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Difai Ağsu vs Səbail Result & Analysis

Date: 18/09/2025
Time: 12:00
Final 1-2
Difai Ağsu
Difai Ağsu
vs
Səbail
Səbail
Azerbaijan: Birinci Dasta
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Difai Ağsu win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Səbail win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Difai AğsuDifai Ağsu

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-531W35L04L10W13L14L21W11D13L22DA·MOI27/03H·KAR03/04A·QAB11/04H·ZAQ17/04A·QAR24/04H·MIN01/05A·BAK08/05H·CƏB16/05H·IMI23/05A·BAK13/09
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
2.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.332.071.142.141.502.00
vs Stronger (12)1.502.000.671.001.782.33
vs Similar (9)0.892.891.003.400.752.25
vs Weaker (9)1.561.331.501.671.670.67
Clean sheet %10% (-20pp vs league)
This opponent (Səbail) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SəbailSəbail

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D00D14L23L11D11D01L03L14L20WA·KAP30/03H·TUR05/04H·QAR11/04A·SAB19/04H·ARA27/04A·ŞAM03/05H·ZIR10/05A·NEF18/05H·SUM23/05H·MIN12/09← Premyer LiqaBirinci Dasta →
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.801.400.531.471.071.33
vs Stronger (19)0.421.740.361.450.502.12
vs Similar (9)0.891.000.672.001.000.50
vs Weaker (2)4.000.002.000.006.000.00
Clean sheet %30% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Difai Ağsu) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
0.0%
No
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Safa Baku
2.11
Mingəçevir
1.89
Səbail
1.85
Baku Sportinq
1.81
Şahdağ
1.59
MOIK
1.22
Zaqatala
1.04
Cəbrayıl
0.89
Şimal
0.82
Difai Ağsu
0.67
Qaradağ Lökbatan
0.00
Difai Ağsu is 1.19 points worse than Səbail in terms of average points per game (0.67 vs 1.85).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Mingəçevir
2.04
Safa Baku
1.93
Səbail
1.70
Baku Sportinq
1.48
Cəbrayıl
1.48
Şahdağ
1.33
MOIK
1.22
Difai Ağsu
1.04
Zaqatala
1.00
Qaradağ Lökbatan
1.00
Şimal
0.89
Difai Ağsu is 0.67 goals worse than Səbail in terms of goals scored per game (1.04 vs 1.70).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Səbail
0.78
Safa Baku
0.78
Baku Sportinq
0.85
Şahdağ
1.00
Mingəçevir
1.00
MOIK
1.48
Zaqatala
1.63
Qaradağ Lökbatan
2.00
Cəbrayıl
2.07
Şimal
2.21
Difai Ağsu
2.22
Difai Ağsu is 1.44 goals worse than Səbail in terms of goals conceded per game (2.22 vs 0.78).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Difai AğsuDifai Ağsu

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W14L03L10W10W01L00D00D11D12LA·MOI27/03H·KAR03/04A·QAB11/04H·ZAQ17/04A·QAR24/04H·MIN01/05A·BAK08/05H·CƏB16/05H·IMI23/05A·BAK13/09
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.870.500.860.880.88
vs Stronger (12)0.920.830.670.671.000.89
vs Similar (9)0.561.440.401.600.751.25
vs Weaker (9)0.560.330.500.330.670.33
Clean sheet %53% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Səbail) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SəbailSəbail

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D02L01L01L01L00D02L11D10WA·KAP30/03H·TUR05/04H·QAR11/04A·SAB19/04H·ARA27/04A·ŞAM03/05H·ZIR10/05A·NEF18/05H·SUM23/05H·MIN12/09← Premyer LiqaBirinci Dasta →
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.300.600.330.600.270.60
vs Stronger (19)0.160.740.180.640.120.88
vs Similar (9)0.220.440.670.670.000.33
vs Weaker (2)2.000.001.000.003.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Difai Ağsu) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Difai Ağsu over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Difai Ağsu over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Difai Ağsu over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Səbail over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Səbail over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Səbail over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Difai AğsuDifai Ağsu

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D21W01L00D03L13L21W11D02L10WA·MOI27/03H·KAR03/04A·QAB11/04H·ZAQ17/04A·QAR24/04H·MIN01/05A·BAK08/05H·CƏB16/05H·IMI23/05A·BAK13/09
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.631.200.641.290.621.12
vs Stronger (12)0.581.170.000.330.781.44
vs Similar (9)0.331.440.601.800.001.00
vs Weaker (9)1.001.001.001.331.000.33
Clean sheet %23% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Səbail) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SəbailSəbail

