7
Southampton
3.7
Charlton
3.6
Derby
3.6
Norwich
3.6
Middlesbrough
3.6
Hull
3.5
Oxford
3.5
Coventry
3.5
Sheffield United
3.5
Preston
3.5
Leicester
3.4
West Brom
3.4
Sheffield Weds
3.4
Wrexham
3.3
Millwall
3.3
Bristol City
3.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Blackburn
23.7
Birmingham
23.2
Swansea
23.0
Southampton
22.9
Millwall
22.8
QPR
22.4
Portsmouth
22.4
Charlton
22.3
Middlesbrough
22.2
Sheffield Weds
22.2
Ipswich
22.2
Sheffield United
22.0
Norwich
21.8
Leicester
21.7
Stoke
21.7
Hull
21.7
West Brom
21.6
Watford
21.4
Oxford
21.3
Preston
21.2
Derby
21.1
Coventry
20.8
Bristol City
20.1
Wrexham
19.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
55.2%
Under 9.5
44.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
52.6%
Under 3.5
47.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
53.5%
Under 21.5
46.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

DerbyDerby

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W10W03L00D10W11D10W12L00DH·WAT22/11A·SWA25/11A·MID29/11H·LEI06/12H·MIL10/12A·SHE15/12H·POR20/12A·BIR26/12A·LEI29/12H·MID01/01
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.500.500.710.690.31
vs Stronger (3)0.671.002.002.000.000.50
vs Similar (27)0.590.440.380.620.790.29
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Wrexham) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

WrexhamWrexham

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W01L10W01L12L10W23L10W20WA·IPS22/11H·BRI26/11H·BLA29/11A·PRE06/12A·HUL10/12H·WAT13/12A·SWA19/12H·SHE26/12H·PRE29/12A·BLA01/01
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.600.690.750.500.43
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.670.731.001.140.380.38
vs Weaker (15)0.530.470.440.440.670.50
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Derby) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Derby over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derby over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derby over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wrexham over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wrexham over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wrexham over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

DerbyDerby

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L11D02L10W11D20W00D01L00D10WH·WAT22/11A·SWA25/11A·MID29/11H·LEI06/12H·MIL10/12A·SHE15/12H·POR20/12A·BIR26/12A·LEI29/12H·MID01/01
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.730.640.570.810.88
vs Stronger (3)1.331.671.003.001.501.00
vs Similar (27)0.670.630.620.380.710.86
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Wrexham) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

