This opponent (Rangers) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rangers
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.10
0.90
2.47
0.53
1.73
1.27
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
2.00
1.71
1.67
1.67
2.25
1.75
vs Weaker (23)
2.13
0.65
2.67
0.25
1.55
1.09
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Dundee Utd) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
70.1%
Under 1.5
29.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
42.6%
@ 1.65-14.5%
Under 2.5
57.4%
@ 2.20+14.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
21.8%
Under 3.5
78.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
47.6%
No
52.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.7%
0-1
12.2%
0-0
10.5%
0-2
9.8%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.8%
0-3
4.8%
Dundee Utd goals ↓
Rangers goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10%
12%
9.8%
4.8%
1.7%
1
7.3%
14%
9.1%
4.4%
1.6%
2
3.9%
5.8%
4.2%
2.0%
0.7%
3
1.2%
1.8%
1.3%
0.6%
0.2%
4
0.3%
0.4%
0.3%
0.1%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dundee Utd goals (down), columns = Rangers goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Livingston
2.50
Celtic
2.42
Rangers
1.97
Hibernian
1.53
Ayr Utd
1.50
Aberdeen
1.39
Dundee Utd
1.39
Heart Of Midlothian
1.37
ST Mirren
1.32
Motherwell
1.29
Kilmarnock
1.16
Dundee
1.08
Ross County
0.95
ST Johnstone
0.84
Partick
0.75
Dundee Utd is 0.58 points worse than Rangers in terms of average points per game (1.39 vs 1.97).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Celtic
2.95
Livingston
2.25
Rangers
2.11
Hibernian
1.63
Dundee
1.50
ST Mirren
1.39
Heart Of Midlothian
1.37
Aberdeen
1.26
Motherwell
1.21
Kilmarnock
1.18
Dundee Utd
1.18
Ross County
1.00
ST Johnstone
1.00
Partick
0.50
Ayr Utd
0.50
Dundee Utd is 0.92 goals worse than Rangers in terms of goals scored per game (1.18 vs 2.11).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Celtic
0.68
Livingston
0.75
Ayr Utd
1.00
Rangers
1.08
Heart Of Midlothian
1.24
Partick
1.25
Hibernian
1.32
Dundee Utd
1.42
ST Mirren
1.55
Aberdeen
1.61
Motherwell
1.66
Kilmarnock
1.68
Ross County
1.75
ST Johnstone
1.79
Dundee
2.03
Dundee Utd is 0.34 goals worse than Rangers in terms of goals conceded per game (1.42 vs 1.08).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Celtic
74%
Rangers
63%
Heart Of Midlothian
54%
Aberdeen
53%
ST Johnstone
53%
Hibernian
45%
Dundee
44%
Dundee Utd
44%
Kilmarnock
44%
ST Mirren
42%
Motherwell
42%
Ross County
40%
Dundee Utd is 19.1 percentage points worse than Rangers in terms of average possession (44% vs 63%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Dundee Utd
For 5.6 · Against 5.6 · Total 11.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 9.3 · Total 20.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Rangers
For 7.5 · Against 4.9 · Total 12.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.1 · Against 7.9 · Total 18.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Dundee Utd
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.0
10.4
11.6
2.8
3.4
2.3
21.4
22.6
20.3
vs Stronger (4)
11.5
10.0
13.0
4.2
6.5
2.0
19.2
21.5
17.0
vs Similar (41)
11.0
10.5
11.4
3.0
3.6
2.5
21.8
22.8
20.8
vs Weaker (5)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
79%
71%
87%
40%
46%
35%
45%
50%
40%
% under line
21%
29%
13%
60%
54%
65%
55%
50%
60%
This opponent (Rangers) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rangers
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.5
11.0
11.9
3.3
3.0
3.7
21.1
19.9
22.3
vs Stronger (2)
16.0
14.0
18.0
3.5
2.0
5.0
16.5
12.0
21.0
vs Similar (12)
10.1
9.0
11.0
3.2
3.2
3.3
23.8
22.5
24.8
vs Weaker (36)
11.6
11.4
11.8
3.4
2.9
3.8
20.7
19.8
21.6
% over line
70%
76%
64%
56%
52%
60%
49%
29%
68%
% under line
30%
24%
36%
44%
48%
40%
51%
71%
32%
This opponent (Dundee Utd) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Celtic
12.4
Rangers
11.5
Ross County
11.5
Hibernian
11.4
Motherwell
11.0
Kilmarnock
10.9
Heart Of Midlothian
10.8
Aberdeen
10.8
Dundee Utd
10.7
Dundee
10.6
ST Mirren
10.4
ST Johnstone
10.3
Partick
9.9
