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Dinamo Batumi vs Saburtalo Result & Analysis

Date: 04/11/2025
Time: 16:00
Final 0-2
Dinamo Batumi
Dinamo Batumi
Vs
18%
23%
59%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Saburtalo
Saburtalo
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Dinamo Batumi’s recent three-game winning streak at home gives them a glimmer of confidence, yet the odds still favor an away win for Saburtalo, who have endured four straight defeats away from home. The model predicts a 59% chance of Saburtalo triumphing, with 23% for a draw and 18% for Dinamo to win. The expected goal tally sits at 3.1, and the most likely total of three goals carries a 22% probability. The single most probable scoreline is a 1-1 draw, with a 10.5% chance.

Dinamo’s home form shows they average 1.12 goals scored and concede 2.12 against opponents of similar strength, while Saburtalo’s away record boasts 1.78 goals scored and only 1.44 conceded to comparable teams. The model’s selection of Over 1.5 goals carries an 83.1% probability, reflecting the high likelihood of both sides finding the net.

In summary, the match is projected to end in a 1-1 draw with a 10.5% chance, but the overall odds still lean towards a Saburtalo victory, and the Over 1.5 goal selection stands out as the strongest model pick.

Results analysis

Dinamo Batumi’s 3-game winning streak at home was halted as Saburtalo, on a four-game losing run, secured a 0-2 victory. The model’s pre-match favourite, an away win at 59%, proved correct, and the final score matched the predicted 0-2 outcome. The model’s selection of Over 1.5 goals, with an 83.1% probability, also hit, as the match produced two goals. The most likely scoreline of 1-1 (10.5%) and the 3-goal total (22%) were not achieved, but the overall prediction of an away win and a goal-rich game was delivered accurately.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dinamo Batumi win✗ Miss
18.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
22.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Saburtalo win✓ Hit
59.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Dinamo BatumiDinamo Batumi

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L00D22D02L13L12L22D11D14L14LH·GAG17/08A·SAB23/08H·TOR29/08A·DIL14/09H·TEL19/09H·SAM28/09A·KOL03/10A·DIN18/10H·GAR22/10A·GAG26/10
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.431.331.670.871.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)0.821.411.122.120.560.78
vs Weaker (13)1.461.461.571.141.331.83
Clean sheet %30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Saburtalo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SaburtaloSaburtalo

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-660W00D10W02L12L11D31W20W13L21WA·DIL17/08H·DIN23/08A·SAM29/08H·KOL14/09A·DIN19/09H·GAR28/09A·GAG03/10A·TEL17/10A·TOR21/10H·DIL26/10
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.531.001.501.001.561.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)1.441.111.110.781.781.44
vs Weaker (12)1.670.832.201.401.290.43
Clean sheet %40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Batumi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%012%122%222%318%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.1%
Under 1.5
16.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
60.9%
Under 2.5
39.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
38.5%
Under 3.5
61.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
58.5%
No
41.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
0-2 ✓
9.2%
0-1
8.0%
1-3
6.9%
0-3
6.4%
2-2
5.3%
0-0
5.3%
Dinamo Batumi goals ↓
Saburtalo goals →
01234
05.3%8.0%9.2%6.4%3.3%
13.7%11%9.9%6.9%3.6%
22.5%5.1%5.3%3.7%1.9%
30.9%1.8%1.9%1.3%0.7%
40.2%0.5%0.5%0.4%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dinamo Batumi goals (down), columns = Saburtalo goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Saburtalo
2.22
Dila
2.17
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.75
Dinamo Tbilisi
1.58
Spaeri
1.50
Gagra
1.19
Dinamo Batumi
1.19
Samgurali
1.17
Telavi
1.00
Meshakhte
1.00
Gareji
0.97
Kolkheti Poti
0.61
Dinamo Batumi is 1.03 points worse than Saburtalo in terms of average points per game (1.19 vs 2.22).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.75
Dila
1.75
Saburtalo
1.67
Spaeri
1.50
Samgurali
1.50
Dinamo Tbilisi
1.42
Gagra
1.22
Gareji
1.13
Dinamo Batumi
1.11
Telavi
1.00
Meshakhte
1.00
Kolkheti Poti
0.92
Dinamo Batumi is 0.56 goals worse than Saburtalo in terms of goals scored per game (1.11 vs 1.67).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Saburtalo
0.67
Dinamo Tbilisi
0.94
Dila
0.97
Spaeri
1.00
Meshakhte
1.00
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.14
Samgurali
1.47
Gareji
1.50
Gagra
1.53
Telavi
1.61
Dinamo Batumi
1.64
Kolkheti Poti
1.97
Dinamo Batumi is 0.97 goals worse than Saburtalo in terms of goals conceded per game (1.64 vs 0.67).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Dinamo BatumiDinamo Batumi

