Elgin are tipped to win, with a 42% chance of taking the match, while Dumbarton have a 31% chance and a draw sits at 27%. The model expects 2.9 goals on average, but the most probable total is 2, with a 24% chance. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 12.6% probability. Dumbarton, playing at home against a stronger side, average 1.5 goals scored and 1.17 conceded; Elgin, on the road to a weaker opponent, average 2.11 goals scored and 1.56 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.0%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.6% with a 7% edge), Under 6.5 (97.1% with a 5% edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (97.0% with a 7% edge), Away under 2.5 HT goals (96.2% with a 6% edge), Home under 3.5 goals (95.4% with a 4% edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (94.1% with a 7% edge) and Under 5.5 (92.5% with a 4% edge). Dumbarton have recently struggled, losing three in a row, while Elgin remain unbeaten, winning four of five.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Dumbarton win
31.1%
Avg Implied 25.2% · @ 3.63
Edge
+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
3.80
1xBet
3.76
Betano
3.70
Dafabet
3.70
Pinnacle
3.65
Draw
26.8%
Avg Implied 25.2% · @ 3.63
Edge
+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.80
Betano
3.75
Dafabet
3.70
Bet365
3.70
1xBet
3.60
Elgin win
42.1%
Avg Implied 49.6% · @ 1.85
Edge
-7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
1.91
Dafabet
1.86
Unibet
1.86
Betano
1.85
William Hil
1.85
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Dumbarton
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
2.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
1.77
1.33
1.20
0.67
2.33
vs Stronger (12)
1.33
2.08
1.50
1.17
1.17
3.00
vs Similar (18)
0.78
1.56
1.22
1.22
0.33
1.89
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Elgin
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.73
1.77
1.67
1.53
1.80
2.00
vs Stronger (1)
3.00
1.00
-
-
3.00
1.00
vs Similar (11)
1.45
2.91
1.83
2.83
1.00
3.00
vs Weaker (18)
1.83
1.11
1.56
0.67
2.11
1.56
Clean sheet %
23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Dumbarton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
79.9%
@ 1.19+2.4%
Under 1.5
20.1%
@ 4.10-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.22
Betfair
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Unibet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.17
Under
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.05
1xBet
4.05
Unibet
3.85
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
55.6%
@ 1.67-0.0%
Under 2.5
44.4%
@ 2.10+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.70
Pinnacle
1.69
Betfair
1.67
Marathonbet
1.67
1xBet
1.67
Under
Betfair
2.15
Pinnacle
2.11
Betano
2.10
Bet365
2.10
1xBet
2.08
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
33.3%
@ 2.63-1.7%
Under 3.5
66.7%
@ 1.42+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.71
Betfair
2.70
Bet365
2.62
1xBet
2.62
Marathonbet
2.62
Under
Bet365
1.44
Betfair
1.44
Betano
1.44
Pinnacle
1.42
Unibet
1.41
Both teams to score
Yes
59.6%
@ 1.62+2.3%
No
40.4%
@ 2.17-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.67
Betano
1.62
Betfair
1.62
William Hil
1.62
Marathonbet
1.60
No
Betfair
2.25
William Hil
2.20
1xBet
2.18
Betano
2.15
Marathonbet
2.14
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.6%@ 6.91+6.0%
1-2
9.0%@ 8.07+3.4%
2-1
7.6%@ 11.75+3.8%
0-1
7.5%@ 8.53+2.1%
0-2
6.8%@ 9.43+2.0%
0-0
6.6%@ 12.29+2.9%
1-0
6.1%@ 12.33+2.4%
2-2
6.0%@ 12.71+2.4%
Dumbarton goals ↓
Elgin goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.6%
7.5%
6.8%
3.6%
1.4%
1
6.1%
13%
9.0%
4.8%
1.9%
2
4.8%
7.6%
6.0%
3.2%
1.3%
3
2.1%
3.4%
2.7%
1.4%
0.6%
4
0.7%
1.1%
0.9%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dumbarton goals (down), columns = Elgin goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Elgin
2.20
Clyde
2.00
Forfar
1.60
Edinburgh City
1.60
Stranraer
1.40
Spartans
1.20
Annan Athletic
1.20
Kelty Hearts
1.20
Stirling
0.80
Dumbarton
0.60
Dumbarton is 1.60 points worse than Elgin in terms of average points per game (0.60 vs 2.20).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Elgin
3.40
Spartans
2.40
Clyde
2.20
Edinburgh City
1.40
Kelty Hearts
1.40
Forfar
1.20
Annan Athletic
1.20
Stirling
1.20
Stranraer
1.20
Dumbarton
0.40
Dumbarton is 3.00 goals worse than Elgin in terms of goals scored per game (0.40 vs 3.40).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Forfar
1.00
Elgin
1.00
Clyde
1.20
Stranraer
1.20
Annan Athletic
1.40
Edinburgh City
1.60
Dumbarton
2.00
Kelty Hearts
2.00
Spartans
2.20
Stirling
2.40
Dumbarton is 1.00 goals worse than Elgin in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Dumbarton
For 4.4 · Against 5.4 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.1 · Total 2.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.0 · Against 8.5 · Total 18.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Elgin
For 3.9 · Against 4.8 · Total 8.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 11.6 · Total 23.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Dumbarton
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.6
11.5
9.6
2.4
3.1
1.8
20.8
21.6
19.8
vs Stronger (22)
11.3
13.0
9.3
2.0
2.6
1.4
21.1
21.4
20.7
vs Similar (28)
10.2
10.6
9.7
2.8
3.5
2.1
20.6
21.7
19.4
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
56%
63%
47%
32%
48%
16%
44%
53%
35%
% under line
44%
37%
53%
68%
52%
84%
56%
47%
65%
This opponent (Elgin) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Elgin
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.6
10.3
10.8
3.0
3.0
2.9
22.8
21.6
23.8
vs Stronger (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
9.7
11.0
8.6
2.4
2.6
2.1
23.7
21.2
25.6
vs Weaker (32)
10.9
10.1
11.6
3.4
3.3
3.5
22.5
21.7
23.2
% over line
61%
59%
63%
42%
50%
33%
61%
53%
68%
% under line
39%
41%
37%
58%
50%
67%
39%
47%
32%
This opponent (Dumbarton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Stirling
10.9
Dumbarton
10.4
Stranraer
10.3
Elgin
10.3
Annan Athletic
9.9
Clyde
9.8
Kelty Hearts
9.5
Edinburgh City
9.2
Spartans
9.2
Forfar
9.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Edinburgh City
5.1
Forfar
4.3
Elgin
4.3
Kelty Hearts
4.2
Clyde
4.2
Stranraer
4.2
Spartans
4.1
Annan Athletic
4.0
Stirling
4.0
Dumbarton
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Forfar
24.0
Edinburgh City
23.9
Elgin
22.7
Kelty Hearts
22.5
Stranraer
22.3
Annan Athletic
22.2
Clyde
21.7
Stirling
21.1
Dumbarton
20.5
Spartans
20.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
61.6%
@ 1.67+6.0%
Under 9.5
38.4%
@ 2.08-6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.68
Betano
1.65
Under
Betano
2.12
1xBet
2.05
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
52.3%
Under 3.5
47.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
65.7%
Under 21.5
34.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Dumbarton or Draw
57.9%
Avg Implied 49.7% · @ 1.85
Edge
+8.2%
31%
27%
42%
covers Dumbarton + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.95
William Hil
1.91
Bet365
1.91
1xBet
1.83
Betfair
1.83
Dumbarton or Elgin
73.2%
Avg Implied 75.0% · @ 1.23
Edge
-1.8%
31%
27%
42%
covers Dumbarton + Elgin
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.29
Betano
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Marathonbet
1.21
1xBet
1.21
Draw or Elgin
68.9%
Avg Implied 75.3% · @ 1.22
Edge
-6.4%
31%
27%
42%
covers Draw + Elgin
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.28
Betfair
1.25
Unibet
1.23
William Hil
1.22
Marathonbet
1.20
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Dumbarton over/under 0.5
Over
73.6%
@ 1.39+6.6%
Under
26.4%
@ 2.81-6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.41
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.39
1xBet
1.35
Under
Betano
2.85
1xBet
2.84
Pinnacle
2.82
Bet365
2.75
Dumbarton over/under 1.5
Over
38.4%
@ 2.83+5.6%
Under
61.6%
@ 1.39-5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.00
Pinnacle
2.82
Marathonbet
2.80
1xBet
2.80
Betano
2.75
Under
Betano
1.42
Pinnacle
1.41
Marathonbet
1.37
1xBet
1.37
Bet365
1.36
Dumbarton over/under 2.5
Over
15.0%
@ 6.92+1.7%
Under
85.0%
@ 1.06-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.30
Marathonbet
7.20
Bet365
7.00
Betano
6.20
Under
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Dumbarton over/under 3.5
Over
4.6%
@ 11.62-3.4%
Under
95.4%
@ 1.01+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
12.00
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Elgin over/under 0.5
Over
79.4%
@ 1.14-1.8%
Under
20.6%
@ 4.92+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.11
Under
1xBet
5.15
Bet365
5.00
Betano
4.60
Elgin over/under 1.5
Over
46.8%
@ 1.76-6.1%
Under
53.2%
@ 1.98+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.78
Marathonbet
1.78
1xBet
1.76
Pinnacle
1.74
Bet365
1.73
Under
Pinnacle
2.04
Bet365
2.00
Betano
1.98
1xBet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.93
Elgin over/under 2.5
Over
21.1%
@ 3.35-6.4%
Under
78.9%
@ 1.27+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.42
Bet365
3.40
1xBet
3.34
Betano
3.25
Under
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.30
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
Elgin over/under 3.5
Over
7.6%
@ 6.45-6.9%
Under
92.4%
@ 1.09+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.50
Betano
6.40
Under
Bet365
1.10
Betano
1.09
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Dumbarton, so a minus line means Dumbarton give that many goals of a start and Elgin receive them. At -1, Dumbarton must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Dumbarton win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Dumbarton)
Dumbarton -2
4.9%
@ 21.00+0.5%
Draw -2
9.2%
@ 13.00+2.0%
Elgin +2
85.8%
@ 1.06-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
21.00
Draw
Bet365
13.00
Away
Bet365
1.06
Handicap -1 (Dumbarton)
Dumbarton -1
14.2%
@ 8.20+3.5%
Draw -1
16.9%
@ 5.58+1.2%
Elgin +1
68.9%
@ 1.19-4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
8.40
Bet365
8.00
Draw
Marathonbet
5.65
Bet365
5.50
Away
Marathonbet
1.20
Bet365
1.18
Handicap +1 (Dumbarton)
Dumbarton +1
57.9%
@ 1.85+10.0%
Draw +1
20.3%
@ 3.75-3.4%
Elgin -1
21.8%
@ 3.11-6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.91
Betfair
1.83
Marathonbet
1.81
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.75
Marathonbet
3.74
Away
Betfair
3.25
Marathonbet
3.20
Bet365
2.88
Handicap +2 (Dumbarton)
Dumbarton +2
78.2%
@ 1.31+9.9%
Draw +2
13.0%
@ 5.30-3.9%
Elgin -2
8.8%
@ 6.05-6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.36
Marathonbet
1.26
Draw
Marathonbet
5.60
Bet365
5.00
Away
Marathonbet
6.60
Bet365
5.50
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Dumbarton
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.93
0.47
0.60
0.20
1.27
vs Stronger (12)
0.42
1.25
0.50
0.50
0.33
2.00
vs Similar (18)
0.28
0.72
0.44
0.67
0.11
0.78
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Elgin
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.77
0.93
0.47
0.87
1.07
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (11)
0.73
1.09
1.00
0.83
0.40
1.40
vs Weaker (18)
1.00
0.56
0.89
0.22
1.11
0.89
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Dumbarton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
71.4%
@ 1.30+0.2%
Under 0.5
28.6%
@ 3.22-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.35
William Hil
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Marathonbet
1.29
Under
Bet365
3.40
William Hil
3.30
Betfair
3.30
1xBet
3.15
Marathonbet
3.12
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
35.0%
@ 2.46-2.5%
Under 1.5
65.0%
@ 1.48+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.50
Betano
2.50
Pinnacle
2.48
Marathonbet
2.47
William Hil
2.45
Under
Bet365
1.50
Pinnacle
1.50
Betano
1.50
Betfair
1.50
1xBet
1.46
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
14.2%
@ 5.72-2.0%
Under 2.5
85.8%
@ 1.11+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.50
William Hil
5.80
Bet365
5.50
1xBet
5.50
Betano
5.30
Under
Betano
1.12
William Hil
1.12
Bet365
1.12
1xBet
1.10
Betfair
1.08
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dumbarton over/under 0.5 HT
Over
41.1%
@ 2.28+0.5%
Under
58.9%
@ 1.56-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.32
Betano
2.30
Marathonbet
2.27
1xBet
2.23
Under
1xBet
1.58
Pinnacle
1.57
Betano
1.55
Marathonbet
1.53
Dumbarton over/under 1.5 HT
Over
10.5%
@ 7.70-1.4%
Under
89.5%
@ 1.04+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.70
1xBet
7.70
Betano
6.70
Under
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.02
Dumbarton over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.4%
@ 11.25-6.8%
Under
98.6%
@ 1.01+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.01
Elgin over/under 0.5 HT
Over
51.7%
@ 1.72-2.1%
Under
48.3%
@ 2.00+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.75
Pinnacle
1.72
Marathonbet
1.71
1xBet
1.70
Under
Pinnacle
2.04
1xBet
2.03
Betano
1.98
Marathonbet
1.97
Elgin over/under 1.5 HT
Over
17.5%
@ 4.52-2.9%
Under
82.5%
@ 1.16+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.85
1xBet
4.40
Betano
4.30
Under
Betano
1.18
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.13
Elgin over/under 2.5 HT
Over
3.7%
@ 9.25-6.3%
Under
96.3%
@ 1.03+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.03
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Dumbarton
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.83
0.87
0.60
0.47
1.07
vs Stronger (12)
0.92
0.83
1.00
0.67
0.83
1.00
vs Similar (18)
0.50
0.83
0.78
0.56
0.22
1.11
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Elgin
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
1.00
0.73
1.07
0.93
0.93
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (11)
0.73
1.82
0.83
2.00
0.60
1.60
vs Weaker (18)
0.83
0.56
0.67
0.44
1.00
0.67
Clean sheet %
40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Dumbarton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
80.5%
@ 1.19+2.4%
Under 0.5
19.5%
@ 4.23-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.19
1xBet
1.17
Under
1xBet
4.40
Bet365
4.33
Betano
4.20
William Hil
4.00
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
47.7%
@ 1.90-1.2%
Under 1.5
52.3%
@ 1.81+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.95
Bet365
1.91
Marathonbet
1.89
1xBet
1.89
Betano
1.85
Under
Betano
1.85
Marathonbet
1.81
1xBet
1.81
William Hil
