This opponent (Saint Etienne) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Saint Etienne
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
1.20
2.00
0.94
0.86
1.50
vs Stronger (13)
1.15
1.46
1.86
0.86
0.33
2.17
vs Similar (9)
1.89
0.89
2.75
1.00
1.20
0.80
vs Weaker (8)
1.50
1.12
1.60
1.00
1.33
1.33
Clean sheet %
30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Dijon) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
73.1%
Under 1.5
26.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
46.3%
Under 2.5
53.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.8%
Under 3.5
75.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
52.3%
No
47.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.9%
0-1 ✓
9.8%
0-0
9.3%
1-2
8.7%
1-0
7.9%
0-2
7.6%
2-1
7.3%
2-0
5.3%
Dijon goals ↓
Saint Etienne goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.3%
9.8%
7.6%
3.5%
1.2%
1
7.9%
14%
8.7%
4.0%
1.4%
2
5.3%
7.3%
5.0%
2.3%
0.8%
3
2.0%
2.8%
1.9%
0.9%
0.3%
4
0.6%
0.8%
0.5%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dijon goals (down), columns = Saint Etienne goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Paris Saint Germain
2.39
Lille
1.97
Lyon
1.89
Saint Etienne
1.74
Marseille
1.61
Montpellier
1.55
Nice
1.47
Reims
1.45
Nimes
1.39
Rennes
1.37
Strasbourg
1.29
Nantes
1.26
Angers
1.21
Bordeaux
1.08
Amiens
1.00
Toulouse
1.00
Monaco
0.95
Dijon
0.89
Caen
0.87
Guingamp
0.71
Dijon is 0.84 points worse than Saint Etienne in terms of average points per game (0.89 vs 1.74).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Paris Saint Germain
2.76
Lyon
1.84
Lille
1.79
Marseille
1.58
Saint Etienne
1.55
Strasbourg
1.53
Nimes
1.50
Rennes
1.45
Montpellier
1.39
Nantes
1.26
Angers
1.16
Reims
1.03
Monaco
1.00
Toulouse
0.92
Bordeaux
0.89
Amiens
0.82
Dijon
0.82
Nice
0.79
Caen
0.76
Guingamp
0.74
Dijon is 0.74 goals worse than Saint Etienne in terms of goals scored per game (0.82 vs 1.55).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Lille
0.87
Nice
0.92
Paris Saint Germain
0.92
Saint Etienne
1.08
Bordeaux
1.11
Montpellier
1.11
Reims
1.11
Lyon
1.24
Nantes
1.26
Strasbourg
1.26
Angers
1.29
Amiens
1.37
Marseille
1.37
Rennes
1.37
Caen
1.42
Monaco
1.50
Toulouse
1.50
Nimes
1.53
Dijon
1.58
Guingamp
1.79
Dijon is 0.50 goals worse than Saint Etienne in terms of goals conceded per game (1.58 vs 1.08).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Dijon
For 3.7 · Against 5.9 · Total 9.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.3 · Against 1.9 · Total 5.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.7 · Against 12.2 · Total 27.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Saint Etienne
For 5.1 · Against 5.0 · Total 10.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.7 · Against 13.2 · Total 25.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Dijon
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
10.4
10.0
3.7
4.0
3.4
26.8
26.2
27.2
vs Stronger (39)
10.4
10.3
10.5
3.7
4.2
3.3
26.9
26.4
27.3
vs Similar (11)
9.4
10.8
7.6
3.5
3.2
3.8
26.3
25.8
26.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
58%
67%
50%
48%
54%
42%
92%
96%
88%
% under line
42%
33%
50%
52%
46%
58%
8%
4%
12%
This opponent (Saint Etienne) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Saint Etienne
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.5
10.6
10.3
3.7
3.6
3.8
25.2
25.6
24.9
vs Stronger (21)
9.7
8.9
10.6
3.3
3.0
3.7
23.5
23.6
23.3
vs Similar (15)
10.9
11.8
10.3
3.7
3.3
4.0
27.3
28.7
26.4
vs Weaker (14)
11.1
12.1
9.8
4.3
4.8
3.7
25.6
25.9
25.2
% over line
58%
52%
64%
58%
60%
56%
80%
84%
76%
% under line
42%
48%
36%
42%
40%
44%
20%
16%
24%
This opponent (Dijon) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Paris Saint Germain
10.8
Guingamp
10.5
Saint Etienne
10.5
Nantes
10.2
Dijon
10.2
Reims
10.1
Lyon
10.0
Marseille
10.0
Nice
9.9
Rennes
9.9
Monaco
9.8
Amiens
9.5
Toulouse
9.5
Angers
9.5
Strasbourg
9.5
Caen
9.3
Bordeaux
9.3
Nimes
9.2
Lille
9.0
Montpellier
8.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Nimes
4.6
Toulouse
4.4
Nice
4.3
Rennes
4.3
Caen
4.1
Strasbourg
4.1
Monaco
4.1
Nantes
4.0
Lyon
4.0
Marseille
3.9
Bordeaux
3.8
Guingamp
3.7
Paris Saint Germain
3.7
Saint Etienne
3.7
Montpellier
3.7
Dijon
3.7
Lille
3.6
Angers
3.5
Reims
3.1
Amiens
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Reims
27.8
Toulouse
27.8
Monaco
27.4
Montpellier
26.9
Dijon
26.8
Caen
26.6
Bordeaux
26.6
Nimes
26.4
Amiens
26.3
Nice
26.2
Strasbourg
25.8
Marseille
25.8
Rennes
25.8
Guingamp
25.8
Nantes
25.5
Lyon
25.3
Saint Etienne
25.2
Lille
25.1
Paris Saint Germain
24.1
Angers
23.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
61.1%
Under 9.5
38.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
56.8%
Under 3.5
43.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
79.3%
Under 21.5
20.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Dijon
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.80
0.57
0.86
0.19
0.75
vs Stronger (23)
0.48
0.78
0.73
0.82
0.25
0.75
vs Similar (7)
0.00
0.86
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Saint Etienne) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Saint Etienne
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.40
0.94
0.50
0.43
0.29
vs Stronger (13)
0.69
0.38
1.14
0.29
0.17
0.50
vs Similar (9)
0.67
0.33
1.00
0.75
0.40
0.00
vs Weaker (8)
0.75
0.50
0.60
0.60
1.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Dijon) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dijon over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dijon over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dijon over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Saint Etienne over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Saint Etienne over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Saint Etienne over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Dijon
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.90
0.64
0.93
0.62
0.88
vs Stronger (23)
0.78
0.87
0.82
0.91
0.75
0.83
vs Similar (7)
0.14
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.25
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Saint Etienne) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Saint Etienne
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.80
1.06
0.44
0.43
1.21
vs Stronger (13)
0.46
1.08
0.71
0.57
0.17
1.67
vs Similar (9)
1.22
0.56
1.75
0.25
0.80
0.80
vs Weaker (8)
0.75
0.62
1.00
0.40
0.33
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Dijon) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dijon over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dijon over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dijon over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Saint Etienne over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Saint Etienne over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Saint Etienne over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
89.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
79.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
78.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
76.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
75.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
73.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
72.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Dijon · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jordan Marié25%
Adel Lembezat25%
Samy Chouchane25%
Paul Delecroix0%
Quentin Bernard0%
Mickaël Barreto0%
Yanis Barka0%
Júlio Tavares0%
Ismail Bouleghcha0%
Paul Bellon0%
Lenny Lacroix0%
Brandon Ndezi0%
Alexis Ntamack0%
Ylan Aka0%
