Dinamo Ferizaj are the clear favourites, a 67 % chance of victory that the model flags as the most likely outcome. Their home form is strong, scoring an average of 2.29 goals and conceding only 0.93 against weaker opposition, while Suhareka’s away record is weaker, averaging 1.33 goals scored and 2.33 conceded to stronger teams. The expected total is 3.7 goals, with the most probable total of 3 goals at 21 %. The single most likely scoreline is 2-1 for Dinamo Ferizaj, a 9.3 % chance. Dinamo’s recent five-match run (WWLWL) includes a 5-0 win over Trepça Mitrovicë, whereas Suhareka came off a 0-2 loss to Vëllaznimi. The model’s selections include Away under 3.5 goals (97.0 %), Under 7.5 (96.5 %), Home +2 handicap (94.3 %), Home over 0.5 goals (92.1 %), Under 6.5 (91.8 %), Over 1.5 (89.1 %), Away under 2.5 goals (88.8 %), and Home or Draw (85.3 %). The probabilities for the match result are Home win 67 %, Draw 19 %, Away win 15 %.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Dinamo Ferizaj win
66.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
18.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Suhareka win
14.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Dinamo Ferizaj
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.00
1.17
2.40
1.00
1.60
1.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
1.25
1.50
2.00
1.00
0.50
2.00
vs Weaker (26)
2.12
1.12
2.46
1.00
1.77
1.23
Clean sheet %
37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Suhareka) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Suhareka
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.7
Avg scored
2.6
Avg conceded
2.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.83
1.73
1.87
1.27
1.80
2.20
vs Stronger (5)
1.00
2.20
0.50
2.00
1.33
2.33
vs Similar (22)
2.09
1.68
2.25
1.25
1.90
2.20
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
1.33
0.00
0.00
2.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
17% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Ferizaj) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
89.2%
Under 1.5
10.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
71.7%
Under 2.5
28.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
50.9%
Under 3.5
49.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
64.0%
No
36.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.2%
2-0
8.0%
1-1
8.0%
3-1
7.9%
3-0
6.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-2
5.4%
4-1
5.0%
Dinamo Ferizaj goals ↓
Suhareka goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.2%
2.1%
1.6%
0.6%
0.2%
1
5.5%
8.0%
4.2%
1.6%
0.5%
2
8.0%
9.2%
5.4%
2.1%
0.6%
3
6.8%
7.9%
4.6%
1.8%
0.5%
4
4.3%
5.0%
2.9%
1.1%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dinamo Ferizaj goals (down), columns = Suhareka goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Dinamo Ferizaj
2.09
Liria Prizren
2.09
Trepça'89
2.06
Vëllaznimi
2.06
Ramiz Sadiku
1.47
Mitrovica
1.39
Ferizaj
1.39
Prishtina e Re
1.39
KF Lepenci
1.39
Suhareka
1.29
Tefik Canga
1.18
2 Korriku
1.15
FC Besa Peja
1.06
Vjosa
1.03
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.00
Kika
0.97
Istogu
0.94
Rilindja 1974
0.94
Dinamo Ferizaj is 0.79 points better than Suhareka in terms of average points per game (2.09 vs 1.29).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Trepça'89
2.12
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.79
Suhareka
1.76
Liria Prizren
1.76
Vëllaznimi
1.71
2 Korriku
1.53
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.44
Tefik Canga
1.41
Mitrovica
1.40
Ferizaj
1.40
Prishtina e Re
1.40
KF Lepenci
1.40
Istogu
1.38
FC Besa Peja
1.18
Ramiz Sadiku
1.15
Vjosa
1.15
Rilindja 1974
1.00
Kika
0.74
Dinamo Ferizaj is 0.03 goals better than Suhareka in terms of goals scored per game (1.79 vs 1.76).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Liria Prizren
0.85
Ramiz Sadiku
0.85
Vëllaznimi
0.94
Trepça'89
0.97
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.15
Kika
1.26
Mitrovica
1.41
Ferizaj
1.41
Prishtina e Re
1.41
KF Lepenci
1.41
FC Besa Peja
1.58
Tefik Canga
1.59
Istogu
1.76
Rilindja 1974
1.79
Suhareka
1.79
Vjosa
1.79
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.82
2 Korriku
1.88
Dinamo Ferizaj is 0.65 goals better than Suhareka in terms of goals conceded per game (1.15 vs 1.79).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Dinamo Ferizaj or Draw
85.4%
Avg Implied -
67%
19%
15%
covers Dinamo Ferizaj + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Ferizaj or Suhareka
81.4%
Avg Implied -
67%
19%
15%
covers Dinamo Ferizaj + Suhareka
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Suhareka
33.2%
Avg Implied -
67%
19%
15%
covers Draw + Suhareka
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Dinamo Ferizaj over/under 0.5
Over
92.2%
Under
