Dundalk are favoured to win this match, with a recent-form note of coming off a defeat against Shamrock Rovers. The model predicts a 49% chance of a home win, a 25% chance of a draw, and a 26% chance of an away win. The expected total number of goals is 3.1, with the most likely total number of goals being 2. The most likely score is 1-1, with a probability of 11.5%. Dundalk have a strong home form, scoring an average of 2.12 goals and conceding 1.5 goals against similar opponents. Galway United have struggled away from home, scoring 0.7 goals and conceding 1.3 goals against similar opponents. The model's selection is the Home win, with an 82.7% chance of over 1.5 goals being scored and a 73.1% chance of the Home or Away selection. The Home win percentage is 49%, the draw percentage is 25%, and the Away win percentage is 26%.
Results analysis
The upset came early as Galway United snatched a 2-1 victory over Dundalk, ending the home side’s run of two straight defeats. The pre-match favourite, Home win, had a 49 % probability, but the model was wrong. The final score of 1-2 confirmed the away win. Every model selection was settled: Under 7.5 hit with 99 % confidence, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.6 %, Under 6.5 hit at 97 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 96.6 %, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 94.7 %, Home under 3.5 goals hit at 93.1 %, Under 5.5 hit at 92.4 %, and Away under 1.5 HT goals hit at 91.1 %. The predictions proved remarkably accurate despite the favourite’s collapse.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Dundalk winâś— Miss
49.0%
Avg Implied 50.4% · @ 1.84
Edge
-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.95
Dafabet
1.94
Pinnacle
1.94
Betano
1.88
William Hil
1.85
Drawâś— Miss
25.2%
Avg Implied 24.9% · @ 3.71
Edge
+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.90
10Bet
3.90
Marathonbet
3.84
1xBet
3.84
888Sport
3.80
Galway United winâś“ Hit
25.8%
Avg Implied 24.8% · @ 3.73
Edge
+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
4.10
888Sport
4.00
Marathonbet
3.84
1xBet
3.82
Betfair
3.80
âš˝ 2. Goal Analysis
Dundalk
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.43
1.79
1.14
1.44
1.69
vs Stronger (3)
1.33
1.33
1.00
0.00
1.50
2.00
vs Similar (24)
1.58
1.54
1.75
1.33
1.42
1.75
vs Weaker (3)
2.00
0.67
3.00
0.00
1.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Galway United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Galway United
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.43
1.47
1.40
1.00
1.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
1.23
1.43
1.47
1.40
1.00
1.47
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (Dundalk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.1%
@ 1.16+1.9%
Under 1.5
17.9%
@ 4.71-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.19
Pinnacle
1.18
888Sport
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Under
Pinnacle
5.15
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
5.00
BetVictor
4.80
Marathonbet
4.75
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
59.1%
@ 1.56-0.6%
Under 2.5
40.9%
@ 2.31+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
1.60
Pinnacle
1.58
Betfair
1.57
10Bet
1.57
Bet365
1.57
Under
Pinnacle
2.44
Betfair
2.38
10Bet
2.35
Bet365
2.35
Betano
2.30
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
36.7%
@ 2.41-2.1%
Under 3.5
63.3%
@ 1.53+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.55
888Sport
2.50
Pinnacle
2.47
10Bet
2.40
Marathonbet
2.40
Under
Pinnacle
1.57
1xBet
1.56
Marathonbet
1.55
10Bet
1.55
Betano
1.55
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
61.0%
@ 1.53+0.2%
No
39.0%
@ 2.36-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
888Sport
1.60
William Hil
1.55
Betfair
1.53
Bet365
1.53
10Bet
1.53
No
Betfair
2.45
1xBet
2.42
BetVictor
2.40
Bet365
2.38
Marathonbet
2.38
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.7%@ 7.09+5.4%
2-1
9.6%@ 7.74+3.8%
2-0
7.6%@ 9.77+3.0%
1-0
7.3%@ 8.90+2.3%
1-2 âś“
6.7%@ 11.53+2.8%
2-2
6.0%@ 11.32+2.1%
3-1
5.7%@ 11.87+2.0%
0-0
5.7%@ 13.54+2.4%
Dundalk goals ↓
Galway United goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.7%
4.8%
3.7%
1.6%
0.5%
1
7.3%
12%
6.7%
2.8%
0.9%
2
7.6%
9.6%
6.0%
2.5%
0.8%
3
4.5%
5.7%
3.6%
1.5%
0.5%
4
2.0%
2.6%
1.6%
0.7%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dundalk goals (down), columns = Galway United goals (across).
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đź’Ş 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Shamrock Rovers
1.96
St Patrick's Athl.
