Dinamo Ferizaj, riding a recent draw, faces Prishtina e Re after a win, and the model sees a high-scoring affair with an average of 3.5 goals. The most likely total is three goals, and the single scoreline the model favours is 1-1, carrying a 10.1% probability. Dinamo’s home form shows they average 2.46 goals scored and 1.0 conceded against weaker opposition, while Prishtina e Re, playing away against a stronger side, average only 0.8 scored and 2.8 conceded. The model picks a home win, giving Dinamo a 41% chance, a draw 24%, and an away win 35%. Suggested selections include Under 7.5 (97.3%), Under 6.5 (93.4%), Away under 3.5 goals (91.1%), Home under 3.5 goals (88.6%), Over 1.5 (87.4%), Under 5.5 (85.7%), Home over 0.5 goals (84.0%) and Home +2 handicap (82.2%).
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Dinamo Ferizaj win
41.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
24.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Prishtina e Re win
34.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
âš˝ 2. Goal Analysis
Dinamo Ferizaj
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.00
1.17
2.40
1.00
1.60
1.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
1.25
1.50
2.00
1.00
0.50
2.00
vs Weaker (26)
2.12
1.12
2.46
1.00
1.77
1.23
Clean sheet %
37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Prishtina e Re) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Prishtina e Re
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
1.87
1.06
1.38
1.00
2.43
vs Stronger (13)
1.00
2.00
1.12
1.50
0.80
2.80
vs Similar (17)
1.06
1.76
1.00
1.25
1.11
2.22
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Ferizaj) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
87.4%
Under 1.5
12.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
68.0%
Under 2.5
32.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
46.4%
Under 3.5
53.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
69.1%
No
30.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.1%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-1
5.1%
2-0
5.0%
1-0
4.6%
3-2
4.3%
Dinamo Ferizaj goals ↓
Prishtina e Re goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.9%
4.1%
4.2%
2.3%
1.0%
1
4.6%
10%
7.7%
4.3%
1.8%
2
5.0%
8.4%
7.1%
3.9%
1.6%
3
3.1%
5.1%
4.3%
2.4%
1.0%
4
1.4%
2.4%
2.0%
1.1%
0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dinamo Ferizaj goals (down), columns = Prishtina e Re goals (across).
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đź’Ş 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Dinamo Ferizaj
2.09
Liria Prizren
2.09
Trepça'89
2.06
Vëllaznimi
2.06
Ramiz Sadiku
1.47
Mitrovica
1.39
Prishtina e Re
1.39
Ferizaj
1.39
KF Lepenci
1.39
Suhareka
1.29
Tefik Canga
1.18
2 Korriku
1.15
FC Besa Peja
1.06
Vjosa
1.03
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.00
Kika
0.97
Istogu
0.94
Rilindja 1974
0.94
Dinamo Ferizaj is 0.70 points better than Prishtina e Re in terms of average points per game (2.09 vs 1.39).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Trepça'89
2.12
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.79
Suhareka
1.76
Liria Prizren
1.76
Vëllaznimi
1.71
2 Korriku
1.53
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.44
Tefik Canga
1.41
Mitrovica
1.40
Prishtina e Re
1.40
Ferizaj
1.40
KF Lepenci
1.40
Istogu
1.38
FC Besa Peja
1.18
Ramiz Sadiku
1.15
Vjosa
1.15
Rilindja 1974
1.00
Kika
0.74
Dinamo Ferizaj is 0.39 goals better than Prishtina e Re in terms of goals scored per game (1.79 vs 1.40).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Liria Prizren
0.85
Ramiz Sadiku
0.85
Vëllaznimi
0.94
Trepça'89
0.97
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.15
Kika
1.26
Mitrovica
1.41
Prishtina e Re
1.41
Ferizaj
1.41
KF Lepenci
1.41
FC Besa Peja
1.58
Tefik Canga
1.59
Istogu
1.76
Rilindja 1974
1.79
Suhareka
1.79
Vjosa
1.79
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.82
2 Korriku
1.88
Dinamo Ferizaj is 0.26 goals better than Prishtina e Re in terms of goals conceded per game (1.15 vs 1.41).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Dinamo Ferizaj or Draw
65.2%
Avg Implied -
41%
24%
35%
covers Dinamo Ferizaj + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Ferizaj or Prishtina e Re
76.0%
Avg Implied -
41%
24%
35%
covers Dinamo Ferizaj + Prishtina e Re
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Prishtina e Re
58.8%
Avg Implied -
41%
24%
35%
covers Draw + Prishtina e Re
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Dinamo Ferizaj over/under 0.5
Over
84.0%
Under
16.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Ferizaj over/under 1.5
Over
54.6%
Under
45.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Ferizaj over/under 2.5
Over
27.7%
Under
72.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Ferizaj over/under 3.5
Over
11.4%
Under
88.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prishtina e Re over/under 0.5
Over
81.2%
Under
18.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prishtina e Re over/under 1.5
Over
49.8%
Under
50.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prishtina e Re over/under 2.5
Over
23.6%
Under
76.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prishtina e Re over/under 3.5
Over
8.9%
Under
91.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Dinamo Ferizaj, so a minus line means Dinamo Ferizaj give that many goals of a start and Prishtina e Re receive them. At -1, Dinamo Ferizaj must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Dinamo Ferizaj win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Dinamo Ferizaj)
Dinamo Ferizaj -2
10.0%
Draw -2
12.6%
Prishtina e Re +2
77.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Dinamo Ferizaj)
Dinamo Ferizaj -1
22.6%
Draw -1
18.6%
Prishtina e Re +1
58.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Dinamo Ferizaj)
Dinamo Ferizaj +1
65.2%
Draw +1
16.9%
Prishtina e Re -1
17.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Dinamo Ferizaj)
Dinamo Ferizaj +2
82.2%
Draw +2
10.5%
Prishtina e Re -2
7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Dinamo Ferizaj
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.43
0.93
0.60
0.40
0.27
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (26)
0.62
0.50
0.77
0.69
0.46
0.31
Clean sheet %
77% (+48pp vs league)
This opponent (Prishtina e Re) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Prishtina e Re
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.77
0.44
0.56
0.36
1.00
vs Stronger (13)
0.31
1.00
0.38
0.75
0.20
1.40
vs Similar (17)
0.47
0.59
0.50
0.38
0.44
0.78
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Ferizaj) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dinamo Ferizaj over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Ferizaj over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Ferizaj over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prishtina e Re over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prishtina e Re over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prishtina e Re over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Dinamo Ferizaj
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.70
1.20
0.33
1.07
1.07
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
0.25
1.50
0.00
1.00
0.50
2.00
vs Weaker (26)
1.27
0.58
1.38
0.23
1.15
0.92
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Prishtina e Re) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Prishtina e Re
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
1.10
0.62
0.81
0.64
1.43
vs Stronger (13)
0.69
1.00
0.75
0.75
0.60
1.40
vs Similar (17)
0.59
1.18
0.50
0.88
0.67
1.44
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Ferizaj) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dinamo Ferizaj over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Ferizaj over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Ferizaj over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prishtina e Re over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prishtina e Re over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prishtina e Re over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
97.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
93.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
91.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
88.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
87.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
85.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
84.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
82.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
81.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
77.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
76.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
76.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
72.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
72.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Kosovo: Liga E Pare 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kosovo: Liga E Pare stats & trends →