Dila vs Torpedo Kutaisi Result & Analysis

Dila are tipped to win, the model’s pick for a home victory, with a 42% chance versus a 29% draw and 29% away win. The match is expected to produce 2.5 goals, centring on a 2-goal total that carries a 27% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 13.8% chance, a tidy reflection of both sides’ similar offensive output. Dila’s home form shows they average 2.0 goals scored and concede 1.43 against comparable opposition, while Torpedo Kutaisi, on the road, averages 1.29 scored and 1.71 conceded to similar teams. The model’s selections include an 89.5% chance of over 19.5 fouls, 79.6% over 21.5 fouls, 79.5% over 2.5 cards, 75.1% under 3.5 (hit), 74.7% under 5.5 cards, 73.2% over 1.5 (miss) and 72.1% under 11.5 corners. Both clubs have recently slipped after defeats, with Dila losing 1-2 to Dinamo Tbilisi and Torpedo Kutaisi falling 0-2 to Meshakhte. The forecast suggests a balanced contest, but the home side’s slight edge keeps the win probability highest.

The upset came as Dila, the pre-match favourite with a 42% chance of victory, fell short, losing 0-1 to Torpedo Kutaisi. The model’s call was wrong, as the away side secured the win. The predicted 2.5-goal total proved inaccurate; the match ended with a single goal, but the Under 3.5 selection hit, reflecting the 75.1% probability, while the Over 1.5 pick missed its 73.2% chance. Dila’s recent form, a run of LDWWW after a defeat, was halted, whereas Torpedo Kutaisi, also coming off a loss, finished LDWLD. The most likely score of 1-1 at 13.8% and 1-0 at 9.9% did not materialise, underscoring the unpredictability of the game.