WrexhamWrexham

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W10W01L01L10W02L30W11D00DA·IPS22/11H·BRI26/11H·BLA29/11A·PRE06/12A·HUL10/12H·WAT13/12A·SWA19/12H·SHE26/12H·PRE29/12A·BLA01/01
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.671.190.750.710.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)1.130.871.570.860.750.88
vs Weaker (15)0.800.470.890.670.670.17
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Derby) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Derby over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derby over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derby over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wrexham over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wrexham over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wrexham over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards81.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls77.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.576.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards73.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.571.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls70.0%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Derby
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Carlton Morris32%
Patrick Agyemang24%
Sammie Szmodics23%
Rhian Brewster23%
Jaydon Banel21%
Ben Brereton Díaz17%
Sondre Langås12%
Lars-Jørgen Salvesen9%
Bobby Clark9%
Matthew Clarke7%
David Ozoh6%
Liam Thompson6%
Oscar Fraulo5%
Joe Ward5%
Craig Forsyth5%
Ebou Adams4%
Andreas Weimann4%
Callum Elder3%
Dion Sanderson2%
Josh Vickers0%
Ryan Nyambe0%
Lewis Travis0%
Danny Batth0%
Kayden Jackson0%
Corey Blackett-Taylor0%
Richard O'Donnell0%
Kenzo Goudmijn0%
Derry Murkin0%
Jacob Widell Zetterström0%
Max Johnston0%
Dajaune Brown0%
Cruz Allen0%
Owen Eames0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lewis Travis39%
Sammie Szmodics38%
Ebou Adams35%
Callum Elder30%
Liam Thompson28%
Dion Sanderson20%
Oscar Fraulo20%
David Ozoh20%
Matthew Clarke20%
Ben Brereton Díaz20%
Bobby Clark18%
Carlton Morris16%
Sondre Langås16%
Patrick Agyemang16%
Ryan Nyambe14%
Josh Vickers11%
Kayden Jackson10%
Lars-Jørgen Salvesen9%
Craig Forsyth9%
Danny Batth8%
Derry Murkin8%
Andreas Weimann7%
Joe Ward7%
Jaydon Banel7%
Max Johnston7%
Rhian Brewster3%
Jacob Widell Zetterström3%
Corey Blackett-Taylor0%
Richard O'Donnell0%
Kenzo Goudmijn0%
Dajaune Brown0%
Cruz Allen0%
Owen Eames0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Callum Elder20%
Joe Ward20%
Derry Murkin17%
Andreas Weimann11%
Corey Blackett-Taylor10%
Matthew Clarke9%
Patrick Agyemang8%
Sammie Szmodics8%
Ben Brereton Díaz7%
Max Johnston7%
Bobby Clark7%
Rhian Brewster6%
Carlton Morris6%
Lars-Jørgen Salvesen6%
Sondre Langås4%
Lewis Travis4%
Josh Vickers0%
Ebou Adams0%
Craig Forsyth0%
Ryan Nyambe0%
Danny Batth0%
Kayden Jackson0%
Richard O'Donnell0%
Kenzo Goudmijn0%
Jacob Widell Zetterström0%
Dion Sanderson0%
Liam Thompson0%
Oscar Fraulo0%
Dajaune Brown0%
David Ozoh0%
Jaydon Banel0%
Cruz Allen0%
Owen Eames0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Patrick Agyemang18%
Carlton Morris10%
Sammie Szmodics8%
Ben Brereton Díaz5%
Matthew Clarke4%
Sondre Langås4%
Rhian Brewster3%
Bobby Clark2%
Lars-Jørgen Salvesen0%
Josh Vickers0%
Ebou Adams0%
Craig Forsyth0%
Andreas Weimann0%
Ryan Nyambe0%
Lewis Travis0%
Danny Batth0%
Callum Elder0%
Kayden Jackson0%
Joe Ward0%
Corey Blackett-Taylor0%
Richard O'Donnell0%
Kenzo Goudmijn0%
Derry Murkin0%
Jacob Widell Zetterström0%
Dion Sanderson0%
Liam Thompson0%
Oscar Fraulo0%
Max Johnston0%
Dajaune Brown0%
David Ozoh0%
Jaydon Banel0%
Cruz Allen0%
Owen Eames0%
Wrexham
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Elliot Lee33%
Harry Ashfield33%
Josh Windass33%
Oliver Rathbone27%
Kieffer Moore21%
Nathan Broadhead20%
Sam Smith19%
Ryan Hardie10%
Lewis O'Brien9%
Liberato Cacace8%
Callum Doyle8%
Max Cleworth7%
George Thomason5%
Ryan Longman5%
George Dobson4%
Matty James3%
Dominic Hyam2%
Danny Ward0%
Conor Coady0%
Jay Rodriguez0%
James McClean0%
Zak Vyner0%
Ryan Barnett0%
Dan Scarr0%
Davis Keillor-Dunn0%
Ben Sheaf0%
Lewis Brunt0%
Issa Kaboré0%
Arthur Okonkwo0%
Bailey Cadamarteri0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Elliot Lee33%
George Dobson17%
Dan Scarr17%
Ben Sheaf17%
Callum Doyle15%
Oliver Rathbone13%
Max Cleworth13%
Kieffer Moore12%
Lewis O'Brien11%
Sam Smith11%
James McClean11%
Matty James10%
George Thomason10%
Ryan Longman10%
Issa Kaboré9%
Dominic Hyam9%
Lewis Brunt8%
Josh Windass7%
Arthur Okonkwo2%
Liberato Cacace0%
Danny Ward0%
Conor Coady0%
Jay Rodriguez0%
Zak Vyner0%
Ryan Barnett0%
Ryan Hardie0%
Davis Keillor-Dunn0%
Nathan Broadhead0%
Bailey Cadamarteri0%
Harry Ashfield0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Elliot Lee33%
Issa Kaboré22%
James McClean16%
Nathan Broadhead12%
Ryan Barnett11%
Callum Doyle10%
Kieffer Moore9%
Lewis O'Brien9%
Max Cleworth9%
Josh Windass9%
George Thomason8%
George Dobson7%
Matty James5%
Ryan Longman5%
Sam Smith4%
Dan Scarr4%
Oliver Rathbone3%
Liberato Cacace0%
Danny Ward0%
Conor Coady0%
Jay Rodriguez0%
Zak Vyner0%
Dominic Hyam0%
Ryan Hardie0%
Davis Keillor-Dunn0%
Ben Sheaf0%
Lewis Brunt0%
Arthur Okonkwo0%
Bailey Cadamarteri0%
Harry Ashfield0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kieffer Moore19%
Josh Windass15%
Nathan Broadhead12%
Oliver Rathbone10%
Ryan Hardie10%
Sam Smith9%
George Thomason3%
Callum Doyle3%
Ryan Longman2%
Lewis O'Brien2%
Max Cleworth2%
George Dobson2%
Liberato Cacace0%
Danny Ward0%
Conor Coady0%
Matty James0%
Jay Rodriguez0%
James McClean0%
Zak Vyner0%
Elliot Lee0%
Dominic Hyam0%
Ryan Barnett0%
Dan Scarr0%
Davis Keillor-Dunn0%
Ben Sheaf0%
Lewis Brunt0%
Issa Kaboré0%
Arthur Okonkwo0%
Bailey Cadamarteri0%
Harry Ashfield0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (31)
€280m
COV (27)
€237m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
WRE (32)
€77m
QPR (28)
€71m
LEI (22)
€69m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CHA (29)
€31m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
Derby's squad is €20m less valuable than Wrexham's (€57m vs €77m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
HUL (7)
€22m
LEI (7)
€20m
CHA (13)
€18m
PRE (6)
€17m
BLB (8)
€15m
WRE (9)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
Derby's attack is €10m more valuable than Wrexham's (€25m vs €15m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
COV (6)
€52m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WRE (9)
€23m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
LEI (4)
€13m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
CHA (3)
€3m
PRE (3)
€3m
Derby's midfield is €9m less valuable than Wrexham's (€14m vs €23m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
WRE (14)
€39m
LEI (11)
€36m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
CHA (13)
€10m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
Derby's defence is €21m less valuable than Wrexham's (€18m vs €39m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
DER wins
1
Draws
0
WRE wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Derby vs Wrexham · H/A from DER
DateH/AGameScore
27/09/25AWrexham Vs DER1-1

