Djurgårdens IF, buoyed by a recent 3-0 win over Malmö FF, are set to host Mjällby AIF, who are returning from a 0-1 loss to Red Bull Salzburg. The model projects a high-scoring affair with an expected 3.5 goals and the most likely total of three, giving a 22% chance of that exact figure. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 9.8% probability, while the model’s favourite outcome is a home win. Home form shows Djurgårdens scoring an average of three goals and conceding 1.5 against similar opposition, whereas Mjällby averages 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded away. The match-result probabilities are 50% for a Djurgårdens win, 23% for a draw and 27% for a Mjällby win. Suggested picks include Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.1%, Under 7.5 at 97.2% with a 1% edge, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 95.2% with a 1% edge, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 94.2% with a 5% edge, Away under 3.5 goals at 93.7%, Under 6.5 at 93.3%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 90.6% with a 6% edge, and Away under 1.5 HT goals at 87.7%.
Results analysis
Djurgardens IF’s two-game winning run carried them to a 4-0 triumph over Mjallby AIF, confirming the model’s home win pick with a 50% probability. The pre-match favourite, Home win, proved correct. The model’s selections largely hit: Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.1% hit, Under 7.5 at 97.2% hit, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 95.7% hit, Away under 3.5 goals at 93.6% hit, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 93.3% hit, Under 6.5 at 93.3% hit, and Away under 1.5 HT goals at 89.4% hit. Only Home under 2.5 HT goals at 94.1% missed. The most likely score 2-1 fell short, but the 4-0 result still aligned with the model’s overall outlook.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Djurgardens IF win✓ Hit
49.7%
Avg Implied 63.4% · @ 1.47
Edge
-13.7%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.50
Unibet
1.50
Dafabet
1.49
Superbet
1.48
10Bet
1.48
Draw✗ Miss
23.2%
Avg Implied 20.5% · @ 4.53
Edge
+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
5.01
Bet365
4.75
Dafabet
4.70
1xBet
4.65
Marathonbet
4.65
Mjallby AIF win✗ Miss
27.1%
Avg Implied 16.1% · @ 5.79
Edge
+11.1%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
6.10
Betfair
6.00
Dafabet
6.00
10Bet
6.00
Bet365
6.00
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Djurgardens IF
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.50
1.13
2.80
1.40
2.20
0.87
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
2.39
1.33
3.00
1.44
1.78
1.22
vs Weaker (12)
2.67
0.83
2.50
1.33
2.83
0.33
Clean sheet %
40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Mjallby AIF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Mjallby AIF
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
1.13
1.59
0.88
1.69
1.46
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (21)
1.43
1.24
1.67
0.92
1.11
1.67
vs Weaker (7)
2.71
0.57
1.75
0.75
4.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Djurgardens IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
87.6%
@ 1.14+5.6%
Under 1.5
12.4%
@ 5.19-5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Pinnacle
1.17
Superbet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Under
Betfair
6.00
Bet365
5.50
Pinnacle
5.31
10Bet
5.25
BetVictor
5.25
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
68.4%
@ 1.50+6.3%
Under 2.5
31.6%
@ 2.47-6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.55
Betano
1.55
10Bet
1.53
Pinnacle
1.52
Superbet
1.51
Under
Betfair
2.63
Pinnacle
2.58
10Bet
2.55
Bet365
2.50
SBO
2.49
