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Dinamo Batumi vs Samgurali Result & Analysis

Date: 02/04/2023
Time: 17:00
Final 2-0
Dinamo Batumi
Dinamo Batumi
Vs
61%
20%
19%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Samgurali
Samgurali
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Dinamo Batumi win✓ Hit
61.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
19.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Samgurali win✗ Miss
19.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Dinamo BatumiDinamo Batumi

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-442W20W12L41W22D21W31W11D32W41WH·LOK29/10A·TEL05/11H·SAM12/11A·GAG26/11H·TOR03/12H·SHU26/02H·SAB03/03A·DIL08/03H·SAM12/03A·GAG18/03
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
2.6
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.131.232.691.251.501.21
vs Stronger (4)0.251.500.500.500.002.50
vs Similar (14)2.211.073.001.121.171.00
vs Weaker (12)2.671.333.001.672.331.00
Clean sheet %30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Samgurali) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SamguraliSamgurali

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D22D21W11D03L43W12L10W02L00DA·GAG30/10H·TOR06/11A·DIN12/11H·DIN26/11A·DIL03/12A·GAG26/02A·SHU04/03H·TEL08/03A·DIN13/03H·TOR19/03
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.431.711.071.501.75
vs Stronger (16)1.251.881.381.251.122.50
vs Similar (14)2.000.932.170.831.881.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Batumi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%10%15%20%3%06%116%220%320%415%520%6+
The model estimates around 3.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (20%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
91.1%
Under 1.5
8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
75.3%
Under 2.5
24.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
55.5%
Under 3.5
44.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
70.2%
No
29.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
8.8%
1-1
7.6%
3-1
7.4%
2-0 ✓
6.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-0
5.3%
3-2
5.2%
1-2
4.9%
Dinamo Batumi goals ↓
Samgurali goals →
01234
02.6%2.0%1.9%0.9%0.3%
14.2%7.6%4.9%2.3%0.8%
26.2%8.8%6.2%2.9%1.0%
35.3%7.4%5.2%2.5%0.9%
43.3%4.7%3.3%1.6%0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dinamo Batumi goals (down), columns = Samgurali goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Dinamo Batumi
2.06
Dinamo Tbilisi
1.97
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.67
Dila
1.67
Samgurali
1.58
Gareji
1.50
Saburtalo
1.42
Telavi
1.08
Gagra
1.06
Samtredia
0.95
Spaeri
0.50
Shukura
0.47
Dinamo Batumi is 0.47 points better than Samgurali in terms of average points per game (2.06 vs 1.58).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Dinamo Tbilisi
2.58
Dinamo Batumi
2.31
Gareji
2.00
Saburtalo
1.61
Dila
1.56
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.53
Samgurali
1.47
Samtredia
1.45
Gagra
1.31
Shukura
1.06
Telavi
1.03
Spaeri
0.50
Dinamo Batumi is 0.83 goals better than Samgurali in terms of goals scored per game (2.31 vs 1.47).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.03
Dila
1.08
Dinamo Batumi
1.14
Dinamo Tbilisi
1.36
Saburtalo
1.36
Samgurali
1.42
Telavi
1.66
Samtredia
1.74
Gagra
1.81
Gareji
2.50
Spaeri
2.50
Shukura
3.11
Dinamo Batumi is 0.28 goals better than Samgurali in terms of goals conceded per game (1.14 vs 1.42).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Dinamo BatumiDinamo Batumi

For 4.8 · Against 2.8 · Total 7.5

ðŸšĐ Corners

1008244611410875H·LECA·LECH·SLOA·SLO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 1.7 · Total 4.7

ðŸŸĻ Cards

70222152437H·LECH·SLOA·SLO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.0 · Against 17.0 · Total 27.0

