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Dundee vs Airdrie United Result & Analysis

Date: 17/08/2024
Time: 14:00
Final 6-1
Dundee
Dundee
Vs
67%
17%
16%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Airdrie United
Airdrie United
Scotland: League Cup
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dundee win✓ Hit
66.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
17.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United win✗ Miss
15.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

DundeeDundee

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-713L03L25L11D71W20W31W60W22D31WH·ST 04/05A·HEA11/05A·RAN14/05H·KIL18/05A·BON13/07A·ARB16/07H·ANN23/07H·INV27/07A·DUN04/08H·HEA10/08
Avg total
4.4
Avg scored
2.7
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.801.771.861.431.752.06
vs Stronger (14)1.072.361.171.501.003.00
vs Similar (12)1.751.501.671.671.831.33
vs Weaker (4)4.500.504.500.504.500.50
Clean sheet %23% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Airdrie United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

Last 10 – goals for & against
80-822D12L80W43W12L20W10W10W05L05LH·PAR07/05A·PAR10/05H·EAS16/07A·DUM20/07A·ABE23/07H·QUE27/07H·RAI03/08H·RAI03/08A·AYR09/08A·AYR09/08
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.701.602.311.081.242.00
vs Stronger (1)1.002.00--1.002.00
vs Similar (24)1.541.672.091.091.082.15
vs Weaker (5)2.601.203.501.002.001.33
Clean sheet %27% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Dundee) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%2%05%114%219%320%416%524%6+
The model estimates around 4.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
92.6%
Under 1.5
7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
78.7%
Under 2.5
21.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
60.0%
Under 3.5
40.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
70.8%
No
29.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
8.3%
3-1
7.8%
1-1
6.5%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
5.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
5.4%
3-2
5.3%
Dundee goals ↓
Airdrie United goals →
01234
02.1%1.5%1.5%0.7%0.2%
13.7%6.5%4.1%1.9%0.6%
26.0%8.3%5.7%2.6%0.9%
35.6%7.8%5.3%2.4%0.8%
44.0%5.4%3.7%1.7%0.6%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dundee goals (down), columns = Airdrie United goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Aberdeen
2.57
Celtic
2.50
Dundee
2.50
Rangers
2.50
Ross County
2.40
Livingston
2.25
Ayr Utd
2.25
Falkirk
2.00
Spartans
2.00
Dundee Utd
2.00
ST Johnstone
1.80
Hibernian
1.80
Queen's Park
1.80
Airdrie United
1.80
Partick
1.75
Montrose
1.75
East Fife
1.75
Annan Athletic
1.75
Raith Rovers
1.75
Alloa Athletic
1.75
Motherwell
1.71
Morton
1.50
Peterhead
1.50
Clyde
1.50
Queen of the South
1.50
Hamilton Academical
1.25
Kilmarnock
1.00
Forfar
1.00
Arbroath
1.00
Cove Rangers
1.00
Kelty Hearts
1.00
Inverness CT
1.00
Dunfermline
0.75
Stenhousemuir
0.75
Stirling
0.50
Dumbarton
0.25
Stranraer
0.25
Elgin
0.25
East Kilbride
0.25
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
0.25
ST Mirren
0.00
Brechin
0.00
Edinburgh City
0.00
Heart Of Midlothian
0.00
Buckie Thistle
0.00
Dundee is 0.70 points better than Airdrie United in terms of average points per game (2.50 vs 1.80).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Celtic
4.25
Dundee
4.00
Queen's Park
3.20
Airdrie United
3.20
Hibernian
3.00
Aberdeen
2.86
Partick
2.75
Rangers
2.50
Falkirk
2.50
Clyde
2.25
Ayr Utd
2.25
ST Johnstone
2.20
Ross County
2.00
East Fife
2.00
Dundee Utd
2.00
Annan Athletic
1.75
Raith Rovers
1.75
Alloa Athletic
1.75
Montrose
1.50
Motherwell
1.43
Spartans
1.33
Livingston
1.25
Peterhead
1.25
Stenhousemuir
1.25
Queen of the South
1.25
Hamilton Academical
1.25
Buckie Thistle
1.25
Dumbarton
1.00
Dunfermline
1.00
Stranraer
1.00
Morton
0.75
Forfar
0.75
Elgin
0.75
Cove Rangers
0.75
Inverness CT
0.75
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
0.75
Brechin
0.50
Stirling
0.50
Kelty Hearts
0.50
East Kilbride
0.50
Arbroath
0.25
Edinburgh City
0.25
Kilmarnock
0.00
ST Mirren
0.00
Heart Of Midlothian
0.00
Dundee is 0.80 goals better than Airdrie United in terms of goals scored per game (4.00 vs 3.20).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kilmarnock
0.00
Livingston
0.25
Motherwell
0.71
Hamilton Academical
0.75
Ross County
0.80
Dundee
1.00
Aberdeen
1.00
Rangers
1.00
ST Mirren
1.00
Hibernian
1.00
Forfar
1.00
Raith Rovers
1.00
Falkirk
1.17
Spartans
1.17
Dundee Utd
1.17
Queen's Park
1.20
Partick
1.25
Dunfermline
1.25
Arbroath
1.25
Montrose
1.25
East Fife
1.25
Annan Athletic
1.25
Ayr Utd
1.25
Alloa Athletic
1.25
ST Johnstone
1.40
Celtic
1.50
Morton
1.50
Clyde
1.50
Queen of the South
1.50
Inverness CT
1.75
Stirling
2.00
Kelty Hearts
2.00
Heart Of Midlothian
2.00
Airdrie United
2.20
Cove Rangers
2.25
Brechin
2.50
Stranraer
2.50
Peterhead
2.75
Stenhousemuir
2.75
Dumbarton
3.25
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
3.25
Elgin
3.50
Edinburgh City
4.00
East Kilbride
4.00
Buckie Thistle
4.25
Dundee is 1.20 goals better than Airdrie United in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 2.20).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

DundeeDundee

For 4.4 · Against 6.5 · Total 10.9

🚩 Corners

160210654356524888295331112117117121611814H·HEAA·DUNH·KILA·RANA·HEAH·ST H·CELH·RANA·ABEH·MOT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.6

🟨 Cards

703421432111332157253311626H·HEAA·DUNH·KILA·HEAH·ST H·CELH·RANA·ABEH·MOTA·ST
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.8 · Against 9.1 · Total 17.9

⚠️ Fouls

31081268710668889107111317147420141712161717243111H·HEAA·DUNH·KILA·RANA·HEAH·ST H·CELH·RANA·ABEH·MOT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

For 5.6 · Against 4.0 · Total 9.6

🚩 Corners

1405473643377843391010614126A·AYRH·RAIA·QUEA·RAIA·AYRH·QUEH·AYR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.4

🟨 Cards

5031232121223114533252A·AYRH·RAIA·QUEA·RAIA·AYRH·QUEH·AYR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 10.1 · Total 21.6

⚠️ Fouls

27013121410871071411612151225241517251827A·AYRH·RAIA·QUEA·RAIA·AYRH·QUEH·AYR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

DundeeDundee

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)11.312.79.93.33.53.119.518.920.0
vs Stronger (19)11.413.39.63.73.43.918.918.119.6
vs Similar (26)11.312.210.23.74.03.220.019.520.5
vs Weaker (5)---0.00.00.0---
% over line74%86%62%44%48%40%31%24%38%
% under line26%14%38%56%52%60%69%76%62%
This opponent (Airdrie United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.49.89.00.91.10.821.021.520.6
vs Stronger (1)---0.0-0.0---
vs Similar (41)9.49.89.01.11.30.921.021.520.6
vs Weaker (8)---0.00.00.0---
% over line54%67%43%12%16%8%54%67%43%
% under line46%33%57%88%84%92%46%33%57%
This opponent (Dundee) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Celtic
12.0
Rangers
11.4
Heart Of Midlothian
11.4
Falkirk
11.2
Kelty Hearts
11.2
Dundee Utd
11.1
Ross County
11.1
Dundee
11.0
Kilmarnock
11.0
ST Mirren
10.8
Motherwell
10.8
Morton
10.7
Dumbarton
10.7
Dunfermline
10.7
Arbroath
10.6
Aberdeen
10.5
Stenhousemuir
10.4
Hibernian
10.4
Inverness CT
10.2
Cove Rangers
10.2
ST Johnstone
10.1
Stirling
10.1
Montrose
10.1
Stranraer
10.1
Forfar
10.0
Brechin
10.0
Annan Athletic
10.0
Edinburgh City
10.0
Airdrie United
10.0
Partick
9.9
Clyde
9.7
Livingston
9.7
East Fife
9.7
Spartans
9.3
Peterhead
8.9
Elgin
8.6

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Peterhead
4.9
Annan Athletic
4.7
Heart Of Midlothian
4.5
Morton
4.3
Aberdeen
4.2
Kilmarnock
4.1
Rangers
4.1
Dumbarton
4.1
Dundee
4.1
Stenhousemuir
4.1
Montrose
4.0
Hibernian
4.0
ST Johnstone
4.0
Dundee Utd
3.9
Falkirk
3.9
Motherwell
3.9
Stirling
3.8
East Fife
3.7
Ross County
3.7
Dunfermline
3.6
Celtic
3.6
Edinburgh City
3.6
Partick
3.5
Brechin
3.5
Stranraer
3.5
Elgin
3.5
Livingston
3.5
Kelty Hearts
3.5
Forfar
3.4
Arbroath
3.4
Clyde
3.4
Airdrie United
3.3
Spartans
3.3
Cove Rangers
3.3
ST Mirren
3.3
Inverness CT
2.9

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
25.0
Aberdeen
24.2
Forfar
24.0
Livingston
23.7
Elgin
23.7
Heart Of Midlothian
22.8
Kilmarnock
22.5
Morton
22.4
ST Johnstone
22.4
Motherwell
22.0
Stenhousemuir
22.0
Ross County
22.0
Rangers
21.9
Dundee Utd
21.8
ST Mirren
21.6
Kelty Hearts
21.5
Falkirk
21.5
Hibernian
21.4
East Fife
21.3
Montrose
21.0
Spartans
20.9
Annan Athletic
20.9
Arbroath
20.8
Edinburgh City
20.5
Clyde
20.5
Stirling
20.5
Dumbarton
20.4
Brechin
20.4
Dundee
20.0
Partick
19.9
Stranraer
19.8
Celtic
19.7
Inverness CT
19.4
Dunfermline
19.3
Airdrie United
18.7
Cove Rangers
18.6
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
56.0%
Under 9.5
44.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
57.8%
Under 3.5
42.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
57.1%
Under 21.5
42.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Dundee or Draw✓ Hit
84.1%
Avg Implied -
67%
17%
16%
covers Dundee + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Dundee or Airdrie United✓ Hit
82.6%
Avg Implied -
67%
17%
16%
covers Dundee + Airdrie United
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Airdrie United✗ Miss
33.4%
Avg Implied -
67%
17%
16%
covers Draw + Airdrie United
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Dundee over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
93.9%
Under
6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
76.9%
Under
23.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
53.1%
Under
46.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
30.8%
Under
69.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
74.7%
Under
25.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
39.9%
Under
60.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
16.0%
Under
84.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.1%
Under
94.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Dundee, so a minus line means Dundee give that many goals of a start and Airdrie United receive them. At -1, Dundee must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Dundee win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Dundee)Actual: Dundee
Dundee -2
28.6%
Draw -2
18.6%
Airdrie United +2
52.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Dundee)Actual: Dundee
Dundee -1
47.2%
Draw -1
19.4%
Airdrie United +1
33.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Dundee)Actual: Dundee
Dundee +1
84.1%
Draw +1
9.2%
Airdrie United -1
6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Dundee)Actual: Dundee
Dundee +2
93.3%
Draw +2
4.5%
Airdrie United -2
2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

DundeeDundee

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L01L21W11D40W00D11D50W12L30WH·ST 04/05A·HEA11/05A·RAN14/05H·KIL18/05A·BON13/07A·ARB16/07H·ANN23/07H·INV27/07A·DUN04/08H·HEA10/08
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.701.000.430.810.94
vs Stronger (14)0.641.000.670.170.621.62
vs Similar (12)0.670.500.670.670.670.33
vs Weaker (4)2.500.253.000.502.000.00
Clean sheet %57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Airdrie United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
60-612L01L60W11D10W10W00D00D02L02LH·PAR07/05A·PAR10/05H·EAS16/07A·DUM20/07A·ABE23/07H·QUE27/07H·RAI03/08H·RAI03/08A·AYR09/08A·AYR09/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.571.150.540.530.59
vs Stronger (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
vs Similar (24)0.790.621.090.550.540.69
vs Weaker (5)0.800.401.500.500.330.33
Clean sheet %57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Dundee) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dundee over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

DundeeDundee

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L02L04L00D31W20W20W10W10W01LH·ST 04/05A·HEA11/05A·RAN14/05H·KIL18/05A·BON13/07A·ARB16/07H·ANN23/07H·INV27/07A·DUN04/08H·HEA10/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.901.070.861.000.941.12
vs Stronger (14)0.431.360.501.330.381.38
vs Similar (12)1.081.001.001.001.171.00
vs Weaker (4)2.000.251.500.002.500.50
Clean sheet %43% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Airdrie United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W11D20W32W02L10W10W10W03L03LH·PAR07/05A·PAR10/05H·EAS16/07A·DUM20/07A·ABE23/07H·QUE27/07H·RAI03/08H·RAI03/08A·AYR09/08A·AYR09/08
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.901.031.150.540.711.41
vs Stronger (1)0.002.00--0.002.00
vs Similar (24)0.751.041.000.550.541.46
vs Weaker (5)1.800.802.000.501.671.00
Clean sheet %40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Dundee) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dundee over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Away under 3.5 goals94.9%-------✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals93.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 7.593.8%-------✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap93.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.592.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.587.0%-------✗ Miss
Home or Draw84.1%-------✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap84.1%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals84.0%-------✓ Hit
Home or Away82.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.578.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards77.6%--------
Over 2.5 cards77.0%--------
Home over 1.5 goals76.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.575.7%-------✗ Miss
Away over 0.5 goals74.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls74.2%--------
Over 19.5 fouls73.0%--------
BTTS Yes70.8%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Dundee
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Luke McCowan67%
Simon Murray37%
Lyall Cameron18%
Scott Tiffoney17%
Sebastian Palmer-Houlden15%
Curtis Main14%
Oluwaseun Adewumi14%
Jordan McGhee13%
Ziyad Larkeche11%
Joe Shaughnessy9%
Aaron Donnelly9%
Juan Portales4%
Mohammad Sylla0%
Clark Robertson0%
Scott Fraser0%
Trevor Carson0%
Sean Kelly0%
Josh Mulligan0%
Finlay Robertson0%
Charlie Reilly0%
Ryan Astley0%
Billy Koumetio0%
Imari Samuels0%
Jon McCracken0%
Ethan Ingram0%
Sammy Braybrooke0%
Luke Graham0%
Julien Vetro0%
Cesar Garza0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Imari Samuels33%
Luke Graham33%
Cesar Garza33%
Joe Shaughnessy27%
Mohammad Sylla24%
Simon Murray24%
Ziyad Larkeche22%
Ethan Ingram21%
Clark Robertson19%
Jordan McGhee17%
Juan Portales17%
Billy Koumetio16%
Josh Mulligan15%
Trevor Carson14%
Aaron Donnelly9%
Sebastian Palmer-Houlden9%
Ryan Astley8%
Curtis Main7%
Oluwaseun Adewumi7%
Jon McCracken6%
Lyall Cameron6%
Scott Tiffoney6%
Scott Fraser0%
Sean Kelly0%
Luke McCowan0%
Finlay Robertson0%
Charlie Reilly0%
Sammy Braybrooke0%
Julien Vetro0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Luke McCowan33%
Oluwaseun Adewumi18%
Charlie Reilly17%
Lyall Cameron15%
Josh Mulligan15%
Ryan Astley12%
Finlay Robertson10%
Joe Shaughnessy9%
Juan Portales8%
Ziyad Larkeche7%
Jon McCracken6%
Simon Murray5%
Trevor Carson5%
Sebastian Palmer-Houlden3%
Scott Tiffoney3%
Mohammad Sylla0%
Clark Robertson0%
Scott Fraser0%
Curtis Main0%
Sean Kelly0%
Jordan McGhee0%
Billy Koumetio0%
Imari Samuels0%
Ethan Ingram0%
Sammy Braybrooke0%
Luke Graham0%
Aaron Donnelly0%
Julien Vetro0%
Cesar Garza0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Luke McCowan33%
Simon Murray26%
Joe Shaughnessy9%
Lyall Cameron9%
Sebastian Palmer-Houlden9%
Curtis Main7%
Oluwaseun Adewumi7%
Ziyad Larkeche4%
Finlay Robertson3%
Mohammad Sylla0%
Clark Robertson0%
Scott Fraser0%
Juan Portales0%
Trevor Carson0%
Scott Tiffoney0%
Sean Kelly0%
Jordan McGhee0%
Josh Mulligan0%
Charlie Reilly0%
Ryan Astley0%
Billy Koumetio0%
Imari Samuels0%
Jon McCracken0%
Ethan Ingram0%
Sammy Braybrooke0%
Luke Graham0%
Aaron Donnelly0%
Julien Vetro0%
Cesar Garza0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
DU (22)
€11m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
FAL (27)
€6m
DUN (21)
€5m
SJ (25)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
AU (17)
€2m
QP (19)
€2m
RR (18)
€2m
RC (11)
€1m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
KH (4)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
HA (5)
€0m
AA (2)
€0m
EK (4)
€0m
MON (4)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
DU (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
SJ (9)
€2m
FAL (9)
€2m
DUN (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
QP (8)
€1m
AU (6)
€1m
RR (5)
€1m
KH (3)
€1m
AA (1)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
EK (3)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
HA (1)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
RC (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DU (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
RR (6)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
RC (3)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
MON (2)
€0m
QP (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
EK (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
FAL (13)
€3m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
DUN (13)
€2m
SJ (11)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
AU (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
QP (10)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
RR (7)
€0m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
KH (1)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
EK (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
DUN wins
0
Draws
0
AU wins

Head-to-head

Dundee vs Airdrie United · H/A from DUN
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

DundeeDundee

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/08/24HDUN Vs Heart Of Midlothian3-1
04/08/24ADundee Utd Vs DUN2-2
27/07/24HDUN Vs Inverness CT6-0
23/07/24HDUN Vs Annan Athletic3-1
16/07/24AArbroath Vs DUN0-2
13/07/24ABonnyrigg Rose Athletic Vs DUN1-7
18/05/24HDUN Vs Kilmarnock1-1
14/05/24ARangers Vs DUN5-2
11/05/24AHeart Of Midlothian Vs DUN3-0
04/05/24HDUN Vs ST Mirren1-3

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/08/24AAyr Utd Vs AU5-0
09/08/24AAyr Vs AU5-0
03/08/24HAU Vs Raith Rvs1-0
03/08/24HAU Vs Raith Rovers1-0
27/07/24HAU Vs Queen of the South2-0
23/07/24AAberdeen Vs AU2-1
20/07/24ADumbarton Vs AU3-4
16/07/24HAU Vs East Kilbride8-0
10/05/24APartick Vs AU2-1
07/05/24HAU Vs Partick2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Dundee
Dundee
Scotland: League Cup
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDW1.40
HomeLDWWW1.52
AwayLLWWD1.28
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%40%32%
AVG goals3.463.043.88
Over 1.5 %82%76%88%
Over 2.5 %66%64%68%
Over 3.5 %48%48%48%
Scored1.781.681.88
Conceded1.681.362.00
BTTS62%56%68%
Clean Sheet28%36%20%
Corners11.3112.719.90
Cards4.124.144.11
Airdrie United
Airdrie United
Scotland: League Cup
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWLL1.36
HomeDWWWW1.64
AwayLWLLL1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%44%32%
AVG goals2.762.682.84
Over 1.5 %80%76%84%
Over 2.5 %50%40%60%
Over 3.5 %24%24%24%
Scored1.401.681.12
Conceded1.361.001.72
BTTS56%56%56%
Clean Sheet26%40%12%
Corners9.389.839.00
Cards3.544.502.71

