Dunajska Streda is the clear favourite to win this match, with a 61% chance of taking all three points. The model predicts a home win, and with a 3.1 expected total goals, this match is shaping up to be an open and attacking affair. The most likely score is a 1-1 draw, but with a relatively low probability of 10.5%.
Dunajska Streda has been in decent form at home, scoring an average of 2.33 goals and conceding just 0.83 goals per match against weaker opponents. Dukla Banská Bystrica, on the other hand, has struggled away from home, scoring 1.9 goals and conceding 0.7 goals per match against stronger opponents.
The model's selections include Over 1.5 goals, which has an 82.6% chance of happening, and Over 21.5 fouls, with a 77% probability. Dunajska Streda has a 61% chance of winning, a 22% chance of drawing, and a 17% chance of losing.
Dunajska Streda's win extends their run, but it's the actual result that matters. The final score of 2-0 was a decisive victory for the home team, with the actual result matching the model's call. The model correctly picked the home win, which had a pre-match probability of 61%.
The model's selection, home win, was correct. The suggested picks largely came in, with the model's selection of over 1.5 goals hitting, as it had an 82.6% probability. The model's other selections, such as the most likely total goals and most likely scores, also proved accurate, with the most likely total goals being 2 and the most likely scores being 1-1, 2-1, and 2-0.
Dunajska Streda| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.60 | 1.13 | 1.92 | 1.15 | 1.35 | 1.12 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (7) | 0.71 | 1.86 | 1.00 | 2.25 | 0.33 | 1.33 |
| vs Weaker (23) | 1.87 | 0.91 | 2.33 | 0.67 | 1.57 | 1.07 |
| Clean sheet % | 37% (+9pp vs league) | |||||
Dukla Banská Bystrica| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.97 | 0.90 | 2.07 | 1.07 | 1.87 | 0.73 |
| vs Stronger (1) | 0.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | 4.00 | - | - |
| vs Similar (29) | 2.03 | 0.79 | 2.21 | 0.86 | 1.87 | 0.73 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 40% (+13pp vs league) | |||||
| Dukla Banská Bystrica goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 8.3% | 10% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| 2 | 9.7% | 9.9% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| 3 | 6.7% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 3.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
Dunajska Streda
Dukla Banská Bystrica
Dunajska Streda| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 9.8 | 9.9 | 9.6 | 2.8 | 3.1 | 2.5 | 25.5 | 25.5 | 25.5 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (12) | 8.7 | 9.6 | 7.5 | 3.6 | 5.2 | 2.0 | 26.1 | 28.2 | 23.5 |
| vs Weaker (38) | 10.2 | 10.1 | 10.4 | 2.5 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 25.3 | 24.2 | 26.3 |
| % over line | 43% | 53% | 33% | 36% | 33% | 38% | 70% | 67% | 73% |
| % under line | 57% | 47% | 67% | 64% | 67% | 62% | 30% | 33% | 27% |
Dukla Banská Bystrica| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 10.7 | 10.2 | 11.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 26.1 | 26.5 | 25.9 |
| vs Stronger (3) | 6.0 | 6.0 | - | 1.3 | 1.3 | - | 31.0 | 31.0 | - |
| vs Similar (47) | 11.2 | 11.7 | 11.0 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 25.6 | 25.0 | 25.9 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| % over line | 55% | 50% | 57% | 16% | 12% | 20% | 82% | 100% | 71% |
| % under line | 45% | 50% | 43% | 84% | 88% | 80% | 18% | 0% | 29% |
Dunajska Streda| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.83 | 0.50 | 0.92 | 0.69 | 0.76 | 0.35 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (7) | 0.14 | 1.14 | 0.25 | 1.50 | 0.00 | 0.67 |
| vs Weaker (23) | 1.04 | 0.30 | 1.22 | 0.33 | 0.93 | 0.29 |
| Clean sheet % | 63% (+36pp vs league) | |||||
Dukla Banská Bystrica| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.80 | 0.37 | 0.87 | 0.53 | 0.73 | 0.20 |
| vs Stronger (1) | 0.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | 3.00 | - | - |
