This opponent (San Giovanni) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
San Giovanni
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.87
1.40
1.93
1.64
1.81
1.19
vs Stronger (10)
0.80
2.50
0.40
2.80
1.20
2.20
vs Similar (17)
2.00
1.00
2.50
1.12
1.56
0.89
vs Weaker (3)
4.67
0.00
5.00
0.00
4.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
27% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Domagnano) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
72.9%
Under 1.5
27.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
46.0%
Under 2.5
54.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.6%
Under 3.5
75.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
52.2%
No
47.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.0%
0-1 â
9.7%
0-0
9.3%
1-2
8.7%
1-0
8.0%
0-2
7.5%
2-1
7.3%
2-0
5.4%
Domagnano goals ↓
San Giovanni goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.3%
9.7%
7.5%
3.4%
1.2%
1
8.0%
14%
8.7%
3.9%
1.3%
2
5.4%
7.3%
5.0%
2.3%
0.8%
3
2.1%
2.8%
1.9%
0.9%
0.3%
4
0.6%
0.8%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Domagnano goals (down), columns = San Giovanni goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
Tre Penne
2.50
Virtus
2.14
La Fiorita
2.00
Folgore
1.75
Juvenes / Dogana
1.50
Tre Fiori
1.43
San Giovanni
1.25
Faetano
1.00
Pennarossa
0.50
Murata
0.50
Cosmos
0.50
Domagnano
0.50
Cailungo
0.00
Fiorentino
0.00
Libertas
0.00
Domagnano is 0.75 points worse than San Giovanni in terms of average points per game (0.50 vs 1.25).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
Tre Penne
2.33
Tre Fiori
1.57
Virtus
1.43
La Fiorita
1.00
San Giovanni
1.00
Cosmos
1.00
Faetano
0.75
Folgore
0.75
Juvenes / Dogana
0.75
Cailungo
0.50
Pennarossa
0.50
Domagnano
0.50
Murata
0.00
Fiorentino
0.00
Libertas
0.00
Domagnano is 0.50 goals worse than San Giovanni in terms of goals scored per game (0.50 vs 1.00).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
La Fiorita
0.00
Virtus
0.43
Tre Penne
0.50
Murata
0.50
Folgore
0.50
Tre Fiori
0.71
Pennarossa
1.00
Domagnano
1.00
Juvenes / Dogana
1.00
Cosmos
1.50
Fiorentino
1.50
San Giovanni
1.75
Faetano
1.75
Libertas
2.50
Cailungo
5.00
Domagnano is 0.75 goals better than San Giovanni in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.75).
âąïļ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
ðē 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Domagnano or Drawâ Miss
59.6%
Avg Implied -
30%
29%
40%
covers Domagnano + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Domagnano or San Giovanniâ Hit
70.7%
Avg Implied -
30%
29%
40%
covers Domagnano + San Giovanni
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or San Giovanniâ Hit
69.7%
Avg Implied -
30%
29%
40%
covers Draw + San Giovanni
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Domagnano over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
68.4%
Under
31.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Domagnano over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
32.0%
Under
68.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Domagnano over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
11.0%
Under
89.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Domagnano over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.0%
Under
97.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
San Giovanni over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
74.5%
Under
25.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
San Giovanni over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
39.6%
Under
60.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
San Giovanni over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
15.8%
Under
84.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
San Giovanni over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.0%
Under
95.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âïļ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Domagnano, so a minus line means Domagnano give that many goals of a start and San Giovanni receive them. At -1, Domagnano must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Domagnano win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Domagnano)Actual: San Giovanni
Domagnano -2
4.0%
Draw -2
8.8%
San Giovanni +2
87.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Domagnano)Actual: San Giovanni
Domagnano -1
12.8%
Draw -1
17.5%
San Giovanni +1
69.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Domagnano)Actual: Draw
Domagnano +1
59.6%
Draw +1
21.0%
San Giovanni -1
19.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Domagnano)Actual: Domagnano
Domagnano +2
80.6%
Draw +2
12.3%
San Giovanni -2
7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Domagnano
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.77
0.31
0.75
0.36
0.79
vs Stronger (10)
0.20
0.90
0.33
1.33
0.00
0.25
vs Similar (13)
0.31
0.85
0.17
0.67
0.43
1.00
vs Weaker (7)
0.57
0.43
0.50
0.00
0.67
1.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (San Giovanni) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
San Giovanni
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.67
0.93
0.57
0.94
0.75
vs Stronger (10)
0.40
1.20
0.20
1.00
0.60
1.40
vs Similar (17)
0.94
0.47
1.12
0.38
0.78
0.56
vs Weaker (3)
2.67
0.00
3.00
0.00
2.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Domagnano) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Domagnano over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Domagnano over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Domagnano over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
San Giovanni over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
San Giovanni over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
San Giovanni over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Domagnano
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.63
0.81
0.69
1.00
0.57
vs Stronger (10)
0.60
0.80
0.33
0.83
1.00
0.75
vs Similar (13)
0.92
0.77
1.00
0.83
0.86
0.71
vs Weaker (7)
1.29
0.14
1.25
0.25
1.33
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (San Giovanni) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
San Giovanni
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.73
1.00
1.07
0.88
0.44
vs Stronger (10)
0.40
1.30
0.20
1.80
0.60
0.80
vs Similar (17)
1.06
0.53
1.38
0.75
0.78
0.33
vs Weaker (3)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Domagnano) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Domagnano over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Domagnano over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Domagnano over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
San Giovanni over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
San Giovanni over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
San Giovanni over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 6.5
98.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
97.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 5.5
95.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
95.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
89.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 4.5
88.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Away +2 handicap
87.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
84.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Home +2 handicap
80.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 3.5
75.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
74.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 1.5
72.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
Home or Away
70.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
ð° 14. Squad value
ð° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TF (20)
€1m
LF (19)
€1m
FOL (19)
€1m
VIR (15)
€1m
DOM (19)
€1m
TP (14)
€1m
J/D (20)
€1m
COS (12)
€0m
CAI (18)
€0m
PEN (11)
€0m
SG (11)
€0m
FIO (9)
€0m
LIB (9)
€0m
FAE (10)
€0m
MUR (7)
€0m
Domagnano and San Giovanni have a similar squad value (both €1m).
âïļ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TF (5)
€1m
LF (5)
€0m
FOL (5)
€0m
VIR (5)
€0m
J/D (7)
€0m
DOM (6)
€0m
PEN (4)
€0m
SG (3)
€0m
TP (5)
€0m
CAI (5)
€0m
COS (2)
€0m
FIO (2)
€0m
FAE (2)
€0m
MUR (1)
€0m
LIB (0)
€0m
Domagnano and San Giovanni have a similar attack value (both €0m).
ð§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LF (7)
€0m
TP (6)
€0m
TF (6)
€0m
VIR (4)
€0m
FOL (5)
€0m
DOM (5)
€0m
PEN (3)
€0m
SG (4)
€0m
J/D (5)
€0m
FIO (3)
€0m
LIB (4)
€0m
COS (4)
€0m
CAI (4)
€0m
MUR (6)
€0m
FAE (2)
€0m
Domagnano and San Giovanni have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
ðĄïļ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TF (9)
€1m
FOL (9)
€0m
LF (7)
€0m
DOM (8)
€0m
J/D (8)
€0m
VIR (6)
€0m
COS (6)
€0m
CAI (9)
€0m
FAE (6)
€0m
LIB (5)
€0m
FIO (4)
€0m
TP (3)
€0m
PEN (4)
€0m
SG (4)
€0m
MUR (0)
€0m
Domagnano and San Giovanni have a similar defence value (both €0m).
San-Marino: Campionato 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full San-Marino: Campionato stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
La Fiorita
Virtus
Tre Fiori
Cosmos
Folgore
Tre Penne
Fiorentino
Murata
Faetano
Juvenes / Dogana
Libertas
Cailungo
Pennarossa
San Marino Academy