Dinamo Makhachkala, coming off a defeat, face a strong FC Krasnodar side that's on a 5-game winning run. The model predicts an away win, which is the most likely match result, with a 50% probability. Dinamo Makhachkala have a 20% chance of winning at home, while a draw is 30% likely. The expected total number of goals is 2.2, with the most likely total number of goals being 2. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, with a 14% probability.
Dinamo Makhachkala's home scoring and conceding record shows they average 0.89 goals scored and 1 goal conceded per match against stronger opponents. FC Krasnodar, on the other hand, average 1.73 goals scored and 0.73 goals conceded per match away against weaker opponents.
The model's suggested picks include Over 21.5 fouls with a 92.7% probability, and Under 3.5 with an 81.4% probability and an edge of 8%.
Results analysis
Dinamo Makhachkala were still on a shaky run, having lost their last match, while FC Krasnodar entered the game on a four-game winning streak. The model’s favourite, an Away win, came through as the final score was 0-1, confirming the prediction. The model had assigned a 50 % chance to the away victory, a 30 % chance to a draw and 20 % to a home win. Every suggested pick also settled correctly: Under 7.5 (99.8 %), Under 6.5 (99.2 %), Home under 2.5 HT goals (99.1 %), Home under 3.5 goals (99.0 %), Home under 2.5 2H goals (98.2 %), Under 5.5 (97.4 %), Over 19.5 fouls (96.9 %) and Away under 2.5 HT goals (96.7 %). All selections hit, underscoring the model’s accuracy.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Dinamo Makhachkala win✗ Miss
20.3%
Avg Implied 23.3% · @ 4.08
Edge
-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.49
1xBet
4.30
Marathonbet
4.20
Dafabet
4.00
Superbet
3.90
Draw✗ Miss
29.7%
Avg Implied 29.5% · @ 3.23
Edge
+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
3.35
1xBet
3.28
Superbet
3.25
Marathonbet
3.20
Pinnacle
3.17
FC Krasnodar win✓ Hit
49.9%
Avg Implied 47.3% · @ 2.01
Edge
+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
2.09
Marathonbet
2.04
Pinnacle
2.01
Dafabet
2.00
Superbet
1.97
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Dinamo Makhachkala
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
1.13
1.08
0.85
1.06
1.35
vs Stronger (12)
0.67
1.50
0.60
0.60
0.71
2.14
vs Similar (18)
1.33
0.89
1.38
1.00
1.30
0.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Krasnodar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Krasnodar
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.97
0.87
2.64
0.71
1.38
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
1.46
1.00
2.25
0.75
1.11
1.11
vs Weaker (17)
2.35
0.76
2.80
0.70
1.71
0.86
Clean sheet %
37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Makhachkala) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
66.4%
@ 1.39-0.7%
Under 1.5
33.6%
@ 2.83+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.41
Superbet
1.39
1xBet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.38
Under
Pinnacle
3.00
Superbet
2.87
Marathonbet
2.73
1xBet
2.73
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
38.4%
@ 2.26-4.0%
Under 2.5
61.6%
@ 1.66+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.35
Pinnacle
2.32
Marathonbet
2.27
Superbet
2.20
SBO
2.16
Under
SBO
1.70
1xBet
1.70
Pinnacle
1.65
Marathonbet
1.64
Superbet
1.62
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
18.6%
@ 4.03-4.6%
Under 3.5
81.4%
@ 1.22+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
4.28
Superbet
4.00
1xBet
3.92
Marathonbet
3.92
Under
Pinnacle
1.24
Superbet
1.22
1xBet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.20
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
43.3%
@ 1.96-3.9%
No
56.7%
@ 1.76+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.97
Marathonbet
1.96
1xBet
1.96
No
1xBet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.75
Superbet
1.75
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-1 ✓
14.0%@ 5.85+6.6%
1-1
13.6%@ 5.83+6.2%
0-0
12.0%@ 6.91+5.7%
0-2
10.8%@ 8.23+5.5%
1-2
8.8%@ 8.63+3.7%
1-0
7.5%@ 9.29+2.8%
0-3
5.1%@ 16.85+2.5%
2-1
5.0%@ 13.83+1.9%
Dinamo Makhachkala goals ↓
FC Krasnodar goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