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
19.2%
@ 3.70-5.9%
Under 2.5
80.8%
@ 1.24+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.00
Bet365
3.75
1xBet
3.60
Betano
3.45
Under
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.23
William Hil
1.22
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dumbarton over/under 0.5 2H
Over
47.1%
@ 1.89-1.6%
Under
52.9%
@ 1.80+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.89
Betano
1.88
Under
Betano
1.82
1xBet
1.80
Marathonbet
1.77
Dumbarton over/under 1.5 2H
Over
15.9%
@ 5.55-0.7%
Under
84.1%
@ 1.11+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.05
1xBet
5.60
Betano
5.00
Under
Betano
1.14
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.08
Dumbarton over/under 2.5 2H
Over
3.0%
@ 10.00-6.3%
Under
97.0%
@ 1.02+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Elgin over/under 0.5 2H
Over
58.5%
@ 1.50-3.4%
Under
41.5%
@ 2.44+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.50
1xBet
1.49
Under
1xBet
2.45
Betano
2.42
Elgin over/under 1.5 2H
Over
25.1%
@ 3.27-3.1%
Under
74.9%
@ 1.28+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.42
1xBet
3.30
Betano
3.10
Under
Betano
1.32
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.25
Elgin over/under 2.5 2H
Over
6.2%
@ 7.90-5.5%
Under
93.8%
@ 1.04+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.90
Betano
6.90
Under
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.02
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.6%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+6.8%
Under 6.5
97.1%
1.01
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+5.3%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
97.0%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+6.3%
Away under 2.5 HT goals
96.3%
1.03
Betano
1.03
-
-
-
-
+6.3%
Home under 3.5 goals
95.4%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+3.4%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
93.8%
1.04
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.02
-
-
-
+5.5%
Under 5.5
92.5%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.06
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.01
-
+3.4%
Away under 3.5 goals
92.4%
1.09
Bet365
1.10
Betano
1.09
-
-
-
+6.9%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
89.5%
1.04
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.02
-
-
+1.4%
Away +2 handicap
85.8%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
-2.5%
Under 2.5 HT goals
85.8%
1.11
Betano
1.12
William Hil
1.12
Bet365
1.12
1xBet
1.10
Betfair
1.08
+2.0%
Home under 2.5 goals
85.0%
1.06
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
-
-1.7%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
84.1%
1.11
Betano
1.14
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.08
-
-
+0.7%
Under 4.5
83.0%
1.14
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.17
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
-
+2.6%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
82.5%
1.16
Betano
1.18
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.13
-
-
+2.9%
Under 5.5 cards
81.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
80.8%
1.24
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.23
William Hil
1.22
-
+5.9%
Over 0.5 2H goals
80.5%
1.19
William Hil
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.19
1xBet
1.17
-
+2.4%
Over 1.5
79.9%
1.19
Betano
1.22
Betfair
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Unibet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.17
+2.4%
Over 19.5 fouls
79.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
79.4%
1.14
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.11
-
-
-1.8%
Away under 2.5 goals
78.9%
1.27
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.30
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
-
+6.4%
Home +2 handicap
78.2%
1.31
Bet365
1.36
Marathonbet
1.26
-
-
-
+9.9%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
74.9%
1.28
Betano
1.32
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.25
-
-
+3.1%
Home over 0.5 goals
73.6%
1.39
Pinnacle
1.41
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.39
1xBet
1.35
-
+6.6%
Home or Away
73.2%
1.23
William Hil
1.29
Betano
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Marathonbet
1.21
1xBet
1.21
-1.8%
Over 8.5 corners
73.1%
1.38
1xBet
1.38
-
-
-
-
+7.0%
Over 2.5 cards
72.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 HT goals
71.4%
1.30
Betano
1.35
William Hil
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Marathonbet
1.29
+0.2%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Scotland: League Two 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →
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Clyde
Forfar
Edinburgh City
Stranraer
Spartans
Annan Athletic
Kelty Hearts
Stirling