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D12L22D10W10W01L01L03L10WA·KAP30/03H·TUR05/04H·QAR11/04A·SAB19/04H·ARA27/04A·ŞAM03/05H·ZIR10/05A·NEF18/05H·SUM23/05H·MIN12/09← Premyer LiqaBirinci Dasta →
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.800.200.870.800.73
vs Stronger (19)0.261.000.180.820.381.25
vs Similar (9)0.670.560.001.331.000.17
vs Weaker (2)2.000.001.000.003.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Difai Ağsu) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Difai Ağsu over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Difai Ağsu over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Difai Ağsu over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Səbail over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Səbail over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Səbail over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

No selections above 70% probability for this match.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (15)
€4m
SƏB (4)
€1m
MIN (2)
€0m
ZAQ (2)
€0m
CƏB (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (5)
€1m
MIN (2)
€0m
ZAQ (1)
€0m
SƏB (0)
€0m
CƏB (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (2)
€0m
SƏB (1)
€0m
CƏB (1)
€0m
MIN (0)
€0m
ZAQ (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (8)
€3m
SƏB (3)
€1m
ZAQ (1)
€0m
MIN (0)
€0m
CƏB (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
DA wins
0
Draws
0
SƏB wins

Head-to-head

Difai Ağsu vs Səbail · H/A from DA
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Difai AğsuDifai Ağsu

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
13/09/25ABaku Sportinq Vs DA2-2
23/05/25HDA Vs Imisli FK1-3
16/05/25HDA Vs Cəbrayıl1-1
08/05/25ABaku Sportinq Vs DA1-2
01/05/25HDA Vs Mingəçevir1-4
24/04/25AQaradağ Lökbatan Vs DA3-1
17/04/25HDA Vs Zaqatala1-0
11/04/25AQabala Vs DA4-0
03/04/25HDA Vs Karvan3-5
27/03/25AMOIK Vs DA1-3

SəbailSəbail

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/09/25HSƏB Vs Mingəçevir2-0
23/05/25HSƏB Vs Sumqayıt1-4
18/05/25ANeftchi Baku Vs SƏB3-0
10/05/25HSƏB Vs Zira0-1
03/05/25AŞamaxı FK Vs SƏB1-1
27/04/25HSƏB Vs Araz1-1
19/04/25ASabah FA Vs SƏB3-2
11/04/25HSƏB Vs Qarabag1-4
05/04/25HSƏB Vs Turan0-0
30/03/25AKapaz Vs SƏB1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Difai Ağsu
Difai Ağsu
Azerbaijan: Birinci Dasta
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDLD1.00
HomeLWLDL1.12
AwayWLLWD0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%29%19%
AVG goals3.203.043.35
Over 1.5 %72%67%77%
Over 2.5 %60%54%65%
Over 3.5 %52%46%58%
Scored1.421.461.38
Conceded1.781.581.96
BTTS56%54%58%
Clean Sheet20%21%19%
Corners---
Cards---
Səbail
Səbail
Azerbaijan: Birinci Dasta
Recent: 1 Wins / 4 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLLW0.72
HomeLDLLW0.79
AwayLDLDL0.65
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %16%17%15%
AVG goals2.642.542.73
Over 1.5 %72%71%73%
Over 2.5 %42%38%46%
Over 3.5 %28%25%31%
Scored1.000.961.04
Conceded1.641.581.69
BTTS44%42%46%
Clean Sheet24%25%23%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Safa BakuSafa Baku2757
59%
2.1
5221+31
2.7
74%
48%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1031.90.8
-
2MingəçevirMingəçevir2751
56%
1.9
5527+28
3.0
85%
56%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.0
-
3SəbailSəbail2750
52%
1.9
4621+25
2.5
59%
48%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.70.8
-
4Baku SportinqBaku Sportinq2749
48%
1.8
4023+17
2.3
70%
44%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.50.9
-
5ŞahdağŞahdağ2743
44%
1.6
3627+9
2.3
63%
41%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.0
-
6MOIKMOIK2733
33%
1.2
3340-7
2.7
81%
56%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.5
-
7ZaqatalaZaqatala2728
30%
1.0
2744-17
2.6
59%
52%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.6
-
8CəbrayılCəbrayıl2724
26%
0.9
4056-16
3.6
81%
67%
52%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.1
-
9ŞimalŞimal2823
21%
0.8
2562-37
3.1
71%
54%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.2
-
10Difai AğsuDifai Ağsu2718
15%
0.7
2860-32
3.3
89%
70%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.2
-
11Qaradağ LökbatanQaradağ Lökbatan10
0%
0.0
12-1
3.0
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.0
-
Azerbaijan: Birinci Dasta 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Azerbaijan: Birinci Dasta stats & trends →

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