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
46.9%
@ 2.27+5.6%
Under 3.5
53.1%
@ 1.60-5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.33
Pinnacle
2.32
Betano
2.30
10Bet
2.30
Betfair
2.30
Under
Pinnacle
1.63
Bet365
1.62
10Bet
1.62
Marathonbet
1.61
1xBet
1.61
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
68.2%
@ 1.62+11.0%
No
31.8%
@ 2.16-11.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.67
Betano
1.65
Unibet
1.64
Superbet
1.64
William Hil
1.62
No
Betfair
2.38
William Hil
2.20
BetVictor
2.20
1xBet
2.18
10Bet
2.15
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.8%@ 8.27+4.4%
2-1
9.1%@ 7.54+3.1%
2-2
6.8%@ 13.49+3.4%
1-2
6.6%@ 15.95+3.8%
3-1
6.2%@ 10.16+1.8%
2-0
6.1%@ 7.98+0.5%
1-0
5.1%@ 8.41-0.2%
3-2
4.6%@ 17.37+2.0%
Djurgardens IF goals ↓
Mjallby AIF goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.8%
3.5%
3.2%
1.6%
0.6%
1
5.1%
9.8%
6.6%
3.3%
1.2%
2
6.1%
9.1%
6.8%
3.3%
1.2%
3
4.2%
6.2%
4.6%
2.3%
0.8%
4
2.1%
3.2%
2.3%
1.2%
0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Djurgardens IF goals (down), columns = Mjallby AIF goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Sirius
2.21
Hammarby FF
1.89
Djurgardens IF
1.84
AIK Stockholm
1.72
BK Hacken
1.63
IF Elfsborg
1.63
Malmo FF
1.53
Vasteras SK FK
1.53
Gais
1.37
IF Brommapojkarna
1.26
IFK Goteborg
1.21
Mjallby AIF
1.11
Kalmar FF
1.00
Degerfors IF
0.84
Orgryte IS
0.74
Halmstad
0.58
Djurgardens IF is 0.73 points better than Mjallby AIF in terms of average points per game (1.84 vs 1.11).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Sirius
2.47
Hammarby FF
2.32
Djurgardens IF
2.26
BK Hacken
1.74
Malmo FF
1.74
AIK Stockholm
1.56
Vasteras SK FK
1.47
IF Elfsborg
1.42
IF Brommapojkarna
1.42
Mjallby AIF
1.33
Gais
1.32
IFK Goteborg
1.26
Orgryte IS
1.16
Kalmar FF
1.11
Degerfors IF
0.89
Halmstad
0.68
Djurgardens IF is 0.93 goals better than Mjallby AIF in terms of goals scored per game (2.26 vs 1.33).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Gais
0.95
Hammarby FF
0.95
IF Elfsborg
1.00
Djurgardens IF
1.00
Sirius
1.42
AIK Stockholm
1.50
BK Hacken
1.53
Kalmar FF
1.53
Malmo FF
1.58
Mjallby AIF
1.61
IF Brommapojkarna
1.63
Degerfors IF
1.63
Vasteras SK FK
1.74
Halmstad
1.84
IFK Goteborg
2.05
Orgryte IS
2.21
Djurgardens IF is 0.61 goals better than Mjallby AIF in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.61).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Hammarby FF
61%
Djurgardens IF
56%
Malmo FF
56%
Mjallby AIF
53%
BK Hacken
52%
AIK Stockholm
52%
IFK Goteborg
51%
Gais
50%
Sirius
48%
IF Elfsborg
48%
Vasteras SK FK
48%
Kalmar FF
47%
IF Brommapojkarna
47%
Degerfors IF
46%
Orgryte IS
43%
Halmstad
41%
Djurgardens IF is 3.4 percentage points better than Mjallby AIF in terms of average possession (56% vs 53%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Djurgardens IF
For 7.0 · Against 4.3 · Total 11.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 2.3 · Total 3.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.8 · Against 11.9 · Total 22.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Mjallby AIF
For 3.9 · Against 4.6 · Total 8.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 1.6 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 11.0 · Total 22.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Djurgardens IF
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.6
10.7
10.6
3.9
3.8
4.0
25.1
25.7
24.6
vs Stronger (2)
8.5
7.0
10.0
2.5
3.0
2.0
21.5
18.0
25.0
vs Similar (27)
10.1
10.0
10.2
4.6
5.2
4.0
26.0
28.1
24.0
vs Weaker (21)
11.7
12.0
11.4
3.2
2.2
4.3
24.2
23.0
25.5
% over line
60%
61%
59%
58%
48%
68%
73%
70%
77%
% under line
40%
39%
41%
42%
52%
32%
27%
30%
23%
This opponent (Mjallby AIF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Mjallby AIF
