Slatina are tipped to win, with a 43 % chance of triumph compared to Dumbrăviţa’s 28 % and a 29 % draw probability. The match is expected to see about 2.4 goals, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1, which carries a 14 % chance. Dumbrăviţa, playing at home, averages 1.0 goal scored and 0.7 conceded against similar opposition, while Slatina, on the road, averages 1.83 scored and 1.67 conceded versus comparable teams. The model’s picks include Under 7.5 (99.6 %), Under 6.5 (98.7 %), Home under 3.5 goals (97.6 %), Under 5.5 (96.1 %), Away under 3.5 goals (94.9 %), Home under 2.5 goals (90.6 %), Under 4.5 (89.8 %) and Away +2 handicap (88.8 %). Dumbrăviţa enter the game after a draw, while Slatina come off a win. The overall shape points to a low-scoring affair with Slatina edging the victory.
Dumbrăviţa| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.97 | 1.20 | 0.94 | 0.94 | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| vs Stronger (8) | 1.12 | 2.00 | 1.00 | 1.50 | 1.25 | 2.50 |
| vs Similar (20) | 0.95 | 0.90 | 0.91 | 0.73 | 1.00 | 1.11 |
| vs Weaker (2) | 0.50 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 30% (-2pp vs league) | |||||
Slatina| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.60 | 1.10 | 1.36 | 0.86 | 1.81 | 1.31 |
| vs Stronger (2) | 0.00 | 2.50 | 0.00 | 2.50 | - | - |
| vs Similar (24) | 1.54 | 1.04 | 1.10 | 0.50 | 1.86 | 1.43 |
| vs Weaker (4) | 2.75 | 0.75 | 4.00 | 1.00 | 1.50 | 0.50 |
| Clean sheet % | 33% (+2pp vs league) | |||||
| Slatina goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 12% | 12% | 8.9% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| 1 | 8.7% | 14% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| 2 | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| 3 | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Dumbrăviţa| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.47 | 0.60 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.43 | 0.71 |
| vs Stronger (8) | 0.38 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.25 | 1.50 |
| vs Similar (20) | 0.55 | 0.45 | 0.55 | 0.45 | 0.56 | 0.44 |
| vs Weaker (2) | 0.00 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 53% (+22pp vs league) | |||||
Slatina| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.60 | 0.67 | 0.79 | 0.50 | 0.44 | 0.81 |
| vs Stronger (2) | 0.00 | 1.50 | 0.00 | 1.50 | - | - |
| vs Similar (24) | 0.54 | 0.62 | 0.70 | 0.30 | 0.43 | 0.86 |
| vs Weaker (4) | 1.25 | 0.50 | 2.00 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| Clean sheet % | 53% (+22pp vs league) | |||||
Dumbrăviţa| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.50 | 0.60 | 0.44 | 0.44 | 0.57 | 0.79 |
| vs Stronger (8) | 0.75 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (20) | 0.40 | 0.45 | 0.36 | 0.27 | 0.44 | 0.67 |
| vs Weaker (2) | 0.50 | 0.50 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 53% (+22pp vs league) | |||||
Slatina| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.00 | 0.43 | 0.57 | 0.36 | 1.38 | 0.50 |
| vs Stronger (2) | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | - | - |
| vs Similar (24) | 1.00 | 0.42 | 0.40 | 0.20 | 1.43 | 0.57 |
| vs Weaker (4) | 1.50 | 0.25 | 2.00 | 0.50 | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 67% (+35pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 7.5 | 99.8% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Under 6.5 | 99.2% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Home under 2.5 HT goals | 98.9% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Home under 3.5 goals | 98.4% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Home under 2.5 2H goals | 97.9% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Under 5.5 | 97.3% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Away under 2.5 HT goals | 97.2% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Away under 3.5 goals | 95.7% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Away under 2.5 2H goals | 93.7% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Home under 2.5 goals | 93.0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Under 4.5 | 92.3% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Home under 1.5 HT goals | 91.7% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Away +2 handicap | 90.5% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Under 2.5 HT goals | 89.5% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Home under 1.5 2H goals | 88.5% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Away under 2.5 goals | 85.8% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Away under 1.5 HT goals | 84.6% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Under 2.5 2H goals | 83.2% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Under 3.5 | 81.1% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Home +2 handicap | 79.5% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Away under 1.5 2H goals | 78.6% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 0.5 2H goals | 77.8% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Home under 1.5 goals | 75.6% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Draw or Away | 74.2% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Away +1 handicap | 74.2% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Away over 0.5 goals | 72.6% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/12/25 | H | 1-2 | |
