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Dila vs Spaeri Result & Analysis

Date: 16/06/2026
Time: 16:00
Final 3-1
Dila
Dila
Vs
45%
27%
28%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Spaeri
Spaeri
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Dila is poised to continue their momentum as they face Spaeri. The home side has been on a 2-game winning run, most recently defeating Rustavi 3-0. This success has been fueled by Dila's strong home form, where they average 2.29 goals scored and 1 conceded per match against weaker opponents.

Spaeri, on the other hand, have struggled on the road, scoring just 0.5 goals and conceding 1.5 per match against stronger opponents. This trend suggests a tough outing for the visitors.

The model predicts a home win, with a 45% probability of Dila emerging victorious. The draw is a 27% possibility, while Spaeri's away win is estimated at 28%. The expected total number of goals is 2.8, with the most likely total number of goals being 2.

The model's selection is the home win, with a 45% probability. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 12.7% probability. The model also suggests "Over 1.5" with a 78.6% probability of hitting. Dila's home win percentage is 45%, the draw percentage is 27%, and the away win percentage is 28%.

Results analysis

The win extends Dila's 2-game winning run, with a 3-1 victory over Spaeri. The favoured home win, as predicted by the Pythia model, landed, and the model's selection was correct. The model had given the home win a 45% chance of occurrence. The suggested Over 1.5 total goals selection hit, with a probability of 78.6% prior to the match. The most likely score, a 2-1 win for Dila, held a 9.3% probability, while the most probable total goals was 2, with a 25% chance.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dila win✓ Hit
45.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Spaeri win✗ Miss
28.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

DilaDila

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-550W12L10W20W21W21W41W22D23L23LH·GAG21/10A·SAB26/10H·TOR03/11A·TEL08/11A·DIN21/11H·SAM26/11A·KOL30/11H·DIN06/12H·SAM29/05A·DIN12/06
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.871.301.871.331.871.27
vs Stronger (2)2.002.503.003.001.002.00
vs Similar (14)1.431.501.291.431.571.57
vs Weaker (14)2.290.932.291.002.290.86
Clean sheet %37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Spaeri) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SpaeriSpaeri

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D11D21W03L23L21W20W12L12L11DH·MER01/11A·SAM08/11H·RUS21/11A·SIO25/11H·LOK29/11A·SAB06/12A·GAR10/12H·GAR14/12A·RUS29/05A·SAB12/06
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.201.361.360.941.06
vs Stronger (3)0.332.670.005.000.501.50
vs Similar (17)1.181.121.380.881.001.33
vs Weaker (10)1.300.901.601.401.000.40
Clean sheet %33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Dila) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%19%25%7%014%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.6%
Under 1.5
21.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
53.9%
Under 2.5
46.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
31.6%
Under 3.5
68.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
57.7%
No
42.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.7%
2-1
9.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
7.1%
0-0
7.0%
0-1
6.0%
2-2
5.7%
Dila goals ↓
Spaeri goals →
01234
07.0%6.0%4.4%1.8%0.6%
18.3%13%7.1%2.9%0.9%
27.6%9.3%5.7%2.3%0.7%
34.1%5.0%3.1%1.3%0.4%
41.6%2.0%1.2%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dila goals (down), columns = Spaeri goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Rustavi
2.50
Dinamo Tbilisi
2.00
Samgurali
2.00
Gagra
1.80
Dila
1.50
Dinamo Batumi
1.40
Saburtalo
1.40
Torpedo Kutaisi
0.67
Spaeri
0.40
Meshakhte
0.20
Dila is 1.10 points better than Spaeri in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 0.40).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Dinamo Tbilisi
2.67
Dila
2.50
Samgurali
2.00
Dinamo Batumi
1.80
Saburtalo
1.60
Rustavi
1.50
Gagra
1.40
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.33
Spaeri
0.80
Meshakhte
0.80
Dila is 1.70 goals better than Spaeri in terms of goals scored per game (2.50 vs 0.80).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Rustavi
0.83
Gagra
1.00
Spaeri
1.60
Saburtalo
1.60
Dila
1.75
Dinamo Batumi
1.80
Samgurali
1.80
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.83
Dinamo Tbilisi
1.83
Meshakhte
2.40
Dila is 0.15 goals worse than Spaeri in terms of goals conceded per game (1.75 vs 1.60).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🔥 6. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.578.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 7. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DB (25)
€6m
TK (18)
€6m
DIL (15)
€3m
SPA (20)
€2m
Dila's squad is €2m more valuable than Spaeri's (€3m vs €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DB (9)
€3m
TK (5)
€2m
DIL (7)
€1m
SPA (8)
€1m
Dila and Spaeri have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DB (6)
€1m
TK (4)
€1m
SPA (4)
€0m
DIL (2)
€0m
Dila and Spaeri have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TK (9)
€2m
DB (10)
€2m
DIL (6)
€1m
SPA (8)
€1m
Dila and Spaeri have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 8. Games History

