Dila vs Torpedo Kutaisi Result & Analysis

The contest between Dila and Torpedo Kutaisi is finely balanced, with the model favouring a home win. The probabilities are 41% for Dila, 27% for a draw and 32% for Torpedo Kutaisi. The expected total goals sit at 2.8, but the most likely total is 2, with a 25% chance. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, occurring with a 13% probability.

Dila, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, averages 1.29 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. Torpedo Kutaisi, on the road, averages 0.89 scored and 1.0 conceded against similar opposition. Both sides have recently come off defeats, with Dila losing 1-2 to Dinamo Tbilisi and Torpedo Kutaisi losing 0-2 to Meshakhte.

The model’s selection is Over 1.5 goals, with a 78.2% probability. No other selections are offered.

Dila’s narrow 1-0 victory over Torpedo Kutaisi capped a tough day for the selections, as the team returned from a defeat and the run of results had left them in a precarious position. The model’s favourite was a home win, with a 41% probability, and it proved correct. The predicted most likely score of 1-1 fell short, while the actual score of 1-0 matched the model’s expectation of a single-goal outcome. The only suggested pick was Over 1.5 goals, at 78.2%, which missed. With the win extending Dila’s run, the outcome aligned with the model’s overall assessment, though the over-goals selection failed to hit.