1.72
Bohemians
1.72
Dundalk
1.38
Shelbourne
1.30
Galway United
1.21
Derry City
1.17
Waterford
1.10
Drogheda United
0.97
Sligo Rovers
0.79
Dundalk is 0.17 points better than Galway United in terms of average points per game (1.38 vs 1.21).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Bohemians
1.72
Shamrock Rovers
1.64
Dundalk
1.59
St Patrick's Athl.
1.55
Derry City
1.41
Shelbourne
1.37
Waterford
1.34
Galway United
1.29
Drogheda United
1.14
Sligo Rovers
0.79
Dundalk is 0.30 goals better than Galway United in terms of goals scored per game (1.59 vs 1.29).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
St Patrick's Athl.
0.86
Shamrock Rovers
0.96
Bohemians
1.17
Derry City
1.38
Shelbourne
1.44
Galway United
1.50
Dundalk
1.55
Sligo Rovers
1.66
Drogheda United
1.66
Waterford
1.66
Dundalk is 0.05 goals worse than Galway United in terms of goals conceded per game (1.55 vs 1.50).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Shamrock Rovers
62%
Bohemians
59%
St Patrick's Athl.
55%
Derry City
54%
Shelbourne
53%
Dundalk
52%
Sligo Rovers
46%
Drogheda United
40%
Galway United
40%
Waterford
39%
Dundalk is 12.7 percentage points better than Galway United in terms of average possession (52% vs 40%).
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Dundalk or Drawâś— Miss
66.5%
Avg Implied 75.9% · @ 1.23
Edge
-9.4%
49%
25%
26%
covers Dundalk + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.29
Superbet
1.26
William Hil
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Dundalk or Galway Unitedâś“ Hit
73.1%
Avg Implied 75.8% · @ 1.23
Edge
-2.7%
49%
25%
26%
covers Dundalk + Galway United
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.28
Betfair
1.25
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Draw or Galway Unitedâś“ Hit
60.4%
Avg Implied 48.2% · @ 1.94
Edge
+12.1%
49%
25%
26%
covers Draw + Galway United
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
2.10
SBO
2.09
888Sport
2.05
10Bet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.92
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Dundalk over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
78.3%
@ 1.12-4.6%
Under
21.7%
@ 5.43+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.15
888Sport
1.13
Betfair
1.13
Superbet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Under
Bet365
6.00
1xBet
5.70
BetVictor
5.50
10Bet
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Dundalk over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
45.2%
@ 1.67-10.5%
Under
54.8%
@ 2.10+10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.75
Betano
1.70
Superbet
1.69
Betfair
1.67
Marathonbet
1.67
Under
Marathonbet
2.16
10Bet
2.15
Pinnacle
2.12
888Sport
2.10
1xBet
2.10
Dundalk over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
19.9%
@ 3.06-10.5%
Under
80.1%
@ 1.33+10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.28
Betfair
3.20
Superbet
3.15
BetVictor
3.10
Betano
3.05
Under
1xBet
1.37
Bet365
1.36
10Bet
1.35
Betano
1.35
BetVictor
1.33
Dundalk over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.9%
@ 6.30-7.9%
Under
93.1%
@ 1.10+7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
7.00
888Sport
6.50
Betfair
6.50
Betano
5.90
1xBet
5.60
Under
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
888Sport
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Betfair
1.08
Galway United over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
75.1%
@ 1.32+4.9%
Under
24.9%
@ 3.11-4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.40
888Sport
1.36
10Bet
1.35
Betano
1.32
Betfair
1.30
Under
Pinnacle
3.51
Superbet
3.25
Betfair
3.20
Betano
3.20
BetVictor
3.20
Galway United over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
40.5%
@ 2.62+5.0%
Under
59.5%
@ 1.44-5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.00
888Sport
2.80
10Bet
2.65
Betfair
2.63
Marathonbet
2.58
Under
Pinnacle
1.53
Superbet
1.50
Betano
1.50
Marathonbet
1.47
BetVictor
1.47
Galway United over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
16.4%
@ 6.39+1.8%
Under
83.6%
@ 1.09-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
9.00
888Sport
7.00
10Bet
6.50
Marathonbet
6.45
Betfair
6.00
Under
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.11
Betfair
1.10
BetVictor
1.10
1xBet
1.09
Galway United over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.3%
@ 18.83+0.1%
Under
94.7%
@ 1.02-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
23.00
888Sport
23.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03
888Sport
1.01
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Dundalk, so a minus line means Dundalk give that many goals of a start and Galway United receive them. At -1, Dundalk must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Dundalk win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Dundalk)Actual: Galway United
Dundalk -2
7.9%
@ 5.89-7.4%
Draw -2
12.2%
@ 5.18-5.2%
Galway United +2
80.0%
@ 1.33+12.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
6.50
Unibet
6.00
Marathonbet
5.95
10Bet
5.50
Bet365
5.50
Draw
Marathonbet
5.60
Betfair
5.50
10Bet
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Unibet
4.80
Away
Bet365
1.40
10Bet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.30
Betfair
1.30
Unibet
1.30
Handicap -1 (Dundalk)Actual: Galway United
Dundalk -1
20.0%
@ 2.98-10.0%
Draw -1
19.6%
@ 3.76-4.3%
Galway United +1
60.4%
@ 1.95+14.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
3.10
Marathonbet
3.04
Unibet
3.00
10Bet
2.90
Bet365
2.88
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.84
Betfair
3.75
10Bet
3.65
Unibet
3.55
Away
Bet365
2.10
10Bet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.92
Unibet
1.90
Betfair
1.83
Handicap +1 (Dundalk)Actual: Draw
Dundalk +1
66.5%
@ 1.22-7.1%
Draw +1
17.7%
@ 5.72+2.0%
Galway United -1
15.7%
@ 8.52+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.24
Unibet
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Betfair
1.22
Bet365
1.20
Draw
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
5.85
10Bet
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Unibet
5.25
Away
Bet365
10.00
10Bet
8.50
Betfair
8.50
Marathonbet
8.10
Unibet
7.50
Handicap +2 (Dundalk)Actual: Dundalk
Dundalk +2
84.3%
@ 1.05-4.1%
Draw +2
10.0%
@ 12.50+2.6%
Galway United -2
5.7%
@ 22.00+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Draw
Bet365
13.00
Betfair
12.00
Away
Bet365
23.00
Betfair
21.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Dundalk
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.53
0.71
0.29
0.88
0.75
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
1.33
0.00
0.00
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (24)
0.83
0.50
0.83
0.33
0.83
0.67
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Galway United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Galway United
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.63
0.47
0.53
0.47
0.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.47
0.63
0.47
0.53
0.47
0.73
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Dundalk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
70.2%
@ 1.26-3.1%
Under 0.5
29.8%
@ 3.46+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.32
Superbet
1.27
10Bet
1.25
William Hil
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Under
Betfair
3.80
William Hil
3.60
10Bet
3.45
Marathonbet
3.42
1xBet
3.42
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
31.0%
@ 2.27-9.9%
Under 1.5
69.0%
@ 1.57+9.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.35
Pinnacle
2.33
1xBet
2.31
Marathonbet
2.31
Superbet
2.27
Under
Pinnacle
1.60
William Hil
1.60
10Bet
1.60
Betfair
1.57
BetVictor
1.57
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
11.7%
@ 5.09-6.5%
Under 2.5
88.3%
@ 1.13+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.50
Marathonbet
5.30
1xBet
5.25
William Hil
5.00
Superbet
4.90
Under
William Hil
1.15
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.14
Unibet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.11
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dundalk over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
47.4%
@ 1.64-9.1%
Under
52.6%
@ 2.13+9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.70
Pinnacle
1.67
Superbet
1.65
Marathonbet
1.64
1xBet
1.62
Under
10Bet
2.20
Pinnacle
2.20
1xBet
2.15
Superbet
2.12
Unibet
2.12
Dundalk over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
15.6%
@ 4.08-7.0%
Under
84.4%
@ 1.19+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.40
Betano
4.10
1xBet
4.00
10Bet
3.80
Under
10Bet
1.22
Betano
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.16
Dundalk over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.4%
@ 9.50-6.4%
Under
96.6%
@ 1.03+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
10.00
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.03
Galway United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
37.7%
@ 2.16-5.2%
Under
62.3%
@ 1.62+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.25
Pinnacle
2.20
Betano
2.18
Marathonbet
2.15
Unibet
2.15
Under
Pinnacle
1.67
1xBet
1.66
Superbet
1.65
Marathonbet
1.61
Betano
1.60
Galway United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
8.9%
@ 7.03-4.2%
Under
91.1%
@ 1.06+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.90
10Bet
7.00
1xBet
6.80
Betano
6.40
Under
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.06
10Bet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.04
Galway United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.4%
@ 11.25-6.9%
Under
98.6%
