This opponent (Khimki) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Khimki
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
1.83
1.33
1.47
0.93
2.20
vs Stronger (20)
1.30
2.30
1.44
2.22
1.18
2.36
vs Similar (10)
0.80
0.90
1.17
0.33
0.25
1.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Makhachkala) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.6%
Under 1.5
25.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
48.4%
Under 2.5
51.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
26.6%
Under 3.5
73.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
51.7%
No
48.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.0%
1-0
10.7%
2-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
8.6%
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
5.1%
Dinamo Makhachkala goals ↓
Khimki goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.6%
6.2%
3.7%
1.2%
0.3%
1
11%
13%
5.9%
2.0%
0.5%
2
9.5%
9.5%
4.8%
1.6%
0.4%
3
5.1%
5.1%
2.6%
0.9%
0.2%
4
2.1%
2.1%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dinamo Makhachkala goals (down), columns = Khimki goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Krasnodar
2.23
Zenit
2.20
CSKA Moscow
1.97
Spartak Moscow
1.90
Dynamo
1.87
Lokomotiv
1.77
Ural
1.50
FC Sochi
1.50
Rubin
1.50
FC Rostov
1.30
Akron
1.17
Krylia Sovetov
1.03
Khimki
0.97
Dinamo Makhachkala
0.97
Nizhny Novgorod
0.94
Akhmat
0.88
FC Orenburg
0.63
Fakel
0.60
Dinamo Makhachkala and Khimki are level in average points per game (both 0.97).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dynamo
2.03
FC Sochi
2.00
FC Krasnodar
1.97
Zenit
1.93
Spartak Moscow
1.87
Lokomotiv
1.70
CSKA Moscow
1.57
Rubin
1.40
FC Rostov
1.37
Akron
1.30
Krylia Sovetov
1.20
Khimki
1.17
Ural
1.00
Nizhny Novgorod
0.94
Akhmat
0.94
FC Orenburg
0.93
Dinamo Makhachkala
0.90
Fakel
0.47
Dinamo Makhachkala is 0.27 goals worse than Khimki in terms of goals scored per game (0.90 vs 1.17).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Zenit
0.60
CSKA Moscow
0.70
FC Krasnodar
0.77
Spartak Moscow
0.83
Dynamo
1.17
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.17
Lokomotiv
1.37
Fakel
1.40
FC Rostov
1.43
Ural
1.50
FC Sochi
1.50
Rubin
1.50
Akhmat
1.56
Krylia Sovetov
1.70
Nizhny Novgorod
1.81
Akron
1.83
Khimki
1.87
FC Orenburg
1.87
Dinamo Makhachkala is 0.70 goals better than Khimki in terms of goals conceded per game (1.17 vs 1.87).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Spartak Moscow
63%
Zenit
61%
FC Krasnodar
57%
CSKA Moscow
54%
Dynamo
52%
FC Rostov
52%
FC Orenburg
51%
Lokomotiv
50%
Krylia Sovetov
49%
Akhmat
48%
Khimki
47%
Akron
47%
Ural
46%
FC Sochi
44%
Dinamo Makhachkala
43%
Nizhny Novgorod
43%
Rubin
43%
Fakel
42%
Dinamo Makhachkala is 4.1 percentage points worse than Khimki in terms of average possession (43% vs 47%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Dinamo Makhachkala
For 3.5 · Against 5.6 · Total 9.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 14.0 · Total 26.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Khimki
For 3.3 · Against 6.4 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.3 · Against 11.7 · Total 24.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Dinamo Makhachkala
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
7.8
11.5
3.6
3.8
3.3
25.8
27.0
24.5
vs Stronger (14)
10.8
8.2
12.8
2.3
2.0
2.6
25.6
28.0
23.6
vs Similar (33)
8.7
7.7
10.0
4.3
4.5
4.1
25.9
26.4
25.3
vs Weaker (3)
11.7
7.0
14.0
2.0
6.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
47%
20%
73%
46%
48%
44%
91%
100%
82%
% under line
53%
80%
27%
54%
52%
56%
9%
0%
18%
This opponent (Khimki) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Khimki
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.7
10.0
11.5
3.2
3.0
3.3
23.7
23.6
23.8
vs Stronger (21)
10.8
10.1
11.4
2.9
2.9
2.8
22.9
22.6
23.1
vs Similar (29)
10.7
9.9
11.6
3.4
3.1
3.8
25.6
25.5
25.7
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
70%
67%
73%
46%
44%
48%
64%
64%
64%
% under line
30%
33%
27%
54%
56%
52%
36%
36%
36%
This opponent (Dinamo Makhachkala) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FC Orenburg
11.0
Lokomotiv
11.0
Ural
10.9
Dynamo
10.6
Khimki
10.4
Nizhny Novgorod
10.0
Akron
10.0
Akhmat
10.0
Spartak Moscow
9.8
CSKA Moscow
9.5
Zenit
9.5
FC Sochi
9.5
FC Rostov
9.4
Dinamo Makhachkala
9.4
Rubin
9.4
Fakel
9.3
Krylia Sovetov
9.3
FC Krasnodar
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Fakel
5.1
Akhmat
4.9
Spartak Moscow
4.8
Lokomotiv
4.8
Rubin
4.6
FC Rostov
4.6
Krylia Sovetov
4.4
Dinamo Makhachkala
4.4
FC Orenburg
4.3
CSKA Moscow
4.3
FC Krasnodar
4.3
Zenit
4.3
Dynamo
4.3
Nizhny Novgorod
4.2
Ural
4.2
Khimki
3.9
FC Sochi
3.7
Akron
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Fakel
26.8
Spartak Moscow
26.1
Dinamo Makhachkala
25.8
Nizhny Novgorod
25.6
Akhmat
25.5
Rubin
25.1
Ural
24.1
Lokomotiv
24.0
FC Orenburg
23.9
FC Rostov
23.9
FC Krasnodar
23.8
Khimki
23.7
Dynamo
23.5
CSKA Moscow
23.2
Krylia Sovetov
23.1
Zenit
22.7
FC Sochi
22.3
Akron
21.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Dinamo Makhachkala
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.57
0.53
0.47
0.33
0.67
vs Stronger (14)
0.43
0.71
0.57
0.71
0.29
0.71
vs Similar (16)
0.44
0.44
0.50
0.25
0.38
0.62
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Khimki) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Khimki
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.70
0.27
0.40
0.33
1.00
vs Stronger (20)
0.30
0.65
0.22
0.44
0.36
0.82
vs Similar (10)
0.30
0.80
0.33
0.33
0.25
1.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Makhachkala) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dinamo Makhachkala over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Makhachkala over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Makhachkala over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khimki over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khimki over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khimki over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Dinamo Makhachkala
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.60
0.53
0.53
0.33
0.67
vs Stronger (14)
0.14
0.79
0.14
0.57
0.14
1.00
vs Similar (16)
0.69
0.44
0.88
0.50
0.50
0.38
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Khimki) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Khimki
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
1.13
1.07
1.07
0.60
1.20
vs Stronger (20)
1.00
1.65
1.22
1.78
0.82
1.55
vs Similar (10)
0.50
0.10
0.83
0.00
0.00
0.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Makhachkala) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dinamo Makhachkala over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Makhachkala over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Makhachkala over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khimki over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khimki over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khimki over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
74.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
73.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Dinamo Makhachkala
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gamid Agalarov21%
Mohammadjavad Hosseinnejad13%
Egas Cacintura12%
Mohamed Azzi11%
Houssem Eddine Mrezigue10%
Jan Đapo6%
Serder Serderov5%
Soslan Kagermazov4%
Temirkan Sundukov4%
Kirill Zinovich4%
Abakar Gadzhiev4%
Idar Shumakhov4%
Victorien Angban0%
Mutalip Alibekov0%
Jemal Tabidze0%
David Volk0%
Nikita Glushkov0%
Zalimkhan Yusupov0%
Aleksandr Sandrachuk0%
Razhab Magomedov0%
Anton Krachkovskiy0%
Timur Magomedov0%
Valentin Paltsev0%
Ilya Kirsch0%
Abdulpasha Dzhabrailov0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ilya Kirsch33%
Nikita Glushkov31%
Mutalip Alibekov29%
Temirkan Sundukov28%
Jemal Tabidze26%
Zalimkhan Yusupov25%
Anton Krachkovskiy25%
Victorien Angban20%
Egas Cacintura20%
Valentin Paltsev19%
Abakar Gadzhiev19%
Mohammadjavad Hosseinnejad13%
Soslan Kagermazov12%
Jan Đapo12%
Mohamed Azzi11%
Idar Shumakhov11%
Serder Serderov10%
Aleksandr Sandrachuk10%
Houssem Eddine Mrezigue10%
Gamid Agalarov8%
Kirill Zinovich8%
David Volk5%
Razhab Magomedov4%
Timur Magomedov0%
Abdulpasha Dzhabrailov0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Gamid Agalarov17%
Mohamed Azzi11%
Mohammadjavad Hosseinnejad9%
Soslan Kagermazov8%
Egas Cacintura8%
Razhab Magomedov4%
Temirkan Sundukov4%
Idar Shumakhov4%
Victorien Angban0%
Serder Serderov0%
Mutalip Alibekov0%
Jemal Tabidze0%
David Volk0%
Nikita Glushkov0%
Zalimkhan Yusupov0%
Aleksandr Sandrachuk0%
Anton Krachkovskiy0%
Timur Magomedov0%
Kirill Zinovich0%
Valentin Paltsev0%
Houssem Eddine Mrezigue0%
Abakar Gadzhiev0%
Jan Đapo0%
Ilya Kirsch0%
Abdulpasha Dzhabrailov0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Houssem Eddine Mrezigue14%
Gamid Agalarov12%
Mohammadjavad Hosseinnejad9%
Abakar Gadzhiev7%
Jemal Tabidze5%
Serder Serderov5%
Razhab Magomedov4%
Temirkan Sundukov4%
Egas Cacintura4%
Valentin Paltsev4%
Victorien Angban0%
Soslan Kagermazov0%
Mutalip Alibekov0%
David Volk0%
Nikita Glushkov0%
Zalimkhan Yusupov0%
Idar Shumakhov0%
Aleksandr Sandrachuk0%
Anton Krachkovskiy0%
Timur Magomedov0%
Kirill Zinovich0%
Jan Đapo0%
Mohamed Azzi0%
Ilya Kirsch0%
Abdulpasha Dzhabrailov0%
Khimki
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Lucas Vera23%
Edgardo Fariña21%
Anton Zabolotnyi21%
Aleksandr Rudenko17%
Zelimkhan Bakaev12%
Reziuan Mirzov12%
Butta Magomedov8%
Khetag Khosonov6%
Georgiy Dzhikiya0%
Denis Glushakov0%
Petar Golubović0%
Orinho0%
Oleksandr Filin0%
Igor Obukhov0%
Kirill Kaplenko0%
Nemanja Anđelković0%
Sergey Terekhov0%
Danil Stepanov0%
Kirill Panchenko0%
Robert Mejía0%
Cedric Gogoua0%
Álex Corredera0%
Saminu Kwari Abdullahi0%
Dani Fernández0%
Ilya Berkovskyi0%
Ilya Sadygov0%
Nikita Kokarev0%
Boni Amian0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Edgardo Fariña50%
Robert Mejía30%
Nemanja Anđelković29%
Sergey Terekhov25%
Dani Fernández25%
Zelimkhan Bakaev24%
Boni Amian20%
Anton Zabolotnyi17%
Reziuan Mirzov15%
Saminu Kwari Abdullahi14%
Ilya Sadygov14%
Petar Golubović12%
Georgiy Dzhikiya12%
Aleksandr Rudenko10%
Lucas Vera10%
Oleksandr Filin7%
Danil Stepanov7%
Orinho5%
Álex Corredera5%
Denis Glushakov0%
Khetag Khosonov0%
Igor Obukhov0%
Kirill Kaplenko0%
Kirill Panchenko0%
Cedric Gogoua0%
Butta Magomedov0%
Ilya Berkovskyi0%
Nikita Kokarev0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Anton Zabolotnyi14%
Lucas Vera13%
Sergey Terekhov12%
Dani Fernández10%
Ilya Sadygov7%
Petar Golubović6%
Khetag Khosonov6%
Álex Corredera5%
Reziuan Mirzov4%
Aleksandr Rudenko3%
Georgiy Dzhikiya0%
Denis Glushakov0%
Orinho0%
Oleksandr Filin0%
Igor Obukhov0%
Kirill Kaplenko0%
Nemanja Anđelković0%
Zelimkhan Bakaev0%
Danil Stepanov0%
Kirill Panchenko0%
Robert Mejía0%
Cedric Gogoua0%
Butta Magomedov0%
Saminu Kwari Abdullahi0%
Ilya Berkovskyi0%
Nikita Kokarev0%
Edgardo Fariña0%
Boni Amian0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Anton Zabolotnyi24%
Orinho9%
Zelimkhan Bakaev8%
Aleksandr Rudenko7%
Dani Fernández5%
Lucas Vera3%
Georgiy Dzhikiya0%
Denis Glushakov0%
Petar Golubović0%
Khetag Khosonov0%
Oleksandr Filin0%
Igor Obukhov0%
Kirill Kaplenko0%
Nemanja Anđelković0%
Reziuan Mirzov0%
Sergey Terekhov0%
Danil Stepanov0%
Kirill Panchenko0%
Robert Mejía0%
Cedric Gogoua0%
Álex Corredera0%
Butta Magomedov0%
Saminu Kwari Abdullahi0%
Ilya Berkovskyi0%
Ilya Sadygov0%
Nikita Kokarev0%
Edgardo Fariña0%
Boni Amian0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Russia: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: Premier League stats & trends →
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FC Krasnodar
Zenit
CSKA Moscow
Spartak Moscow
Dynamo
Lokomotiv
Rubin
FC Rostov
Akron
Krylia Sovetov
Nizhny Novgorod
Akhmat
FC Orenburg
Fakel
FC Sochi
Ural