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

SaburtaloSaburtalo

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Dinamo BatumiDinamo Batumi

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (27)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (23)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Saburtalo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SaburtaloSaburtalo

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (29)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (21)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Dinamo Batumi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Torpedo Kutaisi
10.2
Saburtalo
10.2
Dila
8.9
Dinamo Tbilisi
7.8
Dinamo Batumi
7.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Torpedo Kutaisi
6.3
Dila
5.2
Saburtalo
5.0
Dinamo Batumi
4.5
Dinamo Tbilisi
3.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Dila
30.7
Torpedo Kutaisi
28.0
Dinamo Tbilisi
25.0
Dinamo Batumi
24.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Dinamo BatumiDinamo Batumi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D00D12L00D02L01L01L00D00D01LH·GAG17/08A·SAB23/08H·TOR29/08A·DIL14/09H·TEL19/09H·SAM28/09A·KOL03/10A·DIN18/10H·GAR22/10A·GAG26/10
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.630.730.870.270.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)0.410.470.621.000.220.00
vs Weaker (13)0.620.850.860.710.331.00
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Saburtalo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SaburtaloSaburtalo

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W00D00D00D11D00D21W10W12L20WA·DIL17/08H·DIN23/08A·SAM29/08H·KOL14/09A·DIN19/09H·GAR28/09A·GAG03/10A·TEL17/10A·TOR21/10H·DIL26/10
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.370.640.290.880.44
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)0.780.330.440.111.110.56
vs Weaker (12)0.750.421.000.600.570.29
Clean sheet %73% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Batumi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dinamo Batumi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Batumi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Batumi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Saburtalo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Saburtalo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Saburtalo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Dinamo BatumiDinamo Batumi

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L00D10W02L11D11D21W11D14L13LH·GAG17/08A·SAB23/08H·TOR29/08A·DIL14/09H·TEL19/09H·SAM28/09A·KOL03/10A·DIN18/10H·GAR22/10A·GAG26/10
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.800.600.800.600.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)0.410.940.501.120.330.78
vs Weaker (13)0.850.620.710.431.000.83
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Saburtalo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SaburtaloSaburtalo

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-440W00D10W02L01L11D10W10W01L01LA·DIL17/08H·DIN23/08A·SAM29/08H·KOL14/09A·DIN19/09H·GAR28/09A·GAG03/10A·TEL17/10A·TOR21/10H·DIL26/10
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.630.860.710.690.56
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)0.670.780.670.670.670.89
vs Weaker (12)0.920.421.200.800.710.14
Clean sheet %50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Batumi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dinamo Batumi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Batumi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Batumi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Saburtalo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Saburtalo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Saburtalo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.583.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (26)
€7m
TK (22)
€7m
DB (25)
€6m
SAB (22)
€6m
DIL (23)
€4m
SAM (24)
€3m
GAG (23)
€3m
MES (21)
€2m
SPA (20)
€2m
KP (3)
€0m
Dinamo Batumi and Saburtalo have a similar squad value (both €6m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DB (9)
€3m
DT (11)
€3m
SAB (7)
€3m
TK (7)
€2m
DIL (8)
€2m
SAM (9)
€1m
GAG (8)
€1m
SPA (8)
€1m
MES (7)
€1m
KP (2)
€0m
Dinamo Batumi and Saburtalo have a similar attack value (both €3m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TK (5)
€2m
SAB (5)
€2m
DB (6)
€1m
MES (5)
€1m
SAM (5)
€1m
GAG (6)
€1m
DT (4)
€1m
DIL (6)
€1m
SPA (4)
€0m
KP (0)
€0m
Dinamo Batumi and Saburtalo have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (11)
€3m
SAB (10)
€2m
TK (10)
€2m
DIL (9)
€2m
DB (10)
€2m
SAM (10)
€1m
GAG (9)
€1m
SPA (8)
€1m
MES (9)
€1m
KP (1)
€0m
Dinamo Batumi and Saburtalo have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
0
DB wins
3
Draws
5
SAB wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Dinamo Batumi vs Saburtalo · H/A from DB
DateH/AGameScore
23/08/25ASaburtalo Vs DB0-0
07/05/25HDB Vs Saburtalo2-3
15/03/25ASaburtalo Vs DB1-1
23/11/24HDB Vs Saburtalo0-1
14/09/24ASaburtalo Vs DB3-0
19/05/24HDB Vs Saburtalo2-3
02/04/24ASaburtalo Vs DB3-0
08/10/23ASaburtalo Vs DB0-0

