Dumbrăvița’s recent five matches have ended in four losses and one draw, and the team is still recovering from a 0-1 defeat to CSM Râmnicu Vâlcea, so the model sees them as vulnerable at home. Slatina, on the other hand, has gone unbeaten in their last five outings, including a 0-0 stalemate with FC Bacău, and their away form shows a higher average of 1.57 goals scored and 1.29 conceded against similar opposition. These figures explain why the model rates an away win at 66% and labels it the most likely outcome. The expected total goals hover at 3.9, with the most probable total being three goals at a 20% chance. The single scoreline the model deems most likely is 1-2 for Slatina, with an 8.9% probability. Dumbrăvița averages 1.1 goals scored and 0.7 conceded at home, while Slatina averages 1.57 scored and 1.29 conceded on the road. The suggested picks include Home under 3.5 goals (96%), Under 7.5 (95.6%), Away +2 handicap (93.5%), Away over 0.5 goals (92.7%), Over 1.5 (90.6%), Under 6.5 (90.1%), Home under 2.5 goals (86.4%) and Draw or Away (84.0%). The home win probability is 16%, the draw 19%, and the away win 66%.
Results analysis
The upset came early, as the pre-match favourite, Slatina, with a 66% chance of victory, failed to deliver, with Dumbrăvița snatching a 2-1 home win. The model’s call was wrong. Dumbrăvița, fresh from a defeat, had a modest home form, while Slatina, unbeaten in five, had a stronger away record. The model’s selection of Home under 3.5 goals (96%) proved correct, as did Under 7.5 (95.6%), Away +2 handicap (93.5%), Away over 0.5 goals (92.7%), Over 1.5 (90.6%), Under 6.5 (90.1%), and Home under 2.5 goals (86.4%). The model’s Draw or Away pick (84%) missed, as the match ended in a home victory.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Dumbrăviţa win✓ Hit
16.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
18.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Slatina win✗ Miss
65.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Dumbrăviţa
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.53
1.00
1.33
1.33
1.73
vs Stronger (13)
1.00
1.92
0.80
2.60
1.12
1.50
vs Similar (17)
1.29
1.24
1.10
0.70
1.57
2.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Slatina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Slatina
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.07
0.93
0.93
1.67
1.20
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
1.67
0.33
1.67
-
-
vs Similar (25)
1.32
1.08
1.00
0.82
1.57
1.29
vs Weaker (2)
2.50
0.00
2.00
0.00
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Dumbrăviţa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (20%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
90.6%
Under 1.5
9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
74.4%
Under 2.5
25.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
54.4%
Under 3.5
45.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
67.3%
No
32.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-2
8.9%
1-3
7.8%
1-1
7.5%
0-2
7.0%
0-3
6.1%
2-2
5.7%
1-4
5.1%
2-3
4.9%
Dumbrăviţa goals ↓
Slatina goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
2.7%
4.7%
7.0%
6.1%
4.0%
1
1.9%
7.5%
8.9%
7.8%
5.1%
2
1.7%
4.3%
5.7%
4.9%
3.2%
3
0.7%
1.8%
2.4%
2.1%
1.4%
4
0.2%
0.6%
0.8%
0.7%
0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dumbrăviţa goals (down), columns = Slatina goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Paşcani
