This opponent (Drogheda United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Drogheda United
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
1.33
1.00
0.93
0.53
1.73
vs Stronger (9)
0.67
1.56
0.67
1.50
0.67
1.67
vs Similar (18)
0.67
1.22
0.86
0.57
0.55
1.64
vs Weaker (3)
1.67
1.33
2.50
0.50
0.00
3.00
Clean sheet %
27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Derry City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
65.3%
Under 1.5
34.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
37.4%
Under 2.5
62.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
17.8%
Under 3.5
82.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
36.6%
No
63.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
16.9%
2-0
14.3%
0-0
12.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-0
7.6%
0-1 â
5.6%
3-1
4.5%
Derry City goals ↓
Drogheda United goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
5.6%
2.0%
0.4%
0.1%
1
17%
12%
3.1%
0.6%
0.1%
2
14%
8.4%
2.5%
0.5%
0.1%
3
7.6%
4.5%
1.3%
0.3%
0.0%
4
3.0%
1.8%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Derry City goals (down), columns = Drogheda United goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
Shamrock Rovers
2.00
Derry City
1.81
St Patrick's Athl.
1.72
Shelbourne
1.67
Dundalk
1.61
Bohemians
1.61
Drogheda United
1.14
Sligo Rovers
1.03
Waterford
1.00
Cork City
0.86
UCD
0.31
Derry City is 0.67 points better than Drogheda United in terms of average points per game (1.81 vs 1.14).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
Shamrock Rovers
1.86
Dundalk
1.64
St Patrick's Athl.
1.64
Derry City
1.58
Bohemians
1.47
Shelbourne
1.22
Drogheda United
1.11
Waterford
1.00
Sligo Rovers
1.00
Cork City
0.97
UCD
0.53
Derry City is 0.47 goals better than Drogheda United in terms of goals scored per game (1.58 vs 1.11).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Derry City
0.67
Shelbourne
0.75
Shamrock Rovers
0.75
Waterford
1.00
Bohemians
1.11
St Patrick's Athl.
1.17
Dundalk
1.22
Sligo Rovers
1.42
Drogheda United
1.50
Cork City
1.76
UCD
2.67
Derry City is 0.83 goals better than Drogheda United in terms of goals conceded per game (0.67 vs 1.50).
âąïļ Possession
Avg possession %
Shamrock Rovers
60%
Bohemians
57%
Dundalk
56%
Derry City
56%
Shelbourne
53%
Sligo Rovers
49%
St Patrick's Athl.
46%
Cork City
45%
Drogheda United
40%
UCD
38%
Derry City is 15.4 percentage points better than Drogheda United in terms of average possession (56% vs 40%).
ðē 4. Props Analysis
Derry City
For 3.0 · Against 2.0 · Total 5.0
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 4.0 · Total 6.0
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
â ïļ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Drogheda United
ðĐ Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
ðĻ Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
â ïļ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Derry City
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (45)
5.0
5.0
-
0.1
0.3
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (2)
5.0
5.0
-
3.0
6.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (14)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
0%
0%
-
2%
5%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
100%
100%
-
98%
95%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Drogheda United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Drogheda United
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (43)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (13)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (4)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Derry City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Sligo Rovers
10.8
St Patrick's Athl.
10.2
Shamrock Rovers
9.4
Derry City
5.0
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
St Patrick's Athl.
7.7
Derry City
6.0
Shamrock Rovers
5.8
Sligo Rovers
4.8
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Shamrock Rovers
23.2
Sligo Rovers
20.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
âïļ 7. Handicap
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Derry City
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.33
0.50
0.36
0.56
0.31
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (18)
0.50
0.22
0.29
0.29
0.64
0.18
vs Weaker (10)
0.70
0.40
0.83
0.33
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Drogheda United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Drogheda United
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.73
0.40
0.40
0.20
1.07
vs Stronger (9)
0.22
0.67
0.33
0.67
0.00
0.67
vs Similar (18)
0.33
0.78
0.43
0.29
0.27
1.09
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
0.67
0.50
0.00
0.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Derry City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Derry City over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derry City over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derry City over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drogheda United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drogheda United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drogheda United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Derry City
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.43
0.64
0.36
0.62
0.50
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (18)
0.67
