This opponent (Sligo Rovers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sligo Rovers
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.15
1.50
1.00
1.30
1.30
vs Stronger (7)
1.29
1.29
1.33
1.00
1.25
1.50
vs Similar (10)
1.20
1.30
1.00
1.20
1.40
1.40
vs Weaker (3)
2.33
0.33
3.00
0.50
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
25% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Drogheda United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
76.9%
Under 1.5
23.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
51.4%
Under 2.5
48.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
29.3%
Under 3.5
70.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
56.6%
No
43.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.3%
1-2
8.6%
0-1
8.1%
2-1
7.9%
0-0 â
7.7%
1-0
7.3%
0-2
6.6%
2-2
5.6%
Drogheda United goals ↓
Sligo Rovers goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.7%
8.1%
6.6%
3.1%
1.1%
1
7.3%
13%
8.6%
4.1%
1.5%
2
5.5%
7.9%
5.6%
2.7%
1.0%
3
2.4%
3.4%
2.5%
1.2%
0.4%
4
0.8%
1.1%
0.8%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Drogheda United goals (down), columns = Sligo Rovers goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
Shamrock Rovers
2.19
Derry City
1.83
Dundalk
1.75
St Patrick's Athl.
1.69
Sligo Rovers
1.44
Bohemians
1.28
Shelbourne
1.14
Drogheda United
1.06
UCD
0.78
Finn Harps
0.56
Waterford
0.00
Drogheda United is 0.39 points worse than Sligo Rovers in terms of average points per game (1.06 vs 1.44).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
Shamrock Rovers
1.69
St Patrick's Athl.
1.58
Derry City
1.47
Dundalk
1.39
Sligo Rovers
1.36
Bohemians
1.25
Shelbourne
1.11
Drogheda United
0.94
Finn Harps
0.92
UCD
0.78
Waterford
0.00
Drogheda United is 0.42 goals worse than Sligo Rovers in terms of goals scored per game (0.94 vs 1.36).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Shamrock Rovers
0.61
Derry City
0.75
Dundalk
0.89
Waterford
1.00
St Patrick's Athl.
1.03
Sligo Rovers
1.14
Bohemians
1.28
Shelbourne
1.36
Drogheda United
1.61
UCD
1.81
Finn Harps
1.97
Drogheda United is 0.47 goals worse than Sligo Rovers in terms of goals conceded per game (1.61 vs 1.14).
âąïļ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
ðē 4. Props Analysis
Drogheda United
ðĐ Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
ðĻ Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
â ïļ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Sligo Rovers
ðĐ Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
ðĻ Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
â ïļ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Drogheda United
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (19)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (7)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (2)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Sligo Rovers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sligo Rovers
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (20)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (7)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (3)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Drogheda United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Not collected for this league yet.
ðĻ Total Cards
Not collected for this league yet.
â ïļ Total Fouls
Not collected for this league yet.
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
âïļ 7. Handicap
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Drogheda United
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.42
0.89
0.56
0.78
0.30
1.00
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
1.00
0.67
1.00
0.25
1.00
vs Similar (10)
0.40
0.80
0.60
0.80
0.20
0.80
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
1.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
42% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Sligo Rovers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sligo Rovers
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.45
0.90
0.50
0.70
0.40
vs Stronger (7)
0.71
0.29
0.67
0.67
0.75
0.00
vs Similar (10)
0.60
0.70
0.60
0.60
0.60
0.80
vs Weaker (3)
1.67
0.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
65% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Drogheda United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Drogheda United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drogheda United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drogheda United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sligo Rovers over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sligo Rovers over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sligo Rovers over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Drogheda United
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.74
0.79
0.67
0.78
0.80
0.80
vs Stronger (7)
0.29
0.71
0.00
0.67
0.50
0.75
vs Similar (10)
0.80
0.90
0.60
0.80
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
0.50
3.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Sligo Rovers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sligo Rovers
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.70
0.60
0.50
0.60
0.90
vs Stronger (7)
0.57
1.00
0.67
0.33
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (10)
0.60
0.60
0.40
0.60