2.57
CFR 1907 Cluj
2.33
Dumbrăviţa
2.33
CSM Reşiţa
2.29
Metalul Buzău
2.29
Minaur Baia Mare
2.25
FC Botosani
2.25
Csikszereda
2.20
AFC Hermannstadt
2.12
Gloria Lunca Teuz Cermei
2.00
Slatina
2.00
Dunarea Calarasi
2.00
Ştefăneşti
2.00
Bihor Oradea
2.00
U Craiova 1948
2.00
Alexandria
2.00
Muscelul Câmpulung Elite
2.00
Focşani
2.00
Progresul Pecica
2.00
Kids Tâmpa Braşov
2.00
Sporting Lieşti
2.00
Jiul Petroşani
2.00
Universitatea Alba Iulia
2.00
FCSB
2.00
Popești-Leordeni
2.00
Petrolul Potcoava
2.00
ARO Muscelul Câmpulung
2.00
Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu
2.00
Sănătatea Cluj
2.00
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
2.00
Unirea Alba Iulia
1.89
CS Afumati
1.83
Rapid
1.80
Minerul Lupeni
1.75
Universitatea Craiova
1.75
Politehnica Iasi
1.60
Farul Constanta
1.60
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
1.50
Râmnicu Sărat
1.50
Pucioasa
1.50
Avântul Reghin
1.50
Plopeni
1.50
Tunari
1.50
Braila
1.50
FC Voluntari
1.50
Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii
1.50
Odorheiu Secuiesc
1.50
CSM Satu Mare
1.50
FC Bacau
1.50
Peciu Nou
1.50
SCM Zalău
1.50
Blejoi
1.50
Metalurgistul Cugir
1.50
Gilortul
1.50
Gheorgheni
1.50
Gloria Băneasa
1.50
Gloria Bistriţa
1.50
Urban Titu
1.50
Viitorul Dăești
1.50
Corvinul Hunedoara
1.50
Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ
1.40
Arges Pitesti
1.40
Oţelul
1.33
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.25
Timişul Şag
1.03
USV Iaşi
1.03
CIL Blaj
1.03
Gloria al Oraşului Geoag
1.03
Victoria Cumpăna
1.03
Soimii Gura Humorului
1.03
Unirea Tășnad
1.03
Prima
1.03
Valenii de Munte
1.03
Viitorul Arad
1.03
Răuceşti
1.03
Săcele
1.03
Academica Balș
1.03
Olimpia Satu Mare
1.03
Sport Team Bucureşti
1.03
Sânandrei
1.03
Păușești
1.03
Speed Academy
1.03
Diosig-Bihardiószeg
1.03
ACS FC Dinamo Bucuresti
1.03
CSM Fetești
1.03
Baicoi
1.03
Voinţa Livezile
1.03
Vulturul Mintiu Gherlii
1.03
Codlea
1.03
Medgidia
1.03
Vulturii Fărcăşeşti
1.03
Covurluiul
1.03
CSM FC Vaslui
1.00
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
1.00
SCM Gloria Buzău
1.00
Dinamo Bucuresti
1.00
Sânmartin
1.00
Axi Adunații-Copăceni
1.00
Şomuz Fălticeni
1.00
CSM Bacău
1.00
CS Dinamo București
0.87
Agricola Borcea
0.86
Uta Arad
0.67
Crişul Sântandrei
0.50
Bucovina Rădăuţi
0.50
Aerostar Bacau
0.50
Concordia
0.50
FC Politehnica Timisoara
0.50
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
0.33
CSM Adjud
0.00
Metaloglobus
0.00
ACS Mediaş 2022
0.00
Vediţa Coloneşti
0.00
ACS Târgu Mureș 1898
0.00
Progresul Fundulea
0.00
Olimpic Zărneşti
0.00
Oltul Curtişoara
0.00
Unirea Dej
0.00
Progresul Spartac
0.00
Unirea Bascov
0.00
LPS HD Clinceni
0.00
Târgu Secuiesc
0.00
Axiopolis
0.00
Universitatea Cluj
0.00
Chindia Targoviste
0.00
Unirea Slobozia
0.00
Viitorul Şelimbăr
0.00
Flacăra Moreni
0.00
Avântul Periam
0.00
Viitorul Onesti
0.00
Înainte Modelu
0.00
Cetatea
0.00
Sighetu Marmaţiei
0.00
Voința Limpeziș
0.00
Tricolorul Breaza
0.00
Viitorul Cluj
0.00
Filiaşi
0.00
Unirea Braniştea
0.00
Stiinta Miroslava
0.00
Municipal Braşov
0.00
Păuleşti
0.00
Sporting Roşiori
0.00
Vârfu Câmpului
0.00
Dumbrăviţa is 0.33 points better than Slatina in terms of average points per game (2.33 vs 2.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Gilortul
5.50
Urban Titu
5.50
Viitorul Dăești
4.50
Progresul Pecica
4.00
Unirea Alba Iulia
3.56
Slatina
3.50
