PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Dinamo Tirana vs Tirana Result & Analysis

Date: 18/04/2026
Time: 17:00
Final 1-1
Dinamo Tirana
Dinamo Tirana
Vs
48%
28%
24%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Tirana
Tirana
Albania: Superliga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dinamo Tirana winâś— Miss
47.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Drawâś“ Hit
27.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Tirana winâś— Miss
24.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš˝ 2. Goal Analysis

Dinamo TiranaDinamo Tirana

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D11D11D01L21W02L01L00D41W11DH·BYL31/01A·TIR07/02H·FLA15/02A·EGN20/02A·VOR28/02H·PAR09/03H·TEU15/03A·VLL21/03H·AF 04/04A·BYL13/04
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.801.360.930.880.69
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)1.100.801.360.930.880.69
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Tirana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TiranaTirana

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W11D02L01L13L01L10W30W11D31WA·EGN01/02H·DIN07/02A·PAR15/02H·TEU22/02A·VLL27/02H·AF 08/03H·BYL14/03H·VOR22/03A·FLA03/04H·EGN12/04
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.430.811.191.071.71
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.931.430.811.191.071.71
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Tirana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.6%
Under 1.5
25.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
48.3%
Under 2.5
51.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.5%
Under 3.5
73.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
52.5%
No
47.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 âś“
13.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
8.9%
0-0
8.6%
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-2
4.9%
Dinamo Tirana goals ↓
Tirana goals →
01234
08.6%6.5%4.1%1.4%0.4%
110%13%6.3%2.2%0.6%
28.9%9.4%4.9%1.7%0.5%
34.6%4.9%2.6%0.9%0.2%
41.8%1.9%1.0%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dinamo Tirana goals (down), columns = Tirana goals (across).

đź’Ş 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Besa Kavajë
2.00
AF Elbasani
1.74
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1.69
Vllaznia Shkodër
1.62
Dinamo Tirana
1.33
Partizani
1.33
Pogradeci
1.33
Tirana
1.22
Teuta Durrës
1.22
Vora
1.17
Bylis
1.14
Flamurtari
1.00
Iliria Fushë-Krujë
0.00
Kastrioti Krujë
0.00
Dinamo Tirana is 0.11 points better than Tirana in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 1.22).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
AF Elbasani
1.36
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1.28
Dinamo Tirana
1.15
Vllaznia Shkodër
1.13
Flamurtari
1.08
Vora
1.08
Bylis
1.06
Partizani
1.06
Tirana
1.00
Pogradeci
1.00
Besa Kavajë
1.00
Teuta Durrës
0.89
Iliria Fushë-Krujë
0.00
Kastrioti Krujë
0.00
Dinamo Tirana is 0.15 goals better than Tirana in terms of goals scored per game (1.15 vs 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Besa Kavajë
0.00
Pogradeci
0.33
Vllaznia Shkodër
0.85
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
0.90
Dinamo Tirana
0.97
Teuta Durrës
1.00
AF Elbasani
1.08
Vora
1.11
Flamurtari
1.25
Tirana
1.28
Partizani
1.33
Bylis
1.39
Iliria Fushë-Krujë
2.00
Kastrioti Krujë
3.00
Dinamo Tirana is 0.30 goals better than Tirana in terms of goals conceded per game (0.97 vs 1.28).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Dinamo TiranaDinamo Tirana

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D01L11D00D00D01L01L00D11D01LH·BYL31/01A·TIR07/02H·FLA15/02A·EGN20/02A·VOR28/02H·PAR09/03H·TEU15/03A·VLL21/03H·AF 04/04A·BYL13/04
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.530.500.640.190.44
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.330.530.500.640.190.44
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Tirana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TiranaTirana

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W02L00D11D01L00D10W10W10WA·EGN01/02H·DIN07/02A·PAR15/02H·TEU22/02A·VLL27/02H·AF 08/03H·BYL14/03H·VOR22/03A·FLA03/04H·EGN12/04
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.730.310.620.570.86
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.430.730.310.620.570.86
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Tirana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dinamo Tirana over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Tirana over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Tirana over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tirana over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tirana over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tirana over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Dinamo TiranaDinamo Tirana

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W00D01L21W01L00D00D30W10WH·BYL31/01A·TIR07/02H·FLA15/02A·EGN20/02A·VOR28/02H·PAR09/03H·TEU15/03A·VLL21/03H·AF 04/04A·BYL13/04
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.270.860.290.690.25
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.770.270.860.290.690.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %73% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Tirana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TiranaTirana

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L00D01L02L00D10W20W01L21WA·EGN01/02H·DIN07/02A·PAR15/02H·TEU22/02A·VLL27/02H·AF 08/03H·BYL14/03H·VOR22/03A·FLA03/04H·EGN12/04
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.700.500.560.500.86
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.500.700.500.560.500.86
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Tirana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dinamo Tirana over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Tirana over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Tirana over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tirana over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tirana over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tirana over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.574.6%-------âś“ Hit
Under 3.573.5%-------âś“ Hit

đź’° 14. Squad value

đź’° Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ER (24)
€7m
DT (27)
€7m
TD (22)
€6m
PAR (29)
€5m
AE (25)
€5m
TIR (20)
€5m
VS (23)
€4m
VOR (25)
€4m
BK (21)
€2m
POG (14)
€2m
IF (26)
€2m
KK (18)
€2m
Dinamo Tirana's squad is €1m more valuable than Tirana's (€7m vs €5m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (11)
€3m
PAR (13)
€2m
TD (9)
€2m
AE (10)
€2m
TIR (7)
€2m
ER (6)
€2m
VOR (10)
€2m
BK (6)
€1m
POG (5)
€1m
VS (6)
€1m
IF (9)
€1m
KK (7)
€1m
Dinamo Tirana and Tirana have a similar attack value (both €3m).

