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Dumbarton vs Stirling Result & Analysis

Date: 15/07/2025
Time: 18:45
Final 1-0
Dumbarton
Dumbarton
Vs
45%
28%
27%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Stirling
Stirling
Scotland: League Cup
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Dumbarton win✓ Hit
44.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Stirling win✗ Miss
26.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

DumbartonDumbarton

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-612L01L11D00D32W60W13L22D31W12LH·ARB04/03H·INV08/03A·ARB15/03H·QUE22/03A·ALL29/03A·KEL05/04H·COV12/04A·MON19/04H·ANN26/04A·STE03/05
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.502.001.382.121.641.86
vs Stronger (23)1.611.741.331.831.911.64
vs Similar (7)1.142.861.503.000.672.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %10% (-22pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StirlingStirling

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D11D12L21W20W31W02L14L00D02LA·SPA08/03A·BON15/03H·PET22/03H·EDI29/03A·ELG05/04H·STR12/04A·EAS19/04H·CLY26/04A·FOR03/05H·HAM12/07
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.672.001.531.201.80
vs Stronger (17)1.651.472.121.381.221.56
vs Similar (10)1.601.801.801.401.402.20
vs Weaker (3)1.332.332.002.500.002.00
Clean sheet %20% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Dumbarton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
74.3%
Under 1.5
25.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
47.9%
Under 2.5
52.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.2%
Under 3.5
73.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
52.9%
No
47.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.5%
1-0 ✓
9.9%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
8.7%
2-0
8.3%
0-1
7.0%
1-2
6.8%
2-2
5.0%
Dumbarton goals ↓
Stirling goals →
01234
08.7%7.0%4.5%1.7%0.5%
19.9%14%6.8%2.5%0.7%
28.3%9.2%5.0%1.8%0.5%
34.1%4.6%2.5%0.9%0.3%
41.5%1.7%0.9%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dumbarton goals (down), columns = Stirling goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Aberdeen
2.57
Celtic
2.50
Dundee
2.50
Rangers
2.50
Ross County
2.40
Livingston
2.25
Ayr Utd
2.25
Dundee Utd
2.00
Spartans
2.00
Falkirk
2.00
Airdrie United
1.80
Hibernian
1.80
ST Johnstone
1.80
Queen's Park
1.80
Partick
1.75
Raith Rovers
1.75
Montrose
1.75
East Fife
1.75
Alloa Athletic
1.75
Annan Athletic
1.75
Motherwell
1.71
Morton
1.50
Peterhead
1.50
Queen of the South
1.50
Clyde
1.50
Hamilton Academical
1.25
Kilmarnock
1.00
Inverness CT
1.00
Arbroath
1.00
Cove Rangers
1.00
Kelty Hearts
1.00
Forfar
1.00
Dunfermline
0.75
Stenhousemuir
0.75
Stirling
0.50
Dumbarton
0.25
East Kilbride
0.25
Stranraer
0.25
Elgin
0.25
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
0.25
ST Mirren
0.00
Heart Of Midlothian
0.00
Brechin
0.00
Edinburgh City
0.00
Dumbarton is 0.25 points worse than Stirling in terms of average points per game (0.25 vs 0.50).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Celtic
4.25
Dundee
4.00
Airdrie United
3.20
Queen's Park
3.20
Hibernian
3.00
Aberdeen
2.86
Partick
2.75
Falkirk
2.50
Rangers
2.50
Ayr Utd
2.25
Clyde
2.25
ST Johnstone
2.20
Dundee Utd
2.00
Ross County
2.00
East Fife
2.00
Raith Rovers
1.75
Alloa Athletic
1.75
Annan Athletic
1.75
Montrose
1.50
Motherwell
1.43
Spartans
1.33
Hamilton Academical
1.25
Livingston
1.25
Stenhousemuir
1.25
Peterhead
1.25
Queen of the South
1.25
Dumbarton
1.00
Dunfermline
1.00
Stranraer
1.00
Inverness CT
0.75
Morton
0.75
Cove Rangers
0.75
Elgin
0.75
Forfar
0.75
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
0.75
Brechin
0.50
East Kilbride
0.50
Kelty Hearts
0.50
Stirling
0.50
Arbroath
0.25
Edinburgh City
0.25
ST Mirren
0.00
Kilmarnock
0.00
Heart Of Midlothian
0.00
Dumbarton is 0.50 goals better than Stirling in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 0.50).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kilmarnock
0.00
Livingston
0.25
Motherwell
0.71
Hamilton Academical
0.75
Ross County
0.80
ST Mirren
1.00
Hibernian
1.00
Dundee
1.00
Aberdeen
1.00
Rangers
1.00
Raith Rovers
1.00
Forfar
1.00
Dundee Utd
1.17
Spartans
1.17
Falkirk
1.17
Queen's Park
1.20
Ayr Utd
1.25
Arbroath
1.25
Partick
1.25
Dunfermline
1.25
Montrose
1.25
East Fife
1.25
Alloa Athletic
1.25
Annan Athletic
1.25
ST Johnstone
1.40
Celtic
1.50
Morton
1.50
Queen of the South
1.50
Clyde
1.50
Inverness CT
1.75
Heart Of Midlothian
2.00
Kelty Hearts
2.00
Stirling
2.00
Airdrie United
2.20
Cove Rangers
2.25
Brechin
2.50
Stranraer
2.50
Stenhousemuir
2.75
Peterhead
2.75
Dumbarton
3.25
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
3.25
Elgin
3.50
East Kilbride
4.00
Edinburgh City
4.00
Dumbarton is 1.25 goals worse than Stirling in terms of goals conceded per game (3.25 vs 2.00).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