14%
11%
5.1%
1.8%
1
7.5%
14%
8.8%
4.1%
1.5%
2
3.6%
5.0%
3.6%
1.7%
0.6%
3
1.0%
1.4%
1.0%
0.5%
0.2%
4
0.2%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dinamo Makhachkala goals (down), columns = FC Krasnodar goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Krasnodar
3.00
Spartak Moscow
2.17
CSKA Moscow
2.00
Zenit
2.00
Dynamo
1.67
Baltika
1.67
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.50
Rubin
1.50
FC Orenburg
1.17
Krylia Sovetov
1.00
Akhmat
1.00
FC Rostov
0.83
Rodina Moskva
0.67
Akron
0.50
Lokomotiv
0.50
Fakel
0.33
Dinamo Makhachkala is 1.50 points worse than FC Krasnodar in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 3.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Zenit
2.17
Spartak Moscow
1.83
FC Krasnodar
1.83
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.67
Baltika
1.67
CSKA Moscow
1.50
Akhmat
1.50
Rubin
1.50
Krylia Sovetov
1.33
Dynamo
1.33
Rodina Moskva
1.33
FC Rostov
1.17
Akron
1.00
Lokomotiv
0.83
FC Orenburg
0.83
Fakel
0.50
Dinamo Makhachkala is 0.17 goals worse than FC Krasnodar in terms of goals scored per game (1.67 vs 1.83).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Krasnodar
0.67
Zenit
0.67
Spartak Moscow
0.83
CSKA Moscow
1.00
Baltika
1.00
Fakel
1.17
Dynamo
1.17
FC Orenburg
1.17
Akhmat
1.33
Lokomotiv
1.33
Rubin
1.33
Krylia Sovetov
1.67
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.67
FC Rostov
1.67
Akron
2.50
Rodina Moskva
2.83
Dinamo Makhachkala is 1.00 goals worse than FC Krasnodar in terms of goals conceded per game (1.67 vs 0.67).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Dynamo
63%
Spartak Moscow
62%
Zenit
60%
CSKA Moscow
57%
FC Krasnodar
57%
Akron
54%
Lokomotiv
51%
FC Rostov
49%
Fakel
48%
Akhmat
47%
Rubin
47%
Krylia Sovetov
46%
Rodina Moskva
44%
Dinamo Makhachkala
40%
FC Orenburg
39%
Baltika
36%
Dinamo Makhachkala is 16.7 percentage points worse than FC Krasnodar in terms of average possession (40% vs 57%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Dinamo Makhachkala
For 3.4 · Against 5.6 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 14.4 · Total 26.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Krasnodar
For 4.2 · Against 3.8 · Total 8.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.9 · Against 13.7 · Total 25.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Dinamo Makhachkala
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.0
8.2
9.7
4.1
4.5
3.7
28.6
29.5
27.9
vs Stronger (19)
8.6
8.4
8.9
4.3
4.8
3.8
26.3
26.1
26.4
vs Similar (31)
9.3
8.1
10.2
4.0
4.4
3.7
30.1
31.8
28.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
51%
41%
60%
56%
65%
48%
89%
88%
90%
% under line
49%
59%
40%
44%
35%
52%
11%
12%
10%
This opponent (FC Krasnodar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Krasnodar
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.5
8.7
8.4
4.5
4.9
4.0
28.5
27.9
29.2
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
8.9
9.5
8.3
4.8
5.8
3.9
30.8
30.8
30.7
vs Weaker (30)
8.3
8.2
8.4
4.3
4.4
4.1
27.3
26.4
28.4
% over line
31%
33%
29%
66%
72%
60%
89%
89%
88%
% under line
69%
67%
71%
34%
28%
40%
11%
11%
12%
This opponent (Dinamo Makhachkala) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Rodina Moskva
11.8
CSKA Moscow
10.3
FC Orenburg
10.1
Dynamo
10.0
Zenit
9.7
Akhmat
9.4
Krylia Sovetov
9.4
Akron
9.2
Fakel
9.2
Spartak Moscow
9.2
Lokomotiv
9.0
Dinamo Makhachkala
8.9
Rubin
8.6
FC Krasnodar
8.4
FC Rostov
8.3
Baltika
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Spartak Moscow
5.2
Baltika
5.1
FC Krasnodar
5.0
FC Rostov
4.8
Lokomotiv
4.6
Rubin
4.6
Krylia Sovetov
4.6
FC Orenburg
4.6
CSKA Moscow
4.5
Dynamo
4.4
Akhmat
4.4
Dinamo Makhachkala
4.4
Fakel
4.1
Zenit
4.0
Akron
3.9
Rodina Moskva
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Baltika
30.3
Spartak Moscow
29.9
Dinamo Makhachkala
29.5
FC Krasnodar
29.1
FC Rostov
28.8
Rubin
28.8
Akhmat
28.7
FC Orenburg
28.6
Fakel
28.0
Dynamo
27.6
Rodina Moskva
27.5
Lokomotiv
27.5
Akron
27.3
Zenit
27.2
CSKA Moscow
26.6
Krylia Sovetov
26.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
32.9%
@ 2.06-12.2%
Under 9.5
67.1%
@ 1.69+12.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.12
Marathonbet
2.07
1xBet
2.07
Superbet
1.97
Under
Superbet