@ 1.01+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Dundalk
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.90
1.07
0.86
0.56
0.94
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.50
0.00
vs Similar (24)
0.75
1.04
0.92
1.00
0.58
1.08
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
0.67
3.00
0.00
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Galway United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Galway United
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.80
1.00
0.87
0.53
0.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.77
0.80
1.00
0.87
0.53
0.73
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Dundalk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dundalk over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundalk over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundalk over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Galway United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Galway United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Galway United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.0%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.1%
âś“ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.6%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+6.9%
âś“ Hit
Under 6.5
97.0%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Betfair
1.01
-
+3.2%
âś“ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.6%
1.03
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.03
-
-
-
+6.4%
âś“ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
94.7%
1.02
Betano
1.03
888Sport
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-0.1%
âś“ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
93.1%
1.10
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
888Sport
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Betfair
1.08
+7.9%
âś“ Hit
Under 5.5
92.4%
1.05
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
888Sport
1.06
BetVictor
1.04
+3.9%
âś“ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
91.1%
1.06
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.06
10Bet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.04
-
+4.2%
âś“ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
88.3%
1.13
William Hil
1.15
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.14
Unibet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.11
+6.5%
âś“ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
84.4%
1.19
10Bet
1.22
Betano
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.16
-
+7.0%
âś“ Hit
Home +2 handicap
84.3%
1.05
Betfair
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-4.1%
âś“ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
83.6%
1.09
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.11
Betfair
1.10
BetVictor
1.10
1xBet
1.09
-1.8%
âś“ Hit
Under 4.5
82.9%
1.19
Pinnacle
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.20
+4.9%
âś“ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
82.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
âś“ Hit
Over 1.5
82.1%
1.16
Betano
1.19
Pinnacle
1.18
888Sport
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
+1.9%
âś“ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
80.1%
1.33
1xBet
1.37
Bet365
1.36
10Bet
1.35
Betano
1.35
BetVictor
1.33
+10.5%
âś“ Hit
Away +2 handicap
80.0%
1.33
Bet365
1.40
10Bet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.30
Betfair
1.30
Unibet
1.30
+12.5%
âś“ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
78.3%
1.12
Betano
1.15
888Sport
1.13
Betfair
1.13
Superbet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
-4.6%
âś“ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
75.1%
1.32
Bet365
1.40
888Sport
1.36
10Bet
1.35
Betano
1.32
Betfair
1.30
+4.9%
âś“ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
74.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
âś“ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
73.1%
1.28
Superbet
1.35
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.26
Unibet
1.26
-
+2.2%
âś“ Hit
Home or Away
73.1%
1.23
Bet365
1.28
Betfair
1.25
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.25
William Hil
1.25
-2.7%
âś“ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
72.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
âś“ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
70.2%
1.26
Betano
1.32
Superbet
1.27
10Bet
1.25
William Hil
1.25
1xBet
1.25
-3.1%
âś“ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
70.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
âś“ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Dundalk
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
D. Horgan33%
Gbemi Arubi32%
Cian Dillon20%
Danny Mullen18%
Tyreke Wilson17%
Trevor Clarke17%
Eoin Kenny14%
Ronan Teahan14%
D. McDaid7%