DerbyDerby

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/01/26HDER Vs Middlesbrough1-0
29/12/25ALeicester Vs DER2-1
26/12/25ABirmingham Vs DER1-1
20/12/25HDER Vs Portsmouth1-1
15/12/25ASheffield Weds Vs DER0-3
10/12/25HDER Vs Millwall1-1
06/12/25HDER Vs Leicester1-3
29/11/25AMiddlesbrough Vs DER2-1
25/11/25ASwansea Vs DER1-2
22/11/25HDER Vs Watford2-3

WrexhamWrexham

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/01/26ABlackburn Vs WRE0-2
29/12/25HWRE Vs Preston2-1
26/12/25HWRE Vs Sheffield United5-3
19/12/25ASwansea Vs WRE2-1
13/12/25HWRE Vs Watford2-2
10/12/25AHull Vs WRE2-0
06/12/25APreston Vs WRE1-1
29/11/25HWRE Vs Blackburn1-1
26/11/25HWRE Vs Bristol City2-0
22/11/25AIpswich Vs WRE0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Derby
Derby
England: Championship
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDLW1.20
HomeLLDDW1.21
AwayWLWDL1.19
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%29%31%
AVG goals2.381.962.77
Over 1.5 %66%54%77%
Over 2.5 %40%21%58%
Over 3.5 %22%12%31%
Scored1.120.921.31
Conceded1.261.041.46
BTTS56%42%69%
Clean Sheet22%33%12%
Corners10.0810.0810.08
Cards3.633.383.88
Wrexham
Wrexham
England: Championship
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWWW1.70
HomeWDDWW1.68
AwayDDLLW1.72
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%44%48%
AVG goals2.582.962.20
Over 1.5 %78%80%76%
Over 2.5 %44%52%36%
Over 3.5 %22%32%12%
Scored1.501.721.28
Conceded1.081.240.92
BTTS56%64%48%
Clean Sheet38%36%40%
Corners9.429.649.20
Cards3.323.323.32

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CoventryCoventry4695
61%
2.1
9745+52
3.1
83%
63%
37%
9.6
41%
3.7
48%
20.8
43%
237
8552992.11.0
55%
2IpswichIpswich4684
50%
1.8
8047+33
2.8
85%
52%
26%
9.6
39%
4.4
63%
24.5
72%
280
13066851.71.0
56%
3MillwallMillwall4884
50%
1.8
6451+13
2.4
79%
46%
21%
11.1
56%
3.6
46%
21.0
35%
85
3029251.31.1
48%
4SouthamptonSouthampton4882
46%
1.7
8357+26
2.9
85%
60%
33%
10.7
62%
4.1
62%
22.8
58%
205
7253791.71.2
56%
5MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough4982
45%
1.7
7349+24
2.5
67%
51%
29%
11.0
57%
3.8
55%
21.8
49%
142
7427411.51.0
59%
6HullHull4980
47%
1.6
7366+7
2.8
76%
61%
35%
10.3
61%
4.2
59%
21.2
41%
105
2231521.51.3
45%
7WrexhamWrexham4671
41%
1.5
6965+4
2.9
83%
50%
33%
9.9
50%
3.4
50%
19.2
30%
77
1523391.51.4
48%
8DerbyDerby4669
43%
1.5
6759+8
2.7
76%
52%
24%
10.0
48%
4.2
57%
22.9
61%
57
2514181.51.3
44%
9NorwichNorwich4665
41%
1.4
6356+7
2.6
83%
48%
15%
10.3
59%
3.9
59%
21.2
41%
107
4631291.41.2
54%
10BirminghamBirmingham4664
37%
1.4
5756+1
2.5
78%
46%
17%
9.9
50%
3.8
48%
22.1
48%
93
4612351.21.2
54%
11SwanseaSwansea4664
39%
1.4
5759-2
2.5
76%
50%
20%
9.9
50%
4.1
63%
22.7
61%
91
569261.21.3
55%
12Bristol CityBristol City4662
37%
1.3
5959+0
2.6
72%
46%
26%
9.9
52%
3.8
57%
21.3
48%
66
2919181.31.3
49%
13Sheffield UnitedSheffield United4660
39%
1.3
6666+0
2.9
74%
59%
33%
11.7
70%
4.1
57%
21.5
43%
110
2932491.41.4
52%
14PrestonPreston4660
33%
1.3
5562-7
2.5
80%
48%
24%
10.8
59%
3.4
48%
19.9
28%
43
173221.21.3
46%
15QPRQPR4658
35%
1.3
6173-12
2.9
76%
63%
37%
10.0
50%
3.7
57%
20.5
41%
71
2915271.31.6
46%
16WatfordWatford4657
30%
1.2
5365-12
2.6
80%
48%
24%
10.2
57%
4.5
57%
21.2
41%
88
2838221.21.4
51%
17StokeStoke4655
33%
1.2
5156-5
2.3
70%
43%
20%
10.8
59%
4.0
43%
20.3
39%
79
3511321.11.2
52%
18PortsmouthPortsmouth4655
30%
1.2
4964-15
2.5
67%
43%
24%
10.7
65%
4.0
50%
21.8
57%
32
135141.11.4
50%
19West BromWest Brom4653
28%
1.2
4858-10
2.3
67%
46%
17%
9.1
43%
3.4
39%
20.8
41%
52
1522151.01.3
52%
20CharltonCharlton4653
28%
1.2
4458-14
2.2
67%
39%
15%
9.7
48%
3.6
48%
21.6
48%
31
183101.01.3
42%
21LeicesterLeicester4652
26%
1.1
5868-10
2.7
85%
54%
28%
11.1
63%
3.6
41%
21.7
50%
69
2013361.31.5
52%
22BlackburnBlackburn4652
28%
1.1
4256-14
2.1
70%
39%
13%
10.4
59%
3.8
54%
20.7
43%
36
157140.91.2
48%
23OxfordOxford4647
24%
1.0
4559-14
2.3
67%
46%
20%
11.2
70%
3.4
43%
21.6
46%
20
6681.01.3
40%
24Sheffield WedsSheffield Weds4618
4%
0.4
2989-60
2.6
80%
52%
24%
10.4
54%
3.0
41%
21.7
50%
21
7680.61.9
45%
England: Championship 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →

← all matches