This opponent (Celtic) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Celtic
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
3.3
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.60
0.53
2.73
0.33
2.47
0.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (3)
2.00
0.67
2.00
0.50
2.00
1.00
vs Weaker (27)
2.67
0.52
2.85
0.31
2.50
0.71
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Dundee Utd) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.4%
Under 1.5
17.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
60.2%
@ 1.42-5.9%
Under 2.5
39.8%
@ 2.76+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
37.8%
Under 3.5
62.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
43.8%
No
56.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2
13.7%
0-3
11.3%
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.7%
1-1
7.7%
1-3
7.2%
0-4
7.0%
0-0
5.2%
Dundee Utd goals ↓
Celtic goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.2%
10%
14%
11%
7.0%
1
2.1%
7.7%
8.7%
7.2%
4.4%
2
0.9%
2.2%
2.8%
2.3%
1.4%
3
0.2%
0.5%
0.6%
0.5%
0.3%
4
0.0%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dundee Utd goals (down), columns = Celtic goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Celtic
2.61
Partick
2.50
Rangers
2.42
Aberdeen
1.50
Heart Of Midlothian
1.42
Hibernian
1.37
Motherwell
1.32
Livingston
1.21
ST Mirren
1.21
ST Johnstone
1.13
Kilmarnock
1.05
Ross County
0.93
Dundee Utd
0.82
Queen's Park
0.00
Ayr Utd
0.00
Dundee Utd is 1.79 points worse than Celtic in terms of average points per game (0.82 vs 2.61).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Partick
3.17
Celtic
3.00
Rangers
2.45
Heart Of Midlothian
1.66
Hibernian
1.50
Queen's Park
1.50
Aberdeen
1.47
Motherwell
1.39
ST Mirren
1.13
ST Johnstone
1.08
Dundee Utd
1.05
Ross County
1.00
Kilmarnock
0.97
Livingston
0.95
Ayr Utd
0.00
Dundee Utd is 1.95 goals worse than Celtic in terms of goals scored per game (1.05 vs 3.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Celtic
0.89
Rangers
0.97
Partick
1.00
Motherwell
1.34
Heart Of Midlothian
1.50
Hibernian
1.55
ST Johnstone
1.55
Ross County
1.57
Livingston
1.58
Aberdeen
1.58
ST Mirren
1.61
Kilmarnock
1.63
Dundee Utd
1.84
Queen's Park
4.00
Ayr Utd
4.00
Dundee Utd is 0.95 goals worse than Celtic in terms of goals conceded per game (1.84 vs 0.89).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Dundee Utd
For 3.9 · Against 6.6 · Total 10.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.5 · Against 11.7 · Total 20.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Celtic
For 8.5 · Against 3.2 · Total 11.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.1 · Against 1.7 · Total 2.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 8.3 · Total 19.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Dundee Utd
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.9
10.8
10.9
3.4
3.8
3.0
22.8
22.9
22.7
vs Stronger (10)
11.3
12.0
10.6
3.2
3.6
2.8
17.3
18.0
16.6
vs Similar (40)
10.8
10.5
11.0
3.4
3.9
3.0
24.3
24.2
24.3
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
54%
61%
48%
54%
64%
44%
50%
52%
48%
% under line
46%
39%
52%
46%
36%
56%
50%
48%
52%
This opponent (Celtic) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Celtic
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
12.0
12.0
12.1
2.8
2.3
3.3
21.5
20.3
22.7
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
11.0
12.0
10.0
4.3
5.3
3.3
23.5
25.3
21.7
vs Weaker (44)
12.2
11.9
12.4
2.6
1.9
3.3
21.2
19.6
22.8
% over line
72%
61%
83%
34%
28%
40%
54%
48%
61%
% under line
28%
39%
17%
66%
72%
60%
46%
52%
39%
This opponent (Dundee Utd) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Celtic
11.8
ST Mirren
11.1
Rangers
10.9
Dundee Utd
10.7
Motherwell
10.7
Ross County
10.4
Heart Of Midlothian
10.1
Aberdeen
10.0
ST Johnstone
10.0
Hibernian
9.9
Kilmarnock
9.8
Partick
9.7
Livingston
9.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Rangers
4.5
Hibernian
4.2
Aberdeen
4.2
Livingston
4.0
Motherwell
4.0
Heart Of Midlothian
3.9
Ross County
3.9
ST Johnstone
3.8
Dundee Utd
3.8
ST Mirren
3.3
Kilmarnock
3.3
Partick
3.2
Celtic
2.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Motherwell
26.7
Aberdeen
26.6
Livingston
25.1
Hibernian
24.5
Heart Of Midlothian
24.2
Ross County
24.1
ST Johnstone
24.0
Kilmarnock
23.9
ST Mirren
23.0
Dundee Utd
22.7
Rangers
22.3
Celtic
21.8
Partick
20.6
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
67.1%
Under 9.5
32.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
54.9%
Under 3.5
45.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
62.6%
Under 21.5
37.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Dundee Utd
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.60
0.33
0.47
0.27
0.73
vs Stronger (8)
0.12
0.88
0.25
0.50
0.00
1.25
vs Similar (22)
0.36
0.50
0.36
0.45
0.36
0.55
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Celtic) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Celtic
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
0.17
1.60
0.20
1.40
0.13
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (3)
2.00
0.33
2.00
0.00
2.00
1.00
vs Weaker (27)
1.44
0.15
1.54
0.23
1.36
0.07
Clean sheet %
83% (+55pp vs league)
This opponent (Dundee Utd) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dundee Utd over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Celtic over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Celtic over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Celtic over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Dundee Utd
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.97
0.73
1.07
0.40
0.87
vs Stronger (8)
0.25
1.12
0.50
0.75
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (22)
0.68
0.91
0.82
1.18
0.55
0.64
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Celtic) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Celtic
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.37
1.13
0.13
1.07
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (3)
0.00
0.33
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (27)
1.22
0.37
1.31
0.08
1.14
0.64
Clean sheet %
67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Dundee Utd) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dundee Utd over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Celtic over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Celtic over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Celtic over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
82.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
79.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 8.5 corners
77.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
77.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away win
77.0%
1.15
-
-
-
-
-
-4.9%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
74.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Dundee Utd
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Steven Fletcher26%
Jamie McGrath24%
Tony Watt21%
Dylan Levitt17%
Glenn Middleton10%
Aziz Behich9%
Ian Harkes6%
Charlie Mulgrew5%
Ilmari Niskanen5%
Kieran Freeman4%
Liam Smith3%
Craig Sibbald3%
Arnaud Djoum0%
Mark Birighitti0%
Ryan Edwards0%
Scott McMann0%
Ross Graham0%
Archie Meekison0%
Peter Pawlett0%
Nicky Clark0%
Carljohan Eriksson0%
Jack Newman0%
Kai Fotheringham0%
Sadat Anaku0%
Loick Ayina0%
Mathew Anim Cudjoe0%
Miller Thomson0%
Rory Macleod0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kieran Freeman32%
Loick Ayina25%
Ilmari Niskanen23%
Craig Sibbald22%
Scott McMann19%
Peter Pawlett17%
Tony Watt16%
Aziz Behich16%
Ian Harkes16%
Mathew Anim Cudjoe15%
Ryan Edwards15%
Jamie McGrath15%
Charlie Mulgrew14%
Sadat Anaku14%
Ross Graham13%
Glenn Middleton13%
Archie Meekison12%
Steven Fletcher11%
Dylan Levitt10%
Kai Fotheringham9%
Mark Birighitti7%
Arnaud Djoum6%
Nicky Clark0%
Liam Smith0%
Carljohan Eriksson0%
Jack Newman0%
Miller Thomson0%
Rory Macleod0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kai Fotheringham18%
Dylan Levitt10%
Aziz Behich9%
Ian Harkes9%
Jamie McGrath9%
Peter Pawlett8%
Loick Ayina8%
Kieran Freeman8%
Ross Graham7%
Glenn Middleton6%
Steven Fletcher6%
Tony Watt5%
Ilmari Niskanen5%
Arnaud Djoum0%
Mark Birighitti0%
Charlie Mulgrew0%
Ryan Edwards0%
Craig Sibbald0%
Scott McMann0%
Archie Meekison0%