Avântul Reghin
3.50
CSM Satu Mare
3.50
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
3.50
Paşcani
3.00
Bihor Oradea
3.00
Tunari
3.00
Gheorgheni
3.00
Ştefăneşti
2.80
Minaur Baia Mare
2.75
ARO Muscelul Câmpulung
2.67
Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu
2.67
Minerul Lupeni
2.50
Metalurgistul Cugir
2.50
Sănătatea Cluj
2.43
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
2.33
Gloria Lunca Teuz Cermei
2.33
Alexandria
2.33
Universitatea Alba Iulia
2.33
CFR 1907 Cluj
2.33
Farul Constanta
2.20
Râmnicu Sărat
2.00
Olimpic Zărneşti
2.00
Muscelul Câmpulung Elite
2.00
Kids Tâmpa Braşov
2.00
Sporting Lieşti
2.00
LPS HD Clinceni
2.00
FCSB
2.00
FC Politehnica Timisoara
2.00
Sânmartin
2.00
Flacăra Moreni
2.00
Viitorul Onesti
2.00
SCM Zalău
2.00
Axi Adunații-Copăceni
2.00
Sighetu Marmaţiei
2.00
Blejoi
2.00
Şomuz Fălticeni
2.00
Vârfu Câmpului
2.00
AFC Hermannstadt
1.88
Metalul Buzău
1.86
Rapid
1.80
Oţelul
1.67
Dumbrăviţa
1.67
Timişul Şag
1.62
USV Iaşi
1.62
CIL Blaj
1.62
Gloria al Oraşului Geoag
1.62
Victoria Cumpăna
1.62
Soimii Gura Humorului
1.62
Unirea Tășnad
1.62
Prima
1.62
Valenii de Munte
1.62
Viitorul Arad
1.62
Răuceşti
1.62
Săcele
1.62
Academica Balș
1.62
Olimpia Satu Mare
1.62
Sport Team Bucureşti
1.62
Sânandrei
1.62
Păușești
1.62
Speed Academy
1.62
Diosig-Bihardiószeg
1.62
ACS FC Dinamo Bucuresti
1.62
CSM Fetești
1.62
Baicoi
1.62
Voinţa Livezile
1.62
Vulturul Mintiu Gherlii
1.62
Codlea
1.62
Medgidia
1.62
Vulturii Fărcăşeşti
1.62
Covurluiul
1.62
Crişul Sântandrei
1.50
Dunarea Calarasi
1.50
Plopeni
1.50
Braila
1.50
FC Voluntari
1.50
Jiul Petroşani
1.50
FC Bacau
1.50
Peciu Nou
1.50
Corvinul Hunedoara
1.50
CSM Reşiţa
1.43
CS Dinamo București
1.36
Focşani
1.33
CS Afumati
1.33
Popești-Leordeni
1.33
Petrolul Potcoava
1.33
FC Botosani
1.25
Universitatea Craiova
1.25
Arges Pitesti
1.20
Csikszereda
1.20
CSM Adjud
1.00
Metaloglobus
1.00
ACS Mediaş 2022
1.00
Pucioasa
1.00
Vediţa Coloneşti
1.00
CSM FC Vaslui
1.00
Progresul Fundulea
1.00
U Craiova 1948
1.00
Politehnica Iasi
1.00
Bucovina Rădăuţi
1.00
Progresul Spartac
1.00
Aerostar Bacau
1.00
Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii
1.00
Odorheiu Secuiesc
1.00
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.00
Uta Arad
1.00
Viitorul Şelimbăr
1.00
Avântul Periam
1.00
Cetatea
1.00
Voința Limpeziș
1.00
Agricola Borcea
1.00
Tricolorul Breaza
1.00
Viitorul Cluj
1.00
Filiaşi
1.00
Unirea Braniştea
1.00
Păuleşti
1.00
Gloria Bistriţa
1.00
Sporting Roşiori
1.00
CSM Bacău
1.00
Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ
0.80
Dinamo Bucuresti
0.60
Gloria Băneasa
0.50
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
0.33
ACS Târgu Mureș 1898
0.00
Oltul Curtişoara
0.00
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
0.00
SCM Gloria Buzău
0.00
Unirea Dej
0.00
Unirea Bascov
0.00
Târgu Secuiesc
0.00
Axiopolis
0.00
Universitatea Cluj
0.00
Chindia Targoviste
0.00
Unirea Slobozia
0.00
Concordia
0.00
Înainte Modelu
0.00
Stiinta Miroslava
0.00
Municipal Braşov
0.00
Dumbrăviţa is 1.83 goals worse than Slatina in terms of goals scored per game (1.67 vs 3.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
0.00
SCM Gloria Buzău
0.00
Csikszereda
0.40
Dunarea Calarasi
0.50
Avântul Reghin
0.50
U Craiova 1948
0.50
Odorheiu Secuiesc
0.50
FC Botosani
0.50
Universitatea Craiova
0.50
SCM Zalău
0.50
Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ
0.60
Politehnica Iasi
0.60
Universitatea Alba Iulia
0.67
Petrolul Potcoava
0.67
Metalul Buzău
0.71
AFC Hermannstadt
0.75
Petrolul Ploiesti
0.75
Unirea Alba Iulia
0.78
Rapid
0.80
CSM Reşiţa
0.86
Paşcani
1.00
Slatina
1.00
CSM FC Vaslui
1.00
Oltul Curtişoara
1.00
Unirea Dej
1.00
Jiul Petroşani
1.00
Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii
1.00
Axiopolis
1.00
FCSB
1.00
Universitatea Cluj
1.00
Unirea Slobozia
1.00
Dumbrăviţa
1.00
CS Afumati
1.00
FC Bacau
1.00
Concordia
1.00
Gloria Băneasa
1.00
CSM Bacău
1.00
Corvinul Hunedoara
1.00
Sănătatea Cluj
1.14
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.17
Minerul Lupeni
1.25
Alexandria
1.33
Muscelul Câmpulung Elite
1.33
Kids Tâmpa Braşov
1.33
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
1.33
Oţelul
1.33
Popești-Leordeni
1.33
ARO Muscelul Câmpulung
1.33
Farul Constanta
1.40
Plopeni
1.50
Minaur Baia Mare
1.50
Tunari
1.50
Progresul Pecica
1.50
FC Voluntari
1.50
Peciu Nou
1.50
Blejoi
1.50
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
1.50
Arges Pitesti
1.60
Dinamo Bucuresti
1.60
Focşani
1.67
Sporting Lieşti
1.67
Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu
1.67
Agricola Borcea
1.71
Crişul Sântandrei
2.00
Metaloglobus
2.00
Râmnicu Sărat
2.00
Pucioasa
2.00
Ştefăneşti
2.00
Bihor Oradea
2.00
Bucovina Rădăuţi
2.00
Progresul Spartac
2.00
Aerostar Bacau
2.00
Târgu Secuiesc
2.00
Chindia Targoviste
2.00
Viitorul Şelimbăr
2.00
Sânmartin
2.00
Avântul Periam
2.00
Înainte Modelu
2.00
Axi Adunații-Copăceni
2.00
Şomuz Fălticeni
2.00
Metalurgistul Cugir
2.00
Tricolorul Breaza
2.00
Gheorgheni
2.00
Unirea Braniştea
2.00
Gloria Bistriţa
2.00
Urban Titu
2.00
Sporting Roşiori
2.00
Gloria Lunca Teuz Cermei
2.33
Uta Arad
2.33
Timişul Şag
2.34
USV Iaşi
2.34
CIL Blaj
2.34
Gloria al Oraşului Geoag
2.34
Victoria Cumpăna
2.34
Soimii Gura Humorului
2.34
Unirea Tășnad
2.34
Prima
2.34
Valenii de Munte
2.34
Viitorul Arad
2.34
Răuceşti
2.34
Săcele
2.34
Academica Balș
2.34
Olimpia Satu Mare
2.34
Sport Team Bucureşti
2.34
Sânandrei
2.34
Păușești
2.34
Speed Academy
2.34
Diosig-Bihardiószeg
2.34
ACS FC Dinamo Bucuresti
2.34
CSM Fetești
2.34
Baicoi
2.34
Voinţa Livezile
2.34
Vulturul Mintiu Gherlii
2.34
Codlea
2.34
Medgidia
2.34
Vulturii Fărcăşeşti
2.34
Covurluiul
2.34
CSM Satu Mare
2.50
FC Politehnica Timisoara
2.50
Gilortul
2.50
Viitorul Dăești
2.50
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
2.67
CS Dinamo București
2.78
Olimpic Zărneşti
3.00
Braila
3.00
Viitorul Onesti
3.00
Sighetu Marmaţiei
3.00
Voința Limpeziș
3.00
Filiaşi
3.00
Stiinta Miroslava
3.00
Păuleşti
3.00
CSM Adjud
3.50
ACS Mediaş 2022
4.00
Vediţa Coloneşti
4.00
Unirea Bascov
4.00
LPS HD Clinceni
4.00
Flacăra Moreni
4.00
Cetatea
4.00
Viitorul Cluj
4.00
Municipal Braşov
4.00
Vârfu Câmpului
4.00
Progresul Fundulea
5.00
ACS Târgu Mureș 1898
7.00
Dumbrăviţa and Slatina are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Dumbrăviţa or Draw✓ Hit
34.5%
Avg Implied -
16%
19%
66%
covers Dumbrăviţa + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Dumbrăviţa or Slatina✓ Hit
81.5%
Avg Implied -
16%
19%
66%
covers Dumbrăviţa + Slatina
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Slatina✗ Miss
84.0%
Avg Implied -
16%
19%
66%
covers Draw + Slatina
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Dumbrăviţa over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
71.9%
Under
28.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbrăviţa over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
36.3%
Under
63.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbrăviţa over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
13.6%
Under
86.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbrăviţa over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.0%
Under
96.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slatina over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
92.7%
Under
7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slatina over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
73.5%
Under
26.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slatina over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
48.5%
Under
51.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slatina over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
26.7%
Under
73.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Dumbrăviţa, so a minus line means Dumbrăviţa give that many goals of a start and Slatina receive them. At -1, Dumbrăviţa must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Dumbrăviţa win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Dumbrăviţa)Actual: Slatina
Dumbrăviţa -2
2.1%
Draw -2
4.4%
Slatina +2
93.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Dumbrăviţa)Actual: Draw
Dumbrăviţa -1
6.5%
Draw -1
9.5%
Slatina +1
84.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Dumbrăviţa)Actual: Dumbrăviţa
Dumbrăviţa +1
34.5%
Draw +1
20.2%
Slatina -1
45.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Dumbrăviţa)Actual: Dumbrăviţa
Dumbrăviţa +2
54.6%
Draw +2
18.9%
Slatina -2
26.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Dumbrăviţa
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.83
0.60
1.00
0.73
0.67
vs Stronger (13)
0.62
1.23
0.60
1.80
0.62
0.88
vs Similar (17)
0.71
0.53
0.60
0.60
0.86
0.43
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Slatina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Slatina
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.57
0.40
0.33
0.67
0.80
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (25)
0.56
0.56
0.45
0.18
0.64
0.86
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Dumbrăviţa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dumbrăviţa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbrăviţa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbrăviţa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slatina over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slatina over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slatina over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Dumbrăviţa
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.70
0.40
0.33
0.60
1.07
vs Stronger (13)
0.38
0.69
0.20
0.80
0.50
0.62
vs Similar (17)
0.59
0.71
0.50
0.10
0.71
1.57
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Slatina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Slatina
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.50
0.53
0.60
1.00
0.40
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
0.67
0.33
0.67
-
-
vs Similar (25)
0.76
0.52
0.55
0.64
0.93
0.43
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Dumbrăviţa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dumbrăviţa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbrăviţa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbrăviţa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slatina over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slatina over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slatina over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Home under 3.5 goals
96.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
95.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
93.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
92.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
90.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
90.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
86.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
84.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away +1 handicap
84.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home or Away
81.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
80.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5
74.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 1.5 goals
73.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away under 3.5 goals
73.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
71.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (25)
€37m
RAP (31)
€30m
FCS (27)
€26m
DB (26)
€20m
UC (26)
€17m
C1C (22)
€14m
AP (26)
€13m
AH (37)
€11m
FC (32)
€11m
FB (25)
€9m
UA (21)
€8m
OŢE (20)
€7m
CH (24)
€7m
CSI (25)
€6m
SOS (31)
€6m
PP (20)
€6m
FV (24)
€6m
CON (26)
€5m
BO (23)
€4m
CT (21)
€3m
CSB (24)
€3m
SLA (23)
€3m
CR (20)
€3m
MB (19)
€3m
FB (23)
€2m
VŞ (19)
€2m
GB (20)
€2m
CSM (19)
€2m
MET (15)
€1m
US (13)
€1m
DUM (15)
€1m
CA (14)
€1m
CDB (14)
€1m
ŞTE (8)
€1m
CRV (10)
€1m
POP (9)
€1m
Dumbrăviţa's squad is €2m less valuable than Slatina's (€1m vs €3m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (10)
€14m
RAP (13)
€14m
FCS (9)
€12m
C1C (6)
€8m
DB (10)
€8m
UC (8)
€7m
AH (13)
€5m
FC (10)
€4m
FB (8)
€4m
AP (11)
€4m
UA (8)
€4m
CH (12)
€3m
OŢE (8)
€2m
SOS (12)
€2m
CSI (12)
€2m
FV (11)
€2m
CON (11)
€2m
CT (8)
€2m
SLA (10)
€1m
PP (5)
€1m
MB (6)
€1m
CSB (8)
€1m
VŞ (8)
€1m
CR (9)
€1m
BO (6)
€1m
GB (8)
€1m
FB (8)
€1m
MET (5)
€1m
CRV (5)
€1m
CA (6)
€1m
US (4)
€0m
CSM (7)
€0m
CDB (3)
€0m
POP (3)
€0m
DUM (3)
€0m
ŞTE (2)
€0m
Dumbrăviţa's attack is €1m less valuable than Slatina's (€0m vs €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (6)
€10m
DB (4)
€5m
UC (6)
€4m
FCS (5)
€4m
RAP (4)
€3m
AP (6)
€3m
AH (9)
€2m
FC (7)
€2m
C1C (5)
€2m
PP (7)
€2m
FB (5)
€2m
CON (6)
€1m
CSI (4)
€1m
SOS (7)
€1m
OŢE (2)
€1m
BO (6)
€1m
CSB (6)
€1m
FB (6)
€1m
UA (3)
€1m
CH (2)
€1m
FV (2)
€1m
US (4)
€0m
GB (5)
€0m
DUM (4)
€0m
CR (4)
€0m
MB (4)
€0m
CA (4)
€0m
POP (4)
€0m
CT (2)
€0m
MET (3)
€0m
VŞ (3)
€0m
ŞTE (3)
€0m
CSM (4)
€0m
SLA (4)
€0m
CDB (4)
€0m
CRV (1)
€0m
Dumbrăviţa and Slatina have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (9)
€13m
RAP (14)
€12m
FCS (13)
€11m
DB (12)
€7m
AP (9)
€6m
UC (12)
€5m
AH (15)
€5m
FC (15)
€4m
OŢE (10)
€4m
C1C (11)
€4m
UA (10)
€4m
FB (12)
€3m
CH (10)
€3m
FV (11)
€3m
PP (8)
€3m
CSI (9)
€3m
SOS (12)
€2m
BO (11)
€2m
SLA (9)
€1m
CR (7)
€1m
CSB (10)
€1m
CT (11)
€1m
MB (9)
€1m
CON (9)
€1m
CSM (8)
€1m
FB (9)
€1m
CDB (7)
€1m
ŞTE (3)
€1m
VŞ (8)
€1m
DUM (8)
€1m
GB (7)
€1m
MET (7)
€1m
US (5)
€1m
CRV (4)
€0m
CA (4)
€0m
POP (2)
€0m
Dumbrăviţa and Slatina have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Romania: Liga II 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Romania: Liga II stats & trends →