PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Dundee Utd vs Dundee Result & Analysis

Date: 22/08/2026
Time: 16:45
Final 0-2
Dundee Utd
Dundee Utd
Vs
48%
28%
24%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Dundee
Dundee
Scotland: Premiership
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Dundee United are expected to secure a home win against Dundee, with a 48% chance of success. The match is likely to be a closely contested one, with a 28% probability of a draw and a 24% chance of an away win. The expected total goals is 2.6, with the most likely total number of goals being 2.

The single most likely score is 1-1, with a probability of 13.3%. Dundee United have a strong home record, scoring 0.8 goals on average and conceding 1.1 goals per match against similar opponents. Dundee's away form is less impressive, scoring 0.86 goals and conceding 1.57 goals per match against similar opponents.

The model's selections include a Home or Draw pick with an 81.9% probability, Under 3.5 with a 74.1% probability and an edge, Over 1.5 with a 74% probability, and Home or Away with a 72.6% probability. The home win percentage is 48%, the draw percentage is 28%, and the away win percentage is 24%.

Results analysis

The pre-match favourite, a home win, fell short as Dundee edged Dundee 2-0, extending their winning run. The model had predicted a home victory with a 48 % chance, but the result proved otherwise. The final score of 0-2 gave the away side the actual result. The model’s selection was wrong. Every suggested pick was settled: Under 7.5 hit at 99.7 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 99.0 %, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 99.0 %, Under 6.5 hit at 98.8 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 97.8 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 97.5 %, Under 5.5 hit at 96.3 %, and Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 95.9 %. All probabilities are expressed as percentages.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dundee Utd winâś— Miss
48.0%
Avg Implied 44.4% · @ 2.11
Edge
+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.20
Dafabet
2.18
Superbet
2.17
888Sport
2.15
10Bet
2.12
Drawâś— Miss
28.1%
Avg Implied 27.7% · @ 3.38
Edge
+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
BetVictor
3.60
Pinnacle
3.52
Betfair
3.50
10Bet
3.50
Dafabet
3.45
Dundee winâś“ Hit
23.9%
Avg Implied 27.9% · @ 3.35
Edge
-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.63
Marathonbet
3.48
1xBet
3.48
Betano
3.45
Dafabet
3.40

âš˝ 2. Goal Analysis

Dundee UtdDundee Utd

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L00D11D10W01L30W40W11D04L04LA·ABE09/05H·LIV12/05A·ST 17/05A·STI11/07A·MON14/07H·ARB18/07H·SPA21/07H·RAN31/07A·HEA09/08H·CEL15/08
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.531.530.931.072.13
vs Stronger (5)1.002.601.001.671.004.00
vs Similar (23)1.301.431.550.821.082.00
vs Weaker (2)2.000.003.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Dundee) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DundeeDundee

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-530W13L32W42W50W11D40W01L20W03LH·LIV09/05A·KIL12/05H·ABE17/05H·AIR11/07A·ANN14/07A·ROS21/07H·CLY25/07A·CEL03/08H·ABE08/08A·ABE15/08
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.531.302.141.141.001.44
vs Stronger (11)1.181.731.801.600.671.83
vs Similar (17)1.411.182.121.000.781.33
vs Weaker (2)4.500.004.000.005.000.00
Clean sheet %27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Dundee Utd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%017%127%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.5%
@ 1.24-2.4%
Under 1.5
26.5%
@ 3.89+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
888Sport
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Under
Pinnacle
4.18
Superbet
4.10
Betfair
4.10
Bet365
4.00
BetVictor
3.90
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
46.9%
@ 1.79-5.9%
Under 2.5
53.1%
@ 2.00+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.83
Betano
1.82
SBO
1.81
Pinnacle
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Under
Pinnacle
2.10
Betano
2.05
Superbet
2.05
SBO
2.03
Marathonbet
2.01
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.3%
@ 2.94-6.6%
Under 3.5
74.7%
@ 1.38+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.10
10Bet
3.10
Bet365
3.00
Unibet
3.00
888Sport
3.00
Under
Pinnacle
1.43
Betano
1.42
Superbet
1.42
Bet365
1.40
BetVictor
1.36
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
51.3%
@ 1.63-6.0%
No
48.7%
@ 2.17+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
10Bet
1.70
888Sport
1.67
William Hil
1.62
Bet365
1.62
Superbet
1.62
No
Betfair
2.25
Betano
2.25
Superbet
2.20
Bet365
2.20
William Hil
2.20