Dinamo BatumiDinamo Batumi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/10/25AGagra Vs DB4-1
22/10/25HDB Vs Gareji1-4
18/10/25ADinamo Tbilisi Vs DB1-1
03/10/25AKolkheti Poti Vs DB2-2
28/09/25HDB Vs Samgurali1-2
19/09/25HDB Vs Telavi1-3
14/09/25ADila Vs DB2-0
29/08/25HDB Vs Torpedo Kutaisi2-2
23/08/25ASaburtalo Vs DB0-0
17/08/25HDB Vs Gagra1-2

SaburtaloSaburtalo

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/10/25HSAB Vs Dila2-1
21/10/25ATorpedo Kutaisi Vs SAB3-1
17/10/25ATelavi Vs SAB0-2
03/10/25AGagra Vs SAB1-3
28/09/25HSAB Vs Gareji1-1
19/09/25ADinamo Tbilisi Vs SAB2-1
14/09/25HSAB Vs Kolkheti Poti0-2
29/08/25ASamgurali Vs SAB0-1
23/08/25HSAB Vs Dinamo Batumi0-0
17/08/25ADila Vs SAB0-6

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Dinamo Batumi
Dinamo Batumi
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Recent: 0 Wins / 4 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDLL1.24
HomeLDLLL1.20
AwayDLDDL1.28
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%32%28%
AVG goals2.342.522.16
Over 1.5 %72%76%68%
Over 2.5 %40%44%36%
Over 3.5 %18%24%12%
Scored1.021.080.96
Conceded1.321.441.20
BTTS52%52%52%
Clean Sheet30%32%28%
Corners---
Cards---
Saburtalo
Saburtalo
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWLW2.08
HomeDDLDW2.04
AwayWLWWL2.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %62%58%65%
AVG goals2.702.542.85
Over 1.5 %74%83%65%
Over 2.5 %52%50%54%
Over 3.5 %28%21%35%
Scored1.781.711.85
Conceded0.920.831.00
BTTS54%54%54%
Clean Sheet42%42%42%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1SaburtaloSaburtalo3680
67%
2.2
6024+36
2.3
67%
42%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3221.70.7
-
2DilaDila3678
69%
2.2
6335+28
2.7
69%
50%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.81.0
-
3Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi3663
50%
1.8
6341+22
2.9
78%
53%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2221.81.1
-
4Dinamo TbilisiDinamo Tbilisi3657
42%
1.6
5134+17
2.4
72%
47%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3131.40.9
-
5GagraGagra3643
33%
1.2
4455-11
2.8
83%
53%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.21.5
-
6Dinamo BatumiDinamo Batumi3643
31%
1.2
4059-19
2.8
83%
50%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3121.11.6
-
7SamguraliSamgurali3642
33%
1.2
5453+1
3.0
81%
56%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.51.5
-
8TelaviTelavi3838
24%
1.0
3861-23
2.6
71%
47%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.6
-
9GarejiGareji3837
21%
1.0
4357-14
2.6
71%
50%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.5
-
10Kolkheti PotiKolkheti Poti3622
14%
0.6
3371-38
2.9
78%
56%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.0
-
11SpaeriSpaeri23
50%
1.5
32+1
2.5
100%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.51.0
-
12MeshakhteMeshakhte22
0%
1.0
22+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.01.0
-
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Georgia: Erovnuli Liga stats & trends →

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