0.80
0.60
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
0.33
1.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
55% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Drogheda United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Drogheda United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drogheda United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drogheda United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sligo Rovers over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sligo Rovers over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sligo Rovers over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
76.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
Under 3.5
70.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
ð― 13. Player market rates
Drogheda United · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
M. Doyle30%
Keegan Ancelin20%
Shane Farrell16%
Brandon Kavanagh11%
T. Oluwa11%
Warren Davis11%
Ryan Brennan9%
Conor Keeley8%
Jago Godden8%
Leo Burney6%
Edwin Agbaje4%
Alfie Bates0%
Conor Kane0%
Luke Dennison0%
Andrew Quinn0%
Kieran Cruise0%
Ethan O'Brien0%
J. Bolger0%
Jason Bucknor0%
Dare Kareem0%
Fynn Talley0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Shane Farrell44%
Leo Burney38%
Ryan Brennan32%
Conor Keeley23%
Alfie Bates20%
Jago Godden19%
M. Doyle19%
J. Bolger17%
Edwin Agbaje14%
Ethan O'Brien13%
Jason Bucknor12%
Brandon Kavanagh11%
Conor Kane11%
Kieran Cruise8%
T. Oluwa7%
Luke Dennison6%
Andrew Quinn0%
Warren Davis0%
Keegan Ancelin0%
Dare Kareem0%
Fynn Talley0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Keegan Ancelin20%
Kieran Cruise17%
Brandon Kavanagh15%
Andrew Quinn5%
Ryan Brennan5%
Conor Keeley4%
Jago Godden4%
T. Oluwa4%
Conor Kane4%
Edwin Agbaje4%
Alfie Bates0%
Shane Farrell0%
M. Doyle0%
Luke Dennison0%
Warren Davis0%
Ethan O'Brien0%
J. Bolger0%
Jason Bucknor0%
Leo Burney0%
Dare Kareem0%
Fynn Talley0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Shane Farrell12%
M. Doyle11%
Conor Keeley4%
Jago Godden4%
Brandon Kavanagh4%
T. Oluwa4%
Alfie Bates0%
Ryan Brennan0%
Conor Kane0%
Luke Dennison0%
Edwin Agbaje0%
Andrew Quinn0%
Kieran Cruise0%
Warren Davis0%
Ethan O'Brien0%
J. Bolger0%
Keegan Ancelin0%
Jason Bucknor0%
Leo Burney0%
Dare Kareem0%
Fynn Talley0%
Sligo Rovers · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
William Fitzgerald21%
Jad Hakiki17%
Cian Kavanagh13%
Archie Meekison10%
A. Nolan10%
Mai Traore7%
Sean McHale6%
Ryan O'Kane6%
D. Patton5%
Carl McHugh5%
J. Esua4%
G. McElroy4%
S. Sargeant0%
Shane Blaney0%
Ciaron Harkin0%
Jamie McGonigle0%
Oliver Denham0%
Sean Stewart0%
S. Quirk0%
J. McManus0%
Jack Shorrock0%
Kyle McDonagh0%
Guilherme Rego Priosti0%
Luke Pearce0%
Trey George0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ciaron Harkin40%
J. Esua22%
Luke Pearce20%
S. Quirk19%
Carl McHugh18%
J. McManus16%
G. McElroy14%
William Fitzgerald12%
Sean Stewart12%
Oliver Denham12%
Shane Blaney10%
A. Nolan10%
Cian Kavanagh9%
S. Sargeant7%
Mai Traore7%
Sean McHale6%
Ryan O'Kane6%
Archie Meekison5%
D. Patton5%
Jamie McGonigle0%
Jad Hakiki0%
Jack Shorrock0%
Kyle McDonagh0%
Guilherme Rego Priosti0%
Trey George0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jamie McGonigle25%
Luke Pearce20%
Archie Meekison14%
William Fitzgerald12%
Cian Kavanagh9%
Sean Stewart6%
Ryan O'Kane6%
A. Nolan5%
Carl McHugh5%
J. Esua4%
S. Sargeant0%
Shane Blaney0%
Ciaron Harkin0%
Mai Traore0%
Oliver Denham0%
S. Quirk0%
J. McManus0%
Jad Hakiki0%
Jack Shorrock0%
G. McElroy0%
D. Patton0%
Kyle McDonagh0%
Guilherme Rego Priosti0%
Sean McHale0%
Trey George0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Cian Kavanagh22%
Mai Traore7%
S. Quirk6%
Ryan O'Kane6%
A. Nolan5%
S. Sargeant0%
Shane Blaney0%
Carl McHugh0%
Archie Meekison0%
Ciaron Harkin0%
William Fitzgerald0%
J. Esua0%
Jamie McGonigle0%
Oliver Denham0%
Sean Stewart0%
J. McManus0%
Jad Hakiki0%
Jack Shorrock0%
G. McElroy0%
D. Patton0%
Kyle McDonagh0%
Guilherme Rego Priosti0%
Sean McHale0%
Luke Pearce0%
Trey George0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
ð° 14. Squad value
ð° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (31)
€7m
SPA (22)
€5m
BOH (23)
€4m
DC (22)
€4m
SHE (22)
€4m
DU (19)
€3m
SR (21)
€3m
DUN (20)
€3m
WAT (19)
€2m
FH (2)
€0m
Drogheda United and Sligo Rovers have a similar squad value (both €3m).
âïļ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (14)
€3m
SPA (6)
€2m
BOH (9)
€2m
DC (7)
€1m
SHE (8)
€1m
SR (10)
€1m
WAT (6)
€1m
DU (4)
€1m
DUN (3)
€0m
FH (1)
€0m
Drogheda United and Sligo Rovers have a similar attack value (both €1m).
ð§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (7)
€2m
SPA (7)
€1m
DC (6)
€1m
BOH (5)
€1m
SHE (4)
€1m
WAT (5)
€1m
DUN (6)
€1m
SR (3)
€1m
DU (4)
€0m
FH (1)
€0m
Drogheda United and Sligo Rovers have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
ðĄïļ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (10)
€2m
SPA (9)
€2m
DU (11)
€2m
BOH (9)
€2m
DC (9)
€2m
DUN (11)
€2m
SHE (10)
€2m
SR (8)
€1m
WAT (8)
€1m
FH (0)
€0m
Drogheda United and Sligo Rovers have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Ireland: Premier Division 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ireland: Premier Division stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
Shelbourne
UCD
Finn Harps
Waterford