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Dumbarton vs Clyde Result & Analysis

Date: 02/08/2025
Time: 15:00
Final 2-1
Dumbarton
Dumbarton
Vs
48%
26%
26%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Clyde
Clyde
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Dumbarton win✓ Hit
48.3%
Avg Implied 39.1% · @ 2.31
Edge
+9.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.2%
Avg Implied 26.4% · @ 3.42
Edge
-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Clyde win✗ Miss
25.5%
Avg Implied 34.6% · @ 2.61
Edge
-9.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

DumbartonDumbarton

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-632W60W13L22D31W12L10W04L04L10WA·ALL29/03A·KEL05/04H·COV12/04A·MON19/04H·ANN26/04A·STE03/05H·STI15/07H·DUN19/07A·HEA23/07A·HAM26/07← League OneLeague Two →
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.332.001.272.071.401.93
vs Stronger (23)1.391.871.182.001.581.75
vs Similar (7)1.142.431.502.250.672.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ClydeClyde

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-621W12L11D02L41W61W22D21W22D03LA·STR29/03A·EDI05/04H·FOR12/04A·SPA19/04A·STI26/04H·PET03/05H·MOT12/07A·PET19/07H·STE22/07A·MOR26/07
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.571.531.931.201.201.87
vs Stronger (27)1.561.631.931.291.152.00
vs Similar (3)1.670.672.000.001.501.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Dumbarton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%014%124%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.5%
Under 1.5
20.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
55.1%
@ 1.70+0.8%
Under 2.5
44.9%
@ 2.02-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.8%
Under 3.5
67.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
57.9%
No
42.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.4%
2-1 ✓
9.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-0
8.1%
0-0
6.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-2
5.7%
0-1
5.5%
Dumbarton goals ↓
Clyde goals →
01234
06.7%5.5%3.9%1.6%0.5%
18.3%12%6.7%2.6%0.8%
28.1%9.6%5.7%2.2%0.7%
34.6%5.4%3.2%1.3%0.4%
41.9%2.3%1.4%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dumbarton goals (down), columns = Clyde goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
East Kilbride
1.92
Spartans
1.78
Clyde
1.56
Forfar
1.39
Stranraer
1.31
Elgin
1.22
Annan Athletic
1.14
Dumbarton
1.11
Edinburgh City
1.08
Stirling
1.06
Dumbarton is 0.44 points worse than Clyde in terms of average points per game (1.11 vs 1.56).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
East Kilbride
2.14
Spartans
1.67
Clyde
1.61
Elgin
1.42
Forfar
1.42
Annan Athletic
1.31
Dumbarton
1.31
Stirling
1.28
Stranraer
1.28
Edinburgh City
1.25
Dumbarton is 0.31 goals worse than Clyde in terms of goals scored per game (1.31 vs 1.61).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Spartans
1.08
Clyde
1.14
Stranraer
1.28
East Kilbride
1.28
Forfar
1.31
Elgin
1.53
Annan Athletic
1.61
Dumbarton
1.69
Stirling
1.75
Edinburgh City
2.00
Dumbarton is 0.56 goals worse than Clyde in terms of goals conceded per game (1.69 vs 1.14).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

DumbartonDumbarton

For 3.2 · Against 6.1 · Total 9.3

ðŸšĐ Corners

1405546185427624543821210109998941114A·STEH·ANNA·MONH·COVA·KELA·ALLH·QUEA·ARBH·INVH·ARB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.9

ðŸŸĻ Cards

80352324112311123328562523350A·STEH·ANNA·MONH·COVA·KELA·ALLH·QUEA·ARBH·INVH·ARB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.2 · Against 9.4 · Total 20.6

⚠ïļ Fouls

270119109111547101010111710161110713520192611202127271718A·STEH·ANNA·MONH·COVA·KELA·ALLH·QUEA·ARBH·INVH·ARB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ClydeClyde

For 6.8 · Against 3.5 · Total 10.3

ðŸšĐ Corners

150811043369947164638353914615138109118H·PETA·STIA·SPAH·FORA·EDIA·STRH·BONA·ELGH·EASA·FOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.8 · Total 5.2

ðŸŸĻ Cards

80313522322225144224214845475663H·PETA·STIA·SPAH·FORA·EDIA·STRH·BONA·ELGH·EASA·FOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 11.5 · Total 22.9

⚠ïļ Fouls

31086911111214111214791318151316159614202325261631283115H·PETA·STIA·SPAH·FORA·EDIA·STRH·BONA·ELGH·EASA·FOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

DumbartonDumbarton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.911.710.23.02.73.218.918.519.4
vs Stronger (39)10.411.79.12.72.52.919.217.720.7
vs Similar (11)12.511.613.43.83.54.218.120.815.4
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line52%65%40%40%35%46%22%25%20%
% under line48%35%60%60%65%54%78%75%80%
This opponent (Clyde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ClydeClyde

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.69.210.03.63.73.522.823.422.1
vs Stronger (44)9.59.39.83.63.93.323.624.123.0
vs Similar (6)10.09.011.03.72.35.018.019.017.0
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line46%43%50%48%52%44%56%62%50%
% under line54%57%50%52%48%56%44%38%50%
This opponent (Dumbarton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Dumbarton
10.7
Stirling
10.4
Annan Athletic
10.1
Clyde
9.8
Forfar
9.6
Stranraer
9.2
Edinburgh City
9.2
Elgin
9.2
Spartans
9.1

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Elgin
4.6
Forfar
4.6
Edinburgh City
4.5
Clyde
4.3
Stirling
4.2
Stranraer
4.0
Spartans
4.0
Annan Athletic
3.7
Dumbarton
3.7

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Forfar
24.8
Elgin
23.8
Edinburgh City
23.8
Clyde
22.6
Spartans
22.0
Stirling
21.5
Annan Athletic
19.8
Stranraer
19.6
Dumbarton
18.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
50.7%
Under 9.5
49.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
64.2%
Under 3.5
35.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
50.6%
Under 21.5
49.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

DumbartonDumbarton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L30W02L11D10W01L00D02L02L10WA·ALL29/03A·KEL05/04H·COV12/04A·MON19/04H·ANN26/04A·STE03/05H·STI15/07H·DUN19/07A·HEA23/07A·HAM26/07← League OneLeague Two →
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.900.601.000.600.80
vs Stronger (23)0.700.830.640.910.750.75
vs Similar (7)0.291.140.501.250.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ClydeClyde

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L11D00D20W31W11D00D01L02LA·STR29/03A·EDI05/04H·FOR12/04A·SPA19/04A·STI26/04H·PET03/05H·MOT12/07A·PET19/07H·STE22/07A·MOR26/07
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.730.800.600.330.87
vs Stronger (27)0.590.810.860.640.311.00
vs Similar (3)0.330.000.000.000.500.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Dumbarton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dumbarton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

DumbartonDumbarton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W30W11D11D21W11D10W02L02L00DA·ALL29/03A·KEL05/04H·COV12/04A·MON19/04H·ANN26/04A·STE03/05H·STI15/07H·DUN19/07A·HEA23/07A·HAM26/07← League OneLeague Two →
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.731.100.671.070.801.13
vs Stronger (23)0.701.040.551.090.831.00
vs Similar (7)0.861.291.001.000.671.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ClydeClyde

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W11D00D02L21W30W11D21W21W01LA·STR29/03A·EDI05/04H·FOR12/04A·SPA19/04A·STI26/04H·PET03/05H·MOT12/07A·PET19/07H·STE22/07A·MOR26/07
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.801.130.600.871.00
vs Stronger (27)0.960.811.070.640.851.00
vs Similar (3)1.330.672.000.001.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Dumbarton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dumbarton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards81.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.579.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls79.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners72.8%-------✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards71.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (2)
€0m
EK (4)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
Dumbarton and Clyde have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (1)
€0m
EK (3)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
Dumbarton and Clyde have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EK (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FOR (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EK (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
Dumbarton and Clyde have a similar defence value (both €0m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
5
DUM wins
2
Draws
1
CLY wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Dumbarton vs Clyde · H/A from DUM
DateH/AGameScore
13/04/24HDUM Vs Clyde1-0
17/02/24AClyde Vs DUM2-0
23/12/23HDUM Vs Clyde4-4
07/10/23AClyde Vs DUM0-4
30/04/22HDUM Vs Clyde2-1
12/02/22AClyde Vs DUM1-3
06/11/21HDUM Vs Clyde1-1
31/07/21AClyde Vs DUM0-3

DumbartonDumbarton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/07/25AHamilton Academical Vs DUM0-1
23/07/25AHeart Of Midlothian Vs DUM4-0
19/07/25HDUM Vs Dunfermline0-4
15/07/25HDUM Vs Stirling1-0
03/05/25AStenhousemuir Vs DUM2-1
26/04/25HDUM Vs Annan Athletic3-1
19/04/25AMontrose Vs DUM2-2
12/04/25HDUM Vs Cove Rangers1-3
05/04/25AKelty Hearts Vs DUM0-6
29/03/25AAlloa Vs DUM2-3

ClydeClyde

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/07/25AMorton Vs CLY3-0
22/07/25HCLY Vs Stenhousemuir2-2
19/07/25APeterhead Vs CLY1-2
12/07/25HCLY Vs Motherwell2-2
03/05/25HCLY Vs Peterhead6-1
26/04/25AStirling Vs CLY1-4
19/04/25ASpartans Vs CLY2-0
12/04/25HCLY Vs Forfar1-1
05/04/25AEdinburgh City Vs CLY2-1
29/03/25AStranraer Vs CLY1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Dumbarton
Dumbarton
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLW1.00
HomeDLWWL1.08
AwayWDLLW0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%27%21%
AVG goals3.263.463.04
Over 1.5 %86%81%92%
Over 2.5 %64%69%58%
Over 3.5 %48%58%38%
Scored1.301.421.17
Conceded1.962.041.88
BTTS64%69%58%
Clean Sheet14%15%12%
Corners10.9311.6510.20
Cards3.703.553.85
Clyde
Clyde
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWDL1.30
HomeWDWDD1.56
AwayLLWWL1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%40%28%
AVG goals2.882.603.16
Over 1.5 %80%76%84%
Over 2.5 %54%40%68%
Over 3.5 %36%36%36%
Scored1.441.481.40
Conceded1.441.121.76
BTTS56%52%60%
Clean Sheet24%32%16%
Corners9.619.2410.00
Cards4.394.434.35

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1East KilbrideEast Kilbride3669
58%
1.9
7746+31
3.4
92%
69%
50%
10.4
58%
5.6
83%
26.4
81%
0
0002.11.3
-
2SpartansSpartans3664
50%
1.8
6039+21
2.8
83%
53%
28%
9.4
47%
4.0
58%
19.9
33%
0
0001.71.1
-
3ClydeClyde3656
39%
1.6
5841+17
2.8
83%
53%
33%
9.8
42%
4.1
61%
21.4
44%
0
0001.61.1
-
4ForfarForfar3650
36%
1.4
5147+4
2.7
72%
50%
36%
9.2
50%
4.1
58%
23.8
67%
0
0001.41.3
-
5StranraerStranraer3647
33%
1.3
4646+0
2.6
78%
50%
28%
11.0
63%
4.3
66%
22.5
57%
0
0001.31.3
-
6ElginElgin3644
31%
1.2
5155-4
2.9
86%
56%
25%
10.5
60%
4.2
60%
22.8
60%
0
0001.41.5
-
7Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic3641
28%
1.1
4758-11
2.9
78%
56%
36%
9.9
50%
4.4
64%
23.8
72%
0
0001.31.6
-
8DumbartonDumbarton3640
28%
1.1
4761-14
3.0
92%
58%
28%
10.6
54%
3.5
46%
20.8
46%
0
0001.31.7
-
9Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City3639
28%
1.1
4572-27
3.2
86%
69%
44%
9.5
51%
5.2
80%
23.8
66%
0
0001.22.0
-
10StirlingStirling3638
25%
1.1
4663-17
3.0
83%
58%
36%
11.4
58%
4.1
58%
20.7
36%
0
0001.31.8
-
Scotland: League Two 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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