Dumbrăvița’s recent slide into a 0-1 loss and a string of defeats leaves them vulnerable at home, while Slatina’s unbeaten run of five wins, including a 2-0 triumph, positions them as the clear favourites for an away victory. The model therefore picks an away win, with the probability of a home win at 30%, a draw at 27%, and an away win at 42%. The expected total of 2.8 goals points to a moderately high-scoring affair, yet the most likely total is two goals, with a 25% chance of exactly two goals. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 12.9% probability. Dumbrăvița’s home form shows they average 1.22 goals scored and 0.67 conceded against similar opposition, whereas Slatina averages 1.57 goals scored and 1.43 conceded on the road against comparable teams. The model’s selection, Over 1.5, carries a 78.3% probability.
The win for Slatina extends their unbeaten run, while Dumbrăvița’s recent slump saw them come off a defeat. The model’s favourite, an away win, proved correct as Slatina edged Dumbrăvița 1-2. The pre-match probability for the favourite was 42 percent, and the final score matched the actual result. The model’s single selection, Over 1.5, hit with 78.3 percent probability. All other suggested picks were settled, and the outcome aligned with the model’s predictions. The match delivered the expected 2-goal total, with the 1-2 scoreline confirming the forecasted result.
Dumbrăviţa| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.20 | 1.60 | 1.07 | 1.36 | 1.31 | 1.81 |
| vs Stronger (14) | 1.00 | 2.00 | 0.80 | 2.60 | 1.11 | 1.67 |
| vs Similar (16) | 1.38 | 1.25 | 1.22 | 0.67 | 1.57 | 2.00 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 20% (-11pp vs league) | |||||
Slatina| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.37 | 1.17 | 1.07 | 1.00 | 1.67 | 1.33 |
| vs Stronger (2) | 0.00 | 2.50 | 0.00 | 2.50 | - | - |
| vs Similar (25) | 1.32 | 1.16 | 1.00 | 0.82 | 1.57 | 1.43 |
| vs Weaker (3) | 2.67 | 0.33 | 2.50 | 0.50 | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 27% (-5pp vs league) | |||||
| Slatina goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| 1 | 6.5% | 13% | 9.1% | 4.6% | 1.8% |
| 2 | 4.9% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| 3 | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
Dumbrăviţa| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.60 | 0.83 | 0.50 | 0.93 | 0.69 | 0.75 |
| vs Stronger (14) | 0.57 | 1.29 | 0.60 | 1.80 | 0.56 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (16) | 0.62 | 0.44 | 0.44 | 0.44 | 0.86 | 0.43 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 43% (+12pp vs league) | |||||
Slatina| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.57 | 0.60 | 0.47 | 0.40 | 0.67 | 0.80 |
| vs Stronger (2) | 0.00 | 1.50 | 0.00 | 1.50 | - | - |
| vs Similar (25) | 0.56 | 0.56 | 0.45 | 0.18 | 0.64 | 0.86 |
| vs Weaker (3) | 1.00 | 0.33 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 53% (+22pp vs league) | |||||
Dumbrăviţa| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.60 | 0.77 | 0.57 | 0.43 | 0.62 | 1.06 |
| vs Stronger (14) | 0.43 | 0.71 | 0.20 | 0.80 | 0.56 | 0.67 |
| vs Similar (16) | 0.75 | 0.81 | 0.78 | 0.22 | 0.71 | 1.57 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 47% (+15pp vs league) | |||||
Slatina| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.80 | 0.57 | 0.60 | 0.60 | 1.00 | 0.53 |
| vs Stronger (2) | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | - | - |
| vs Similar (25) | 0.76 | 0.60 | 0.55 | 0.64 | 0.93 | 0.57 |
| vs Weaker (3) | 1.67 | 0.00 | 1.50 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 57% (+25pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 78.3% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/12/25 | H | 2-1 | |
| 28/09/24 | H | 2-4 | |
| 11/11/23 | A | 3-0 | |
| 15/10/22 | H | 2-1 |
Dumbrăviţa| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/12/25 | A | 3-1 | |
| 02/12/25 | H | 2-1 | |
| 29/11/25 | H | 2-1 | |
| 22/11/25 | A | 1-0 | |