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
11.4
9.2
2.9
2.9
3.0
25.0
25.4
24.6
vs Stronger (2)
7.5
8.0
7.0
2.0
1.0
3.0
17.0
19.0
15.0
vs Similar (35)
10.4
11.6
9.3
3.0
2.8
3.3
25.4
25.8
25.1
vs Weaker (13)
10.5
11.5
9.0
2.8
3.4
2.0
25.5
25.7
25.2
% over line
55%
70%
40%
42%
46%
38%
70%
75%
65%
% under line
45%
30%
60%
58%
54%
62%
30%
25%
35%
This opponent (Djurgardens IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
IFK Goteborg
11.6
Sirius
11.1
Orgryte IS
10.7
BK Hacken
10.7
IF Brommapojkarna
10.7
Djurgardens IF
10.5
AIK Stockholm
10.4
Gais
10.3
Degerfors IF
10.3
Halmstad
10.2
Kalmar FF
10.2
IF Elfsborg
10.0
Mjallby AIF
10.0
Vasteras SK FK
9.9
Hammarby FF
9.9
Malmo FF
9.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Djurgardens IF
4.4
BK Hacken
4.3
IFK Goteborg
4.2
AIK Stockholm
4.2
Degerfors IF
3.9
Malmo FF
3.8
Gais
3.8
Mjallby AIF
3.7
IF Brommapojkarna
3.7
Vasteras SK FK
3.6
Hammarby FF
3.6
Halmstad
3.5
IF Elfsborg
3.5
Sirius
3.5
Kalmar FF
3.4
Orgryte IS
2.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Malmo FF
25.9
Djurgardens IF
25.7
IFK Goteborg
25.7
Sirius
25.4
Degerfors IF
25.4
Vasteras SK FK
25.1
Gais
25.1
Mjallby AIF
25.0
BK Hacken
24.4
Hammarby FF
24.4
IF Brommapojkarna
24.3
IF Elfsborg
24.3
AIK Stockholm
24.1
Kalmar FF
23.6
Halmstad
23.3
Orgryte IS
21.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
48.2%
@ 1.88-1.1%
Under 9.5
51.8%
@ 1.83+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.91
Superbet
1.90
Pinnacle
1.90
1xBet
1.89
Betano
1.88
Under
Pinnacle
1.88
1xBet
1.85
Betano
1.85
10Bet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.83
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
49.1%
Under 3.5
50.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
73.9%
Under 21.5
26.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Djurgardens IF or Draw✓ Hit
72.9%
Avg Implied 83.6% · @ 1.12
Edge
-10.7%
50%
23%
27%
covers Djurgardens IF + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.16
William Hil
1.15
BetVictor
1.13
10Bet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
Djurgardens IF or Mjallby AIF✓ Hit
76.8%
Avg Implied 79.9% · @ 1.17
Edge
-3.0%
50%
23%
27%
covers Djurgardens IF + Mjallby AIF
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Unibet
1.19
Superbet
1.18
William Hil
1.18
Draw or Mjallby AIF✗ Miss
50.3%
Avg Implied 36.5% · @ 2.56
Edge
+13.7%
50%
23%
27%
covers Draw + Mjallby AIF
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
2.63
1xBet
2.62
Marathonbet
2.62
Bet365
2.62
Betano
2.62
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Djurgardens IF over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
87.0%
@ 1.08+0.2%
Under
13.0%
@ 7.10-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.08
10Bet
1.08
BetVictor
1.07
Under
Betfair
8.00
Bet365
8.00
1xBet
7.00
BetVictor
7.00
Superbet
7.00
Djurgardens IF over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
60.5%
@ 1.44-4.0%
Under
39.5%
@ 2.62+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.46
Unibet
1.46
1xBet
1.45
Pinnacle
1.45
Under
Betfair
2.75
Pinnacle
2.70
BetVictor
2.70
Marathonbet
2.68
10Bet
2.62
Djurgardens IF over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
33.5%
@ 2.42-5.0%
Under
66.5%
@ 1.52+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.51
Betfair
2.50
Unibet
2.45
1xBet
2.43
Marathonbet
2.41
Under
Pinnacle
1.54
BetVictor
1.53
Betano
1.53
Superbet
1.53
Marathonbet
1.53
Djurgardens IF over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
15.1%
@ 4.64-4.9%
Under
84.9%
@ 1.16+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.00
BetVictor
4.75
Unibet
4.70
1xBet
4.70
Marathonbet
4.65
Under
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
10Bet
1.17
BetVictor
1.15
Mjallby AIF over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
77.3%
@ 1.47+14.1%
Under
22.7%
@ 2.53-14.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.52
Bet365
1.50
Superbet
1.50
Betano
1.50
Pinnacle
1.49
Under
Betfair
2.75
Pinnacle
2.66
10Bet
2.55
BetVictor
2.55
1xBet
2.51
Mjallby AIF over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
43.7%
@ 3.29+15.3%
Under
56.3%
@ 1.30-15.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.41
Unibet
3.40
Bet365
3.40
Superbet
3.35
Marathonbet
3.34
Under
1xBet
1.33
Betano
1.32
Pinnacle
1.31
Betfair
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Mjallby AIF over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
18.7%
@ 8.93+8.2%
Under
81.3%
@ 1.04-8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
Marathonbet
9.70
Superbet
8.60
Betfair
8.50
1xBet
8.30
Under
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.05
1xBet
1.03
Mjallby AIF over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.4%
@ 22.17+2.0%
Under
93.6%
@ 1.01-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
29.00
Superbet
25.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Djurgardens IF, so a minus line means Djurgardens IF give that many goals of a start and Mjallby AIF receive them. At -1, Djurgardens IF must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Djurgardens IF win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Djurgardens IF)Actual: Djurgardens IF
Djurgardens IF -2
14.3%
@ 3.95-8.4%
Draw -2
15.2%
@ 4.36-5.3%
Mjallby AIF +2
70.4%
@ 1.58+13.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
4.20
Bet365
4.00
10Bet
3.90
Unibet
3.90
Marathonbet
3.88
Draw
Marathonbet
4.60
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.50
Superbet
4.25
10Bet
4.20
Away
Bet365
1.62
Superbet
1.61
10Bet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.56
Unibet
1.55
Handicap -1 (Djurgardens IF)Actual: Djurgardens IF
Djurgardens IF -1
29.6%
@ 2.21-11.0%
Draw -1
20.2%
@ 3.68-4.2%
Mjallby AIF +1
50.3%
@ 2.55+15.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
2.25
Bet365
2.25
10Bet
2.20
Unibet
2.20
Marathonbet
2.19
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.74
Superbet
3.70
10Bet
3.60
Unibet
3.55
Away
Marathonbet
2.62
10Bet
2.60
Betfair
2.60
Superbet
2.57
Bet365
2.50
Handicap +1 (Djurgardens IF)Actual: Djurgardens IF
Djurgardens IF +1
72.9%
@ 1.11-6.3%
Draw +1
14.4%
@ 6.78+1.4%
Mjallby AIF -1
12.7%
@ 11.23+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.12
Marathonbet
1.11
Unibet
1.11
Draw
Bet365
8.50
Unibet
7.00
Marathonbet
4.85
Away
Bet365
15.00
Unibet
11.50
Marathonbet
7.20
Handicap +2 (Djurgardens IF)Actual: Djurgardens IF
Djurgardens IF +2
87.3%
@ 1.03-5.4%
Draw +2
8.0%
@ 19.00+3.0%
Mjallby AIF -2
4.7%
@ 41.00+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.03
Draw
Bet365
19.00
Away
Bet365
41.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Djurgardens IF
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
0.60
1.47
0.73
1.00
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
1.17
0.78
1.44
0.89
0.89
0.67
vs Weaker (12)
1.33
0.33
1.50
0.50
1.17
0.17
Clean sheet %
60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Mjallby AIF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Mjallby AIF
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.43
0.65
0.47
0.62
0.38
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (21)
0.43
0.52
0.58
0.50
0.22
0.56
vs Weaker (7)
1.43
0.29
1.00
0.50
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Djurgardens IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
75.1%
@ 1.24+0.5%
Under 0.5
24.9%
@ 3.66-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.30
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Under
Betfair
4.00
Bet365
3.75
William Hil
3.70
Superbet
3.70
Marathonbet
3.66
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
40.5%
@ 2.22-1.6%
Under 1.5
59.5%
@ 1.61+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
2.31
Betano
2.30
Pinnacle
2.28
1xBet
2.22
Marathonbet
2.22
Under
Superbet
1.65
1xBet
1.62
William Hil
1.62
Pinnacle
1.62
Marathonbet
1.62
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
20.0%
@ 4.93+1.2%
Under 2.5
80.0%
@ 1.14-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.20
Bet365
5.00
BetVictor
5.00
William Hil
5.00
Marathonbet
4.95
Under
Superbet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
William Hil
1.15
Unibet
1.13
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Djurgardens IF over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
60.6%
@ 1.50-1.4%
Under
39.4%
@ 2.44+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.55
1xBet
1.50
10Bet
1.50
Pinnacle
1.50
Unibet
1.48
Under
Pinnacle
2.57
Superbet
2.50
1xBet
2.42
10Bet
2.40
Unibet
2.40
Djurgardens IF over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
22.5%
@ 3.38-5.0%
Under
77.5%
@ 1.28+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.48
Betano
3.45
10Bet
3.40
1xBet
3.30
Superbet
3.25
Under
Superbet
1.30
Betano
1.28
10Bet
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.25
Djurgardens IF over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
5.9%
@ 8.47-5.1%
Under
94.1%
@ 1.04+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.20
10Bet
8.50
Superbet
8.20
Betano
8.00
Under
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.05
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Mjallby AIF over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
42.4%
@ 2.54+5.9%
Under
57.6%
@ 1.46-5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.70
Betano
2.57
Unibet
2.55
10Bet
2.55
Superbet
2.52
Under
1xBet
1.50
Betano
1.47
Pinnacle
1.46
Superbet
1.46
10Bet
1.45
Mjallby AIF over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.6%
@ 9.11+0.4%
Under
89.4%
@ 1.03-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
10.75
10Bet
9.00
Superbet
9.00
1xBet
8.80
Betano
8.00
Under
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.04
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.01
Mjallby AIF over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.9%
@ 38.00-98.1%
Under
98.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
38.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Djurgardens IF
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
0.53
1.33
0.67
1.20
0.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
1.22
0.56
1.56
0.56
0.89
0.56
vs Weaker (12)
1.33
0.50
1.00
0.83
1.67
0.17
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Mjallby AIF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Mjallby AIF
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.70
0.94
0.41
1.08
1.08
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (21)
1.00
0.71
1.08
0.42
0.89
1.11
vs Weaker (7)
1.29
0.29
0.75
0.25
2.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Djurgardens IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
80.4%
@ 1.15-1.1%
Under 0.5
19.6%
@ 5.07+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.15
1xBet
1.11
Under
1xBet
5.30
Marathonbet
5.30
Superbet
5.00
Betano
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
50.8%
@ 1.73-2.8%
Under 1.5
49.2%
@ 2.01+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.76
William Hil
1.75
Superbet
1.74
Bet365
1.73
Marathonbet
1.72
Under
Betano
2.07
1xBet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.05
Superbet
2.02
Bet365
2.00
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
24.8%
@ 3.27-3.7%
Under 2.5
75.2%
@ 1.30+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.40
Bet365
3.40
Superbet
3.25
1xBet
3.22
Marathonbet
3.22
Under
Betano
1.35
Superbet
1.31
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Djurgardens IF over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
62.3%
@ 1.33-7.6%
Under
37.7%
@ 3.09+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.34
Betano
1.34
Superbet
1.33
10Bet
1.30
Under
10Bet
3.20
Betano
3.10
Superbet
3.05
1xBet
3.00
Djurgardens IF over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
24.8%
@ 2.52-11.9%
Under
75.2%
@ 1.46+11.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.57
1xBet
2.55
Marathonbet
2.53
Betano
2.50
10Bet
2.45
Under
Betano
1.50
10Bet
1.48
1xBet
1.45
Superbet
1.45
Marathonbet
1.44
Djurgardens IF over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
6.7%
@ 5.75-9.4%
Under
93.3%
@ 1.10+9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.10
Superbet
6.00
10Bet
5.50
Betano
5.40
Under
Betano
1.13
10Bet
1.11
Superbet
1.10
1xBet
1.08
Mjallby AIF over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
48.8%
@ 2.07+3.9%
Under
51.2%
@ 1.68-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.12
Marathonbet
2.10
Betano
2.07
1xBet
2.04
10Bet
2.00
Under
10Bet
1.73
Betano
1.70
1xBet
1.69
Superbet
1.65
Marathonbet
1.64
Mjallby AIF over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
15.0%
@ 6.55+0.9%
Under
85.0%
@ 1.08-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.40
Superbet
6.60
1xBet
6.50
10Bet
6.25
Betano
6.00
Under
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.08
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.05
Mjallby AIF over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.3%
@ 19.33-0.7%
Under
95.7%
@ 1.01+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
23.00
10Bet
23.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
97.2%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
+0.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
95.7%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+0.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
94.1%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.05
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
-
+5.1%
✗ Miss
Away under 3.5 goals
93.6%
1.01
Betano
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-2.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
93.3%
1.10
Betano
1.13
10Bet
1.11
Superbet
1.10
1xBet
1.08
-
+9.4%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
93.3%
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Superbet
1.02
-
+0.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
89.4%
1.03
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.04
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.01
-0.4%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
87.6%
1.14
Betano
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Pinnacle
1.17
Superbet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
+5.6%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
87.3%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
-5.4%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
87.0%
1.08
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.08
10Bet
1.08
BetVictor
1.07
+0.2%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
85.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
85.4%
1.07
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.08
Superbet
1.08
-1.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
85.0%
1.08
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.08
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.05
-0.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
84.9%
1.16
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
10Bet
1.17
BetVictor
1.15
+4.9%
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
84.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
81.3%
1.04
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.05
1xBet
1.03
-8.2%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
80.4%
1.15
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.15
1xBet
1.11
-1.1%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
80.0%
1.14
Superbet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
William Hil
1.15
Unibet
1.13
-1.2%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 HT goals
77.5%
1.28
Superbet
1.30
Betano
1.28
10Bet
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.25
+5.0%
✗ Miss
Away over 0.5 goals
77.3%
1.47
Unibet
1.52
Bet365
1.50
Superbet
1.50
Betano
1.50
Pinnacle
1.49
+14.1%
✗ Miss
Home or Away
76.8%
1.17
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Unibet
1.19
Superbet
1.18
William Hil
1.18
-3.0%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
75.2%
1.30
Betano
1.35
Superbet
1.31
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
+3.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
75.2%
1.46
Betano
1.50
10Bet
1.48
1xBet
1.45
Superbet
1.45
Marathonbet
1.44
+11.9%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
75.1%
1.24
Betano
1.30
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
+0.5%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
74.9%
1.29
Superbet
1.33
Betano
1.30
Unibet
1.30
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
+4.2%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
73.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
72.9%
1.12
Betano
1.16
William Hil
1.15
BetVictor
1.13
10Bet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
-10.7%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
72.9%
1.11
Bet365
1.12
Marathonbet
1.11
Unibet
1.11
-
-
-6.3%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
72.1%
1.22
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Pinnacle
1.24
-4.2%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
70.4%
1.58
Bet365
1.62
Superbet
1.61
10Bet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.56
Unibet
1.55
+13.7%
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
70.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 4.5 cards
70.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Djurgardens IF
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mikael Anderson50%
Kristian Stromland Lien47%
Patric Åslund26%
Bo Åsulv Hegland26%
J. Okkels16%
Nino Žugelj14%
Oskar Fallenius13%
M. Tenho11%
M. Marques10%
Joel Asoro8%
Hampus Finndell7%
A. Ståhl7%
P. Johansson6%
J. Rinne0%
J. Une-Larsson0%
D. Stensson0%
Leon Hien0%
M. Larsson0%
M. Siltanen0%
P. Langhoff0%
Ahmed Saeed0%
Christos Almyras0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
M. Tenho28%
M. Marques20%
Leon Hien20%
M. Larsson19%
Joel Asoro17%
M. Siltanen16%
J. Une-Larsson14%
Hampus Finndell13%
A. Ståhl13%
P. Langhoff11%
Oskar Fallenius7%
P. Johansson6%
Bo Åsulv Hegland5%
J. Rinne0%
J. Okkels0%
Mikael Anderson0%
Kristian Stromland Lien0%
Nino Žugelj0%
Patric Åslund0%
D. Stensson0%
Ahmed Saeed0%
Christos Almyras0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bo Åsulv Hegland42%
Mikael Anderson25%
Oskar Fallenius20%
P. Johansson17%
Kristian Stromland Lien16%
M. Larsson12%
M. Marques10%
Hampus Finndell7%
A. Ståhl7%
J. Rinne6%
J. Okkels5%
Patric Åslund5%
M. Siltanen5%
Joel Asoro0%
J. Une-Larsson0%
M. Tenho0%
Nino Žugelj0%
D. Stensson0%
Leon Hien0%
P. Langhoff0%
Ahmed Saeed0%
Christos Almyras0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kristian Stromland Lien42%
