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Dinamo Bucuresti vs Universitatea Craiova Result & Analysis

Date: 25/07/2026
Time: 17:30
Final 5-1
Dinamo Bucuresti
Dinamo Bucuresti
Vs
32%
33%
34%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Universitatea Craiova
Universitatea Craiova
Romania: Liga I
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Pythia gives Dinamo Bucuresti a 32% win probability against Universitatea Craiova in the Romania: Liga I on 2026-07-25, with 33% for the draw and 34% for Universitatea Craiova. The model estimates around 2.0 total goals, with 2 the most likely total (28%) and 1-1 the most likely scoreline (14.9%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Under 3.5 (85%), Over 3.5 cards (76%), Over 21.5 fouls (72%).

Results analysis

Dinamo Bucuresti finished 5-1 against Universitatea Craiova (Home win). Pythia had modelled a 32% home win, 33% draw and 34% away win. Picks that landed: Over 3.5 cards (76%). Missed: Under 3.5 (85%), Over 21.5 fouls (72%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dinamo Bucuresti win✓ Hit
32.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
33.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Universitatea Craiova win✗ Miss
34.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Dinamo BucurestiDinamo Bucuresti

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D11D21W31W12L21W00D11D12L01LA·ARG04/04A·CFR12/04H·UNI18/04H·RAP26/04A·UNI03/05H·ARG10/05H·CFR16/05A·UNI23/05H·FCS29/05A·PET19/07
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.071.440.751.001.43
vs Stronger (9)0.671.110.801.000.501.25
vs Similar (18)1.391.171.560.781.221.56
vs Weaker (3)2.000.332.500.001.001.00
Clean sheet %23% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Universitatea Craiova) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Universitatea CraiovaUniversitatea Craiova

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-520W04L10W10W21W00D50W00D40W01LH·CFR06/04A·UNI13/04H·RAP19/04A·ARG27/04H·DIN03/05A·CFR08/05H·UNI17/05A·RAP25/05H·UTA18/07A·LEV22/07
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.570.771.930.531.201.00
vs Stronger (2)1.502.501.002.002.003.00
vs Similar (12)1.000.581.830.170.171.00
vs Weaker (16)2.000.692.120.621.880.75
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Bucuresti) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%15%024%128%218%39%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
61.3%
Under 1.5
38.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
32.9%
Under 2.5
67.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
14.7%
Under 3.5
85.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
41.8%
No
58.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.9%
0-0
14.6%
0-1
12.3%
1-0
11.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-2
7.0%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
6.5%
Dinamo Bucuresti goals ↓
Universitatea Craiova goals →
01234
015%12%7.1%2.4%0.6%
112%15%7.0%2.4%0.6%
26.5%6.7%3.5%1.2%0.3%
32.1%2.2%1.1%0.4%0.1%
40.5%0.5%0.3%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dinamo Bucuresti goals (down), columns = Universitatea Craiova goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Universitatea Craiova
2.00
Universitatea Cluj
1.82
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.73
FCSB
1.61
Dinamo Bucuresti
1.59
Rapid
1.55
Uta Arad
1.54
FC Voluntari
1.50
Arges Pitesti
1.43
Oţelul
1.41
FC Botosani
1.35
Corvinul Hunedoara
1.27
Csikszereda
1.26
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
1.23
Farul Constanta
1.10
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.05
Dinamo Bucuresti is 0.41 points worse than Universitatea Craiova in terms of average points per game (1.59 vs 2.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Voluntari
2.50
FCSB
1.63
Universitatea Craiova
1.62
Universitatea Cluj
1.52
Oţelul
1.44
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.43
Rapid
1.38
Dinamo Bucuresti
1.37
Uta Arad
1.36
FC Botosani
1.32
Corvinul Hunedoara
1.29
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
1.26
Farul Constanta
1.24
Arges Pitesti
1.07
Csikszereda
1.05
Petrolul Ploiesti
0.85
Dinamo Bucuresti is 0.26 goals worse than Universitatea Craiova in terms of goals scored per game (1.37 vs 1.62).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Universitatea Craiova
0.82
Arges Pitesti
0.95
Universitatea Cluj
0.95
Dinamo Bucuresti
1.02
Rapid
1.10
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.18
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.18
Oţelul
1.21
FC Botosani
1.25
Farul Constanta
1.27
FCSB
1.29
Uta Arad
1.31
Corvinul Hunedoara
1.42
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
1.45
FC Voluntari
1.50
Csikszereda
1.69
Dinamo Bucuresti is 0.20 goals worse than Universitatea Craiova in terms of goals conceded per game (1.02 vs 0.82).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
FCSB
59%
Dinamo Bucuresti
59%
Universitatea Craiova
58%
FC Botosani
54%
Oţelul
54%
Farul Constanta
53%
Rapid
53%
Universitatea Cluj
52%
CFR 1907 Cluj
47%
Petrolul Ploiesti
47%
Uta Arad
46%
Arges Pitesti
43%
Csikszereda
41%
Dinamo Bucuresti is 1.1 percentage points better than Universitatea Craiova in terms of average possession (59% vs 58%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Dinamo BucurestiDinamo Bucuresti

For 4.6 · Against 3.8 · Total 8.4

🚩 Corners

130632263555264354424769491071088613A·PETH·FCSA·UNIH·CFRH·ARGA·UNIH·RAPH·UNIA·CFRA·ARG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.4 · Against 3.1 · Total 6.5

🟨 Cards

1303467322524223115265713572652711A·PETH·FCSH·CFRH·ARGA·UNIH·RAPH·UNIA·CFRA·ARGH·UNI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.3 · Against 11.5 · Total 21.8

⚠️ Fouls

3501111171874815101576101111101214101122351123251321212621A·PETH·FCSA·UNIH·CFRH·ARGA·UNIH·RAPH·UNIA·CFRA·ARG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Universitatea CraiovaUniversitatea Craiova

For 4.2 · Against 3.0 · Total 7.2

🚩 Corners

1204263512346534546612696510849123H·UTAA·RAPH·UNIA·CFRH·DINA·ARGH·RAPA·UNIH·CFRA·DIN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.7 · Total 5.2

🟨 Cards

110311283125421113356411042932611H·UTAA·RAPH·UNIA·CFRH·DINA·ARGH·RAPA·UNIH·CFRA·DIN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.6 · Against 12.9 · Total 23.5

⚠️ Fouls

3107111371213131567131610127151017151618202528132922222731H·UTAA·RAPH·UNIA·CFRH·DINA·ARGH·RAPA·UNIH·CFRA·DIN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Dinamo BucurestiDinamo Bucuresti

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.59.69.54.54.64.323.723.424.0
vs Stronger (15)7.37.17.64.65.63.426.227.125.1
vs Similar (29)9.910.19.64.84.64.922.522.022.9
vs Weaker (6)13.313.313.32.72.03.323.219.726.7
% over line40%44%36%66%64%68%58%52%64%
% under line60%56%64%34%36%32%42%48%36%
This opponent (Universitatea Craiova) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Universitatea CraiovaUniversitatea Craiova

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.29.19.24.84.75.024.723.226.2
vs Stronger (2)9.58.011.06.04.08.025.024.026.0
vs Similar (21)8.98.49.34.95.34.526.226.725.8
vs Weaker (27)9.49.69.14.74.45.123.620.926.5
% over line46%42%50%62%64%60%71%62%79%
% under line54%58%50%38%36%40%29%38%21%
This opponent (Dinamo Bucuresti) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
FCSB
10.3
Universitatea Cluj
9.9
Farul Constanta
9.9
Rapid
9.8
Petrolul Ploiesti
9.8
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
9.7
Oţelul
9.7
Uta Arad
9.7
FC Botosani
9.5
Dinamo Bucuresti
9.5
Arges Pitesti
9.3
Universitatea Craiova
9.2
Csikszereda
8.9
CFR 1907 Cluj
8.7
FC Voluntari
8.6
Corvinul Hunedoara
6.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Arges Pitesti
5.0
Universitatea Craiova
5.0
FCSB
4.9
FC Botosani
4.8
Petrolul Ploiesti
4.8
Corvinul Hunedoara
4.8
Uta Arad
4.7
Dinamo Bucuresti
4.6
FC Voluntari
4.5
Rapid
4.4
Oţelul
4.4
Csikszereda
4.4
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
4.3
Farul Constanta
4.2
Universitatea Cluj
4.1
CFR 1907 Cluj
4.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Corvinul Hunedoara
31.0
Oţelul
27.1
FC Botosani
26.4
Arges Pitesti
25.7
Petrolul Ploiesti
25.1
Universitatea Craiova
24.8
FCSB
24.5
Csikszereda
24.4
Uta Arad
24.4
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
24.2
Rapid
23.8
Dinamo Bucuresti
23.7
FC Voluntari
23.5
Farul Constanta
23.4
CFR 1907 Cluj
22.5
Universitatea Cluj
20.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
42.4%
Under 9.5
57.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
76.2%
Under 3.5
23.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
71.7%
Under 21.5
28.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🔢 6. Odd / Even

🥅 7. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 8. Handicap

🔥 9. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.585.3%-------✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards76.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls71.7%-------✗ Miss

💰 10. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
C1C (45)
€40m
UC (34)
€37m
FCS (31)
€34m
RAP (24)
€25m
UC (33)
€19m
FB (31)
€12m
UA (30)
€12m
PP (40)
€12m
OŢE (28)
€10m
FC (32)
€10m
CSI (42)
€9m
CH (24)
€7m
SOS (31)
€6m
FV (24)
€6m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
C1C (18)
€18m
UC (13)
€15m
FCS (8)
€14m
RAP (10)
€10m
UC (11)
€8m
FB (11)
€6m
FC (11)
€4m
UA (11)
€4m
OŢE (12)
€4m
PP (13)
€4m
CH (12)
€3m
CSI (16)
€3m
SOS (12)
€2m
FV (11)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (6)
€9m
FCS (8)
€8m
C1C (7)
€5m
UC (8)
€5m
RAP (6)
€4m
PP (11)
€4m
UA (8)
€3m
CSI (9)
€3m
FB (7)
€2m
FC (7)
€2m
OŢE (4)
€2m
SOS (7)
€1m
CH (2)
€1m
FV (2)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
C1C (20)
€17m
UC (15)
€13m
FCS (15)
€11m
RAP (8)
€10m
UC (14)
€7m
PP (16)
€5m
UA (11)
€5m
OŢE (12)
€4m
FB (13)
€4m
CSI (17)
€4m
FC (14)
€4m
CH (10)
€3m
FV (11)
€3m
SOS (12)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 11. Games History

Head-to-head

Dinamo Bucuresti vs Universitatea Craiova · H/A from DB
DateH/AGameScore
03/05/26AUniversitatea Craiova Vs DB2-1
19/03/26HDB Vs Universitatea Craiova0-1
09/02/26HDB Vs Universitatea Craiova1-1
26/09/25AUniversitatea Craiova Vs DB2-2
24/05/25AUniversitatea Craiova Vs DB2-1
21/04/25HDB Vs Universitatea Craiova0-2
19/01/25AUniversitatea Craiova Vs DB1-1
24/08/24HDB Vs Universitatea Craiova2-1

Dinamo BucurestiDinamo Bucuresti

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/07/26APetrolul Ploiesti Vs DB1-0
29/05/26HDB Vs FCSB1-2
23/05/26AUniversitatea Cluj Vs DB1-1
16/05/26HDB Vs CFR 1907 Cluj0-0
10/05/26HDB Vs Arges Pitesti2-1
03/05/26AUniversitatea Craiova Vs DB2-1
26/04/26HDB Vs Rapid3-1
18/04/26HDB Vs Universitatea Cluj2-1
12/04/26ACFR 1907 Cluj Vs DB1-1
04/04/26AArges Pitesti Vs DB1-1

Universitatea CraiovaUniversitatea Craiova

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/07/26ALevski Sofia Vs UC1-0
18/07/26HUC Vs Uta Arad4-0
25/05/26ARapid Vs UC0-0
17/05/26HUC Vs Universitatea Cluj5-0
08/05/26ACFR 1907 Cluj Vs UC0-0
03/05/26HUC Vs Dinamo Bucuresti2-1
27/04/26AArges Pitesti Vs UC0-1
19/04/26HUC Vs Rapid1-0
13/04/26AUniversitatea Cluj Vs UC4-0
06/04/26HUC Vs CFR 1907 Cluj2-0