0.39
0.57
0.29
0.73
0.45
vs Weaker (10)
0.70
0.40
0.83
0.33
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Drogheda United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Drogheda United
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.60
0.60
0.53
0.33
0.67
vs Stronger (9)
0.44
0.89
0.33
0.83
0.67
1.00
vs Similar (18)
0.33
0.44
0.43
0.29
0.27
0.55
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
0.67
2.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Derry City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Derry City over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derry City over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derry City over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drogheda United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drogheda United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drogheda United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 3.5
82.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
ð― 13. Player market rates
Derry City
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jamie McGonigle44%
William Patching42%
Michael Duffy30%
Danny Mullen25%
Brandon Kavanagh21%
Jordan McEneff18%
Ben Doherty14%
Cameron McJannett13%
Ronan Boyce10%
Adam O'Reilly0%
Mark Connolly0%
Paul McMullan0%
Cameron Dummigan0%
Patrick McEleney0%
Ciaran Coll0%
Brian Maher0%
Cian Kavanagh0%
Sam Todd0%
Shane McEleney0%
Sadou Diallo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Sadou Diallo33%
Adam O'Reilly31%
Cameron Dummigan30%
Ronan Boyce30%
Ben Doherty21%
Paul McMullan17%
Brandon Kavanagh14%
Brian Maher13%
Cian Kavanagh12%
Mark Connolly11%
Ciaran Coll11%
Jamie McGonigle11%
Danny Mullen8%
Shane McEleney8%
Cameron McJannett7%
William Patching0%
Michael Duffy0%
Patrick McEleney0%
Sam Todd0%
Jordan McEneff0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Paul McMullan42%
Brandon Kavanagh29%
Ben Doherty29%
William Patching25%
Michael Duffy20%
Ciaran Coll11%
Cameron Dummigan10%
Danny Mullen8%
Cameron McJannett7%
Adam O'Reilly0%
Mark Connolly0%
Patrick McEleney0%
Brian Maher0%
Cian Kavanagh0%
Sam Todd0%
Shane McEleney0%
Jamie McGonigle0%
Ronan Boyce0%
Jordan McEneff0%
Sadou Diallo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
William Patching50%
Jamie McGonigle33%
Danny Mullen25%
Michael Duffy20%
Ben Doherty14%
Brandon Kavanagh7%
Adam O'Reilly0%
Mark Connolly0%
Paul McMullan0%
Cameron Dummigan0%
Patrick McEleney0%
Ciaran Coll0%
Brian Maher0%
Cian Kavanagh0%
Sam Todd0%
Shane McEleney0%
Ronan Boyce0%
Jordan McEneff0%
Sadou Diallo0%
Cameron McJannett0%
Drogheda United
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Adam Foley31%
Kyle Robinson25%
Dayle Rooney23%
Ryan Brennan20%
Jamie Egan20%
Aaron McNally18%
Warren Davis8%
Conor Keeley7%
Evan Weir7%
Gary Deegan0%
Luke Slater0%
Darragh Markey0%
Darragh Noone0%
Luke Heeney0%
Conor Kane0%
Michael Leddy0%
Matthew O'Brien0%
Emmanuel Adegboyega0%
Andrew Wogan0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Luke Heeney43%
Kyle Robinson42%
Ryan Brennan30%
Warren Davis23%
Conor Keeley14%
Evan Weir14%
Matthew O'Brien12%
Conor Kane10%
Darragh Noone9%
Aaron McNally9%
Dayle Rooney8%
Darragh Markey7%
Adam Foley6%
Andrew Wogan6%
Gary Deegan0%
Luke Slater0%
Michael Leddy0%
Jamie Egan0%
Emmanuel Adegboyega0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dayle Rooney23%
Ryan Brennan20%
Emmanuel Adegboyega20%
Darragh Markey14%
Adam Foley12%
Warren Davis8%
Luke Heeney7%
Conor Keeley7%
Gary Deegan0%
Luke Slater0%
Darragh Noone0%
Conor Kane0%
Michael Leddy0%
Aaron McNally0%
Evan Weir0%
Matthew O'Brien0%
Jamie Egan0%
Kyle Robinson0%
Andrew Wogan0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Dayle Rooney15%
Ryan Brennan10%
Kyle Robinson8%
Adam Foley6%
Gary Deegan0%
Luke Slater0%
Darragh Markey0%
Darragh Noone0%
Luke Heeney0%
Conor Kane0%
Conor Keeley0%
Michael Leddy0%
Aaron McNally0%
Evan Weir0%
Matthew O'Brien0%
Jamie Egan0%
Emmanuel Adegboyega0%
Warren Davis0%
Andrew Wogan0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
ð° 14. Squad value
ð° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (31)
€7m
SPA (22)
€5m
BOH (23)
€4m
DC (22)
€4m
SHE (22)
€4m
DU (19)
€3m
SR (21)
€3m
DUN (20)
€3m
WAT (19)
€2m
CC (2)
€0m
Derry City's squad is €1m more valuable than Drogheda United's (€4m vs €3m).
âïļ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (14)
€3m
SPA (6)
€2m
BOH (9)
€2m
DC (7)
€1m
SHE (8)
€1m
SR (10)
€1m
WAT (6)
€1m
DU (4)
€1m
DUN (3)
€0m
CC (2)
€0m
Derry City and Drogheda United have a similar attack value (both €1m).
ð§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (7)
€2m
SPA (7)
€1m
DC (6)
€1m
BOH (5)
€1m
SHE (4)
€1m
WAT (5)
€1m
DUN (6)
€1m
SR (3)
€1m
DU (4)
€0m
CC (0)
€0m
Derry City and Drogheda United have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
ðĄïļ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (10)
€2m
SPA (9)
€2m
DU (11)
€2m
BOH (9)
€2m
DC (9)
€2m
DUN (11)
€2m
SHE (10)
€2m
SR (8)
€1m
WAT (8)
€1m
CC (0)
€0m
Derry City and Drogheda United have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Ireland: Premier Division 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ireland: Premier Division stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Shamrock Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
Shelbourne
Dundalk
Bohemians
Sligo Rovers
Cork City
UCD
Waterford