Livingston
9.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Aberdeen
4.7
Dundee Utd
4.4
Motherwell
4.4
Heart Of Midlothian
4.2
Kilmarnock
4.2
ST Johnstone
4.2
Hibernian
4.2
Dundee
4.1
Livingston
4.0
ST Mirren
4.0
Rangers
3.9
Ross County
3.7
Partick
3.6
Celtic
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Aberdeen
24.7
Livingston
23.3
Kilmarnock
22.1
Motherwell
21.8
ST Mirren
21.8
ST Johnstone
21.7
Ross County
21.4
Heart Of Midlothian
21.3
Dundee Utd
21.1
Rangers
21.0
Hibernian
20.9
Dundee
19.8
Celtic
19.5
Partick
19.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
67.9%
Under 9.5
32.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
69.8%
Under 3.5
30.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
48.3%
Under 21.5
51.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Dundee Utd
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.40
0.57
0.29
0.31
0.50
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
0.50
0.00
0.50
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (25)
0.40
0.40
0.55
0.27
0.29
0.50
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Rangers) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rangers
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.40
1.00
0.33
0.73
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
0.86
0.43
0.67
1.00
1.00
0.00
vs Weaker (23)
0.87
0.39
1.08
0.17
0.64
0.64
Clean sheet %
70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Dundee Utd) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dundee Utd over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rangers over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rangers over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rangers over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Dundee Utd
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.67
0.93
0.43
1.06
0.88
vs Stronger (4)
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (25)
1.16
0.72
1.09
0.55
1.21
0.86
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Rangers) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rangers
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
0.50
1.47
0.20
1.00
0.80
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
1.14
1.29
1.00
0.67
1.25
1.75
vs Weaker (23)
1.26
0.26
1.58
0.08
0.91
0.45
Clean sheet %
63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Dundee Utd) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dundee Utd over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rangers over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rangers over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rangers over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
85.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
81.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
78.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
78.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
70.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Dundee Utd
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Sam Dalby40%
Ross Graham27%
Samuel Cleall-Harding25%
Louis Moult16%
Kristijan Trapanovski10%
Luca Stephenson10%
Emmanuel Adegboyega10%
Kevin Holt9%
Miller Thomson7%
Glenn Middleton7%
Craig Sibbald6%
Vicko Ševelj6%
David Babunski4%
Declan Gallagher3%
Ryan Strain0%
Jack Walton0%
Jort van der Sande0%
Allan Campbell0%
Ross Docherty0%
Ruari Paton0%
Lewis Fiorini0%
Richard Odada0%
Will Ferry0%
Kai Fotheringham0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Will Ferry34%
Emmanuel Adegboyega32%
Ross Docherty27%
Vicko Ševelj23%
Luca Stephenson23%
Ross Graham20%
Declan Gallagher18%
Kevin Holt17%
Louis Moult16%
Ryan Strain14%
Kristijan Trapanovski14%
David Babunski12%
Glenn Middleton10%
Jack Walton8%
Richard Odada8%
Miller Thomson7%
Craig Sibbald6%
Jort van der Sande3%
Sam Dalby3%
Allan Campbell0%
Ruari Paton0%
Lewis Fiorini0%
Kai Fotheringham0%
Samuel Cleall-Harding0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Glenn Middleton14%
Ryan Strain14%
Will Ferry11%
Vicko Ševelj9%
Kristijan Trapanovski7%
Craig Sibbald6%