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.4%@ 6.18+6.1%
1-0
10.8%@ 7.90+5.1%
2-1
9.3%@ 8.05+3.7%
2-0
9.2%@ 10.39+4.8%
0-0
9.0%@ 10.83+4.9%
0-1
6.7%@ 10.61+2.5%
1-2
6.2%@ 10.61+2.0%
3-1
4.8%@ 14.59+1.7%
Dundee Utd goals ↓
Dundee goals →
01234
09.0%6.7%4.0%1.4%0.3%
111%13%6.2%2.1%0.5%
29.2%9.3%4.7%1.6%0.4%
34.7%4.8%2.4%0.8%0.2%
41.8%1.8%0.9%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dundee Utd goals (down), columns = Dundee goals (across).

đź’Ş 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Celtic
2.16
Heart Of Midlothian
2.11
Rangers
1.89
Motherwell
1.61
Hibernian
1.50
Falkirk
1.29
Dundee Utd
1.18
Dundee
1.11
Kilmarnock
1.05
Aberdeen
1.05
ST Johnstone
1.05
ST Mirren
0.95
Dundee Utd is 0.08 points better than Dundee in terms of average points per game (1.18 vs 1.11).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Rangers
2.00
Celtic
1.92
Heart Of Midlothian
1.76
Motherwell
1.55
Hibernian
1.53
Kilmarnock
1.32
Falkirk
1.32
Dundee Utd
1.29
Dundee
1.11
Aberdeen
1.05
ST Johnstone
1.00
ST Mirren
0.80
Dundee Utd is 0.18 goals better than Dundee in terms of goals scored per game (1.29 vs 1.11).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Heart Of Midlothian
0.89
Motherwell
0.95
Celtic
1.08
Rangers
1.13
Hibernian
1.16
ST Mirren
1.40
Aberdeen
1.45
ST Johnstone
1.56
Dundee Utd
1.58
Dundee
1.61
Falkirk
1.63
Kilmarnock
1.79
Dundee Utd is 0.03 goals better than Dundee in terms of goals conceded per game (1.58 vs 1.61).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Celtic
66%
Rangers
58%
Motherwell
58%
Heart Of Midlothian
53%
Falkirk
51%
Aberdeen
48%
Hibernian
47%
ST Mirren
46%
Dundee
44%
Kilmarnock
42%
Dundee Utd
42%
Dundee Utd is 1.4 percentage points worse than Dundee in terms of average possession (42% vs 44%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Dundee UtdDundee Utd

For 4.0 · Against 6.6 · Total 10.6

đźš© Corners

150275102107824842443110769151215612671113A·HEAH·RANA·ST H·LIVA·ABEA·KILH·DUNH·LIVA·RANH·CEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.3 · Total 3.6

🟨 Cards

70211322461112122413426711345A·HEAH·RANA·ST H·LIVA·ABEA·KILH·DUNA·RANH·CELA·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.5 · Against 10.5 · Total 23.0

⚠️ Fouls

300111116141010141216121013227791297822302026282329162115A·HEAH·RANA·ST H·LIVA·ABEA·KILH·DUNH·LIVA·RANH·CEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

DundeeDundee

For 4.6 · Against 5.0 · Total 9.6

đźš© Corners

13054497537722675564224913121098121166H·ABEA·CELH·CLYA·ROSH·ABEA·KILH·LIVH·ST A·DUNA·KIL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 2.2 · Total 3.4

🟨 Cards

70131124341112124124206723163H·ABEA·CELH·CLYA·ROSA·KILH·LIVH·ST A·DUNA·KILH·CEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 7.9 · Against 11.6 · Total 19.5

⚠️ Fouls

310912794101149181335912722724211614123318212931H·ABEA·CELH·CLYA·ROSH·ABEA·KILH·LIVH·ST A·DUNA·KIL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Dundee UtdDundee Utd

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.411.49.33.43.33.522.522.322.7
vs Stronger (10)13.214.411.83.34.02.219.220.218.0
vs Similar (38)9.610.48.83.63.24.023.422.923.8
vs Weaker (2)---0.00.00.0---
% over line60%71%48%50%46%54%52%52%52%
% under line40%29%52%50%54%46%48%48%48%
This opponent (Dundee) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DundeeDundee

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.610.19.13.03.03.022.021.422.6
vs Stronger (20)10.310.310.22.83.02.621.622.021.1
vs Similar (27)9.09.88.23.43.23.622.721.523.7
vs Weaker (3)12.012.0-0.00.00.014.014.0-
% over line62%71%52%42%43%41%50%38%62%
% under line38%29%48%58%57%59%50%62%38%
This opponent (Dundee Utd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

đźš© Total Corners

Match total corners / game
ST Mirren
11.2
Celtic
10.8
Hibernian
10.5
Dundee Utd
10.5
Rangers
10.1
Aberdeen
10.1
ST Johnstone
10.0
Heart Of Midlothian
10.0
Dundee
9.9
Falkirk
9.6
Kilmarnock
9.5
Motherwell
8.2

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Aberdeen
4.8
Hibernian
4.8
Motherwell
4.7
Heart Of Midlothian
4.5
Rangers
4.2
Kilmarnock
4.1
Falkirk
4.1
ST Johnstone
4.0
Dundee Utd
4.0
Celtic
3.8
Dundee
3.6
ST Mirren
3.5

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Rangers
26.4
Motherwell
26.0
Aberdeen
25.5
Falkirk
25.3
Kilmarnock
24.4
Heart Of Midlothian
23.9
Hibernian
23.2
ST Johnstone
22.1
ST Mirren
21.9
Dundee Utd
21.9
Dundee
21.6
Celtic
21.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
54.7%
@ 1.58-3.7%
Under 9.5
45.3%
@ 2.22+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.66
Pinnacle
1.63
1xBet
1.58
Unibet
1.58
Marathonbet
1.53
Under
Betano
2.42
Marathonbet
2.24
Pinnacle
2.23
Unibet
2.18
1xBet
2.17
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
60.3%
@ 1.46-2.0%
Under 3.5
39.7%
@ 2.40+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.47
Unibet
1.44
Under
Unibet
2.45
Superbet
2.35
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
59.5%
Under 21.5
40.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Dundee Utd or Drawâś— Miss
81.9%
Avg Implied 71.7% · @ 1.30
Edge
+10.2%
48%
28%
24%
covers Dundee Utd + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.36
Betano
1.34
888Sport
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Superbet
1.33
Dundee Utd or Dundeeâś“ Hit
72.6%
Avg Implied 72.8% · @ 1.29
Edge
-0.2%
48%
28%
24%
covers Dundee Utd + Dundee
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.32
Betano
1.32
Marathonbet
1.30
William Hil
1.30
888Sport
1.30
Draw or Dundeeâś“ Hit
45.4%
Avg Implied 55.5% · @ 1.69
Edge
-10.1%
48%
28%
24%
covers Draw + Dundee
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
1.71
1xBet
1.71
Unibet
1.70
Betano
1.70
William Hil
1.70