| 02/12/25 | H | 2-1 | |
| 28/09/24 | H | 2-4 | |
| 11/11/23 | A | 3-0 | |
| 15/10/22 | H | 2-1 |
Dumbrăviţa| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08/26 | H | 0-1 | |
| 23/08/26 | A | 2-2 | |
| 15/08/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 12/08/26 | A | 0-0 | |
| 08/08/26 | A | 1-0 | |
| 05/08/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 09/05/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 02/05/26 | A | 1-0 | |
| 25/04/26 | H | 2-0 | |
| 18/04/26 | A | 2-1 |
Slatina| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08/26 | A | 0-0 | |
| 22/08/26 | H | 2-0 | |
| 19/08/26 | H | 0-0 | |
| 15/08/26 | A | 0-1 | |
| 12/08/26 | A | 0-3 | |
| 08/08/26 | H | 5-1 | |
| 02/08/26 | A | 1-2 | |
| 09/05/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 02/05/26 | A | 1-3 | |
| 25/04/26 | H | 0-0 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | FC Politehnica Timisoara | 5 | 13 | 80% | 2.6 | 11 | 2 | +9 | 2.6 | 60% | 40% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.2 | 0.4 | - |
| 2 | Slatina | 5 | 13 | 80% | 2.6 | 10 | 2 | +8 | 2.4 | 60% | 40% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2.0 | 0.4 | - |
| 3 | Concordia | 5 | 12 | 80% | 2.4 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 3.8 | 100% | 80% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2.2 | 1.6 | - |
| 4 | CSM Reşiţa | 5 | 12 | 80% | 2.4 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 3.0 | 100% | 60% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.8 | 1.2 | - |
| 5 | Chindia Targoviste | 5 | 9 | 60% | 1.8 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 3.0 | 80% | 80% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2.0 | 1.0 | - |
| 6 | Popești-Leordeni | 5 | 9 | 40% | 1.8 | 10 | 6 | +4 | 3.2 | 100% | 40% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.0 | 1.2 | - |
| 7 | Gloria Bistriţa | 5 | 9 | 60% | 1.8 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 2.2 | 60% | 60% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.4 | 0.8 | - |
| 8 | FC Bacau | 5 | 8 | 40% | 1.6 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 3.0 | 80% | 80% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2.0 | 1.0 | - |
| 9 | CSM Ramnicu Valcea | 5 | 8 | 40% | 1.6 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 2.2 | 60% | 40% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.2 | 1.0 | - |
| 10 | Cetatea Suceava | 5 | 7 | 40% | 1.4 | 7 | 7 | +0 | 2.8 | 100% | 40% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.4 | 1.4 | - |
| 11 | Metaloglobus | 5 | 7 | 40% | 1.4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 3.0 | 80% | 80% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.4 | 1.6 | - |
| 12 | Metalul Buzău | 5 | 7 | 40% | 1.4 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 2.2 | 60% | 40% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.0 | 1.2 | - |
| 13 | CS Afumati | 5 | 7 | 40% | 1.4 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 3.0 | 100% | 80% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.2 | 1.8 | - |
| 14 | Bihor Oradea | 5 | 6 | 20% | 1.2 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 2.0 | 80% | 20% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1.2 | 0.8 | - |
| 15 | Ştefăneşti | 5 | 6 | 40% | 1.2 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 2.8 | 80% | 60% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.8 | 2.0 | - |
| 16 | Viitorul Şelimbăr | 5 | 5 | 20% | 1.0 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 2.4 | 80% | 40% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.0 | 1.4 | - |
| 17 | ASA Targu Mures | 5 | 4 | 20% | 0.8 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 2.2 | 80% | 40% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.6 | 1.6 | - |
| 18 | Dumbrăviţa | 5 | 3 | 0% | 0.6 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 2.0 | 60% | 20% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.8 | 1.2 | - |
| 19 | CS Dinamo București | 5 | 3 | 20% | 0.6 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 2.8 | 60% | 60% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.8 | 2.0 | - |
| 20 | CSM Satu Mare | 5 | 2 | 0% | 0.4 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 1.4 | 60% | 0% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.2 | 1.2 | - |
| 21 | CSA Steaua Bucureşti | 5 | 1 | 0% | 0.2 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 3.2 | 100% | 100% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 2.2 | - |
| 22 | Unirea Slobozia | 5 | 1 | 0% | 0.2 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 2.4 | 80% | 60% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.6 | 1.8 | - |
| 23 | AFC Hermannstadt | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | - | 0% | 0% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 11 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - |