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Dumbarton vs Clyde Result & Analysis

Date: 23/12/2023
Time: 15:00
Final 4-4
Dumbarton
Dumbarton
Vs
52%
28%
20%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Clyde
Clyde
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Dumbarton win✗ Miss
52.2%
Avg Implied 65.5% · @ 1.40
Edge
-13.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
27.9%
Avg Implied 20.6% · @ 4.46
Edge
+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Clyde win✗ Miss
19.9%
Avg Implied 14.0% · @ 6.57
Edge
+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

DumbartonDumbarton

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L01L31W40W02L40W10W10W01L42WA·ELG16/09H·PET23/09H·STR30/09A·CLY07/10A·SPA21/10H·BON04/11A·EAS11/11H·ELG18/11H·STE09/12A·FOR16/12
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.131.241.001.621.31
vs Stronger (15)0.931.131.251.120.571.14
vs Similar (15)1.871.131.220.892.831.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ClydeClyde

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L21W22D04L23L12L11D04L22D12LA·EAS16/09H·ELG23/09A·STE30/09H·DUM07/10A·BON21/10H·SPA04/11A·FOR11/11H·EAS18/11H·STR09/12A·PET16/12
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
2.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.801.700.931.730.671.67
vs Stronger (27)0.811.630.921.540.711.71
vs Similar (3)0.672.331.003.000.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %13% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Dumbarton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%019%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.1%
Under 1.5
28.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
44.0%
@ 1.62-13.5%
Under 2.5
56.0%
@ 2.19+13.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
22.9%
Under 3.5
77.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
47.3%
No
52.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-0
10.7%
0-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
6.5%
3-0
5.5%
1-2
5.2%
Dumbarton goals ↓
Clyde goals →
01234
09.9%6.5%3.4%1.0%0.2%
112%13%5.2%1.5%0.3%
211%9.3%4.1%1.2%0.3%
35.5%4.9%2.1%0.6%0.1%
42.2%1.9%0.8%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dumbarton goals (down), columns = Clyde goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Stenhousemuir
1.89
Peterhead
1.67
Spartans
1.61
Dumbarton
1.58
East Fife
1.22
Forfar
1.17
Elgin
1.11
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.08
Clyde
1.06
Stranraer
1.00
Dumbarton is 0.53 points better than Clyde in terms of average points per game (1.58 vs 1.06).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Peterhead
1.61
Dumbarton
1.56
Spartans
1.47
Stenhousemuir
1.39
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.31
East Fife
1.28
Clyde
1.28
Stranraer
1.06
Forfar
1.06
Elgin
0.97
Dumbarton is 0.28 goals better than Clyde in terms of goals scored per game (1.56 vs 1.28).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Stenhousemuir
0.86
Peterhead
1.08
Spartans
1.19
Dumbarton
1.22
Forfar
1.25
East Fife
1.31
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.33
Stranraer
1.47
Clyde
1.61
Elgin
1.64
Dumbarton is 0.39 goals better than Clyde in terms of goals conceded per game (1.22 vs 1.61).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

DumbartonDumbarton

For 7.1 · Against 4.9 · Total 12.0

ðŸšĐ Corners

1805374229469114568311777811413151511111814A·FORH·STEH·ELGA·EASH·BONA·SPAA·CLYH·STRH·PETA·ELG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.3

ðŸŸĻ Cards

50311331311122233210444424551A·FORH·STEH·ELGA·EASH·BONA·SPAA·CLYH·STRH·PETA·ELG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.4 · Against 9.9 · Total 20.3

⚠ïļ Fouls

230711121011111110810881111111014911918222221181622212320A·FORH·STEH·ELGA·EASH·BONA·SPAA·CLYH·STRH·PETA·ELG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ClydeClyde

For 4.3 · Against 3.8 · Total 8.1

ðŸšĐ Corners

110546525453726545724510798911994A·PETH·STRH·EASA·FORH·SPAA·BONH·DUMA·STEH·ELGA·EAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.8

ðŸŸĻ Cards

6023211313121224222225341434644A·PETH·STRH·EASA·FORH·SPAA·BONH·DUMA·STEH·ELGA·EAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.6 · Against 9.0 · Total 20.6

⚠ïļ Fouls

270141267871413138147111112778171026131527212122191527A·PETH·STRH·EASA·FORH·SPAA·BONH·DUMA·STEH·ELGA·EAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

DumbartonDumbarton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.210.89.74.54.04.920.520.020.9
vs Stronger (25)9.69.59.64.64.64.621.621.221.9
vs Similar (25)10.912.19.84.33.45.219.418.819.9
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line58%64%52%70%64%76%44%40%48%
% under line42%36%48%30%36%24%56%60%52%
This opponent (Clyde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ClydeClyde

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.89.610.03.73.83.620.720.321.1
vs Stronger (47)9.79.510.03.73.83.720.820.521.1
vs Similar (3)10.310.510.03.03.52.018.317.520.0
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line44%46%42%50%58%42%42%42%42%
% under line56%54%58%50%42%58%58%58%58%
This opponent (Dumbarton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Stenhousemuir
11.0
Dumbarton
10.2
Stranraer
10.2
Forfar
10.2
Clyde
9.8
East Fife
9.6
Peterhead
9.4
Spartans
9.3
Bonnyrigg Rose
9.3
Elgin
8.9

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Peterhead
4.5
Dumbarton
4.5
East Fife
4.4
Bonnyrigg Rose
4.4
Stenhousemuir
4.3
Elgin
4.1
Spartans
3.7
Stranraer
3.7
Clyde
3.7
Forfar
3.6

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Bonnyrigg Rose
23.3
Peterhead
23.0
Forfar
23.0
Elgin
22.5
East Fife
21.6
Stranraer
21.2
Stenhousemuir
21.0
Clyde
20.7
Dumbarton
20.5
Spartans
20.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
51.9%
Under 9.5
48.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
54.1%
Under 3.5
45.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
47.7%
Under 21.5
52.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

DumbartonDumbarton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D21W20W00D20W10W00D00D32WA·ELG16/09H·PET23/09H·STR30/09A·CLY07/10A·SPA21/10H·BON04/11A·EAS11/11H·ELG18/11H·STE09/12A·FOR16/12
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.530.530.471.000.62
vs Stronger (15)0.330.470.380.620.290.29
vs Similar (15)1.130.600.670.331.831.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ClydeClyde

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L20W01L02L21W02L00D02L21W02LA·EAS16/09H·ELG23/09A·STE30/09H·DUM07/10A·BON21/10H·SPA04/11A·FOR11/11H·EAS18/11H·STR09/12A·PET16/12
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.870.671.000.270.73
vs Stronger (27)0.440.850.620.920.290.79
vs Similar (3)0.671.001.001.500.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Dumbarton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dumbarton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

DumbartonDumbarton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L10W20W02L20W00D10W01L10WA·ELG16/09H·PET23/09H·STR30/09A·CLY07/10A·SPA21/10H·BON04/11A·EAS11/11H·ELG18/11H·STE09/12A·FOR16/12
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.600.710.530.620.69
vs Stronger (15)0.600.670.880.500.290.86
vs Similar (15)0.730.530.560.561.000.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ClydeClyde

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L21W02L02L10W11D02L01L10WA·EAS16/09H·ELG23/09A·STE30/09H·DUM07/10A·BON21/10H·SPA04/11A·FOR11/11H·EAS18/11H·STR09/12A·PET16/12
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.830.270.730.400.93
vs Stronger (27)0.370.780.310.620.430.93
vs Similar (3)0.001.330.001.500.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Dumbarton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dumbarton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 25.5 fouls81.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards80.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.577.1%-------✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards74.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners71.8%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.571.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STE (2)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
Dumbarton and Clyde have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CLY (2)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
Dumbarton and Clyde have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
EF (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
Dumbarton and Clyde have a similar defence value (both €0m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
6
DUM wins
1
Draws
1
CLY wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Dumbarton vs Clyde · H/A from DUM
DateH/AGameScore
07/10/23AClyde Vs DUM0-4
30/04/22HDUM Vs Clyde2-1
12/02/22AClyde Vs DUM1-3
06/11/21HDUM Vs Clyde1-1
31/07/21AClyde Vs DUM0-3
01/05/21AClyde Vs DUM2-0
15/04/21AClyde Vs DUM0-1
03/11/20HDUM Vs Clyde1-0

DumbartonDumbarton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/12/23AForfar Vs DUM2-4
09/12/23HDUM Vs Stenhousemuir0-1
18/11/23HDUM Vs Elgin1-0
11/11/23AEast Fife Vs DUM0-1
04/11/23HDUM Vs Bonnyrigg Rose4-0
21/10/23ASpartans Vs DUM2-0
07/10/23AClyde Vs DUM0-4
30/09/23HDUM Vs Stranraer3-1
23/09/23HDUM Vs Peterhead0-1
16/09/23AElgin Vs DUM2-0

ClydeClyde

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/12/23APeterhead Vs CLY2-1
09/12/23HCLY Vs Stranraer2-2
18/11/23HCLY Vs East Fife0-4
11/11/23AForfar Vs CLY1-1
04/11/23HCLY Vs Spartans1-2
21/10/23ABonnyrigg Rose Vs CLY3-2
07/10/23HCLY Vs Dumbarton0-4
30/09/23AStenhousemuir Vs CLY2-2
23/09/23HCLY Vs Elgin2-1
16/09/23AEast Fife Vs CLY2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Dumbarton
Dumbarton
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 6 Wins / 0 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWLW1.76
HomeLWWWL1.88
AwayLWLWW1.64
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%56%48%
AVG goals2.542.282.80
Over 1.5 %68%60%76%
Over 2.5 %42%40%44%
Over 3.5 %30%24%36%
Scored1.481.441.52
Conceded1.060.841.28
BTTS44%44%44%
Clean Sheet40%44%36%
Corners10.2410.769.72
Cards4.464.044.88
Clyde
Clyde
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLDL0.58
HomeWLLLD0.88
AwayLDLDL0.25
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %10%19%0%
AVG goals2.803.002.58
Over 1.5 %82%85%79%
Over 2.5 %58%65%50%
Over 3.5 %30%35%25%
Scored0.881.120.62
Conceded1.921.881.96
BTTS56%62%50%
Clean Sheet10%15%4%
Corners9.789.5810.00
Cards3.683.773.58

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1StenhousemuirStenhousemuir3668
50%
1.9
5031+19
2.2
64%
36%
22%
9.8
50%
4.2
61%
23.0
56%
0
0001.40.9
-
2PeterheadPeterhead3660
44%
1.7
5839+19
2.7
81%
56%
25%
8.7
39%
5.1
89%
25.0
78%
0
0001.61.1
-
3SpartansSpartans3658
42%
1.6
5343+10
2.7
69%
56%
31%
9.4
47%
3.2
42%
20.9
44%
0
0001.51.2
-
4DumbartonDumbarton3657
44%
1.6
5644+12
2.8
67%
44%
36%
11.1
61%
3.9
61%
19.8
33%
0
0001.61.2
-
5East FifeEast Fife3644
31%
1.2
4647-1
2.6
81%
47%
25%
9.1
44%
3.5
56%
21.9
50%
0
0001.31.3
-
6ForfarForfar3642
25%
1.2
3845-7
2.3
72%
42%
22%
9.7
50%
3.5
50%
24.8
75%
0
0001.11.2
-
7ElginElgin3640
28%
1.1
3559-24
2.6
81%
50%
22%
8.8
39%
3.7
47%
25.0
69%
0
0001.01.6
-
8
BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
3639
25%
1.1
4748-1
2.6
78%
44%
31%
9.6
44%
4.0
50%
24.2
58%
0
0001.31.3
-
9ClydeClyde3638
25%
1.1
4658-12
2.9
83%
56%
28%
9.0
42%
3.4
50%
20.8
50%
0
0001.31.6
-
10StranraerStranraer3636
25%
1.0
3853-15
2.5
75%
47%
25%
10.3
67%
3.6
44%
20.0
36%
0
0001.11.5
-
Scotland: League Two 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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