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Dundee Utd over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
79.7%
@ 1.19+1.4%
Under
20.3%
@ 4.30-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.20
888Sport
1.20
Pinnacle
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Under
Pinnacle
4.54
Betfair
4.50
1xBet
4.40
BetVictor
4.33
Bet365
4.33
Dundee Utd over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
47.4%
@ 1.97-0.1%
Under
52.6%
@ 1.78+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
2.00
10Bet
2.00
Betfair
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Pinnacle
1.98
Under
Pinnacle
1.88
1xBet
1.83
Marathonbet
1.83
Betfair
1.80
Superbet
1.78
Dundee Utd over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
21.6%
@ 4.08-1.3%
Under
78.4%
@ 1.21+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
4.33
Bet365
4.33
888Sport
4.33
BetVictor
4.10
Unibet
4.10
Under
Pinnacle
1.24
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Betano
1.22
Betfair
1.22
Dundee Utd over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
7.8%
@ 9.24-2.3%
Under
92.2%
@ 1.04+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
888Sport
11.00
Unibet
9.00
Betfair
9.00
Superbet
8.90
Under
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.05
888Sport
1.05
Superbet
1.05
Dundee over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
56.0%
@ 1.34-13.5%
Under
44.0%
@ 3.05+13.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
1.36
Pinnacle
1.36
Betano
1.35
10Bet
1.35
Unibet
1.34
Under
Bet365
3.25
Pinnacle
3.16
Superbet
3.15
Betano
3.05
Betfair
3.00
Dundee over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
19.9%
@ 2.67-15.1%
Under
80.1%
@ 1.44+15.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.88
Betfair
2.75
Marathonbet
2.71
1xBet
2.71
888Sport
2.70
Under
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.47
Pinnacle
1.45
Bet365
1.44
BetVictor
1.44
Dundee over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
5.1%
@ 6.47-9.4%
Under
94.9%
@ 1.09+9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
7.00
888Sport
7.00
1xBet
6.60
Marathonbet
6.60
Bet365
6.50
Under
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.10
888Sport
1.10
Superbet
1.10
Dundee over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.0%
@ 16.62-4.8%
Under
99.0%
@ 1.02+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
21.00
Bet365
19.00
Superbet
16.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
888Sport
1.01
Superbet
1.01

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Dundee Utd, so a minus line means Dundee Utd give that many goals of a start and Dundee receive them. At -1, Dundee Utd must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Dundee Utd win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Dundee Utd)Actual: Dundee
Dundee Utd -2
12.7%
@ 8.25+1.8%
Draw -2
17.2%
@ 5.94+2.1%
Dundee +2
70.1%
@ 1.21-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
9.50
Betfair
9.00
Unibet
8.00
10Bet
8.00
Superbet
7.70
Draw
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.05
Betfair
6.00
Superbet
5.75
10Bet
5.75
Away
Superbet
1.23
Unibet
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Handicap -1 (Dundee Utd)Actual: Dundee
Dundee Utd -1
29.9%
@ 3.83+6.5%
Draw -1
24.7%
@ 3.81+1.2%
Dundee +1
45.4%
@ 1.69-7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
4.00
Bet365
4.00
10Bet
3.90
Superbet
3.80
Unibet
3.70
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.85
Marathonbet
3.84
10Bet
3.75
Betfair
3.75
Away
Betfair
1.73
Marathonbet
1.71
Superbet
1.68
Unibet
1.68
Bet365
1.67
Handicap +1 (Dundee Utd)Actual: Dundee
Dundee Utd +1
81.9%
@ 1.31+13.1%
Draw +1
12.1%
@ 4.97-6.0%
Dundee -1
5.9%
@ 6.86-7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.36
10Bet
1.33
Superbet
1.32
Unibet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.28
Draw
Marathonbet
5.25
Betfair
5.00
Superbet
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Unibet
4.80
Away
Betfair
8.00
Marathonbet
7.10
Unibet
6.75
10Bet
6.50
Bet365
6.50
Handicap +2 (Dundee Utd)Actual: Draw
Dundee Utd +2
94.1%
@ 1.08+10.1%
Draw +2
4.6%
@ 8.88-5.7%
Dundee -2
1.4%
@ 15.60-4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.08
Unibet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Draw
Betfair
10.00
Bet365
9.50
Unibet
9.00
Superbet
8.40
10Bet
7.50
Away
Betfair
20.00
Bet365
15.00
10Bet
15.00
Superbet
14.00
Unibet
14.00

