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Dila vs Rustavi Result & Analysis

Date: 22/06/2026
Time: 15:00
Final 3-0
Dila
Dila
Vs
46%
26%
29%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Rustavi
Rustavi
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Dila is the favourite to win against Rustavi, with the match expected to be a high-scoring affair, averaging 3 goals. The single most likely correct score is 1-1, with a probability of 11.9%.

Dila has been on a 2-game winning run, having beaten Rustavi 3-0 in their last encounter, and they have a strong home record, scoring 2.38 goals on average at home, while conceding just 1. The away side, Rustavi, has also been in good form, winning 2 of their last 3 matches.

The model's selections include Over 1.5 goals, with an 81.8% chance of hitting, and the home win, which is the model's pick, with a 46% chance of occurring. The draw percentage is 26%, while the away win percentage is 29%. The model's suggested picks are Over 1.5 goals (81.8%), with no other picks provided.

Results analysis

The win extends Dila's 2-game winning run, with a 3-0 thrashing of Rustavi. The final score was a decisive one, with the home side claiming a comfortable victory. The model's call was correct, backing the home win with a probability of 46%. The model's selection of home win paid off, as the actual result was indeed a home win. The suggested picks largely came in, with over 1.5 goals hitting, as predicted with an 81.8% probability. The model's other predictions, however, did not materialize, with no further details available.

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Dila win✓ Hit
45.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Rustavi win✗ Miss
28.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

DilaDila

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L10W20W21W21W41W22D23L23L31WA·SAB26/10H·TOR03/11A·TEL08/11A·DIN21/11H·SAM26/11A·KOL30/11H·DIN06/12H·SAM29/05A·DIN12/06H·SPA16/06
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.971.302.071.331.871.27
vs Stronger (2)2.002.503.003.001.002.00
vs Similar (13)1.541.541.501.501.571.57
vs Weaker (15)2.330.932.381.002.290.86
Clean sheet %37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Rustavi) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RustaviRustavi

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D21W51W12L30W40W12L21W10W21WA·SAB26/10A·SIO01/11H·LOK08/11A·SPA21/11H·DIN25/11A·GON29/11H·MES06/12H·SPA29/05H·MES13/06A·SAB17/06
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.830.731.930.531.730.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)1.590.762.000.571.300.90
vs Weaker (13)2.150.691.880.502.601.00
Clean sheet %50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Dila) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%410%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.8%
Under 1.5
18.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
58.7%
Under 2.5
41.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
36.3%
Under 3.5
63.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
61.4%
No
38.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.9%
2-1
9.3%
1-2
7.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-0
7.0%
2-2
6.2%
0-0
5.8%
3-1
5.3%
Dila goals ↓
Rustavi goals →
01234
05.8%5.2%4.2%1.9%0.6%
17.1%12%7.2%3.2%1.1%
27.0%9.3%6.2%2.7%0.9%
34.0%5.3%3.5%1.6%0.5%
41.7%2.3%1.5%0.7%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dila goals (down), columns = Rustavi goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Rustavi
2.50
Dinamo Tbilisi
2.00
Samgurali
2.00
Gagra
1.80
Dila
1.50
Dinamo Batumi
1.40
Saburtalo
1.40
Torpedo Kutaisi
0.67
Spaeri
0.40
Meshakhte
0.20
Dila is 1.00 points worse than Rustavi in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 2.50).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Dinamo Tbilisi
2.67
Dila
2.50
Samgurali
2.00
Dinamo Batumi
1.80
Saburtalo
1.60
Rustavi
1.50
Gagra
1.40
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.33
Spaeri
0.80
Meshakhte
0.80
Dila is 1.00 goals better than Rustavi in terms of goals scored per game (2.50 vs 1.50).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Rustavi
0.83
Gagra
1.00
Spaeri
1.60
Saburtalo
1.60
Dila
1.75
Dinamo Batumi
1.80
Samgurali
1.80
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.83
Dinamo Tbilisi
1.83
Meshakhte
2.40
Dila is 0.92 goals worse than Rustavi in terms of goals conceded per game (1.75 vs 0.83).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸ”Ĩ 6. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.581.8%-------✓ Hit

💰 7. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DB (25)
€6m
TK (18)
€6m
DIL (15)
€3m
SPA (20)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DB (9)
€3m
TK (5)
€2m
DIL (7)
€1m
SPA (8)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DB (6)
€1m
TK (4)
€1m
SPA (4)
€0m
DIL (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TK (9)
€2m
DB (10)
€2m
DIL (6)
€1m
SPA (8)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 8. Games History

Head-to-head

Dila vs Rustavi · H/A from DIL
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

DilaDila

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/06/26HDIL Vs Spaeri3-1
12/06/26ADinamo Batumi Vs DIL3-2
29/05/26HDIL Vs Samgurali2-3
06/12/25HDIL Vs Dinamo Tbilisi2-2
30/11/25AKolkheti Poti Vs DIL1-4
26/11/25HDIL Vs Samgurali2-1
21/11/25ADinamo Batumi Vs DIL1-2
08/11/25ATelavi Vs DIL0-2
03/11/25HDIL Vs Torpedo Kutaisi1-0
26/10/25ASaburtalo Vs DIL2-1

RustaviRustavi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/06/26ASaburtalo Vs RUS1-2
13/06/26HRUS Vs Meshakhte1-0
29/05/26HRUS Vs Spaeri2-1
06/12/25HRUS Vs Meshakhte1-2
29/11/25AGonio Vs RUS0-4
25/11/25HRUS Vs Dinamo Tbilisi II3-0
21/11/25ASpaeri Vs RUS2-1
08/11/25HRUS Vs Lokomotivi Tbilisi5-1
01/11/25ASioni Vs RUS1-2
26/10/25ASaburtalo II Vs RUS0-0

📊 9. Overall Statistics

Dila
Dila
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLLW1.96
HomeWWDLW2.08
AwayLWWWL1.84
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %62%64%60%
AVG goals2.803.002.60
Over 1.5 %70%72%68%
Over 2.5 %52%48%56%
Over 3.5 %26%32%20%
Scored1.701.881.52
Conceded1.101.121.08
BTTS50%48%52%
Clean Sheet38%40%36%
Corners---
Cards---
Rustavi
Rustavi
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWW1.98
HomeWWLWW2.38
AwayDWLWW1.54
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %60%77%42%
AVG goals2.642.542.75
Over 1.5 %80%73%88%
Over 2.5 %56%50%62%
Over 3.5 %22%15%29%
Scored1.761.881.62
Conceded0.880.651.12
BTTS46%38%54%
Clean Sheet44%54%33%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 10. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1RustaviRustavi615
83%
2.5
95+4
2.3
67%
67%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.50.8
-
2Dinamo TbilisiDinamo Tbilisi612
67%
2.0
1611+5
4.5
100%
100%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.71.8
-
3SamguraliSamgurali510
60%
2.0
109+1
3.8
80%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.8
-
4GagraGagra59
40%
1.8
75+2
2.4
80%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.0
-
5Dinamo BatumiDinamo Batumi57
40%
1.4
99+0
3.6
80%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3121.81.8
-
6SaburtaloSaburtalo57
40%
1.4
88+0
3.2
80%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.6
-
7DilaDila46
50%
1.5
107+3
4.2
100%
100%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1012.51.8
-
8Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi64
17%
0.7
811-3
3.2
67%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2121.31.8
-
9SpaeriSpaeri52
0%
0.4
48-4
2.4
80%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.81.6
-
10MeshakhteMeshakhte51
0%
0.2
412-8
3.2
80%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.4
-
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Georgia: Erovnuli Liga stats & trends →

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