đź§  Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (5)
€2m
ER (5)
€1m
VS (7)
€1m
TIR (5)
€1m
AE (5)
€1m
TD (4)
€1m
PAR (5)
€1m
KK (7)
€1m
VOR (4)
€1m
BK (7)
€1m
POG (2)
€0m
IF (6)
€0m
Dinamo Tirana and Tirana have a similar midfield value (both €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ER (13)
€3m
TD (9)
€3m
VS (10)
€3m
TIR (8)
€2m
DT (11)
€2m
AE (10)
€2m
PAR (11)
€2m
VOR (11)
€1m
BK (8)
€1m
POG (7)
€1m
IF (11)
€1m
KK (4)
€0m
Dinamo Tirana and Tirana have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
DT wins
2
Draws
2
TIR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Dinamo Tirana vs Tirana · H/A from DT
DateH/AGameScore
07/02/26ATirana Vs DT1-1
03/12/25HDT Vs Tirana6-2
27/09/25ATirana Vs DT1-2
27/04/25HDT Vs Tirana0-2
02/03/25ATirana Vs DT1-4
14/12/24HDT Vs Tirana2-1
19/10/24ATirana Vs DT0-0
17/03/24ATirana Vs DT3-2

Dinamo TiranaDinamo Tirana

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
13/04/26ABylis Vs DT1-1
04/04/26HDT Vs AF Elbasani4-1
21/03/26AVllaznia Shkodër Vs DT0-0
15/03/26HDT Vs Teuta Durrës0-1
09/03/26HDT Vs Partizani0-2
28/02/26AVora Vs DT1-2
20/02/26AEgnatia Rrogozhinë Vs DT1-0
15/02/26HDT Vs Flamurtari1-1
07/02/26ATirana Vs DT1-1
31/01/26HDT Vs Bylis0-0

TiranaTirana

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/04/26HTIR Vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë3-1
03/04/26AFlamurtari Vs TIR1-1
22/03/26HTIR Vs Vora3-0
14/03/26HTIR Vs Bylis1-0
08/03/26HTIR Vs AF Elbasani0-1
27/02/26AVllaznia Shkodër Vs TIR3-1
22/02/26HTIR Vs Teuta Durrës0-1
15/02/26APartizani Vs TIR2-0
07/02/26HTIR Vs Dinamo Tirana1-1
01/02/26AEgnatia Rrogozhinë Vs TIR0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Dinamo Tirana
Dinamo Tirana
Albania: Superliga
Recent: 2 Wins / 5 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDWD1.32
HomeDDLLW1.58
AwayDLWDD1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%42%27%
AVG goals2.202.292.12
Over 1.5 %70%75%65%
Over 2.5 %36%29%42%
Over 3.5 %14%17%12%
Scored1.141.380.92
Conceded1.060.921.19
BTTS46%50%42%
Clean Sheet28%33%23%
Corners---
Cards---
Tirana
Tirana
Albania: Superliga
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWDW1.04
HomeLLWWW1.12
AwayDWLLD0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%28%20%
AVG goals2.462.282.64
Over 1.5 %76%64%88%
Over 2.5 %40%36%44%
Over 3.5 %22%24%20%
Scored1.061.001.12
Conceded1.401.281.52
BTTS54%40%68%
Clean Sheet26%28%24%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1AF ElbasaniAF Elbasani3968
49%
1.7
5342+11
2.4
67%
51%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.41.1
-
2Egnatia RrogozhinëEgnatia Rrogozhinë3966
49%
1.7
5035+15
2.2
62%
33%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2131.30.9
-
3Vllaznia ShkodërVllaznia Shkodër3963
46%
1.6
4433+11
2.0
56%
28%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1131.10.8
-
4Dinamo TiranaDinamo Tirana3952
33%
1.3
4538+7
2.1
69%
33%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3221.21.0
-
5PartizaniPartizani3648
36%
1.3
3848-10
2.4
72%
47%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.11.3
-
6Teuta DurrësTeuta Durrës3745
27%
1.2
3337-4
1.9
49%
27%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2130.91.0
-
7TiranaTirana3644
31%
1.2
3646-10
2.3
69%
31%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.01.3
-
8VoraVora3642
28%
1.2
3940-1
2.2
64%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.11.1
-
9BylisBylis3641
28%
1.1
3850-12
2.4
67%
44%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.4
-
10FlamurtariFlamurtari3636
22%
1.0
3945-6
2.3
69%
36%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
11PogradeciPogradeci34
33%
1.3
31+2
1.3
33%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.00.3
-
12Besa KavajëBesa Kavajë24
50%
2.0
20+2
1.0
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.00.0
-
13Iliria Fushë-KrujëIliria Fushë-Krujë10
0%
0.0
02-2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.02.0
-
14Kastrioti KrujëKastrioti Krujë10
0%
0.0
03-3
3.0
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1100.03.0
-
Albania: Superliga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Albania: Superliga stats & trends →

← all matches