Head-to-head

Dila vs Spaeri · H/A from DIL
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

DilaDila

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/06/26ADinamo Batumi Vs DIL3-2
29/05/26HDIL Vs Samgurali2-3
06/12/25HDIL Vs Dinamo Tbilisi2-2
30/11/25AKolkheti Poti Vs DIL1-4
26/11/25HDIL Vs Samgurali2-1
21/11/25ADinamo Batumi Vs DIL1-2
08/11/25ATelavi Vs DIL0-2
03/11/25HDIL Vs Torpedo Kutaisi1-0
26/10/25ASaburtalo Vs DIL2-1
21/10/25HDIL Vs Gagra5-0

SpaeriSpaeri

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/06/26ASaburtalo Vs SPA1-1
29/05/26ARustavi Vs SPA2-1
14/12/25HSPA Vs Gareji1-2
10/12/25AGareji Vs SPA0-2
06/12/25ASaburtalo II Vs SPA1-2
29/11/25HSPA Vs Lokomotivi Tbilisi2-3
25/11/25ASioni Vs SPA3-0
21/11/25HSPA Vs Rustavi2-1
08/11/25ASamtredia Vs SPA1-1
01/11/25HSPA Vs Merani Martvili0-0

📊 9. Overall Statistics

Dila
Dila
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDLL1.96
HomeWWWDL2.08
AwayLWWWL1.84
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %62%64%60%
AVG goals2.782.962.60
Over 1.5 %70%72%68%
Over 2.5 %52%48%56%
Over 3.5 %24%28%20%
Scored1.681.841.52
Conceded1.101.121.08
BTTS50%48%52%
Clean Sheet38%40%36%
Corners---
Cards---
Spaeri
Spaeri
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLD1.50
HomeLDWLL1.58
AwayLWWLD1.42
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%42%38%
AVG goals2.623.042.23
Over 1.5 %76%79%73%
Over 2.5 %48%62%35%
Over 3.5 %20%33%8%
Scored1.441.751.15
Conceded1.181.291.08
BTTS52%58%46%
Clean Sheet34%38%31%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 10. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1RustaviRustavi615
83%
2.5
95+4
2.3
67%
67%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.50.8
-
2Dinamo TbilisiDinamo Tbilisi612
67%
2.0
1611+5
4.5
100%
100%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.71.8
-
3SamguraliSamgurali510
60%
2.0
109+1
3.8
80%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.8
-
4GagraGagra59
40%
1.8
75+2
2.4
80%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.0
-
5Dinamo BatumiDinamo Batumi57
40%
1.4
99+0
3.6
80%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3121.81.8
-
6SaburtaloSaburtalo57
40%
1.4
88+0
3.2
80%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.6
-
7DilaDila46
50%
1.5
107+3
4.2
100%
100%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1012.51.8
-
8Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi64
17%
0.7
811-3
3.2
67%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2121.31.8
-
9SpaeriSpaeri52
0%
0.4
48-4
2.4
80%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.81.6
-
10MeshakhteMeshakhte51
0%
0.2
412-8
3.2
80%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.4
-
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Georgia: Erovnuli Liga stats & trends →

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