1.74
Pinnacle
1.68
1xBet
1.67
Marathonbet
1.67
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
64.9%
Under 3.5
35.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
92.7%
Under 21.5
7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Dinamo Makhachkala or Draw✗ Miss
50.1%
Avg Implied 52.0% · @ 1.82
Edge
-2.0%
20%
30%
50%
covers Dinamo Makhachkala + Draw
Best 5 market prices
SBO
1.85
1xBet
1.83
Marathonbet
1.82
Superbet
1.77
Dinamo Makhachkala or FC Krasnodar✓ Hit
70.3%
Avg Implied 71.1% · @ 1.33
Edge
-0.8%
20%
30%
50%
covers Dinamo Makhachkala + FC Krasnodar
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.39
Marathonbet
1.38
Superbet
1.31
SBO
1.24
Draw or FC Krasnodar✓ Hit
79.7%
Avg Implied 76.9% · @ 1.23
Edge
+2.8%
20%
30%
50%
covers Draw + FC Krasnodar
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.25
Superbet
1.23
SBO
1.18
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Dinamo Makhachkala over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
55.6%
@ 1.56-4.2%
Under
44.4%
@ 2.33+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.59
1xBet
1.56
Marathonbet
1.56
Superbet
1.55
Under
Pinnacle
2.43
Superbet
2.37
Marathonbet
2.27
1xBet
2.27
Dinamo Makhachkala over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
19.6%
@ 3.81-5.1%
Under
80.4%
@ 1.25+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
4.10
1xBet
3.78
Marathonbet
3.78
Superbet
3.60
Under
Superbet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.24
Dinamo Makhachkala over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
4.9%
@ 10.15-4.3%
Under
95.1%
@ 1.03+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
10.25
1xBet
10.20
Superbet
10.00
Under
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
Dinamo Makhachkala over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.0%
@ 31.00-99.0%
Under
99.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
31.00
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Krasnodar over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
75.7%
@ 1.24+0.3%
Under
24.3%
@ 3.80-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Pinnacle
1.24
Under
Pinnacle
4.11
Superbet
3.75
1xBet
3.55
FC Krasnodar over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
41.3%
@ 2.24-1.1%
Under
58.7%
@ 1.64+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.28
1xBet
2.25
Marathonbet
2.25
Superbet
2.17
Under
Pinnacle
1.67
Superbet
1.64
1xBet
1.63
Marathonbet
1.63
FC Krasnodar over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
17.0%
@ 4.62-3.3%
Under
83.0%
@ 1.17+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.80
Superbet
4.80
Marathonbet
4.80
Pinnacle
4.06
Under
Pinnacle
1.22
Superbet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.15
1xBet
1.15
FC Krasnodar over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.5%
@ 10.48-3.4%
Under
94.5%
@ 1.03+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
11.00
Marathonbet
10.25
1xBet
10.20
Under
Superbet
1.03
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Dinamo Makhachkala, so a minus line means Dinamo Makhachkala give that many goals of a start and FC Krasnodar receive them. At -1, Dinamo Makhachkala must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Dinamo Makhachkala win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Dinamo Makhachkala)Actual: FC Krasnodar
Dinamo Makhachkala -2
1.6%
@ 21.00-2.8%
Draw -2
5.1%
@ 10.00-4.0%
FC Krasnodar +2
93.3%
@ 1.05+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
21.00
Draw
Superbet
10.00
Away
Superbet
1.05
Handicap -1 (Dinamo Makhachkala)Actual: FC Krasnodar
This opponent (FC Krasnodar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Krasnodar
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.43
1.00
0.29
0.69
0.56
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
0.77
0.46
0.75
0.25
0.78
0.56
vs Weaker (17)
0.88
0.41
1.10
0.30
0.57
0.57
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Makhachkala) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
68.1%
@ 1.50+5.6%
Under 0.5
31.9%
@ 2.50-5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.53
Marathonbet
1.53
Pinnacle
1.50
Superbet
1.46
Under
Superbet
2.60
Pinnacle
2.58
Marathonbet
2.42
1xBet
2.42
