PythiaFootballBETA
Slovan Bratislava is the clear favourite to win this match, with a 67% probability of victory, thanks in part to their opponent's venue weakness. Dukla Banská Bystrica has struggled at home, scoring an average of 2.1 goals and conceding 1.1 goals against stronger opponents.
The expected total number of goals is 3.2, with the most likely score being 0-2 for Slovan Bratislava, a 10.4% probability. The model's selection is an away win, which is the most likely result.
In terms of scoring and conceding, Slovan Bratislava has averaged 1.64 goals scored and 1 goal conceded when playing away against weaker opponents, while Dukla Banská Bystrica has averaged 2.1 goals scored and 1.1 goals conceded when playing at home against stronger opponents.
The model suggests selecting Over 1.5 goals, with an 84.1% probability of success, and Over 21.5 fouls, with a 71.4% probability. The model's selection percentages are: Away win (67%), Over 1.5 (84.1%), and Over 21.5 fouls (71.4%). The probabilities of a home win, draw, and away win are 13%, 20%, and 67% respectively.
The win extends Slovan Bratislava's run of 2 victories in their last 5 matches, coming on the back of a 2-game winning streak. The final score was 0-4, with Slovan Bratislava ultimately securing the away win. The model correctly predicted the favourite, Slovan Bratislava, with a pre-match probability of 67%. The predicted outcome, an away win, was also correct. The model's selection, an away win, was the only correct call among the predicted outcomes. The model's selection, Over 1.5, hit, with a probability of 84.1%. The most likely total goals was 3, with a probability of 22%.
Dukla Banská Bystrica| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 2.00 | 0.77 | 2.21 | 0.86 | 1.81 | 0.69 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (30) | 2.00 | 0.77 | 2.21 | 0.86 | 1.81 | 0.69 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 43% (+16pp vs league) | |||||
Slovan Bratislava| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.73 | 1.13 | 1.57 | 1.21 | 1.88 | 1.06 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (5) | 1.80 | 0.40 | 1.50 | 0.50 | 2.00 | 0.33 |
| vs Weaker (25) | 1.72 | 1.28 | 1.58 | 1.33 | 1.85 | 1.23 |
| Clean sheet % | 30% (+3pp vs league) | |||||
| Slovan Bratislava goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 4.8% | 8.2% | 10% | 7.9% | 4.6% |
| 1 | 2.9% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 4.3% |
| 2 | 1.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| 3 | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Dukla Banská BystricaSlovan BratislavaDukla Banská Bystrica| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 10.1 | 8.8 | 11.0 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 25.7 | 25.4 | 25.9 |
| vs Stronger (3) | 4.5 | 4.5 | - | 2.7 | 2.7 | - | 26.0 | 26.0 | - |
| vs Similar (47) | 11.2 | 11.7 | 11.0 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 25.6 | 25.0 | 25.9 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| % over line | 50% | 40% | 57% | 18% | 16% | 20% | 75% | 80% | 71% |
| % under line | 50% | 60% | 43% | 82% | 84% | 80% | 25% | 20% | 29% |
Slovan Bratislava| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 9.9 | 10.8 | 8.9 | 2.7 | 3.3 | 2.1 | 25.9 | 27.1 | 24.6 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (12) | 10.4 | 11.7 | 9.5 | 3.3 | 3.2 | 3.5 | 26.6 | 28.7 | 25.0 |
| vs Weaker (38) | 9.7 | 10.6 | 8.7 | 2.4 | 3.3 | 1.8 | 25.7 | 26.8 | 24.4 |
| % over line | 52% | 73% | 29% | 36% | 48% | 26% | 76% | 73% | 79% |
| % under line | 48% | 27% | 71% | 64% | 52% | 74% | 24% | 27% | 21% |
Dukla Banská Bystrica| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.80 | 0.27 | 0.93 | 0.36 | 0.69 | 0.19 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (30) | 0.80 | 0.27 | 0.93 | 0.36 | 0.69 | 0.19 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 73% (+46pp vs league) | |||||
Slovan Bratislava| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.70 | 0.47 | 0.57 | 0.43 | 0.81 | 0.50 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (5) | 0.60 | 0.40 | 0.00 | 0.50 | 1.00 | 0.33 |
| vs Weaker (25) | 0.72 | 0.48 | 0.67 | 0.42 | 0.77 | 0.54 |
| Clean sheet % | 60% (+33pp vs league) | |||||
Dukla Banská Bystrica| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.20 | 0.50 | 1.29 | 0.50 | 1.12 | 0.50 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (30) | 1.20 | 0.50 | 1.29 | 0.50 | 1.12 | 0.50 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 60% (+33pp vs league) | |||||
Slovan Bratislava| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.03 | 0.67 | 1.00 | 0.79 | 1.06 | 0.56 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (5) | 1.20 | 0.00 | 1.50 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| vs Weaker (25) | 1.00 | 0.80 | 0.92 | 0.92 | 1.08 | 0.69 |
| Clean sheet % | 50% (+23pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 19.5 fouls | 88.6% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 1.5 | 84.1% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Over 2.5 cards | 82.5% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 21.5 fouls | 78.3% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Under 11.5 corners | 76.4% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Under 5.5 cards | 70.5% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/12/24 | A | 3-1 | |
| 25/08/24 | H | 0-2 | |
| 04/11/23 | H | 1-4 | |
| 05/08/23 | A | 2-2 | |
| 13/05/23 | H | 1-2 | |
| 16/04/23 | A | 4-0 | |
| 18/02/23 | A | 2-2 | |
| 03/09/22 | H | 0-1 |
Dukla Banská Bystrica| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/05/26 | A | 1-0 | |
| 08/05/26 | H | 4-1 | |
| 03/05/26 | A | 1-3 | |
| 25/04/26 | H | 0-0 | |
| 22/04/26 | A | 0-0 | |
| 17/04/26 | H | 3-0 | |
| 11/04/26 | A | 0-2 | |
| 03/04/26 | H | 4-1 | |
| 28/03/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 20/03/26 | H | 1-3 |
Slovan Bratislava| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/26 | H | 0-2 | |
| 09/05/26 | A | 1-2 | |
| 02/05/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 26/04/26 | A | 0-1 | |
| 18/04/26 | A | 0-1 | |
| 11/04/26 | H | 2-2 | |
| 04/04/26 | A | 0-3 | |
| 22/03/26 | H | 2-0 | |
| 15/03/26 | H | 0-1 | |
| 07/03/26 | A | 1-3 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 |  Spartak Trnava | 5 | 13 | 80% | 2.6 | 12 | 2 | +10 | 2.8 | 100% | 60% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2.4 | 0.4 | 56% |
| 2 | Slovan Bratislava | 4 | 12 | 100% | 3.0 | 14 | 1 | +13 | 3.8 | 100% | 100% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 44 | 26 | 6 | 12 | 3.5 | 0.2 | 59% |
| 3 |  Dunajska Streda | 4 | 10 | 75% | 2.5 | 11 | 1 | +10 | 3.0 | 100% | 50% | 25% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 2.8 | 0.2 | 53% |
| 4 |  Žilina | 5 | 10 | 60% | 2.0 | 12 | 11 | +1 | 4.6 | 80% | 80% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 50% |
| 5 |  Podbrezová | 5 | 9 | 60% | 1.8 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 3.6 | 100% | 80% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 51% |
| 6 |  Skalica | 5 | 7 | 40% | 1.4 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 3.4 | 100% | 60% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 42% |
| 7 |  FK Košice | 4 | 5 | 25% | 1.2 | 12 | 11 | +1 | 5.8 | 100% | 100% | 75% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3.0 | 2.8 | 49% |
| 8 |  Zemplín Michalovce | 5 | 4 | 20% | 0.8 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 1.8 | 80% | 0% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 52% |
| 9 | Dukla Banská Bystrica | 5 | 3 | 20% | 0.6 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 3.4 | 80% | 60% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.8 | 2.6 | - |
| 10 |  AS Trencin | 4 | 2 | 0% | 0.5 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 3.8 | 100% | 75% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 8 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1.2 | 2.5 | 51% |
| 11 |  Komárno | 5 | 2 | 0% | 0.4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 2.6 | 100% | 60% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 48% |
| 12 |  Ružomberok | 5 | 1 | 0% | 0.2 | 3 | 13 | -10 | 3.2 | 80% | 60% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0.6 | 2.6 | 43% |