Nicky Clark0%
Liam Smith0%
Carljohan Eriksson0%
Jack Newman0%
Sadat Anaku0%
Mathew Anim Cudjoe0%
Miller Thomson0%
Rory Macleod0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Steven Fletcher40%
Tony Watt11%
Sadat Anaku7%
Glenn Middleton6%
Charlie Mulgrew5%
Dylan Levitt3%
Aziz Behich3%
Ryan Edwards3%
Jamie McGrath3%
Arnaud Djoum0%
Mark Birighitti0%
Craig Sibbald0%
Scott McMann0%
Ross Graham0%
Ian Harkes0%
Archie Meekison0%
Peter Pawlett0%
Nicky Clark0%
Liam Smith0%
Carljohan Eriksson0%
Ilmari Niskanen0%
Kieran Freeman0%
Jack Newman0%
Kai Fotheringham0%
Loick Ayina0%
Mathew Anim Cudjoe0%
Miller Thomson0%
Rory Macleod0%
Celtic
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kyogo Furuhashi50%
Jota35%
Hyun-gyu Oh31%
Giorgos Giakoumakis24%
Stephen Welsh20%
Daizen Maeda20%
Liel Abada18%
Sead Hakšabanović12%
David Turnbull12%
Callum McGregor12%
Moritz Jenz12%
James Forrest11%
Reo Hatate11%
Carl Starfelt10%
Aaron Mooy9%
Greg Taylor8%
Alistair Johnston7%
Josip Juranović6%
Alexandro Bernabei6%
Matt O'Riley5%
Anthony Ralston0%
Oliver Abildgaard0%
James McCarthy0%
Joe Hart0%
Cameron Carter-Vickers0%
Tomoki Iwata0%
Yuki Kobayashi0%
Rocco Vata0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Stephen Welsh40%
Moritz Jenz29%
Cameron Carter-Vickers15%
Anthony Ralston12%
Hyun-gyu Oh12%
Alexandro Bernabei12%
Matt O'Riley11%
Carl Starfelt10%
Daizen Maeda10%
Kyogo Furuhashi10%
Callum McGregor9%
Greg Taylor8%
Giorgos Giakoumakis8%
Alistair Johnston7%
Josip Juranović6%
Aaron Mooy6%
Liel Abada5%
Sead Hakšabanović3%
David Turnbull3%
Jota3%
Reo Hatate3%
James Forrest0%
Oliver Abildgaard0%
James McCarthy0%
Joe Hart0%
Tomoki Iwata0%
Yuki Kobayashi0%
Rocco Vata0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jota24%
Aaron Mooy24%
Matt O'Riley23%
Alexandro Bernabei19%
Reo Hatate18%
David Turnbull15%
Liel Abada13%
Greg Taylor11%
James Forrest11%
Daizen Maeda10%
Tomoki Iwata8%
Kyogo Furuhashi7%
Alistair Johnston7%
Anthony Ralston6%
Josip Juranović6%
Sead Hakšabanović6%
Giorgos Giakoumakis4%
Carl Starfelt3%
Callum McGregor3%
Oliver Abildgaard0%
James McCarthy0%
Joe Hart0%
Cameron Carter-Vickers0%
Yuki Kobayashi0%
Hyun-gyu Oh0%
Stephen Welsh0%
Moritz Jenz0%
Rocco Vata0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Giorgos Giakoumakis36%
Kyogo Furuhashi31%
Jota30%
Hyun-gyu Oh19%
Matt O'Riley16%
Reo Hatate16%
Liel Abada15%
James Forrest11%
Daizen Maeda10%
Josip Juranović6%
Sead Hakšabanović6%
Callum McGregor3%
Aaron Mooy3%
Anthony Ralston0%
Oliver Abildgaard0%
James McCarthy0%
Joe Hart0%
Cameron Carter-Vickers0%
Tomoki Iwata0%
Yuki Kobayashi0%
Greg Taylor0%
David Turnbull0%
Carl Starfelt0%
Stephen Welsh0%
Alistair Johnston0%
Alexandro Bernabei0%
Moritz Jenz0%
Rocco Vata0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
DU (22)
€11m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
SJ (25)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
AU (17)
€2m
QP (19)
€2m
RC (11)
€1m
Dundee Utd's squad is €106m less valuable than Celtic's (€11m vs €116m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
DU (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
SJ (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
QP (8)
€1m
AU (6)
€1m
RC (1)
€0m
Dundee Utd's attack is €52m less valuable than Celtic's (€4m vs €56m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DU (6)
€3m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
RC (3)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
QP (1)
€0m
Dundee Utd's midfield is €17m less valuable than Celtic's (€3m vs €20m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
SJ (11)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
AU (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
QP (10)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
Dundee Utd's defence is €36m less valuable than Celtic's (€4m vs €41m).
Scotland: Premiership 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Premiership stats & trends →
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Rangers
Aberdeen
Heart Of Midlothian
Hibernian
Motherwell
ST Mirren
Livingston
ST Johnstone
Kilmarnock
Ross County
Partick
Queen's Park
Ayr Utd