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
32.4%
@ 3.23+3.4%
Under 1.5
67.6%
@ 1.32-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.33
Marathonbet
3.25
1xBet
3.25
Superbet
3.10
Under
Superbet
1.34
1xBet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.32
Pinnacle
1.31
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
11.5%
@ 8.10+0.1%
Under 2.5
88.5%
@ 1.04-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.20
1xBet
8.20
Superbet
7.90
Under
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dinamo Makhachkala over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
34.1%
@ 2.79+0.8%
Under
65.9%
@ 1.40-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.01
1xBet
2.76
Marathonbet
2.76
Superbet
2.65
Under
Superbet
1.42
Pinnacle
1.40
1xBet
1.39
Marathonbet
1.39
Dinamo Makhachkala over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.2%
@ 10.45-1.7%
Under
92.8%
@ 1.02+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
10.75
1xBet
10.70
Superbet
9.90
Under
Superbet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Dinamo Makhachkala over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.9%
@ 45.00-99.1%
Under
99.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
45.00
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Krasnodar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
54.7%
@ 2.00+8.1%
Under
45.3%
@ 1.75-8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.05
1xBet
2.02
Marathonbet
2.02
Superbet
1.92
Under
Pinnacle
1.79
Superbet
1.78
Marathonbet
1.71
1xBet
1.71
FC Krasnodar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
14.3%
@ 6.03-1.1%
Under
85.7%
@ 1.10+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.20
1xBet
6.20
Superbet
5.70
Under
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.09
FC Krasnodar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.3%
@ 18.00-2.0%
Under
96.7%
@ 1.01+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
18.00
Under
Superbet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Dinamo Makhachkala
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.57
0.69
0.38
0.41
0.71
vs Stronger (12)
0.33
1.00
0.40
0.40
0.29
1.43
vs Similar (18)
0.67
0.28
0.88
0.38
0.50
0.20
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Krasnodar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Krasnodar
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.43
1.64
0.43
0.69
0.44
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
0.69
0.54
1.50
0.50
0.33
0.56
vs Weaker (17)
1.47
0.35
1.70
0.40
1.14
0.29
Clean sheet %
70% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Makhachkala) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
75.6%
@ 1.31+3.8%
Under 0.5
24.4%
@ 3.33-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.31
1xBet
1.31
Superbet
1.30
Under
Superbet
3.35
Marathonbet
3.32
1xBet
3.32
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
42.9%
@ 2.38+3.5%
Under 1.5
57.1%
@ 1.55-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.38
Marathonbet
2.38
Superbet
2.37
Under
1xBet
1.55
Marathonbet
1.55
Superbet
1.54
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
17.7%
@ 5.32+0.4%
Under 2.5
82.3%
@ 1.12-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
5.45
Marathonbet
5.25
1xBet
5.25
Under
Superbet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.11
1xBet
1.11
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dinamo Makhachkala over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
43.1%
@ 2.22+1.4%
Under
56.9%
@ 1.59-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.23
Marathonbet
2.23
Superbet
2.20
Under
Superbet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.58
1xBet
1.58
Dinamo Makhachkala over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
10.8%
@ 7.53-1.5%
Under
89.2%
@ 1.05+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.70
Marathonbet
7.70
Superbet
7.20
Under
Superbet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
Dinamo Makhachkala over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.8%
@ 27.00-98.2%
Under
98.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
27.00
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Krasnodar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
60.5%
@ 1.69+5.5%
Under
39.5%
@ 2.06-5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.69
1xBet
1.68
Under
1xBet
2.06
Superbet
2.05
FC Krasnodar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
22.4%
@ 4.30+0.8%
Under
77.6%
@ 1.18-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
4.30
Marathonbet
4.30
1xBet
4.30
Under
1xBet
1.18
Superbet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
FC Krasnodar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
5.3%
@ 13.00-2.0%
Under
94.7%
@ 1.02+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
13.00
Under
Superbet
1.02
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
98.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
97.4%
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
-
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
96.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
96.7%
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
95.1%
1.03
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
-
-
+4.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
94.7%
1.02
Superbet
1.02
-
-
-
-
+2.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
94.5%
1.03
Superbet
1.03
-
-
-
-
+3.4%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
93.3%
1.05
Superbet
1.05
-
-
-
-
+6.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
92.8%
1.02
Superbet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+1.7%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
92.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
92.5%
1.05
Pinnacle
1.10
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
-
+4.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
89.2%
1.05
Superbet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
-
-
+1.5%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
88.5%
1.04
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
-
-
-0.1%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
86.0%
1.22
Superbet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.19
1xBet
1.18
-
-
+11.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
85.7%
1.10
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.09
-
-
+1.1%
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
85.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals
83.0%
1.17
Pinnacle
1.22
Superbet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.15
1xBet
1.15
-
+3.3%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
82.3%
1.12
Superbet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.11
1xBet
1.11
-
-
-0.4%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
82.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
81.4%
1.22
Pinnacle
1.24
Superbet
1.22
1xBet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.20
-
+4.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 goals
80.4%
1.25
Superbet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.24
-
+5.1%
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
79.7%
1.23
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.25
Superbet
1.23
SBO
1.18
-
+2.8%
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
79.7%
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
-
-
-
-
+7.1%
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
77.9%
1.41
Superbet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.38
1xBet
1.37
-
-
+12.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
77.6%
1.18
1xBet
1.18
Superbet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
-
-
-0.8%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
75.7%
1.24
1xBet
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Pinnacle
1.24
-
-
+0.3%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
75.6%
1.31
Marathonbet
1.31
1xBet
1.31
Superbet
1.30
-
-
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
74.7%
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
-
-
-
+2.8%
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
74.4%
1.36
1xBet
1.36
-
-
-
-
+7.9%
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
71.2%
1.74
Superbet
1.74
-
-
-
-
+18.1%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
70.3%
1.33
1xBet
1.39
Marathonbet
1.38
Superbet
1.31
SBO
1.24
-
-0.8%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Dinamo Makhachkala
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gamid Agalarov33%
Nikita Glushkov33%
Miro33%
Daniil Lesovoy17%
Aleksandr Sandrachuk17%
Andrés Alarcón17%
Soslan Kagermazov0%
Mutalip Alibekov0%
Temirkan Sundukov0%
Marat Apshatsev0%
Timur Magomedov0%
Houssem Eddine Mrezigue0%
Mohamed Azzi0%
Egor Smelov0%
Abdulpasha Dzhabrailov0%
Ilyas Akhmedov0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Temirkan Sundukov33%
Marat Apshatsev33%
Andrés Alarcón33%
Ilyas Akhmedov33%
Mutalip Alibekov17%
Daniil Lesovoy17%
Gamid Agalarov17%
Miro17%
Soslan Kagermazov0%
Nikita Glushkov0%
Aleksandr Sandrachuk0%
Timur Magomedov0%
Houssem Eddine Mrezigue0%
Mohamed Azzi0%
Egor Smelov0%
Abdulpasha Dzhabrailov0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nikita Glushkov33%
Daniil Lesovoy17%
Houssem Eddine Mrezigue17%
Soslan Kagermazov0%
Mutalip Alibekov0%
Gamid Agalarov0%
Temirkan Sundukov0%
Marat Apshatsev0%
Aleksandr Sandrachuk0%
Timur Magomedov0%
Mohamed Azzi0%
Andrés Alarcón0%
Egor Smelov0%
Miro0%
Abdulpasha Dzhabrailov0%
Ilyas Akhmedov0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Temirkan Sundukov17%
Soslan Kagermazov0%
Mutalip Alibekov0%
Daniil Lesovoy0%
Gamid Agalarov0%
Nikita Glushkov0%
Marat Apshatsev0%
Aleksandr Sandrachuk0%
Timur Magomedov0%
Houssem Eddine Mrezigue0%
Mohamed Azzi0%
Andrés Alarcón0%
Egor Smelov0%
Miro0%
Abdulpasha Dzhabrailov0%
Ilyas Akhmedov0%
FC Krasnodar
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jubal50%
Nikita Krivtsov50%
Christian33%
Juan Boselli25%
Lucas Olaza17%
João Batxi17%
Magomed Ozdoev0%
Aleksandr Chernikov0%
Daniil Utkin0%
Augusto Douglas0%
Vítor Tormena0%
Dmitry Vorobyev0%
Ilya Vakhaniya0%
Stanislav Agkatsev0%
Kevin Pina0%
Valentin Paltsev0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jubal50%
Augusto Douglas40%
Nikita Krivtsov25%
Daniil Utkin20%
Aleksandr Chernikov17%
Dmitry Vorobyev17%
Ilya Vakhaniya17%
Lucas Olaza17%
Christian17%
Stanislav Agkatsev17%
João Batxi17%
Magomed Ozdoev0%
Vítor Tormena0%
Kevin Pina0%
Juan Boselli0%
Valentin Paltsev0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Christian33%
Juan Boselli25%
Nikita Krivtsov25%
Augusto Douglas20%
Dmitry Vorobyev17%
Lucas Olaza17%
Kevin Pina17%
João Batxi17%
Magomed Ozdoev0%
Aleksandr Chernikov0%
Daniil Utkin0%
Jubal0%
Vítor Tormena0%
Ilya Vakhaniya0%
Stanislav Agkatsev0%
Valentin Paltsev0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nikita Krivtsov75%
Juan Boselli25%
Jubal17%
Dmitry Vorobyev17%
Magomed Ozdoev0%
Aleksandr Chernikov0%
Daniil Utkin0%
Augusto Douglas0%
Vítor Tormena0%
Ilya Vakhaniya0%
Lucas Olaza0%
Christian0%
Stanislav Agkatsev0%
Kevin Pina0%
João Batxi0%
Valentin Paltsev0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (26)
€182m
SM (26)
€129m
FK (28)
€114m
CM (27)
€111m
DYN (28)
€110m
LOK (27)
€68m
RUB (27)
€45m
FR (28)
€32m
BAL (31)
€30m
AKH (25)
€30m
KS (27)
€26m
AKR (25)
€25m
DM (29)
€20m
FO (30)
€18m
RM (26)
€17m
FAK (26)
€14m
Dinamo Makhachkala's squad is €94m less valuable than FC Krasnodar's (€20m vs €114m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (9)
€100m
SM (10)
€59m
DYN (8)
€45m
CM (11)
€37m
FK (9)
€34m
LOK (8)
€21m
AKH (11)
€17m
FR (11)
€14m
AKR (9)
€11m
BAL (10)
€10m
KS (11)
€9m
DM (13)
€9m
FO (12)
€8m
RUB (5)
€8m
RM (11)
€7m
FAK (10)
€5m
Dinamo Makhachkala's attack is €26m less valuable than FC Krasnodar's (€9m vs €34m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CM (5)
€48m
SM (6)
€37m
FK (7)
€35m
ZEN (5)
€31m
DYN (7)
€24m
RUB (6)
€12m
LOK (7)
€8m
BAL (6)
€6m
AKR (6)
€6m
KS (4)
€6m
FR (5)
€5m
AKH (4)
€4m
RM (4)
€3m
FO (5)
€3m
DM (5)
€3m
FAK (4)
€2m
Dinamo Makhachkala's midfield is €32m less valuable than FC Krasnodar's (€3m vs €35m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (12)
€50m
FK (12)
€45m
DYN (13)
€42m
LOK (12)
€40m
SM (10)
€34m
CM (11)
€26m
RUB (16)
€25m
BAL (15)
€15m
FR (12)
€13m
KS (12)
€11m
AKH (10)
€9m
AKR (10)
€8m
DM (11)
€8m
FO (13)
€7m
FAK (12)
€7m
RM (11)
€7m
Dinamo Makhachkala's defence is €37m less valuable than FC Krasnodar's (€8m vs €45m).
Russia: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Spartak Moscow
Zenit
CSKA Moscow
Baltika
Dynamo
Rubin
FC Orenburg
Akhmat
Krylia Sovetov
FC Rostov
Rodina Moskva
Lokomotiv
Akron
Fakel