| vs Similar (29) | 0.83 | 0.28 | 0.93 | 0.36 | 0.73 | 0.20 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 70% (+43pp vs league) | |||||
Dunajska Streda| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.77 | 0.63 | 1.00 | 0.46 | 0.59 | 0.76 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (7) | 0.57 | 0.71 | 0.75 | 0.75 | 0.33 | 0.67 |
| vs Weaker (23) | 0.83 | 0.61 | 1.11 | 0.33 | 0.64 | 0.79 |
| Clean sheet % | 57% (+29pp vs league) | |||||
Dukla Banská Bystrica| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.17 | 0.53 | 1.20 | 0.53 | 1.13 | 0.53 |
| vs Stronger (1) | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | - | - |
| vs Similar (29) | 1.21 | 0.52 | 1.29 | 0.50 | 1.13 | 0.53 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 57% (+29pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 19.5 fouls | 90.0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 2.5 cards | 83.3% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 1.5 | 82.6% | 1.19 | 1.22 | 1.21 | 1.20 | 1.20 | 1.20 | +4.8% | ✓ Hit |
| Over 21.5 fouls | 80.5% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Under 11.5 corners | 70.7% | 1.41 | 1.44 | 1.40 | 1.38 | - | - | +4.9% | - |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11/24 | H | 0-0 | |
| 06/11/24 | H | 0-2 | |
| 11/08/24 | A | 1-0 | |
| 02/12/23 | A | 0-0 | |
| 26/08/23 | H | 1-2 | |
| 20/05/23 | H | 1-0 | |
| 12/03/23 | A | 2-3 | |
| 30/10/22 | A | 1-3 |
Dunajska Streda| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 16/05/26 | H | 3-0 | |
| 09/05/26 | A | 2-1 | |
| 02/05/26 | A | 1-0 | |
| 25/04/26 | H | 3-1 | |
| 22/04/26 | A | 2-1 | |
| 18/04/26 | A | 1-2 | |
| 12/04/26 | H | 3-0 | |
| 04/04/26 | H | 0-3 | |
| 21/03/26 | A | 3-1 |
Dukla Banská Bystrica| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07/26 | H | 0-4 | |
| 15/05/26 | A | 1-0 | |
| 08/05/26 | H | 4-1 | |
| 03/05/26 | A | 1-3 | |
| 25/04/26 | H | 0-0 | |
| 22/04/26 | A | 0-0 | |
| 17/04/26 | H | 3-0 | |
| 11/04/26 | A | 0-2 | |
| 03/04/26 | H | 4-1 | |
| 28/03/26 | A | 1-1 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | Spartak Trnava | 5 | 13 | 80% | 2.6 | 12 | 2 | +10 | 2.8 | 100% | 60% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2.4 | 0.4 | 56% |
| 2 | Slovan Bratislava | 4 | 12 | 100% | 3.0 | 14 | 1 | +13 | 3.8 | 100% | 100% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 44 | 26 | 6 | 12 | 3.5 | 0.2 | 59% |
| 3 | Dunajska Streda | 4 | 10 | 75% | 2.5 | 11 | 1 | +10 | 3.0 | 100% | 50% | 25% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 2.8 | 0.2 | 53% |
| 4 | Žilina | 5 | 10 | 60% | 2.0 | 12 | 11 | +1 | 4.6 | 80% | 80% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 50% |
| 5 | Podbrezová | 5 | 9 | 60% | 1.8 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 3.6 | 100% | 80% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 51% |
| 6 | Skalica | 5 | 7 | 40% | 1.4 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 3.4 | 100% | 60% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 42% |
| 7 | FK Košice | 4 | 5 | 25% | 1.2 | 12 | 11 | +1 | 5.8 | 100% | 100% | 75% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3.0 | 2.8 | 49% |
| 8 | Zemplín Michalovce | 5 | 4 | 20% | 0.8 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 1.8 | 80% | 0% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 52% |
| 9 | Dukla Banská Bystrica | 5 | 3 | 20% | 0.6 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 3.4 | 80% | 60% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.8 | 2.6 | - |
| 10 | AS Trencin | 4 | 2 | 0% | 0.5 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 3.8 | 100% | 75% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 8 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1.2 | 2.5 | 51% |
| 11 | Komárno | 5 | 2 | 0% | 0.4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 2.6 | 100% | 60% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 48% |
| 12 | Ružomberok | 5 | 1 | 0% | 0.2 | 3 | 13 | -10 | 3.2 | 80% | 60% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0.6 | 2.6 | 43% |