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Dumbarton vs Clyde Result & Analysis

Date: 13/04/2024
Time: 15:00
Final 1-0
Dumbarton
Dumbarton
Vs
49%
26%
24%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Clyde
Clyde
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Dumbarton win✓ Hit
49.5%
Avg Implied 50.6% · @ 1.82
Edge
-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.1%
Avg Implied 23.8% · @ 3.87
Edge
+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Clyde win✗ Miss
24.4%
Avg Implied 25.6% · @ 3.59
Edge
-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

DumbartonDumbarton

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-600D02L21W10W05L23L62W20W00D20WH·SPA13/02A·CLY17/02H·STR24/02H·PET02/03A·STR05/03A·EAS09/03A·SPA16/03H·BON23/03H·STE30/03A·FOR06/04
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.671.271.600.871.731.67
vs Stronger (16)1.381.001.250.381.501.62
vs Similar (14)2.001.572.001.432.001.71
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ClydeClyde

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-602L20W02L61W21W12L21W00D14L10WA·STR10/02H·DUM17/02H·FOR20/02A·STE24/02H·ELG02/03A·FOR09/03A·BON16/03H·SPA23/03A·PET30/03H·STR06/04
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.731.071.531.531.93
vs Stronger (23)1.301.701.001.551.581.83
vs Similar (7)1.291.861.251.501.332.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %13% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Dumbarton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%014%124%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
79.2%
Under 1.5
20.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
54.7%
@ 1.71+0.1%
Under 2.5
45.3%
@ 2.06-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.4%
Under 3.5
67.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
57.3%
No
42.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
1-0 ✓
8.6%
2-0
8.4%
0-0
6.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-1
5.5%
Dumbarton goals ↓
Clyde goals →
01234
06.8%5.4%3.8%1.4%0.4%
18.6%12%6.5%2.5%0.7%
28.4%9.6%5.6%2.1%0.6%
34.8%5.5%3.2%1.2%0.4%
42.1%2.4%1.4%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dumbarton goals (down), columns = Clyde goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Stenhousemuir
1.89
Peterhead
1.67
Spartans
1.61
Dumbarton
1.58
East Fife
1.22
Forfar
1.17
Elgin
1.11
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.08
Clyde
1.06
Stranraer
1.00
Dumbarton is 0.53 points better than Clyde in terms of average points per game (1.58 vs 1.06).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Peterhead
1.61
Dumbarton
1.56
Spartans
1.47
Stenhousemuir
1.39
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.31
East Fife
1.28
Clyde
1.28
Stranraer
1.06
Forfar
1.06
Elgin
0.97
Dumbarton is 0.28 goals better than Clyde in terms of goals scored per game (1.56 vs 1.28).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Stenhousemuir
0.86
Peterhead
1.08
Spartans
1.19
Dumbarton
1.22
Forfar
1.25
East Fife
1.31
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.33
Stranraer
1.47
Clyde
1.61
Elgin
1.64
Dumbarton is 0.39 goals better than Clyde in terms of goals conceded per game (1.22 vs 1.61).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

DumbartonDumbarton

For 5.4 · Against 4.3 · Total 9.7

ðŸšĐ Corners

1504463616938637245557389715119991010A·FORH·STEH·BONA·SPAA·EASA·STRH·PETH·STRA·CLYH·SPA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.5

ðŸŸĻ Cards

70111232212123134422332335176A·FORH·STEH·BONA·SPAA·EASA·STRH·PETH·STRA·CLYH·SPA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.9 · Against 9.6 · Total 18.5

⚠ïļ Fouls

2608141185991113756101667121010822191420201126132218A·FORH·STEH·BONA·SPAA·EASA·STRH·PETH·STRA·CLYH·SPA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ClydeClyde

For 5.6 · Against 4.7 · Total 10.3

ðŸšĐ Corners

1307234757237645885555597129101013131010H·STRA·PETH·SPAA·BONA·FORH·ELGA·STEH·FORH·DUMA·STR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.9

ðŸŸĻ Cards

901241231223243633550032579H·STRA·PETH·SPAA·BONA·FORH·ELGA·STEH·FORH·DUMA·STR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.7 · Against 10.0 · Total 21.7

⚠ïļ Fouls

25099149151012813991111910131012141018232520222020232224H·STRA·PETH·SPAA·BONA·FORH·ELGA·STEH·FORH·DUMA·STR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

DumbartonDumbarton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.710.810.64.13.84.420.720.021.4
vs Stronger (25)10.510.210.83.84.23.421.120.321.9
vs Similar (25)10.911.410.44.33.35.420.319.820.9
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line60%62%58%60%62%58%42%35%50%
% under line40%38%42%40%38%42%58%65%50%
This opponent (Clyde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ClydeClyde

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.89.99.73.53.73.220.219.520.9
vs Stronger (43)9.79.89.53.33.63.020.219.620.7
vs Similar (7)10.610.011.34.74.25.320.118.822.0
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line48%50%46%48%62%35%46%46%46%
% under line52%50%54%52%38%65%54%54%54%
This opponent (Dumbarton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Dumbarton
10.7
Stenhousemuir
10.5
Forfar
10.0
Stranraer
10.0
Clyde
9.8
East Fife
9.7
Bonnyrigg Rose
9.6
Spartans
9.3
Peterhead
9.0
Elgin
8.4

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Peterhead
4.8
Bonnyrigg Rose
4.2
Dumbarton
4.1
Stenhousemuir
4.1
East Fife
3.9
Stranraer
3.6
Elgin
3.6
Clyde
3.5
Forfar
3.4
Spartans
3.3

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
24.8
Forfar
24.1
Bonnyrigg Rose
23.7
Elgin
23.7
East Fife
21.7
Stenhousemuir
21.6
Spartans
20.8
Dumbarton
20.7
Clyde
20.2
Stranraer
20.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
51.9%
Under 9.5
48.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
49.1%
Under 3.5
50.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
47.9%
Under 21.5
52.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

DumbartonDumbarton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D01L21W00D04L01L32W10W00D00DH·SPA13/02A·CLY17/02H·STR24/02H·PET02/03A·STR05/03A·EAS09/03A·SPA16/03H·BON23/03H·STE30/03A·FOR06/04
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.630.730.471.000.80
vs Stronger (16)0.560.380.380.120.750.62
vs Similar (14)1.210.931.140.861.291.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ClydeClyde

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W00D21W01L10W01L00D02L00DA·STR10/02H·DUM17/02H·FOR20/02A·STE24/02H·ELG02/03A·FOR09/03A·BON16/03H·SPA23/03A·PET30/03H·STR06/04
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.830.670.730.670.93
vs Stronger (23)0.650.870.640.730.671.00
vs Similar (7)0.710.710.750.750.670.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Dumbarton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dumbarton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

DumbartonDumbarton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L00D10W01L22D30W10W00D20WH·SPA13/02A·CLY17/02H·STR24/02H·PET02/03A·STR05/03A·EAS09/03A·SPA16/03H·BON23/03H·STE30/03A·FOR06/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.630.870.400.730.87
vs Stronger (16)0.810.620.880.250.751.00
vs Similar (14)0.790.640.860.570.710.71
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ClydeClyde

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L10W02L40W20W02L20W00D12L10WA·STR10/02H·DUM17/02H·FOR20/02A·STE24/02H·ELG02/03A·FOR09/03A·BON16/03H·SPA23/03A·PET30/03H·STR06/04
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.900.400.800.871.00
vs Stronger (23)0.650.830.360.820.920.83
vs Similar (7)0.571.140.500.750.671.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Dumbarton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dumbarton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards84.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls81.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.579.2%-------✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners71.8%-------✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards70.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards70.0%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STE (2)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
Dumbarton and Clyde have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CLY (2)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
Dumbarton and Clyde have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
EF (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
Dumbarton and Clyde have a similar defence value (both €0m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
DUM wins
2
Draws
2
CLY wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Dumbarton vs Clyde · H/A from DUM
DateH/AGameScore
17/02/24AClyde Vs DUM2-0
23/12/23HDUM Vs Clyde4-4
07/10/23AClyde Vs DUM0-4
30/04/22HDUM Vs Clyde2-1
12/02/22AClyde Vs DUM1-3
06/11/21HDUM Vs Clyde1-1
31/07/21AClyde Vs DUM0-3
01/05/21AClyde Vs DUM2-0

DumbartonDumbarton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
06/04/24AForfar Vs DUM0-2
30/03/24HDUM Vs Stenhousemuir0-0
23/03/24HDUM Vs Bonnyrigg Rose2-0
16/03/24ASpartans Vs DUM2-6
09/03/24AEast Fife Vs DUM3-2
05/03/24AStranraer Vs DUM5-0
02/03/24HDUM Vs Peterhead1-0
24/02/24HDUM Vs Stranraer2-1
17/02/24AClyde Vs DUM2-0
13/02/24HDUM Vs Spartans0-0

ClydeClyde

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
06/04/24HCLY Vs Stranraer1-0
30/03/24APeterhead Vs CLY4-1
23/03/24HCLY Vs Spartans0-0
16/03/24ABonnyrigg Rose Vs CLY1-2
09/03/24AForfar Vs CLY2-1
02/03/24HCLY Vs Elgin2-1
24/02/24AStenhousemuir Vs CLY1-6
20/02/24HCLY Vs Forfar0-2
17/02/24HCLY Vs Dumbarton2-0
10/02/24AStranraer Vs CLY2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Dumbarton
Dumbarton
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWDW1.48
HomeDWWWD1.65
AwayLLLWW1.29
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%46%38%
AVG goals2.662.313.04
Over 1.5 %68%54%83%
Over 2.5 %42%42%42%
Over 3.5 %30%23%38%
Scored1.401.311.50
Conceded1.261.001.54
BTTS46%46%46%
Clean Sheet34%42%25%
Corners10.7010.7710.62
Cards4.083.774.42
Clyde
Clyde
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDLW0.90
HomeWLWDW1.29
AwayLWLWL0.54
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%33%8%
AVG goals2.722.542.88
Over 1.5 %80%79%81%
Over 2.5 %52%54%50%
Over 3.5 %24%21%27%
Scored1.041.041.04
Conceded1.681.501.85
BTTS60%58%62%
Clean Sheet14%25%4%
Corners9.789.889.69
Cards3.463.713.23

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1StenhousemuirStenhousemuir3668
50%
1.9
5031+19
2.2
64%
36%
22%
9.8
50%
4.2
61%
23.0
56%
0
0001.40.9
-
2PeterheadPeterhead3660
44%
1.7
5839+19
2.7
81%
56%
25%
8.7
39%
5.1
89%
25.0
78%
0
0001.61.1
-
3SpartansSpartans3658
42%
1.6
5343+10
2.7
69%
56%
31%
9.4
47%
3.2
42%
20.9
44%
0
0001.51.2
-
4DumbartonDumbarton3657
44%
1.6
5644+12
2.8
67%
44%
36%
11.1
61%
3.9
61%
19.8
33%
0
0001.61.2
-
5East FifeEast Fife3644
31%
1.2
4647-1
2.6
81%
47%
25%
9.1
44%
3.5
56%
21.9
50%
0
0001.31.3
-
6ForfarForfar3642
25%
1.2
3845-7
2.3
72%
42%
22%
9.7
50%
3.5
50%
24.8
75%
0
0001.11.2
-
7ElginElgin3640
28%
1.1
3559-24
2.6
81%
50%
22%
8.8
39%
3.7
47%
25.0
69%
0
0001.01.6
-
8
BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
3639
25%
1.1
4748-1
2.6
78%
44%
31%
9.6
44%
4.0
50%
24.2
58%
0
0001.31.3
-
9ClydeClyde3638
25%
1.1
4658-12
2.9
83%
56%
28%
9.0
42%
3.4
50%
20.8
50%
0
0001.31.6
-
10StranraerStranraer3636
25%
1.0
3853-15
2.5
75%
47%
25%
10.3
67%
3.6
44%
20.0
36%
0
0001.11.5
-
Scotland: League Two 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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