Bobby Burns7%
Shane Tracey6%
Robert Cornwall6%
Aodh Dervin4%
H. Groome4%
Conor O'Keeffe0%
Tom Grivosti0%
Keith Buckley0%
Conor Kearns0%
T. Wilson0%
Enda Minogue0%
Mayowa Animasahun0%
Harvey Warren0%
Leonardo Gaxha0%
Sean Spaight0%
Vinnie Leonard0%
Egor Vassenin0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Vinnie Leonard33%
Bobby Burns32%
Keith Buckley30%
Aodh Dervin28%
Robert Cornwall28%
Mayowa Animasahun28%
Tom Grivosti25%
Egor Vassenin25%
Harvey Warren21%
Cian Dillon20%
Conor O'Keeffe17%
Trevor Clarke17%
T. Wilson16%
Shane Tracey12%
D. Horgan11%
Ronan Teahan10%
Danny Mullen9%
Gbemi Arubi9%
Tyreke Wilson9%
H. Groome8%
D. McDaid7%
Eoin Kenny5%
Conor Kearns0%
Enda Minogue0%
Leonardo Gaxha0%
Sean Spaight0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tom Grivosti50%
D. Horgan30%
Conor O'Keeffe17%
Gbemi Arubi14%
Eoin Kenny10%
Tyreke Wilson9%
Aodh Dervin8%
T. Wilson5%
H. Groome4%
D. McDaid4%
Keith Buckley4%
Bobby Burns0%
Danny Mullen0%
Trevor Clarke0%
Robert Cornwall0%
Conor Kearns0%
Enda Minogue0%
Mayowa Animasahun0%
Harvey Warren0%
Cian Dillon0%
Leonardo Gaxha0%
Sean Spaight0%
Shane Tracey0%
Vinnie Leonard0%
Ronan Teahan0%
Egor Vassenin0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
D. Horgan41%
Cian Dillon40%
Gbemi Arubi32%
Danny Mullen18%
Trevor Clarke17%
Bobby Burns7%
Eoin Kenny5%
Ronan Teahan5%
H. Groome4%
D. McDaid4%
Conor O'Keeffe0%
Tom Grivosti0%
Robert Cornwall0%
Keith Buckley0%
Conor Kearns0%
Aodh Dervin0%
T. Wilson0%
Enda Minogue0%
Mayowa Animasahun0%
Harvey Warren0%
Leonardo Gaxha0%
Sean Spaight0%
Tyreke Wilson0%
Shane Tracey0%
Vinnie Leonard0%
Egor Vassenin0%
Galway United
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kristopher Twardek29%
Frantz Pierrot22%
J. Keohane13%
Francely Lomboto11%
M. Wolfe9%
A. Bolger8%
S. Walsh8%
E. McCarthy8%
Axel Piesold8%
D. Hurley7%
Killian Brouder5%
Wasiri Ola Williams4%
Dylan Connolly0%
Conor McCormack0%
Al-Amin Kazeem0%
Gianfranco Facchineri0%
Leigh Kavanagh0%
Hugo Cunha0%
Connor Barratt0%
Arthur Parker0%
Evan Watts0%
Nicolas Fleuriau Chateau0%
Lee Devitt0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Leigh Kavanagh20%
Wasiri Ola Williams20%
S. Walsh19%
D. Hurley19%
M. Wolfe18%
Gianfranco Facchineri17%
A. Bolger16%
Lee Devitt16%
Connor Barratt16%
Al-Amin Kazeem15%
Kristopher Twardek14%
J. Keohane13%
Evan Watts10%
Frantz Pierrot9%
Conor McCormack8%
Arthur Parker8%
E. McCarthy8%
Axel Piesold8%
Francely Lomboto5%
Killian Brouder5%
Dylan Connolly0%
Hugo Cunha0%
Nicolas Fleuriau Chateau0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kristopher Twardek24%
D. Hurley22%
J. Keohane13%
S. Walsh12%
A. Bolger8%
Axel Piesold8%
M. Wolfe5%
Wasiri Ola Williams4%
Dylan Connolly0%
Conor McCormack0%
Killian Brouder0%
Al-Amin Kazeem0%
Frantz Pierrot0%
Gianfranco Facchineri0%
Leigh Kavanagh0%
Francely Lomboto0%
E. McCarthy0%
Hugo Cunha0%
Connor Barratt0%
Arthur Parker0%
Evan Watts0%
Nicolas Fleuriau Chateau0%
Lee Devitt0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
S. Walsh15%
Frantz Pierrot13%
Francely Lomboto11%
Kristopher Twardek10%
J. Keohane9%
D. Hurley7%
M. Wolfe5%
A. Bolger4%
E. McCarthy4%
Dylan Connolly0%
Conor McCormack0%
Killian Brouder0%
Al-Amin Kazeem0%
Gianfranco Facchineri0%
Leigh Kavanagh0%
Hugo Cunha0%
Connor Barratt0%
Arthur Parker0%
Wasiri Ola Williams0%
Axel Piesold0%
Evan Watts0%
Nicolas Fleuriau Chateau0%
Lee Devitt0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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đź’° 14. Squad value
đź’° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (31)
€7m
SPA (22)
€5m
BOH (23)
€4m
DC (22)
€4m
SHE (22)
€4m
DU (19)
€3m
SR (21)
€3m
DUN (20)
€3m
GU (21)
€3m
WAT (19)
€2m
Dundalk and Galway United have a similar squad value (both €3m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (14)
€3m
SPA (6)
€2m
BOH (9)
€2m
DC (7)
€1m
SHE (8)
€1m
SR (10)
€1m
WAT (6)
€1m
DU (4)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
DUN (3)
€0m
Dundalk and Galway United have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (7)
€2m
SPA (7)
€1m
DC (6)
€1m
BOH (5)
€1m
SHE (4)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
WAT (5)
€1m
DUN (6)
€1m
SR (3)
€1m
DU (4)
€0m
Dundalk and Galway United have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (10)
€2m
SPA (9)
€2m
DU (11)
€2m
BOH (9)
€2m
DC (9)
€2m
DUN (11)
€2m
SHE (10)
€2m
SR (8)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
WAT (8)
€1m
Dundalk and Galway United have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Ireland: Premier Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ireland: Premier Division stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Shamrock Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
Shelbourne
Derry City
Waterford
Drogheda United
Sligo Rovers