Declan Gallagher6%
Sam Dalby6%
Kevin Holt4%
David Babunski4%
Luca Stephenson3%
Jort van der Sande3%
Louis Moult0%
Jack Walton0%
Allan Campbell0%
Ross Graham0%
Ross Docherty0%
Ruari Paton0%
Lewis Fiorini0%
Richard Odada0%
Kai Fotheringham0%
Miller Thomson0%
Samuel Cleall-Harding0%
Emmanuel Adegboyega0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Sam Dalby34%
Louis Moult16%
Glenn Middleton10%
Kevin Holt9%
Miller Thomson7%
Ross Graham7%
David Babunski4%
Kristijan Trapanovski3%
Ryan Strain0%
Vicko Ševelj0%
Jack Walton0%
Jort van der Sande0%
Allan Campbell0%
Declan Gallagher0%
Craig Sibbald0%
Ross Docherty0%
Ruari Paton0%
Lewis Fiorini0%
Richard Odada0%
Will Ferry0%
Kai Fotheringham0%
Luca Stephenson0%
Samuel Cleall-Harding0%
Emmanuel Adegboyega0%
Rangers
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Cyriel Dessers36%
Václav Černý33%
Hamza Igamane28%
Tom Lawrence26%
Danilo21%
Rabbi Matondo17%
Nicolas Raskin11%
Mohammed Diomande11%
Ianis Hagi11%
James Tavernier9%
Nedim Bajrami8%
Robin Pröpper5%
Ross McCausland5%
Leon Balogun4%
John Souttar3%
Jefté2%
Rıdvan Yılmaz0%
Jack Butland0%
Kieran Dowell0%
Dujon Sterling0%
Liam Kelly0%
Neraysho Kasanwirjo0%
Connor Barron0%
Leon King0%
Robbie Fraser0%
Rafael Fernandes0%
Clinton Nsiala0%
Bailey Rice0%
Zak Lovelace0%
Oscar Cortés0%
Findlay Curtis0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Robin Pröpper24%
Mohammed Diomande24%
Nicolas Raskin22%
Dujon Sterling21%
Ianis Hagi21%
Jefté20%
Ross McCausland20%
Bailey Rice20%
Tom Lawrence17%
James Tavernier13%
John Souttar12%
Leon Balogun11%
Cyriel Dessers11%
Hamza Igamane9%
Václav Černý9%
Rıdvan Yılmaz8%
Clinton Nsiala8%
Jack Butland8%
Kieran Dowell8%
Neraysho Kasanwirjo8%
Nedim Bajrami5%
Connor Barron5%
Rabbi Matondo0%
Danilo0%
Liam Kelly0%
Leon King0%
Robbie Fraser0%
Rafael Fernandes0%
Zak Lovelace0%
Oscar Cortés0%
Findlay Curtis0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Zak Lovelace33%
Findlay Curtis25%
James Tavernier24%
Nicolas Raskin22%
Mohammed Diomande17%
Rabbi Matondo17%
Danilo17%
Ianis Hagi14%
Václav Černý13%
Jefté9%
Tom Lawrence9%
Cyriel Dessers9%
Rıdvan Yılmaz8%
Clinton Nsiala8%
Ross McCausland5%
Hamza Igamane5%
Leon Balogun4%
Dujon Sterling4%
Jack Butland3%
Nedim Bajrami3%
Connor Barron3%
Kieran Dowell0%
Robin Pröpper0%
John Souttar0%
Liam Kelly0%
Neraysho Kasanwirjo0%
Leon King0%
Robbie Fraser0%
Rafael Fernandes0%
Bailey Rice0%
Oscar Cortés0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Václav Černý31%
Hamza Igamane26%
Cyriel Dessers23%
Rabbi Matondo17%
Danilo17%
Ianis Hagi14%
James Tavernier11%
Nicolas Raskin9%
Tom Lawrence9%
Rıdvan Yılmaz8%
Nedim Bajrami8%
Mohammed Diomande7%
Ross McCausland5%
Leon Balogun4%
Dujon Sterling4%
Robin Pröpper3%
Jack Butland0%
Kieran Dowell0%
John Souttar0%
Liam Kelly0%
Neraysho Kasanwirjo0%
Connor Barron0%
Leon King0%
Jefté0%
Robbie Fraser0%
Rafael Fernandes0%
Clinton Nsiala0%
Bailey Rice0%
Zak Lovelace0%
Oscar Cortés0%
Findlay Curtis0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
DU (22)
€11m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
DUN (21)
€5m
SJ (25)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
AU (17)
€2m
RC (11)
€1m
Dundee Utd's squad is €125m less valuable than Rangers's (€11m vs €136m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
DU (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
SJ (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
AU (6)
€1m
RC (1)
€0m
Dundee Utd's attack is €35m less valuable than Rangers's (€4m vs €38m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DU (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
RC (3)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
Dundee Utd's midfield is €41m less valuable than Rangers's (€3m vs €44m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
SJ (11)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
AU (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
Dundee Utd's defence is €49m less valuable than Rangers's (€4m vs €54m).
Scotland: Premiership 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Premiership stats & trends →