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Dolný Kubín vs Spišská Nová Ves Result & Analysis

Date: 14/10/2023
Time: 13:00
Final 2-1
Dolný Kubín
Dolný Kubín
Vs
42%
26%
31%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Spišská Nová Ves
Spišská Nová Ves
Slovakia: 2. liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dolný Kubín win✓ Hit
42.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Spišská Nová Ves win✗ Miss
31.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Dolný KubínDolný Kubín

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D01L14L40W34L04L11D11D03L05LA·POH04/08H·SLO12/08A·SPA18/08H·ŠAM26/08A·POV02/09H·PÚC09/09A·SLA15/09H·PET23/09H·MAL30/09A·HUM07/10
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
2.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.272.271.561.620.933.00
vs Stronger (7)1.002.001.501.750.332.33
vs Similar (21)1.482.331.581.581.333.33
vs Weaker (2)0.002.50--0.002.50
Clean sheet %10% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Spišská Nová Ves) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Spišská Nová VesSpišská Nová Ves

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L12L34L02L12L00D11D01L01L02LA·KOM05/08H·ŽIL12/08A·POH18/08H·SLO26/08A·SPA01/09H·ŠAM09/09A·POV16/09H·PÚC23/09A·SLA30/09H·PET07/10
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.551.640.171.331.002.00
vs Stronger (4)0.501.500.331.331.002.00
vs Similar (7)0.571.710.001.331.002.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %9% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (Dolný Kubín) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.9%
Under 1.5
19.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
57.3%
Under 2.5
42.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
34.9%
Under 3.5
65.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
60.8%
No
39.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.3%
2-1 ✓
9.0%
1-2
7.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-0
6.6%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
6.2%
0-1
5.8%
Dolný Kubín goals ↓
Spišská Nová Ves goals →
01234
06.2%5.8%4.7%2.2%0.7%
17.1%12%7.7%3.5%1.2%
26.6%9.0%6.2%2.8%1.0%
33.6%4.9%3.3%1.5%0.5%
41.4%2.0%1.3%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dolný Kubín goals (down), columns = Spišská Nová Ves goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Komárno
2.23
Petržalka
2.13
Tatran Prešov
2.00
Humenné
1.67
Púchov
1.57
Považská Bystrica
1.57
Spartak Myjava
1.47
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.40
Žilina II
1.33
Pohronie
1.30
Šamorín
1.27
Slovan Bratislava II
1.20
Slavoj Trebišov
1.17
Malženice
0.93
Dolný Kubín
0.67
Spišská Nová Ves
0.43
Dolný Kubín is 0.23 points better than Spišská Nová Ves in terms of average points per game (0.67 vs 0.43).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Komárno
2.13
Petržalka
2.13
Žilina II
1.90
Púchov
1.80
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.77
Tatran Prešov
1.67
Šamorín
1.63
Považská Bystrica
1.60
Slovan Bratislava II
1.53
Pohronie
1.47
Humenné
1.43
Spartak Myjava
1.40
Malženice
1.20
Slavoj Trebišov
1.13
Dolný Kubín
0.90
Spišská Nová Ves
0.73
Dolný Kubín is 0.17 goals better than Spišská Nová Ves in terms of goals scored per game (0.90 vs 0.73).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Tatran Prešov
0.77
Komárno
0.93
Petržalka
0.97
Humenné
1.07
Považská Bystrica
1.27
Spartak Myjava
1.40
Malženice
1.60
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.60
Púchov
1.63
Pohronie
1.67
Slavoj Trebišov
1.67
Slovan Bratislava II
1.83
Spišská Nová Ves
1.83
Šamorín
1.87
Žilina II
2.07
Dolný Kubín
2.27
Dolný Kubín is 0.43 goals worse than Spišská Nová Ves in terms of goals conceded per game (2.27 vs 1.83).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Dolný KubínDolný Kubín

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D11D20W31W02L01L11D02L02LA·POH04/08H·SLO12/08A·SPA18/08H·ŠAM26/08A·POV02/09H·PÚC09/09A·SLA15/09H·PET23/09H·MAL30/09A·HUM07/10
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.870.750.690.361.07
vs Stronger (7)0.710.861.000.750.331.00
vs Similar (21)0.570.860.670.670.441.11
vs Weaker (2)0.001.00--0.001.00
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Spišská Nová Ves) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Spišská Nová VesSpišská Nová Ves

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L10W04L01L01L00D11D01L00D01LA·KOM05/08H·ŽIL12/08A·POH18/08H·SLO26/08A·SPA01/09H·ŠAM09/09A·POV16/09H·PÚC23/09A·SLA30/09H·PET07/10
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.180.910.170.500.201.40
vs Stronger (4)0.250.500.330.330.001.00
vs Similar (7)0.141.140.000.670.251.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %36% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Dolný Kubín) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dolný Kubín over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dolný Kubín over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dolný Kubín over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spišská Nová Ves over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spišská Nová Ves over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spišská Nová Ves over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Dolný KubínDolný Kubín

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D01L03L20W03L02L10W00D01L03LA·POH04/08H·SLO12/08A·SPA18/08H·ŠAM26/08A·POV02/09H·PÚC09/09A·SLA15/09H·PET23/09H·MAL30/09A·HUM07/10
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.701.400.810.940.571.93
vs Stronger (7)0.291.140.501.000.001.33
vs Similar (21)0.901.480.920.920.892.22
vs Weaker (2)0.001.50--0.001.50
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Spišská Nová Ves) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Spišská Nová VesSpišská Nová Ves

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L02L30W01L11D00D00D00D01L01LA·KOM05/08H·ŽIL12/08A·POH18/08H·SLO26/08A·SPA01/09H·ŠAM09/09A·POV16/09H·PÚC23/09A·SLA30/09H·PET07/10
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.360.730.000.830.800.60
vs Stronger (4)0.251.000.001.001.001.00
vs Similar (7)0.430.570.000.670.750.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %36% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Dolný Kubín) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dolný Kubín over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dolný Kubín over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dolný Kubín over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spišská Nová Ves over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spišská Nová Ves over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spišská Nová Ves over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.580.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOM (24)
€3m
TP (19)
€2m
PET (23)
€2m
ŠAM (22)
€2m
POH (17)
€1m
LM (14)
€1m
PB (17)
€1m
ŽI (12)
€1m
SBI (18)
€1m
MAL (13)
€1m
HUM (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOM (10)
€1m
TP (7)
€1m
PET (10)
€1m
LM (8)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€0m
ŽI (4)
€0m
POH (4)
€0m
PB (4)
€0m
MAL (3)
€0m
HUM (2)
€0m
SBI (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOM (5)
€1m
ŠAM (6)
€1m
TP (4)
€0m
PB (6)
€0m
SBI (8)
€0m
PET (5)
€0m
POH (5)
€0m
LM (2)
€0m
MAL (3)
€0m
ŽI (1)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOM (9)
€1m
PET (8)
€1m
TP (8)
€1m
POH (8)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€1m
ŽI (7)
€0m
PB (7)
€0m
MAL (7)
€0m
SBI (6)
€0m
LM (4)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
DK wins
0
Draws
0
SNV wins

Head-to-head

Dolný Kubín vs Spišská Nová Ves · H/A from DK
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Dolný KubínDolný Kubín

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/10/23AHumenné Vs DK5-0
30/09/23HDK Vs Malženice0-3
23/09/23HDK Vs Petržalka1-1
15/09/23ASlavoj Trebišov Vs DK1-1
09/09/23HDK Vs Púchov0-4
02/09/23APovažská Bystrica Vs DK4-3
26/08/23HDK Vs Šamorín4-0
18/08/23ASpartak Myjava Vs DK4-1
12/08/23HDK Vs Slovan Bratislava II0-1
04/08/23APohronie Vs DK1-1

Spišská Nová VesSpišská Nová Ves

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/10/23HSNV Vs Petržalka0-2
30/09/23ASlavoj Trebišov Vs SNV1-0
23/09/23HSNV Vs Púchov0-1
16/09/23APovažská Bystrica Vs SNV1-1
09/09/23HSNV Vs Šamorín0-0
01/09/23ASpartak Myjava Vs SNV2-1
26/08/23HSNV Vs Slovan Bratislava II0-2
18/08/23APohronie Vs SNV4-3
12/08/23HSNV Vs Žilina II1-2
05/08/23AKomárno Vs SNV2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Dolný Kubín
Dolný Kubín
Slovakia: 2. liga
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDLL0.98
HomeLWLDL1.33
AwayDLLDL0.60
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %27%38%15%
AVG goals3.273.003.55
Over 1.5 %88%90%85%
Over 2.5 %68%76%60%
Over 3.5 %39%33%45%
Scored1.171.380.95
Conceded2.101.622.60
BTTS56%52%60%
Clean Sheet15%19%10%
Corners---
Cards---
Spišská Nová Ves
Spišská Nová Ves
Slovakia: 2. liga
Recent: 0 Wins / 2 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLLL0.18
HomeLLDLL0.17
AwayLLLDL0.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %0%0%0%
AVG goals2.181.503.00
Over 1.5 %64%50%80%
Over 2.5 %27%17%40%
Over 3.5 %9%0%20%
Scored0.550.171.00
Conceded1.641.332.00
BTTS36%17%60%
Clean Sheet9%17%0%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1KomárnoKomárno3067
70%
2.2
6428+36
3.1
80%
43%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.10.9
-
2PetržalkaPetržalka3064
63%
2.1
6429+35
3.1
80%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.11.0
-
3Tatran PrešovTatran Prešov3060
60%
2.0
5023+27
2.4
73%
43%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.70.8
-
4HumennéHumenné3050
47%
1.7
4332+11
2.5
63%
40%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.1
-
5Považská BystricaPovažská Bystrica3047
40%
1.6
4838+10
2.9
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.61.3
-
6PúchovPúchov3047
47%
1.6
5449+5
3.4
77%
60%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.6
-
7Spartak MyjavaSpartak Myjava3044
40%
1.5
4242+0
2.8
87%
67%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.4
-
8Liptovský MikulášLiptovský Mikuláš3042
43%
1.4
5348+5
3.4
87%
63%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.81.6
-
9Žilina IIŽilina II3040
40%
1.3
5762-5
4.0
83%
73%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.92.1
-
10PohroniePohronie3039
37%
1.3
4450-6
3.1
87%
53%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.51.7
-
11ŠamorínŠamorín3038
33%
1.3
4956-7
3.5
87%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.61.9
-
12Slovan Bratislava IISlovan Bratislava II3036
33%
1.2
4655-9
3.4
77%
67%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.8
-
13Slavoj TrebišovSlavoj Trebišov3035
33%
1.2
3450-16
2.8
80%
60%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.7
-
14MalženiceMalženice3028
23%
0.9
3648-12
2.8
80%
53%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.21.6
-
15Dolný KubínDolný Kubín3020
13%
0.7
2768-41
3.2
87%
70%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.3
-
16Spišská Nová VesSpišská Nová Ves3013
10%
0.4
2255-33
2.6
77%
47%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.8
-
Slovakia: 2. liga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovakia: 2. liga stats & trends →

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