📊 12. Overall Statistics

Dinamo Bucuresti
Dinamo Bucuresti
Romania: Liga I
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDLL1.40
HomeWWWDL1.64
AwayDDLDL1.16
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%44%28%
AVG goals2.422.242.60
Over 1.5 %72%68%76%
Over 2.5 %42%36%48%
Over 3.5 %22%20%24%
Scored1.281.321.24
Conceded1.140.921.36
BTTS56%48%64%
Clean Sheet28%36%20%
Corners9.529.569.48
Cards4.554.604.50
Universitatea Craiova
Universitatea Craiova
Romania: Liga I
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDWL1.90
HomeWWWWW2.32
AwayLWDDL1.48
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%72%40%
AVG goals2.502.682.32
Over 1.5 %68%76%60%
Over 2.5 %46%52%40%
Over 3.5 %28%32%24%
Scored1.642.081.20
Conceded0.860.601.12
BTTS40%40%40%
Clean Sheet48%56%40%
Corners9.199.129.25
Cards5.044.925.17

🏆 13. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FCSBFCSB511
60%
2.2
94+5
2.6
80%
40%
40%
12.4
80%
4.8
80%
25.4
100%
34
148111.80.8
59%
2Dinamo BucurestiDinamo Bucuresti510
60%
2.0
113+8
2.8
60%
40%
40%
7.8
0%
4.2
50%
21.5
50%
0
0002.20.6
59%
3Arges PitestiArges Pitesti510
60%
2.0
43+1
1.4
40%
0%
0%
9.0
60%
5.8
60%
25.0
60%
0
0000.80.6
43%
4Universitatea ClujUniversitatea Cluj49
75%
2.2
64+2
2.5
75%
75%
0%
8.5
25%
4.0
75%
24.2
50%
19
8571.51.0
52%
5Petrolul PloiestiPetrolul Ploiesti59
60%
1.8
46-2
2.0
40%
40%
20%
8.0
20%
7.0
80%
27.0
100%
12
4450.81.2
47%
6Corvinul HunedoaraCorvinul Hunedoara58
40%
1.6
73+4
2.0
80%
40%
0%
8.4
40%
4.2
50%
22.6
60%
7
3131.40.6
-
7Farul ConstantaFarul Constanta58
40%
1.6
97+2
3.2
100%
60%
40%
6.6
20%
4.6
80%
21.6
40%
10
4241.81.4
53%
8RapidRapid58
40%
1.6
53+2
1.6
40%
20%
20%
13.2
75%
7.0
75%
23.0
50%
25
104101.00.6
53%
9Universitatea CraiovaUniversitatea Craiova57
40%
1.4
107+3
3.4
80%
60%
60%
7.8
20%
5.2
80%
21.6
40%
37
159132.01.4
58%
10OţelulOţelul56
20%
1.2
66+0
2.4
80%
40%
20%
8.4
40%
4.8
60%
26.4
80%
10
4241.21.2
54%
11Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheSepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe56
20%
1.2
22+0
0.8
20%
0%
0%
10.0
50%
4.2
50%
22.2
50%
6
2120.40.4
-
12FC VoluntariFC Voluntari54
20%
0.8
413-9
3.4
80%
80%
60%
6.6
20%
4.2
50%
21.8
60%
6
2130.82.6
-
13CFR 1907 ClujCFR 1907 Cluj43
25%
0.8
78-1
3.8
100%
100%
50%
11.5
75%
1.8
0%
18.2
25%
40
185171.82.0
47%
14FC BotosaniFC Botosani53
0%
0.6
68-2
2.8
80%
60%
40%
11.0
40%
7.5
100%
24.4
80%
12
6241.21.6
54%
15Uta AradUta Arad52
0%
0.4
39-6
2.4
60%
60%
40%
9.0
60%
4.8
100%
27.0
80%
12
4350.61.8
46%
16CsikszeredaCsikszereda51
0%
0.2
29-7
2.2
60%
40%
20%
6.5
25%
6.0
100%
27.8
100%
9
3340.41.8
41%
Romania: Liga I 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Romania: Liga I stats & trends →

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