DumbartonDumbarton

For 3.2 · Against 6.1 · Total 9.3

ðŸšĐ Corners

1405546185427624543821210109998941114A·STEH·ANNA·MONH·COVA·KELA·ALLH·QUEA·ARBH·INVH·ARB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.9

ðŸŸĻ Cards

80352324112311123328562523350A·STEH·ANNA·MONH·COVA·KELA·ALLH·QUEA·ARBH·INVH·ARB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.2 · Against 9.4 · Total 20.6

⚠ïļ Fouls

270119109111547101010111710161110713520192611202127271718A·STEH·ANNA·MONH·COVA·KELA·ALLH·QUEA·ARBH·INVH·ARB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

StirlingStirling

For 4.6 · Against 6.0 · Total 10.6

ðŸšĐ Corners

160444104656745637147964814101111111051610A·FORH·CLYA·EASH·STRA·ELGH·EDIH·PETA·BONA·SPAH·EAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 1.2 · Total 4.1

ðŸŸĻ Cards

803153212622132312114832835431A·FORH·CLYA·EASH·STRA·ELGH·EDIH·PETA·BONA·SPAH·EAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 9.0 · Total 21.4

⚠ïļ Fouls

270161111913910111471212137148115101127202221212420221621A·FORH·CLYA·EASH·STRA·ELGH·EDIH·PETA·BONA·SPAH·EAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

DumbartonDumbarton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.811.310.33.23.03.418.918.319.5
vs Stronger (38)10.411.49.52.92.63.219.117.520.7
vs Similar (12)11.811.212.53.94.03.818.520.516.5
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line50%59%41%40%35%46%23%23%23%
% under line50%41%59%60%65%54%77%77%77%
This opponent (Stirling) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StirlingStirling

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.110.79.53.73.73.821.520.822.2
vs Stronger (30)10.110.210.13.73.63.721.020.022.1
vs Similar (16)9.911.08.73.63.43.922.822.023.6
vs Weaker (4)11.013.58.54.85.54.020.021.518.5
% over line63%82%43%52%46%58%49%41%57%
% under line37%18%57%48%54%42%51%59%43%
This opponent (Dumbarton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Celtic
11.8
Aberdeen
11.6
Ross County
11.5
Falkirk
11.4
Hibernian
11.3
Morton
11.2
Motherwell
11.2
Dundee Utd
11.1
Dumbarton
10.7
ST Johnstone
10.7
Kilmarnock
10.6
Dunfermline
10.6
Rangers
10.6
Airdrie United
10.6
Dundee
10.5
Heart Of Midlothian
10.5
Stirling
10.4
Arbroath
10.3
Kelty Hearts
10.1
ST Mirren
10.1
Partick
10.1
Annan Athletic
10.1
Brechin
10.0
Cove Rangers
10.0
Clyde
9.8
Forfar
9.6
East Fife
9.6
Stenhousemuir
9.5
Montrose
9.4
Stranraer
9.2
Edinburgh City
9.2
Elgin
9.2
Spartans
9.1
Livingston
8.9
Inverness CT
8.9
Peterhead
8.7

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Ayr Utd
9.0
Peterhead
5.1
Morton
4.7
Aberdeen
4.6
Elgin
4.6
Forfar
4.6
Edinburgh City
4.5
Dundee Utd
4.4
Clyde
4.3
ST Mirren
4.3
Stirling
4.2
Rangers
4.2
Falkirk
4.1
Motherwell
4.1
Hibernian
4.1
Partick
4.0
Kilmarnock
4.0
Stranraer
4.0
ST Johnstone
4.0
Spartans
4.0
Heart Of Midlothian
3.9
East Fife
3.9
Livingston
3.9
Dundee
3.8
Annan Athletic
3.7
Stenhousemuir
3.7
Dumbarton
3.7
Dunfermline
3.6
Montrose
3.6
Brechin
3.5
Celtic
3.5
Airdrie United
3.5
Inverness CT
3.4
Ross County
3.3
Kelty Hearts
3.3
Arbroath
3.2
Cove Rangers
2.7

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Forfar
24.8
Peterhead
24.6
Elgin
23.8
Edinburgh City
23.8
Livingston
23.5
Aberdeen
23.3
East Fife
23.1
Clyde
22.6
Morton
22.2
ST Johnstone
22.1
Motherwell
22.0
Spartans
22.0
Falkirk
21.9
Stenhousemuir
21.8
Kilmarnock
21.7
ST Mirren
21.7
Stirling
21.5
Rangers
21.4
Heart Of Midlothian
21.4
Dundee Utd
21.0
Inverness CT
20.8
Ross County
20.7
Airdrie United
20.4
Brechin
20.4
Montrose
20.1
Partick
20.0
Dunfermline
20.0
Hibernian
19.9
Annan Athletic
19.8
Dundee
19.7
Arbroath
19.7
Kelty Hearts
19.7
Stranraer
19.6
Dumbarton
18.9
Celtic
18.4
Cove Rangers
18.1
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
55.8%
Under 9.5
44.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
62.6%
Under 3.5
37.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
61.0%
Under 21.5
39.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Dumbarton or Draw✓ Hit
73.2%
Avg Implied -
45%
28%
27%
covers Dumbarton + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton or Stirling✓ Hit
71.7%
Avg Implied -
45%
28%
27%
covers Dumbarton + Stirling
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Stirling✗ Miss
55.1%
Avg Implied -
45%
28%
27%
covers Draw + Stirling
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Dumbarton over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
77.5%
Under
22.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
43.9%
Under
56.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
18.9%
Under
81.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.4%
Under
93.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
66.7%
Under
33.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
30.1%
Under
69.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
10.0%
Under
90.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.6%
Under
97.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Dumbarton, so a minus line means Dumbarton give that many goals of a start and Stirling receive them. At -1, Dumbarton must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Dumbarton win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Dumbarton)Actual: Stirling
Dumbarton -2
9.0%
Draw -2
13.9%
Stirling +2
77.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Dumbarton)Actual: Draw
Dumbarton -1
23.0%
Draw -1
22.0%
Stirling +1
55.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Dumbarton)Actual: Dumbarton
Dumbarton +1
73.2%
Draw +1
15.9%
Stirling -1
10.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Dumbarton)Actual: Dumbarton
Dumbarton +2
89.1%
Draw +2
7.6%
Stirling -2
3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

DumbartonDumbarton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D00D01L00D01L30W02L11D10W01LH·ARB04/03H·INV08/03A·ARB15/03H·QUE22/03A·ALL29/03A·KEL05/04H·COV12/04A·MON19/04H·ANN26/04A·STE03/05
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.900.691.000.640.79
vs Stronger (23)0.740.740.670.750.820.73
vs Similar (7)0.431.430.751.750.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StirlingStirling

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W11D10W10W01L02L02L00D00DA·SPA08/03A·BON15/03H·PET22/03H·EDI29/03A·ELG05/04H·STR12/04A·EAS19/04H·CLY26/04A·FOR03/05H·HAM12/07
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.800.930.730.670.87
vs Stronger (17)1.060.591.380.500.780.67
vs Similar (10)0.501.000.400.800.601.20
vs Weaker (3)0.331.330.501.500.001.00
Clean sheet %43% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Dumbarton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dumbarton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

DumbartonDumbarton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L10W00D31W30W11D11D21W11DH·ARB04/03H·INV08/03A·ARB15/03H·QUE22/03A·ALL29/03A·KEL05/04H·COV12/04A·MON19/04H·ANN26/04A·STE03/05
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.831.100.691.121.001.07
vs Stronger (23)0.871.000.671.081.090.91
vs Similar (7)0.711.430.751.250.671.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StirlingStirling

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L01L11D10W30W00D12L00D02LA·SPA08/03A·BON15/03H·PET22/03H·EDI29/03A·ELG05/04H·STR12/04A·EAS19/04H·CLY26/04A·FOR03/05H·HAM12/07
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.871.070.800.530.93
vs Stronger (17)0.590.880.750.880.440.89
vs Similar (10)1.100.801.400.600.801.00
vs Weaker (3)1.001.001.501.000.001.00
Clean sheet %37% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Dumbarton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dumbarton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.598.3%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals97.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.595.2%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals93.6%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals90.0%-------✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap89.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.587.9%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals81.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards80.5%--------
Home over 0.5 goals77.5%-------✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap77.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls76.2%--------
Over 1.574.3%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.573.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards73.4%--------
Home or Draw73.2%-------✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap73.2%-------✓ Hit
Home or Away71.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls70.8%--------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
DU (22)
€11m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
FAL (27)
€6m
DUN (21)
€5m
SJ (25)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
AU (17)
€2m
QP (19)
€2m
RR (18)
€2m
RC (11)
€1m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
KH (4)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
HA (5)
€0m
AA (2)
€0m
EK (4)
€0m
MON (4)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
Dumbarton and Stirling have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
DU (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
SJ (9)
€2m
FAL (9)
€2m
DUN (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
QP (8)
€1m
AU (6)
€1m
RR (5)
€1m
KH (3)
€1m
AA (1)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
EK (3)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
HA (1)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
RC (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
Dumbarton and Stirling have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DU (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
RR (6)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
RC (3)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
MON (2)
€0m
QP (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
EK (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
Dumbarton and Stirling have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
FAL (13)
€3m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
DUN (13)
€2m
SJ (11)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
AU (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
QP (10)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
RR (7)
€0m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
KH (1)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
EK (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
Dumbarton and Stirling have a similar defence value (both €0m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
1
DUM wins
2
Draws
1
STI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Dumbarton vs Stirling · H/A from DUM
DateH/AGameScore
18/04/23HDUM Vs Stirling0-0
25/03/23AStirling Vs DUM2-2
08/10/22AStirling Vs DUM6-0
30/07/22HDUM Vs Stirling2-0

DumbartonDumbarton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/05/25AStenhousemuir Vs DUM2-1
26/04/25HDUM Vs Annan Athletic3-1
19/04/25AMontrose Vs DUM2-2
12/04/25HDUM Vs Cove Rangers1-3
05/04/25AKelty Hearts Vs DUM0-6
29/03/25AAlloa Vs DUM2-3
22/03/25HDUM Vs Queen of Sth0-0
15/03/25AArbroath Vs DUM1-1
08/03/25HDUM Vs Inverness CT0-1
04/03/25HDUM Vs Arbroath1-2

StirlingStirling

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/07/25HSTI Vs Hamilton Academical0-2
03/05/25AForfar Vs STI0-0
26/04/25HSTI Vs Clyde1-4
19/04/25AEast Fife Vs STI2-0
12/04/25HSTI Vs Stranraer3-1
05/04/25AElgin Vs STI0-2
29/03/25HSTI Vs Edinburgh City2-1
22/03/25HSTI Vs Peterhead1-2
15/03/25ABonnyrigg Rose Vs STI1-1
08/03/25ASpartans Vs STI0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Dumbarton
Dumbarton
Scotland: League Cup
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDWL1.08
HomeLLDLW1.12
AwayDWWDL1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%27%25%
AVG goals3.303.353.25
Over 1.5 %88%81%96%
Over 2.5 %62%65%58%
Over 3.5 %46%54%38%
Scored1.461.461.46
Conceded1.841.881.79
BTTS66%69%62%
Clean Sheet16%19%12%
Corners10.8211.3210.32
Cards3.593.503.68
Stirling
Stirling
Scotland: League Cup
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLDL1.24
HomeLWWLL1.42
AwayDDWLD1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%42%25%
AVG goals2.983.082.88
Over 1.5 %82%81%83%
Over 2.5 %60%65%54%
Over 3.5 %36%42%29%
Scored1.361.461.25
Conceded1.621.621.62
BTTS52%54%50%
Clean Sheet24%23%25%
Corners10.1210.739.48
Cards4.354.364.33

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1East KilbrideEast Kilbride3669
58%
1.9
7746+31
3.4
92%
69%
50%
10.4
58%
5.6
83%
26.4
81%
0
0002.11.3
-
2SpartansSpartans3664
50%
1.8
6039+21
2.8
83%
53%
28%
9.4
47%
4.0
58%
19.9
33%
0
0001.71.1
-
3ClydeClyde3656
39%
1.6
5841+17
2.8
83%
53%
33%
9.8
42%
4.1
61%
21.4
44%
0
0001.61.1
-
4ForfarForfar3650
36%
1.4
5147+4
2.7
72%
50%
36%
9.2
50%
4.1
58%
23.8
67%
0
0001.41.3
-
5StranraerStranraer3647
33%
1.3
4646+0
2.6
78%
50%
28%
11.0
63%
4.3
66%
22.5
57%
0
0001.31.3
-
6ElginElgin3644
31%
1.2
5155-4
2.9
86%
56%
25%
10.5
60%
4.2
60%
22.8
60%
0
0001.41.5
-
7Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic3641
28%
1.1
4758-11
2.9
78%
56%
36%
9.9
50%
4.4
64%
23.8
72%
0
0001.31.6
-
8DumbartonDumbarton3640
28%
1.1
4761-14
3.0
92%
58%
28%
10.6
54%
3.5
46%
20.8
46%
0
0001.31.7
-
9Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City3639
28%
1.1
4572-27
3.2
86%
69%
44%
9.5
51%
5.2
80%
23.8
66%
0
0001.22.0
-
10StirlingStirling3638
25%
1.1
4663-17
3.0
83%
58%
36%
11.4
58%
4.1
58%
20.7
36%
0
0001.31.8
-
Scotland: League Two 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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