⚠ïļ Fouls

270101727A·SLO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

SamguraliSamgurali

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Dinamo BatumiDinamo Batumi

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (45)7.58.56.50.30.30.327.0-27.0
vs Stronger (4)7.58.56.53.53.53.527.0-27.0
vs Similar (23)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (18)---0.00.00.0---
% over line25%50%0%4%4%5%100%-100%
% under line75%50%100%96%96%95%0%-0%
This opponent (Samgurali) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SamguraliSamgurali

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (41)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (22)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (19)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Dinamo Batumi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Saburtalo
10.2
Dinamo Tbilisi
8.0
Dinamo Batumi
7.5
Dila
7.0

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Dila
5.5
Saburtalo
5.0
Dinamo Batumi
4.7
Dinamo Tbilisi
4.0

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Dinamo Batumi
27.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Dinamo BatumiDinamo Batumi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W00D01L20W11D10W01L01L11D30WH·LOK29/10A·TEL05/11H·SAM12/11A·GAG26/11H·TOR03/12H·SHU26/02H·SAB03/03A·DIL08/03H·SAM12/03A·GAG18/03
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.471.250.380.570.57
vs Stronger (4)0.000.750.000.000.001.50
vs Similar (14)0.930.361.380.250.330.50
vs Weaker (12)1.250.501.500.671.000.33
Clean sheet %67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Samgurali) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SamguraliSamgurali

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D10W10W01L21W01L10W00D00DA·GAG30/10H·TOR06/11A·DIN12/11H·DIN26/11A·DIL03/12A·GAG26/02A·SHU04/03H·TEL08/03A·DIN13/03H·TOR19/03
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.700.790.640.810.75
vs Stronger (16)0.620.940.620.750.621.12
vs Similar (14)1.000.431.000.501.000.38
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Batumi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dinamo Batumi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Batumi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Batumi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Samgurali over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Samgurali over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Samgurali over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Dinamo BatumiDinamo Batumi

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D20W11D21W11D11D30W10W21W11DH·LOK29/10A·TEL05/11H·SAM12/11A·GAG26/11H·TOR03/12H·SHU26/02H·SAB03/03A·DIL08/03H·SAM12/03A·GAG18/03
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.200.771.440.880.930.64
vs Stronger (4)0.250.750.500.500.001.00
vs Similar (14)1.290.711.620.880.830.50
vs Weaker (12)1.420.831.501.001.330.67
Clean sheet %40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Samgurali) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SamguraliSamgurali

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D11D11D01L02L22D11D00D02L00DA·GAG30/10H·TOR06/11A·DIN12/11H·DIN26/11A·DIL03/12A·GAG26/02A·SHU04/03H·TEL08/03A·DIN13/03H·TOR19/03
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.730.930.430.691.00
vs Stronger (16)0.620.940.750.500.501.38
vs Similar (14)1.000.501.170.330.880.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Batumi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dinamo Batumi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Batumi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Batumi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Samgurali over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Samgurali over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Samgurali over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.591.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.575.3%-------✗ Miss
BTTS Yes70.2%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (26)
€7m
TK (22)
€7m
DB (25)
€6m
SAB (22)
€6m
DIL (23)
€4m
SAM (24)
€3m
GAG (23)
€3m
SPA (20)
€2m
SAM (4)
€0m
Dinamo Batumi's squad is €3m more valuable than Samgurali's (€6m vs €3m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DB (9)
€3m
DT (11)
€3m
SAB (7)
€3m
TK (7)
€2m
DIL (8)
€2m
SAM (9)
€1m
GAG (8)
€1m
SPA (8)
€1m
SAM (1)
€0m
Dinamo Batumi's attack is €2m more valuable than Samgurali's (€3m vs €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TK (5)
€2m
SAB (5)
€2m
DB (6)
€1m
SAM (5)
€1m
GAG (6)
€1m
DT (4)
€1m
DIL (6)
€1m
SPA (4)
€0m
SAM (1)
€0m
Dinamo Batumi and Samgurali have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (11)
€3m
SAB (10)
€2m
TK (10)
€2m
DIL (9)
€2m
DB (10)
€2m
SAM (10)
€1m
GAG (9)
€1m
SPA (8)
€1m
SAM (2)
€0m
Dinamo Batumi and Samgurali have a similar defence value (both €2m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
1
DB wins
1
Draws
2
SAM wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Dinamo Batumi vs Samgurali · H/A from DB
DateH/AGameScore
12/11/22HDB Vs Samgurali1-2
06/09/22ASamgurali Vs DB3-0
25/05/22HDB Vs Samgurali4-4
10/04/22ASamgurali Vs DB0-3