Oskar Fallenius33%
Bo Åsulv Hegland32%
Mikael Anderson25%
Patric Åslund16%
M. Larsson6%
J. Okkels5%
J. Rinne0%
Joel Asoro0%
J. Une-Larsson0%
Hampus Finndell0%
P. Johansson0%
A. Ståhl0%
M. Tenho0%
Nino Žugelj0%
D. Stensson0%
M. Marques0%
Leon Hien0%
M. Siltanen0%
P. Langhoff0%
Ahmed Saeed0%
Christos Almyras0%
Mjallby AIF
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Elliot Stroud30%
J. Bergström28%
A. Manneh18%
A. Youssef17%
J. Kjær17%
Ludwig Thorell11%
T. Pettersson9%
Olle Lindberg9%
Á. Samuelsen8%
Villiam Granath6%
Viktor Gustafson0%
J. Gustavsson0%
Tony Miettinen0%
Timo Stavitski0%
Axel Norén0%
Ludvig Svanberg0%
R. Wallinder0%
Martin Agnarsson0%
Abdullah Iqbal0%
Bork Bang-Kittilsen0%
Ludvig Tidstrand0%
T. Helge0%
M. Nielsen0%
Romeo Leandersson0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Tony Miettinen40%
T. Pettersson36%
Viktor Gustafson29%
J. Kjær25%
Martin Agnarsson25%
T. Helge25%
Abdullah Iqbal20%
J. Gustavsson18%
Á. Samuelsen17%
Axel Norén13%
J. Bergström11%
Romeo Leandersson8%
Ludvig Tidstrand7%
Villiam Granath6%
A. Youssef0%
Timo Stavitski0%
Ludvig Svanberg0%
R. Wallinder0%
Elliot Stroud0%
Ludwig Thorell0%
Bork Bang-Kittilsen0%
M. Nielsen0%
A. Manneh0%
Olle Lindberg0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
A. Manneh27%
Ludwig Thorell22%
M. Nielsen18%
J. Gustavsson12%
Villiam Granath12%
Elliot Stroud10%
Olle Lindberg9%
J. Kjær8%
Á. Samuelsen8%
Tony Miettinen7%
Abdullah Iqbal7%
Viktor Gustafson0%
J. Bergström0%
A. Youssef0%
T. Pettersson0%
Timo Stavitski0%
Axel Norén0%
Ludvig Svanberg0%
R. Wallinder0%
Martin Agnarsson0%
Bork Bang-Kittilsen0%
Ludvig Tidstrand0%
T. Helge0%
Romeo Leandersson0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
A. Manneh45%
J. Bergström33%
Á. Samuelsen25%
Villiam Granath12%
Ludwig Thorell11%
Elliot Stroud10%
T. Pettersson9%
J. Kjær8%
Ludvig Tidstrand7%
Viktor Gustafson0%
J. Gustavsson0%
A. Youssef0%
Tony Miettinen0%
Timo Stavitski0%
Axel Norén0%
Ludvig Svanberg0%
R. Wallinder0%
Martin Agnarsson0%
Abdullah Iqbal0%
Bork Bang-Kittilsen0%
T. Helge0%
M. Nielsen0%
Romeo Leandersson0%
Olle Lindberg0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MF (28)
€35m
HF (22)
€35m
SIR (24)
€28m
DI (22)
€27m
MA (24)
€26m
AS (27)
€21m
IG (25)
€18m
IE (26)
€17m
BH (22)
€16m
GAI (29)
€13m
KF (21)
€10m
VSF (24)
€10m
IB (25)
€9m
HAL (20)
€8m
OI (26)
€8m
DI (23)
€6m
Djurgardens IF's squad is €1m more valuable than Mjallby AIF's (€27m vs €26m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SIR (10)
€18m
HF (9)
€13m
MF (8)
€12m
IG (9)
€8m
AS (7)
€8m
DI (6)
€8m
MA (9)
€7m
BH (4)
€6m
IE (9)
€5m
GAI (10)
€5m
KF (8)
€4m
HAL (7)
€4m
IB (10)
€3m
VSF (8)
€3m
OI (7)
€2m
DI (5)
€1m
Djurgardens IF and Mjallby AIF have a similar attack value (both €8m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DI (6)
€14m
HF (4)
€11m
MF (7)
€11m
MA (6)
€11m
AS (9)
€7m
SIR (5)
€5m
IE (5)
€4m
IG (4)
€3m
GAI (8)
€3m
BH (6)
€3m
VSF (6)
€3m
DI (7)
€3m
KF (5)
€2m
OI (7)
€2m
IB (4)
€2m
HAL (4)
€1m
Djurgardens IF's midfield is €3m more valuable than Mjallby AIF's (€14m vs €11m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MF (13)
€12m
HF (9)
€10m
MA (9)
€8m
IE (12)
€7m
BH (12)
€7m
DI (10)
€6m
AS (11)
€6m
IG (12)
€6m
GAI (11)
€5m
OI (12)
€4m
SIR (9)
€4m
IB (11)
€4m
VSF (10)
€4m
KF (8)
€3m
HAL (9)
€3m
DI (11)
€3m
Djurgardens IF's defence is €2m less valuable than Mjallby AIF's (€6m vs €8m).
Sweden: Allsvenskan 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Sweden: Allsvenskan stats & trends →
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Sirius
Hammarby FF
IF Elfsborg
BK Hacken
AIK Stockholm
Malmo FF
Vasteras SK FK
Gais
IF Brommapojkarna
IFK Goteborg
Kalmar FF
Degerfors IF
Orgryte IS
Halmstad