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Dundee UtdDundee Utd

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D10W00D01L10W10W10W02L02LA·ABE09/05H·LIV12/05A·ST 17/05A·STI11/07A·MON14/07H·ARB18/07H·SPA21/07H·RAN31/07A·HEA09/08H·CEL15/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.630.470.330.400.93
vs Stronger (5)0.401.200.330.670.502.00
vs Similar (23)0.430.570.450.270.420.83
vs Weaker (2)0.500.001.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Dundee) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DundeeDundee

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D12L12L00D10W00D00D10W00DH·LIV09/05A·KIL12/05H·ABE17/05H·AIR11/07A·ANN14/07A·ROS21/07H·CLY25/07A·CEL03/08H·ABE08/08A·ABE15/08
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.500.710.710.310.31
vs Stronger (11)0.450.550.601.000.330.17
vs Similar (17)0.590.530.880.620.330.44
vs Weaker (2)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Dundee Utd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
65.2%
@ 1.34-4.3%
Under 0.5
34.8%
@ 3.07+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
10Bet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.36
BetVictor
1.36
1xBet
1.36
Under
Pinnacle
3.32
Betfair
3.30
Bet365
3.25
William Hil
3.20
Superbet
3.20
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
29.4%
@ 2.59-6.5%
Under 1.5
70.6%
@ 1.45+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.66
Unibet
2.65
10Bet
2.65
Betano
2.62
Bet365
2.62
Under
Superbet
1.50
Betano
1.50
Pinnacle
1.48
BetVictor
1.46
William Hil
1.44
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
9.2%
@ 6.31-5.5%
Under 2.5
90.8%
@ 1.09+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
7.00
Betfair
7.00
Bet365
6.50
Unibet
6.25
10Bet
6.25
Under
Superbet
1.12
Betano
1.12
William Hil
1.11
Bet365
1.11
10Bet
1.08

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dundee Utd over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
44.1%
@ 1.84-6.4%
Under
55.9%
@ 1.88+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.87
10Bet
1.85
Unibet
1.85
1xBet
1.83
Pinnacle
1.83
Under
Pinnacle
1.99
Superbet
1.90
Betano
1.87
1xBet
1.85
10Bet
1.85
Dundee Utd over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
12.7%
@ 5.19-5.1%
Under
87.3%
@ 1.12+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.30
1xBet
5.30
10Bet
5.25
Unibet
5.20
Betano
5.10
Under
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.14
Unibet
1.13
10Bet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.11
Dundee Utd over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.2%
@ 13.00-5.0%
Under
97.8%
@ 1.01+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
15.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Dundee over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
38.6%
@ 2.24-3.0%
Under
61.4%
@ 1.59+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.34
10Bet
2.25
Marathonbet
2.24
1xBet
2.24
Unibet
2.23
Under
Superbet
1.62
Betano
1.62
Pinnacle
1.61
10Bet
1.60
Unibet
1.58
Dundee over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.8%
@ 7.25-4.9%
Under
92.2%
@ 1.06+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.00
1xBet
8.00
10Bet
7.00
Unibet
7.00
Superbet
6.90
Under
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.07
10Bet
1.07
Unibet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.04
Dundee over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.0%
@ 18.25-4.3%
Under
99.0%
@ 1.01+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
24.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Dundee UtdDundee Utd

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D01L10W00D20W30W01L02L02LA·ABE09/05H·LIV12/05A·ST 17/05A·STI11/07A·MON14/07H·ARB18/07H·SPA21/07H·RAN31/07A·HEA09/08H·CEL15/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.901.070.600.671.20
vs Stronger (5)0.601.400.671.000.502.00
vs Similar (23)0.870.871.090.550.671.17
vs Weaker (2)1.500.002.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Dundee) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DundeeDundee

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-520W13L20W30W50W01L40W01L10W03LH·LIV09/05A·KIL12/05H·ABE17/05H·AIR11/07A·ANN14/07A·ROS21/07H·CLY25/07A·CEL03/08H·ABE08/08A·ABE15/08
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.801.430.430.691.12
vs Stronger (11)0.731.181.200.600.331.67
vs Similar (17)0.820.651.250.380.440.89
vs Weaker (2)4.500.004.000.005.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Dundee Utd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
73.2%
Under 0.5
26.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
39.1%
Under 1.5
60.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
15.5%
Under 2.5
84.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dundee Utd over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
52.2%
Under
47.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
18.3%
Under
81.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.1%
Under
95.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
41.7%
Under
58.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
14.2%
Under
85.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.5%
Under
97.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.7%-------âś“ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals99.0%1.01
Betano
1.01
----+4.3%âś“ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals99.0%1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
888Sport
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-+4.8%âś“ Hit
Under 6.598.8%1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-+3.6%âś“ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals97.8%1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
---+5.0%âś“ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals97.5%-------âś“ Hit
Under 5.596.3%1.04
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.05
Betfair
1.04
888Sport
1.04
+5.4%âś“ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals95.9%-------âś“ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals94.9%1.09
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.10
888Sport
1.10
Superbet
1.10
+9.4%âś“ Hit
Home +2 handicap94.1%1.08
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.08
Unibet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
+10.1%âś— Miss
Home under 3.5 goals92.2%1.04
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.05
888Sport
1.05
Superbet
1.05
+2.3%âś“ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals92.2%1.06
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.07
10Bet
1.07
Unibet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.04
+4.9%âś“ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals90.8%1.09
Superbet
1.12
Betano
1.12
William Hil
1.11
Bet365
1.11
10Bet
1.08
+5.5%âś“ Hit
Under 4.590.2%1.13
Betano
1.16
Pinnacle
1.16
Superbet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
888Sport
1.13
+7.2%âś“ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals87.3%1.12
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.14
Unibet
1.13
10Bet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.11
+5.1%âś“ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals85.8%-------âś“ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals84.5%-------âś“ Hit
Home or Draw81.9%1.30
Bet365
1.36
Betano
1.34
888Sport
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Superbet
1.33
+10.2%âś— Miss
Home +1 handicap81.9%1.31
Bet365
1.36
10Bet
1.33
Superbet
1.32
Unibet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.28
+13.1%âś— Miss
Home under 1.5 2H goals81.7%-------âś“ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals80.1%1.44
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.47
Pinnacle
1.45
Bet365
1.44
BetVictor
1.44
+15.1%âś— Miss
Home over 0.5 goals79.7%1.19
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.20
888Sport
1.20
Pinnacle
1.20
Betfair
1.20
+1.4%âś— Miss
Over 2.5 cards78.8%1.37
Unibet
1.37
----+12.5%âś“ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals78.4%1.21
Pinnacle
1.24
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Betano
1.22
Betfair
1.22
+1.3%âś“ Hit
Under 5.5 cards75.5%1.34
Unibet
1.35
Superbet
1.33
---+8.2%âś— Miss
Over 19.5 fouls75.0%-------âś“ Hit
Under 3.574.7%1.38
Pinnacle
1.43
Betano
1.42
Superbet
1.42
Bet365
1.40
BetVictor
1.36
+6.6%âś“ Hit
Over 1.573.5%1.24
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
888Sport
1.25
10Bet
1.25
-2.4%âś“ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals73.2%-------âś“ Hit
Home or Away72.6%1.29
Superbet
1.32
Betano
1.32
Marathonbet
1.30
William Hil
1.30
888Sport
1.30
-0.2%âś“ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls72.2%-------âś“ Hit
Under 1.5 HT goals70.6%1.45
Superbet
1.50
Betano
1.50
Pinnacle
1.48
BetVictor
1.46
William Hil
1.44
+6.5%âś“ Hit
Away +2 handicap70.1%1.21
Superbet
1.23
Unibet
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
Bet365
1.20
-4.0%âś“ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Dundee Utd
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Emmanuel Agyei25%
J. Randall20%
William Ferry20%
L. Rose20%
Z. Sapsford20%
Vicko Ĺ evelj0%
Panutche Camará0%
J. Walton0%
M. Merghem0%
N. Farrugia0%
Dylan Tait0%
J. Rawlins0%
Idjessi Metsoko0%
Michael Forbes0%
B. Esselink0%
D. Bennie0%
Abdoulaye Yoro0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Vicko Ĺ evelj67%
D. Bennie40%
Abdoulaye Yoro33%
Dylan Tait25%
William Ferry20%
B. Esselink20%
L. Rose20%
Z. Sapsford20%
Panutche Camará0%
J. Walton0%
M. Merghem0%
N. Farrugia0%
J. Rawlins0%
J. Randall0%
Idjessi Metsoko0%
Michael Forbes0%
Emmanuel Agyei0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
M. Merghem25%
J. Randall20%
William Ferry20%
Vicko Ĺ evelj0%
Panutche Camará0%
J. Walton0%
N. Farrugia0%
Dylan Tait0%
J. Rawlins0%
Idjessi Metsoko0%
Michael Forbes0%
B. Esselink0%
L. Rose0%
Z. Sapsford0%
D. Bennie0%
Emmanuel Agyei0%
Abdoulaye Yoro0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
M. Merghem25%
Dylan Tait25%
D. Bennie20%
Vicko Ĺ evelj0%
Panutche Camará0%
J. Walton0%
N. Farrugia0%
J. Rawlins0%
J. Randall0%
William Ferry0%
Idjessi Metsoko0%
Michael Forbes0%
B. Esselink0%
L. Rose0%
Z. Sapsford0%
Emmanuel Agyei0%
Abdoulaye Yoro0%
Dundee
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
J. Westley40%
D. Wright20%
C. Reilly20%
Owen Bevan20%
Joe Bevan20%
Brad Halliday0%
Ethan Hamilton0%
Alan Forrest0%
F. Robertson0%
Ryan Astley0%
Bradley Fink0%
I. Odutayo0%
Ryan Finnigan0%
Owen Goodman0%
B. Wales0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ethan Hamilton20%
D. Wright20%
Ryan Finnigan20%
J. Westley20%
Owen Bevan20%
Brad Halliday0%
Alan Forrest0%
F. Robertson0%
C. Reilly0%
Ryan Astley0%
Bradley Fink0%
I. Odutayo0%
Owen Goodman0%
B. Wales0%
Joe Bevan0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Alan Forrest20%
Joe Bevan20%
Brad Halliday0%
Ethan Hamilton0%
D. Wright0%
F. Robertson0%
C. Reilly0%
Ryan Astley0%
Bradley Fink0%
I. Odutayo0%
Ryan Finnigan0%
Owen Goodman0%
J. Westley0%
B. Wales0%
Owen Bevan0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
C. Reilly20%
J. Westley20%
Joe Bevan20%
Brad Halliday0%
Ethan Hamilton0%
D. Wright0%
Alan Forrest0%
F. Robertson0%
Ryan Astley0%
Bradley Fink0%
I. Odutayo0%
Ryan Finnigan0%
Owen Goodman0%
B. Wales0%
Owen Bevan0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

đź’° 14. Squad value

đź’° Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
DU (22)
€11m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
FAL (27)
€6m
DUN (21)
€5m
SJ (25)
€5m
Dundee Utd's squad is €5m more valuable than Dundee's (€11m vs €5m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
DU (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
SJ (9)
€2m
FAL (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
Dundee Utd's attack is €2m more valuable than Dundee's (€4m vs €1m).

đź§  Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DU (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
Dundee Utd and Dundee have a similar midfield value (both €3m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
FAL (13)
€3m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
SJ (11)
€2m
Dundee Utd's defence is €2m more valuable than Dundee's (€4m vs €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
DU wins
2
Draws
3
DUN wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Dundee Utd vs Dundee · H/A from DU
DateH/AGameScore
26/04/26HDU Vs Dundee3-0
15/03/26ADundee Vs DU2-2
03/01/26HDU Vs Dundee0-1
31/08/25ADundee Vs DU0-2
16/03/25HDU Vs Dundee2-4
20/01/25ADundee Vs DU1-0
02/01/25ADundee Vs DU1-2
04/08/24HDU Vs Dundee2-2

Dundee UtdDundee Utd

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/08/26HDU Vs Celtic0-4
09/08/26AHeart Of Midlothian Vs DU4-0
31/07/26HDU Vs Rangers1-1
21/07/26HDU Vs Spartans4-0
18/07/26HDU Vs Arbroath3-0
14/07/26AMontrose Vs DU1-0
11/07/26AStirling Vs DU0-1
17/05/26AST Mirren Vs DU1-1
12/05/26HDU Vs Livingston0-0
09/05/26AAberdeen Vs DU2-0

DundeeDundee

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/08/26AAberdeen Vs DUN3-0
08/08/26HDUN Vs Aberdeen2-0
03/08/26ACeltic Vs DUN1-0
25/07/26HDUN Vs Clyde4-0
21/07/26ARoss County Vs DUN1-1
14/07/26AAnnan Athletic Vs DUN0-5
11/07/26HDUN Vs Airdrie United4-2
17/05/26HDUN Vs Aberdeen3-2
12/05/26AKilmarnock Vs DUN3-1
09/05/26HDUN Vs Livingston3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Dundee Utd
Dundee Utd
Scotland: Premiership
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDLL1.24
HomeDWWDL1.62
AwayLDWLL0.83
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%42%17%
AVG goals2.862.623.12
Over 1.5 %88%85%92%
Over 2.5 %54%54%54%
Over 3.5 %34%27%42%
Scored1.321.461.17
Conceded1.541.151.96
BTTS52%46%58%
Clean Sheet22%35%8%
Corners10.3611.389.33
Cards4.154.473.86
Dundee
Dundee
Scotland: Premiership
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLWL1.30
HomeWWWWW1.87
AwayLWDLL0.81
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%57%19%
AVG goals2.823.302.41
Over 1.5 %74%87%63%
Over 2.5 %58%70%48%
Over 3.5 %36%43%30%
Scored1.382.000.85
Conceded1.441.301.56
BTTS46%57%37%
Clean Sheet22%30%15%
Corners9.6210.149.10
Cards3.633.453.81

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CelticCeltic412
100%
3.0
112+9
3.2
75%
75%
25%
13.5
75%
2.5
25%
19.0
25%
116
5620412.80.5
66%
2ST MirrenST Mirren410
75%
2.5
73+4
2.5
50%
25%
25%
11.2
75%
3.8
75%
26.5
75%
8
1331.80.8
46%
3Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian49
75%
2.2
104+6
3.5
100%
100%
50%
11.5
75%
4.0
67%
24.8
100%
22
12462.51.0
53%
4MotherwellMotherwell48
50%
2.0
84+4
3.0
75%
75%
25%
10.2
75%
3.5
75%
25.0
75%
16
10152.01.0
58%
5DundeeDundee57
40%
1.4
64+2
2.0
80%
20%
0%
9.6
40%
3.4
40%
22.2
60%
5
1221.20.8
44%
6RangersRangers47
50%
1.8
54+1
2.2
75%
50%
0%
12.0
100%
4.5
50%
29.8
100%
136
3844541.21.0
58%
7HibernianHibernian46
50%
1.5
67-1
3.2
100%
100%
25%
11.0
75%
3.0
50%
24.5
100%
20
7851.51.8
47%
8ST JohnstoneST Johnstone44
25%
1.0
67-1
3.2
75%
50%
25%
8.8
25%
3.0
33%
23.2
50%
5
2121.51.8
-
9Dundee UtdDundee Utd54
20%
0.8
510-5
3.0
100%
60%
40%
11.0
60%
4.4
60%
22.2
80%
11
4341.02.0
42%
10AberdeenAberdeen43
25%
0.8
27-5
2.2
75%
50%
0%
12.8
75%
5.0
75%
25.2
50%
15
4470.51.8
48%
11FalkirkFalkirk41
0%
0.2
26-4
2.0
75%
50%
0%
9.5
50%
4.0
75%
29.8
75%
6
2130.51.5
51%
12KilmarnockKilmarnock40
0%
0.0
414-10
4.5
75%
75%
75%
9.8
50%
3.8
75%
22.2
75%
7
3231.03.5
42%
Scotland: Premiership 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Premiership stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches