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Dinamo Tbilisi vs Torpedo Kutaisi Result & Analysis

Date: 16/09/2023
Time: 17:00
Final 1-1
Dinamo Tbilisi
Dinamo Tbilisi
Vs
55%
24%
21%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Torpedo Kutaisi
Torpedo Kutaisi
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Dinamo Tbilisi win✗ Miss
54.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
24.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Kutaisi win✗ Miss
21.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Dinamo TbilisiDinamo Tbilisi

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-630W11D12L12L01L61W52W22D30W32WH·SAM05/06A·FC 12/07H·FC 19/07A·HAM25/07H·HAM03/08A·GAG13/08H·SAM19/08A·TEL25/08A·DIL29/08A·SHU02/09
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.301.432.291.362.311.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.751.751.432.142.001.44
vs Weaker (14)2.931.073.140.572.711.57
Clean sheet %20% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Torpedo Kutaisi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W22D11D14L21W31W32W41W00D21WH·DIL05/06H·FK 13/07A·FK 20/07H·AKT27/07A·AKT03/08A·SAB08/08A·SAM14/08H·GAG20/08A·SAM27/08H·TEL01/09
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.231.531.401.131.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.191.561.121.501.251.62
vs Weaker (14)1.500.862.001.291.000.43
Clean sheet %37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Tbilisi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%17%23%6%013%123%222%317%410%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.5%
Under 1.5
18.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
58.3%
Under 2.5
41.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
35.9%
Under 3.5
64.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.5%
No
41.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
8.8%
1-0
8.2%
3-1
6.3%
0-0
5.9%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
5.6%
Dinamo Tbilisi goals ↓
Torpedo Kutaisi goals →
01234
05.9%4.4%3.0%1.1%0.3%
18.2%11%5.8%2.2%0.6%
28.8%9.9%5.5%2.1%0.6%
35.6%6.3%3.5%1.3%0.4%
42.7%3.0%1.7%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dinamo Tbilisi goals (down), columns = Torpedo Kutaisi goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Dinamo Batumi
2.06
Dinamo Tbilisi
1.97
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.67
Dila
1.67
Samgurali
1.58
Gareji
1.50
Saburtalo
1.42
Telavi
1.08
Gagra
1.06
Samtredia
0.95
Spaeri
0.50
Shukura
0.47
Dinamo Tbilisi is 0.31 points better than Torpedo Kutaisi in terms of average points per game (1.97 vs 1.67).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Dinamo Tbilisi
2.58
Dinamo Batumi
2.31
Gareji
2.00
Saburtalo
1.61
Dila
1.56
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.53
Samgurali
1.47
Samtredia
1.45
Gagra
1.31
Shukura
1.06
Telavi
1.03
Spaeri
0.50
Dinamo Tbilisi is 1.06 goals better than Torpedo Kutaisi in terms of goals scored per game (2.58 vs 1.53).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.03
Dila
1.08
Dinamo Batumi
1.14
Dinamo Tbilisi
1.36
Saburtalo
1.36
Samgurali
1.42
Telavi
1.66
Samtredia
1.74
Gagra
1.81
Gareji
2.50
Spaeri
2.50
Shukura
3.11
Dinamo Tbilisi is 0.33 goals worse than Torpedo Kutaisi in terms of goals conceded per game (1.36 vs 1.03).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Dinamo TbilisiDinamo Tbilisi

For 5.2 · Against 2.5 · Total 7.8

ðŸšĐ Corners

1101015465119110H·HAMA·HAMH·FC A·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.0

ðŸŸĻ Cards

100114621000H·HAMA·HAMH·FC A·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.0 · Against 9.0 · Total 25.0

⚠ïļ Fouls

25016925H·HAM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi

For 5.2 · Against 5.0 · Total 10.2

ðŸšĐ Corners

130446464588101013A·AKTH·AKTA·FK H·FK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.7 · Against 2.7 · Total 6.3

ðŸŸĻ Cards

70423442676A·AKTH·AKTA·FK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.0 · Against 14.0 · Total 28.0

⚠ïļ Fouls

280141428A·AKT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Dinamo TbilisiDinamo Tbilisi

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)7.89.36.30.30.10.525.025.0-
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (28)7.89.36.30.60.20.925.025.0-
vs Weaker (22)---0.00.00.0---
% over line50%67%33%4%0%8%100%100%-
% under line50%33%67%96%100%92%0%0%-
This opponent (Torpedo Kutaisi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.211.59.00.40.30.528.0-28.0
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (26)10.211.59.00.70.50.928.0-28.0
vs Weaker (24)---0.00.00.0---
% over line75%100%50%6%4%8%100%-100%
% under line25%0%50%94%96%92%0%-0%
This opponent (Dinamo Tbilisi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Torpedo Kutaisi
10.2
Saburtalo
10.2
Dila
8.9
Dinamo Tbilisi
7.8
Dinamo Batumi
7.0

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Torpedo Kutaisi
6.3
Dila
5.2
Saburtalo
5.0
Dinamo Batumi
4.5
Dinamo Tbilisi
3.2

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Dila
30.7
Torpedo Kutaisi
28.0
Dinamo Tbilisi
25.0
Dinamo Batumi
24.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
53.1%
Under 9.5
46.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
53.9%
Under 3.5
46.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
73.0%
Under 21.5
27.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Dinamo TbilisiDinamo Tbilisi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D01L10W00D01L41W21W11D00D02LH·SAM05/06A·FC 12/07H·FC 19/07A·HAM25/07H·HAM03/08A·GAG13/08H·SAM19/08A·TEL25/08A·DIL29/08A·SHU02/09
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.631.000.430.880.81
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.620.750.860.710.440.78
vs Weaker (14)1.290.501.140.141.430.86
Clean sheet %50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Torpedo Kutaisi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W01L02L01L01L21W20W00D11DH·DIL05/06H·FK 13/07A·FK 20/07H·AKT27/07A·AKT03/08A·SAB08/08A·SAM14/08H·GAG20/08A·SAM27/08H·TEL01/09
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.530.470.600.330.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.190.690.250.620.120.75
vs Weaker (14)0.640.360.710.570.570.14
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Tbilisi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dinamo Tbilisi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Tbilisi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Tbilisi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Dinamo TbilisiDinamo Tbilisi

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W10W02L12L00D20W31W11D30W30WH·SAM05/06A·FC 12/07H·FC 19/07A·HAM25/07H·HAM03/08A·GAG13/08H·SAM19/08A·TEL25/08A·DIL29/08A·SHU02/09
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.370.801.290.931.440.69
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.121.000.571.431.560.67
vs Weaker (14)1.640.572.000.431.290.71
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Torpedo Kutaisi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W12L10W12L20W30W11D21W00D10WH·DIL05/06H·FK 13/07A·FK 20/07H·AKT27/07A·AKT03/08A·SAB08/08A·SAM14/08H·GAG20/08A·SAM27/08H·TEL01/09
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.701.070.800.800.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.000.880.880.881.120.88
vs Weaker (14)0.860.501.290.710.430.29
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Tbilisi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dinamo Tbilisi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Tbilisi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Tbilisi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls85.1%--------
Over 1.581.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards80.6%--------
Over 2.5 cards74.1%--------
Over 21.5 fouls73.0%--------
Under 11.5 corners70.7%--------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (26)
€7m
TK (22)
€7m
DB (25)
€6m
SAB (22)
€6m
DIL (23)
€4m
SAM (24)
€3m
GAG (23)
€3m
SPA (20)
€2m
SAM (4)
€0m
Dinamo Tbilisi and Torpedo Kutaisi have a similar squad value (both €7m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DB (9)
€3m
DT (11)
€3m
SAB (7)
€3m
TK (7)
€2m
DIL (8)
€2m
SAM (9)
€1m
GAG (8)
€1m
SPA (8)
€1m
SAM (1)
€0m
Dinamo Tbilisi and Torpedo Kutaisi have a similar attack value (both €3m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TK (5)
€2m
SAB (5)
€2m
DB (6)
€1m
SAM (5)
€1m
GAG (6)
€1m
DT (4)
€1m
DIL (6)
€1m
SPA (4)
€0m
SAM (1)
€0m
Dinamo Tbilisi's midfield is €2m less valuable than Torpedo Kutaisi's (€1m vs €2m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (11)
€3m
SAB (10)
€2m
TK (10)
€2m
DIL (9)
€2m
DB (10)
€2m
SAM (10)
€1m
GAG (9)
€1m
SPA (8)
€1m
SAM (2)
€0m
Dinamo Tbilisi's defence is €1m more valuable than Torpedo Kutaisi's (€3m vs €2m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
5
DT wins
1
Draws
0
TK wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Dinamo Tbilisi vs Torpedo Kutaisi · H/A from DT
DateH/AGameScore
24/05/23ATorpedo Kutaisi Vs DT2-3
08/04/23HDT Vs Torpedo Kutaisi2-1
02/10/22ATorpedo Kutaisi Vs DT0-0
25/06/22HDT Vs Torpedo Kutaisi5-1
29/04/22ATorpedo Kutaisi Vs DT0-3
25/02/22HDT Vs Torpedo Kutaisi4-0

Dinamo TbilisiDinamo Tbilisi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/09/23AShukura Vs DT2-3
29/08/23ADila Vs DT0-3
25/08/23ATelavi Vs DT2-2
19/08/23HDT Vs Samgurali5-2
13/08/23AGagra Vs DT1-6
03/08/23HDT Vs Hamrun Spartans0-1
25/07/23AHamrun Spartans Vs DT2-1
19/07/23HDT Vs FC Astana1-2
12/07/23AFC Astana Vs DT1-1
05/06/23HDT Vs Samtredia3-0

Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/09/23HTK Vs Telavi2-1
27/08/23ASamgurali Vs TK0-0
20/08/23HTK Vs Gagra4-1
14/08/23ASamtredia Vs TK2-3
08/08/23ASaburtalo Vs TK1-3
03/08/23AAktobe Vs TK1-2
27/07/23HTK Vs Aktobe1-4
20/07/23AFK Sarajevo Vs TK1-1
13/07/23HTK Vs FK Sarajevo2-2
05/06/23HTK Vs Dila1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Dinamo Tbilisi
Dinamo Tbilisi
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWW1.98
HomeLWLLW2.00
AwayLWDWW1.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %60%62%58%
AVG goals3.503.713.31
Over 1.5 %88%88%88%
Over 2.5 %74%79%69%
Over 3.5 %40%46%35%
Scored2.302.622.00
Conceded1.201.081.31
BTTS66%58%73%
Clean Sheet32%38%27%
Corners7.839.336.33
Cards3.201.004.67
Torpedo Kutaisi
Torpedo Kutaisi
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDW1.62
HomeWDLWW1.88
AwayDWWWD1.36
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%56%32%
AVG goals2.662.682.64
Over 1.5 %70%64%76%
Over 2.5 %56%60%52%
Over 3.5 %34%36%32%
Scored1.421.601.24
Conceded1.241.081.40
BTTS50%52%48%
Clean Sheet38%40%36%
Corners10.2511.509.00
Cards6.337.006.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Dinamo BatumiDinamo Batumi3674
58%
2.1
8341+42
3.4
94%
69%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3122.31.1
-
2Dinamo TbilisiDinamo Tbilisi3671
58%
2.0
9349+44
3.9
92%
81%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3132.61.4
-
3Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi3660
44%
1.7
5537+18
2.6
67%
53%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2221.51.0
-
4DilaDila3660
47%
1.7
5639+17
2.6
72%
56%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.61.1
-
5SamguraliSamgurali3657
44%
1.6
5351+2
2.9
72%
56%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.51.4
-
6SaburtaloSaburtalo3651
39%
1.4
5849+9
3.0
78%
72%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3221.61.4
-
7TelaviTelavi3841
29%
1.1
3963-24
2.7
71%
55%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
8GagraGagra3638
28%
1.1
4765-18
3.1
64%
56%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.31.8
-
9SamtrediaSamtredia3836
26%
0.9
5566-11
3.2
82%
58%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.7
-
10ShukuraShukura3617
11%
0.5
38112-74
4.2
89%
75%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.13.1
-
11GarejiGareji23
50%
1.5
45-1
4.5
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.02.5
-
12SpaeriSpaeri21
0%
0.5
15-4
3.0
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.52.5
-
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Georgia: Erovnuli Liga stats & trends →

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