Tyris Dong0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lenny Lacroix50%
Adel Lembezat25%
Paul Bellon25%
Brandon Ndezi25%
Tyris Dong25%
Paul Delecroix0%
Quentin Bernard0%
Mickaël Barreto0%
Yanis Barka0%
Jordan Marié0%
Júlio Tavares0%
Ismail Bouleghcha0%
Samy Chouchane0%
Alexis Ntamack0%
Ylan Aka0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Júlio Tavares25%
Paul Bellon25%
Paul Delecroix0%
Quentin Bernard0%
Mickaël Barreto0%
Yanis Barka0%
Jordan Marié0%
Adel Lembezat0%
Ismail Bouleghcha0%
Lenny Lacroix0%
Samy Chouchane0%
Brandon Ndezi0%
Alexis Ntamack0%
Ylan Aka0%
Tyris Dong0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alexis Ntamack50%
Yanis Barka25%
Adel Lembezat25%
Samy Chouchane25%
Paul Delecroix0%
Quentin Bernard0%
Mickaël Barreto0%
Jordan Marié0%
Júlio Tavares0%
Ismail Bouleghcha0%
Paul Bellon0%
Lenny Lacroix0%
Brandon Ndezi0%
Ylan Aka0%
Tyris Dong0%
Saint Etienne · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Irvin Cardona75%
Thierno Ballo75%
Jakob Breum67%
Zuriko Davitashvili25%
Áron Csongvai25%
Augustine Boakye25%
Gautier Larsonneur0%
Julien Le Cardinal0%
Maxime Bernauer0%
Tamar Svetlin0%
Sohaib Nair0%
Joshua Duffus0%
Kevin Pedro0%
Adam Baallal0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jakob Breum67%
Zuriko Davitashvili25%
Maxime Bernauer25%
Irvin Cardona0%
Gautier Larsonneur0%
Julien Le Cardinal0%
Tamar Svetlin0%
Thierno Ballo0%
Áron Csongvai0%
Sohaib Nair0%
Joshua Duffus0%
Augustine Boakye0%
Kevin Pedro0%
Adam Baallal0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jakob Breum67%
Irvin Cardona50%
Thierno Ballo50%
Augustine Boakye50%
Zuriko Davitashvili25%
Áron Csongvai25%
Gautier Larsonneur0%
Julien Le Cardinal0%
Maxime Bernauer0%
Tamar Svetlin0%
Sohaib Nair0%
Joshua Duffus0%
Kevin Pedro0%
Adam Baallal0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Thierno Ballo50%
Jakob Breum33%
Irvin Cardona25%
Zuriko Davitashvili25%
Joshua Duffus25%
Kevin Pedro25%
Gautier Larsonneur0%
Julien Le Cardinal0%
Maxime Bernauer0%
Tamar Svetlin0%
Áron Csongvai0%
Sohaib Nair0%
Augustine Boakye0%
Adam Baallal0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (26)
€1477m
MON (26)
€326m
LIL (27)
€312m
STR (32)
€304m
LYO (32)
€293m
REN (26)
€241m
MAR (22)
€225m
NIC (28)
€152m
TOU (24)
€115m
SE (30)
€93m
NAN (25)
€82m
ANG (23)
€73m
REI (30)
€72m
MON (24)
€29m
GUI (20)
€11m
DIJ (20)
€5m
AMI (14)
€4m
CAE (18)
€4m
Dijon's squad is €88m less valuable than Saint Etienne's (€5m vs €93m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (10)
€638m
MON (9)
€148m
LIL (13)
€133m
LYO (9)
€122m
STR (13)
€112m
MAR (9)
€91m
REN (8)
€87m
NIC (8)
€62m
SE (10)
€54m
REI (12)
€38m
NAN (8)
€31m
ANG (9)
€30m
TOU (7)
€30m
MON (9)
€11m
GUI (4)
€3m
CAE (8)
€2m
DIJ (7)
€1m
AMI (4)
€0m
Dijon's attack is €53m less valuable than Saint Etienne's (€1m vs €54m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (5)
€430m
LIL (4)
€102m
MON (5)
€84m
LYO (8)
€82m
MAR (5)
€68m
STR (6)
€56m
REN (5)
€44m
TOU (7)
€39m
NIC (9)
€31m
NAN (7)
€16m
REI (6)
€13m
ANG (3)
€11m
SE (7)
€11m
MON (5)
€6m
GUI (8)
€4m
DIJ (6)
€2m
CAE (4)
€1m
AMI (2)
€0m
Dijon's midfield is €9m less valuable than Saint Etienne's (€2m vs €11m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (11)
€409m
STR (13)
€136m
REN (13)
€109m
MON (12)
€93m
LYO (15)
€89m
LIL (10)
€76m
MAR (8)
€66m
NIC (11)
€60m
TOU (10)
€46m
NAN (10)
€34m
ANG (11)
€32m
SE (13)
€28m
REI (12)
€21m
MON (10)
€12m
AMI (8)
€4m
GUI (8)
€3m
CAE (6)
€2m
DIJ (7)
€2m
Dijon's defence is €26m less valuable than Saint Etienne's (€2m vs €28m).
France: Ligue 1 2018/19 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 1 stats & trends →
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Paris Saint Germain
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Montpellier
Nice
Reims
Nimes
Rennes
Strasbourg
Nantes
Angers
Bordeaux
Amiens
Toulouse
Monaco
Caen
Guingamp