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Dumbarton vs Stirling Result & Analysis

Date: 30/07/2022
Time: 15:00
Final 2-0
Dumbarton
Dumbarton
vs
Stirling
Stirling
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dumbarton win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Stirling win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

DumbartonDumbarton

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-434L03L02L02L00D32W11D23L01L21WA·PET26/02H·QUE05/03A·EAS12/03H·FAL19/03H·MON26/03A·ALL02/04H·PET09/04A·AIR16/04A·COV23/04H·CLY30/04← League OneLeague Two →
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.172.070.871.731.472.40
vs Stronger (27)1.072.190.771.851.362.50
vs Similar (3)2.001.001.501.003.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %7% (-20pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StirlingStirling

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-521W10W03L01L10W00D11D02L11D50WH·COW08/03A·FOR12/03H·ANN19/03H·ALB22/03H·STR26/03A·COW02/04A·KEL09/04H·ELG16/04A·ALB23/04H·EDI30/04
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.301.201.470.931.13
vs Stronger (14)0.861.141.001.330.751.00
vs Similar (16)1.251.441.331.561.141.29
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Dumbarton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
0.0%
No
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Stirling
2.03
Dumbarton
1.72
Annan Athletic
1.42
East Fife
1.39
Forfar
1.33
Stenhousemuir
1.31
Stranraer
1.25
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.17
Elgin
1.11
Albion Rvs
1.08
Dumbarton is 0.31 points worse than Stirling in terms of average points per game (1.72 vs 2.03).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Stirling
1.86
Annan Athletic
1.69
East Fife
1.50
Stenhousemuir
1.42
Dumbarton
1.36
Albion Rvs
1.31
Elgin
1.22
Stranraer
1.19
Forfar
1.03
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.00
Dumbarton is 0.50 goals worse than Stirling in terms of goals scored per game (1.36 vs 1.86).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Stirling
1.03
Dumbarton
1.08
Forfar
1.19
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.31
Albion Rvs
1.33
East Fife
1.39
Annan Athletic
1.42
Stenhousemuir
1.53
Stranraer
1.58
Elgin
1.72
Dumbarton is 0.06 goals worse than Stirling in terms of goals conceded per game (1.08 vs 1.03).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

DumbartonDumbarton

For 5.7 · Against 5.7 · Total 11.4

🚩 Corners

15085297792585548543396131114111310129615H·CLYA·COVA·AIRH·PETA·ALLH·MONH·FALA·EASH·QUEA·PET
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 0.9 · Against 2.2 · Total 3.1

🟨 Cards

501131251122423121435244512H·CLYA·COVA·AIRH·PETA·ALLH·MONH·FALA·EASH·QUEA·PET
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.1 · Against 9.8 · Total 19.9

⚠️ Fouls

2701212109879129914711118911169624191521182122172715H·CLYA·COVA·AIRH·PETA·ALLH·MONH·FALH·QUEA·PETH·ALL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

StirlingStirling

For 4.1 · Against 3.7 · Total 7.8

🚩 Corners

12032352363542555754342585997101276H·EDIA·ALBH·ELGA·KELA·COWH·STRH·ALBH·ANNA·FORH·COW
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 1.5 · Total 2.7

🟨 Cards

50131121321323221434335022H·EDIA·ALBH·ELGA·KELA·COWH·STRH·ALBH·ANNA·FORH·COW
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.0 · Against 9.7 · Total 19.7

⚠️ Fouls

31010396131881012898101289811131213153118201722171925H·EDIA·ALBH·ELGA·KELA·COWH·STRH·ALBH·ANNA·FORH·COW
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

DumbartonDumbarton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.811.210.23.73.44.022.022.721.3
vs Stronger (42)10.811.410.23.63.43.921.822.920.5
vs Similar (8)10.610.510.83.83.24.223.121.524.8
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line68%77%58%50%42%58%53%65%39%
% under line32%23%42%50%58%42%47%35%61%
This opponent (Stirling) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StirlingStirling

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.68.68.63.93.14.822.622.922.3
vs Stronger (23)7.98.17.83.82.94.622.724.021.6
vs Similar (27)9.18.99.44.03.24.922.522.123.0
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line30%36%24%58%40%76%52%60%44%
% under line70%64%76%42%60%24%48%40%56%
This opponent (Dumbarton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Dumbarton
10.8
Stenhousemuir
9.7
East Fife
9.6
Annan Athletic
9.5
Forfar
9.3
Albion Rvs
9.1
Stranraer
8.8
Elgin
8.6
Stirling
8.6

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Stranraer
4.0
Stirling
3.9
Elgin
3.9
Annan Athletic
3.8
Stenhousemuir
3.7
Dumbarton
3.7
Forfar
3.2
East Fife
3.1
Albion Rvs
3.1

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Stirling
22.6
Elgin
22.5
Forfar
22.1
Stranraer
22.0
Dumbarton
22.0
Annan Athletic
21.8
Stenhousemuir
21.4
Albion Rvs
20.8
East Fife
20.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
46.9%
Under 9.5
53.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
51.9%
Under 3.5
48.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
43.6%
Under 21.5
56.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

DumbartonDumbarton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L02L01L02L00D00D11D12L00D11DA·PET26/02H·QUE05/03A·EAS12/03H·FAL19/03H·MON26/03A·ALL02/04H·PET09/04A·AIR16/04A·COV23/04H·CLY30/04← League OneLeague Two →
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.970.470.870.471.07
vs Stronger (27)0.371.000.460.920.291.07
vs Similar (3)1.330.670.500.503.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StirlingStirling

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W10W01L00D00D00D11D00D10W40WH·COW08/03A·FOR12/03H·ANN19/03H·ALB22/03H·STR26/03A·COW02/04A·KEL09/04H·ELG16/04A·ALB23/04H·EDI30/04
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.530.600.600.400.47
vs Stronger (14)0.430.360.500.170.380.50
vs Similar (16)0.560.690.670.890.430.43
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Dumbarton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dumbarton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

DumbartonDumbarton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W01L01L00D00D32W00D11D01L10WA·PET26/02H·QUE05/03A·EAS12/03H·FAL19/03H·MON26/03A·ALL02/04H·PET09/04A·AIR16/04A·COV23/04H·CLY30/04← League OneLeague Two →
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.701.100.400.871.001.33
vs Stronger (27)0.701.190.310.921.071.43
vs Similar (3)0.670.331.000.500.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StirlingStirling

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D00D02L01L10W00D00D02L01L10WH·COW08/03A·FOR12/03H·ANN19/03H·ALB22/03H·STR26/03A·COW02/04A·KEL09/04H·ELG16/04A·ALB23/04H·EDI30/04
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.770.600.870.530.67
vs Stronger (14)0.430.790.501.170.380.50
vs Similar (16)0.690.750.670.670.710.86
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Dumbarton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dumbarton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 25.5 fouls84.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards82.1%-------✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners75.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards72.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls72.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (2)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
Dumbarton and Stirling have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
Dumbarton and Stirling have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
EF (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
Dumbarton and Stirling have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
Dumbarton and Stirling have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
DUM wins
0
Draws
0
STI wins

Head-to-head

Dumbarton vs Stirling · H/A from DUM
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

DumbartonDumbarton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/04/22HDUM Vs Clyde2-1
23/04/22ACove Rangers Vs DUM1-0
16/04/22AAirdrie United Vs DUM3-2
09/04/22HDUM Vs Peterhead1-1
02/04/22AAlloa Vs DUM2-3
26/03/22HDUM Vs Montrose0-0
19/03/22HDUM Vs Falkirk0-2
12/03/22AEast Fife Vs DUM2-0
05/03/22HDUM Vs Queens Park0-3
26/02/22APeterhead Vs DUM4-3

StirlingStirling

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/04/22HSTI Vs Edinburgh City5-0
23/04/22AAlbion Rvs Vs STI1-1
16/04/22HSTI Vs Elgin0-2
09/04/22AKelty Hearts Vs STI1-1
02/04/22ACowdenbeath Vs STI0-0
26/03/22HSTI Vs Stranraer1-0
22/03/22HSTI Vs Albion Rvs0-1
19/03/22HSTI Vs Annan Athletic0-3
12/03/22AForfar Vs STI0-1
08/03/22HSTI Vs Cowdenbeath2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Dumbarton
Dumbarton
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLLW0.96
HomeLLDDW0.96
AwayLLWLL0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%23%29%
AVG goals2.922.543.33
Over 1.5 %80%73%88%
Over 2.5 %58%50%67%
Over 3.5 %30%27%33%
Scored1.141.041.25
Conceded1.781.502.08
BTTS52%46%58%
Clean Sheet14%19%8%
Corners10.7611.2310.25
Cards3.663.383.96
Stirling
Stirling
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLDW1.26
HomeLLWLW1.12
AwayLWDDD1.40
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%32%36%
AVG goals2.442.442.44
Over 1.5 %64%64%64%
Over 2.5 %44%48%40%
Over 3.5 %26%24%28%
Scored1.201.121.28
Conceded1.241.321.16
BTTS48%44%52%
Clean Sheet26%24%28%
Corners8.588.568.60
Cards3.923.084.76

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1StirlingStirling3673
58%
2.0
6737+30
2.9
83%
61%
36%
9.7
47%
4.3
58%
21.4
47%
0
0001.91.0
-
2DumbartonDumbarton3662
50%
1.7
4939+10
2.4
69%
42%
25%
9.3
47%
4.9
72%
20.5
44%
0
0001.41.1
-
3Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic3651
39%
1.4
6151+10
3.1
86%
67%
44%
9.9
50%
4.3
64%
20.2
44%
0
0001.71.4
-
4East FifeEast Fife3650
39%
1.4
5450+4
2.9
78%
58%
36%
9.7
42%
4.4
64%
21.4
44%
0
0001.51.4
-
5ForfarForfar3648
36%
1.3
3743-6
2.2
67%
39%
17%
10.7
58%
3.7
56%
22.0
50%
0
0001.01.2
-
6StenhousemuirStenhousemuir3647
33%
1.3
5155-4
2.9
86%
61%
33%
11.1
72%
4.1
61%
20.8
33%
0
0001.41.5
-
7StranraerStranraer3645
33%
1.2
4357-14
2.8
72%
47%
39%
9.8
50%
3.8
50%
21.1
50%
0
0001.21.6
-
8
BR
Bonnyrigg Rose		3642
31%
1.2
3647-11
2.3
67%
39%
19%
9.5
50%
4.3
61%
22.1
58%
0
0001.01.3
-
9ElginElgin3640
31%
1.1
4462-18
2.9
81%
61%
33%
8.8
42%
4.2
64%
21.8
53%
0
0001.21.7
-
10
AR
Albion Rvs		3639
31%
1.1
4748-1
2.6
72%
47%
28%
9.9
53%
4.3
67%
22.0
47%
0
0001.31.3
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Scotland: League Two 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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