Dinamo BatumiDinamo Batumi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/03/23AGagra Vs DB1-4
12/03/23HDB Vs Samtredia3-2
08/03/23ADila Vs DB1-1
03/03/23HDB Vs Saburtalo3-1
26/02/23HDB Vs Shukura2-1
03/12/22HDB Vs Torpedo Kutaisi2-2
26/11/22AGagra Vs DB1-4
12/11/22HDB Vs Samgurali1-2
05/11/22ATelavi Vs DB0-2
29/10/22HDB Vs Lokomotivi Tbilisi4-2

SamguraliSamgurali

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/03/23HSAM Vs Torpedo Kutaisi0-0
13/03/23ADinamo Tbilisi Vs SAM2-0
08/03/23HSAM Vs Telavi1-0
04/03/23AShukura Vs SAM2-1
26/02/23AGagra Vs SAM3-4
03/12/22ADila Vs SAM3-0
26/11/22HSAM Vs Dinamo Tbilisi1-1
12/11/22ADinamo Batumi Vs SAM1-2
06/11/22HSAM Vs Torpedo Kutaisi2-2
30/10/22AGagra Vs SAM1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Dinamo Batumi
Dinamo Batumi
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWW2.07
HomeLDWWW2.43
AwayWWWDW1.68
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %60%74%45%
AVG goals3.274.092.41
Over 1.5 %82%91%73%
Over 2.5 %62%83%41%
Over 3.5 %40%61%18%
Scored2.242.961.50
Conceded1.021.130.91
BTTS49%61%36%
Clean Sheet42%39%45%
Corners7.508.506.50
Cards4.673.507.00
Samgurali
Samgurali
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWLD1.56
HomeWDDWD1.85
AwayWLWLL1.29
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %41%50%33%
AVG goals2.732.652.81
Over 1.5 %83%85%81%
Over 2.5 %56%65%48%
Over 3.5 %22%20%24%
Scored1.491.601.38
Conceded1.241.051.43
BTTS49%50%48%
Clean Sheet34%35%33%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Dinamo BatumiDinamo Batumi3674
58%
2.1
8341+42
3.4
94%
69%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3122.31.1
-
2Dinamo TbilisiDinamo Tbilisi3671
58%
2.0
9349+44
3.9
92%
81%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3132.61.4
-
3Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi3660
44%
1.7
5537+18
2.6
67%
53%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2221.51.0
-
4DilaDila3660
47%
1.7
5639+17
2.6
72%
56%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.61.1
-
5SamguraliSamgurali3657
44%
1.6
5351+2
2.9
72%
56%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.51.4
-
6SaburtaloSaburtalo3651
39%
1.4
5849+9
3.0
78%
72%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3221.61.4
-
7TelaviTelavi3841
29%
1.1
3963-24
2.7
71%
55%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
8GagraGagra3638
28%
1.1
4765-18
3.1
64%
56%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.31.8
-
9SamtrediaSamtredia3836
26%
0.9
5566-11
3.2
82%
58%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.7
-
10ShukuraShukura3617
11%
0.5
38112-74
4.2
89%
75%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.13.1
-
11GarejiGareji23
50%
1.5
45-1
4.5
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.02.5
-
12SpaeriSpaeri21
0%
0.5
15-4
3.0
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.52.5
-
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Georgia: Erovnuli Liga stats & trends →

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