7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Ferizaj over/under 1.5
Over
72.4%
Under
27.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Ferizaj over/under 2.5
Over
47.0%
Under
53.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Ferizaj over/under 3.5
Over
25.4%
Under
74.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suhareka over/under 0.5
Over
68.6%
Under
31.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suhareka over/under 1.5
Over
32.3%
Under
67.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suhareka over/under 2.5
Over
11.2%
Under
88.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suhareka over/under 3.5
Over
3.0%
Under
97.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Dinamo Ferizaj, so a minus line means Dinamo Ferizaj give that many goals of a start and Suhareka receive them. At -1, Dinamo Ferizaj must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Dinamo Ferizaj win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Dinamo Ferizaj)
Dinamo Ferizaj -2
26.8%
Draw -2
19.4%
Suhareka +2
53.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Dinamo Ferizaj)
Dinamo Ferizaj -1
46.2%
Draw -1
20.6%
Suhareka +1
33.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Dinamo Ferizaj)
Dinamo Ferizaj +1
85.4%
Draw +1
9.0%
Suhareka -1
5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Dinamo Ferizaj)
Dinamo Ferizaj +2
94.3%
Draw +2
4.0%
Suhareka -2
1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Dinamo Ferizaj
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.43
0.93
0.60
0.40
0.27
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (26)
0.62
0.50
0.77
0.69
0.46
0.31
Clean sheet %
77% (+48pp vs league)
This opponent (Suhareka) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Suhareka
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.57
0.62
0.25
0.43
0.93
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
0.60
0.50
0.50
0.67
0.67
vs Similar (21)
0.43
0.67
0.58
0.25
0.22
1.22
vs Weaker (4)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Ferizaj) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dinamo Ferizaj over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Ferizaj over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Ferizaj over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suhareka over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suhareka over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suhareka over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Dinamo Ferizaj
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.70
1.20
0.33
1.07
1.07
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
0.25
1.50
0.00
1.00
0.50
2.00
vs Weaker (26)
1.27
0.58
1.38
0.23
1.15
0.92
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Suhareka) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Suhareka
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
1.13
1.50
0.94
1.14
1.36
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
1.60
0.00
1.50
0.67
1.67
vs Similar (21)
1.67
1.00
1.92
0.92
1.33
1.11
vs Weaker (4)
0.75
1.25
0.50
0.50
1.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Ferizaj) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dinamo Ferizaj over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Ferizaj over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Ferizaj over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suhareka over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suhareka over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suhareka over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Away under 3.5 goals
97.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 7.5
96.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
94.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
92.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
91.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
89.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
88.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
85.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
85.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
82.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
81.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
74.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 1.5 goals
72.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5
71.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Kosovo: Liga E Pare 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kosovo: Liga E Pare stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Vëllaznimi
Trepça'89
Liria Prizren
2 Korriku
Rilindja 1974
Vjosa
Ramiz Sadiku
Kika
FC Besa Peja
Trepça Mitrovicë
Prishtina e Re
Istogu
KF Lepenci
Mitrovica
Ferizaj
Tefik Canga