| 08/11/25 | H | 1-1 | |
| 02/11/25 | A | 0-1 | |
| 30/10/25 | H | 0-4 | |
| 25/10/25 | H | 0-0 | |
| 18/10/25 | A | 5-1 | |
| 04/10/25 | A | 1-4 |
Slatina| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/12/25 | H | 3-1 | |
| 02/12/25 | A | 2-1 | |
| 29/11/25 | A | 1-2 | |
| 22/11/25 | H | 0-1 | |
| 08/11/25 | A | 3-2 | |
| 01/11/25 | H | 1-1 | |
| 28/10/25 | H | 0-4 | |
| 25/10/25 | A | 3-2 | |
| 19/10/25 | H | 2-0 | |
| 04/10/25 | A | 2-0 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | Corvinul Hunedoara | 31 | 69 | 68% | 2.2 | 50 | 21 | +29 | 2.3 | 58% | 39% | 29% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1.6 | 0.7 | - |
| 2 | FC Voluntari | 31 | 64 | 61% | 2.1 | 51 | 24 | +27 | 2.4 | 68% | 39% | 19% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1.6 | 0.8 | - |
| 3 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | 30 | 64 | 63% | 2.1 | 49 | 23 | +26 | 2.4 | 77% | 40% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1.6 | 0.8 | - |
| 4 | ASA Targu Mures | 28 | 51 | 54% | 1.8 | 53 | 29 | +24 | 2.9 | 79% | 64% | 36% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.9 | 1.0 | - |
| 5 | Metalul Buzău | 28 | 50 | 57% | 1.8 | 49 | 32 | +17 | 2.9 | 71% | 54% | 32% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.8 | 1.1 | - |
| 6 | Bihor Oradea | 31 | 50 | 48% | 1.6 | 56 | 45 | +11 | 3.3 | 87% | 71% | 42% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1.8 | 1.5 | - |
| 7 | CSA Steaua Bucureşti | 31 | 49 | 48% | 1.6 | 49 | 46 | +3 | 3.1 | 81% | 58% | 35% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.6 | 1.5 | - |
| 8 | Slatina | 28 | 43 | 43% | 1.5 | 40 | 32 | +8 | 2.6 | 79% | 50% | 25% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.4 | 1.1 | - |
| 9 | FC Bacau | 28 | 42 | 43% | 1.5 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 2.6 | 71% | 43% | 29% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.2 | 1.3 | - |
| 10 | Concordia | 28 | 41 | 43% | 1.5 | 39 | 29 | +10 | 2.4 | 68% | 36% | 18% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1.4 | 1.0 | - |
| 11 | Politehnica Iasi | 28 | 41 | 43% | 1.5 | 32 | 28 | +4 | 2.1 | 61% | 36% | 14% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.1 | 1.0 | - |
| 12 | CSM Reşiţa | 28 | 40 | 43% | 1.4 | 41 | 39 | +2 | 2.9 | 82% | 46% | 32% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.5 | 1.4 | - |
| 13 | Chindia Targoviste | 30 | 40 | 40% | 1.3 | 42 | 41 | +1 | 2.8 | 77% | 47% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1.4 | 1.4 | - |
| 14 | CS Afumati | 28 | 37 | 39% | 1.3 | 38 | 35 | +3 | 2.6 | 71% | 50% | 29% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.4 | 1.2 | - |
| 15 | Gloria Bistriţa | 28 | 34 | 32% | 1.2 | 39 | 37 | +2 | 2.7 | 82% | 57% | 25% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.4 | 1.3 | - |
| 16 | Viitorul Şelimbăr | 30 | 34 | 30% | 1.1 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 2.7 | 73% | 43% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.3 | 1.4 | - |
| 17 | Dumbrăviţa | 28 | 32 | 32% | 1.1 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 2.5 | 64% | 46% | 29% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1.1 | 1.4 | - |
| 18 | CSM Satu Mare | 28 | 28 | 29% | 1.0 | 35 | 54 | -19 | 3.2 | 79% | 57% | 46% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1.2 | 1.9 | - |
| 19 | Tunari | 28 | 27 | 21% | 1.0 | 28 | 46 | -18 | 2.6 | 86% | 50% | 25% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 1.6 | - |
| 20 | CS Dinamo București | 30 | 26 | 20% | 0.9 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 2.6 | 83% | 43% | 23% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1.0 | 1.6 | - |
| 21 | Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ | 28 | 20 | 18% | 0.7 | 24 | 62 | -38 | 3.1 | 86% | 61% | 25% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.9 | 2.2 | - |
| 22 | Muscelul Câmpulung Elite | 28 | 11 | 7% | 0.4 | 14 | 72 | -58 | 3.1 | 71% | 57% | 36% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 2.6 | - |