🏆 17. League Table

Dundee plays in Scotland - Premiership
RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CelticCeltic3892
76%
2.4
11226+86
3.6
92%
74%
47%
11.8
71%
3.5
41%
18.7
29%
116
5620412.90.7
74%
2RangersRangers3875
58%
2.0
8041+39
3.2
82%
66%
42%
11.1
71%
4.0
65%
20.9
53%
136
3844542.11.1
63%
3HibernianHibernian3858
39%
1.5
6250+12
2.9
87%
61%
37%
11.5
71%
4.4
70%
20.6
45%
20
7851.61.3
45%
4Dundee UtdDundee Utd3853
39%
1.4
4554-9
2.6
66%
45%
29%
10.9
71%
4.2
50%
20.9
39%
11
4341.21.4
44%
5AberdeenAberdeen3853
39%
1.4
4861-13
2.9
74%
61%
34%
11.9
74%
4.9
78%
22.8
61%
15
4471.31.6
53%
6Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian3852
39%
1.4
5247+5
2.6
71%
55%
29%
10.8
58%
4.2
59%
21.2
50%
22
12461.41.2
54%
7ST MirrenST Mirren3850
37%
1.3
5359-6
2.9
82%
66%
34%
10.1
61%
4.6
61%
21.7
55%
8
1331.41.6
42%
8MotherwellMotherwell3849
37%
1.3
4663-17
2.9
82%
71%
26%
11.2
61%
4.5
65%
23.4
66%
16
10151.21.7
42%
9KilmarnockKilmarnock3844
32%
1.2
4564-19
2.9
74%
45%
34%
10.4
63%
4.0
54%
22.2
53%
7
3231.21.7
44%
10DundeeDundee3841
29%
1.1
5777-20
3.5
92%
68%
47%
10.4
63%
3.7
50%
20.3
34%
5
1221.52.0
44%
11Ross CountyRoss County4038
22%
0.9
4070-30
2.8
78%
55%
28%
11.8
74%
3.2
41%
20.9
50%
1
0011.01.8
40%
12ST JohnstoneST Johnstone3832
24%
0.8
3868-30
2.8
82%
61%
24%
10.6
53%
4.2
58%
22.8
61%
5
2121.01.8
53%
13LivingstonLivingston410
75%
2.5
93+6
3.0
100%
25%
25%
-
0%
0.0
0%
-
0%
4
1112.20.8
-
14Ayr UtdAyr Utd23
50%
1.5
12-1
1.5
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
9.0
100%
-
0%
2
1010.51.0
-
15PartickPartick43
25%
0.8
25-3
1.8
75%
0%
0%
-
0%
4.5
50%
-
0%
3
1110.51.2
-
Scotland: Premiership 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Premiership stats & trends →
Airdrie United plays in Scotland - Championship
RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FalkirkFalkirk52104
60%
2.0
10150+51
2.9
77%
54%
37%
11.4
56%
4.1
44%
22.1
56%
6
2131.91.0
-
2LivingstonLivingston52103
58%
2.0
8538+47
2.4
73%
54%
12%
8.8
50%
5.2
69%
24.4
62%
4
1111.60.7
-
3PartickPartick5282
44%
1.6
6552+13
2.2
67%
42%
10%
9.5
38%
4.6
69%
20.8
44%
3
1111.21.0
-
4MortonMorton5274
37%
1.4
6264-2
2.4
71%
42%
21%
11.8
69%
4.2
69%
19.7
38%
1
0001.21.2
-
5
A
Ayr		3663
50%
1.8
5739+18
2.7
78%
42%
25%
9.9
53%
4.4
72%
22.5
61%
0
0001.61.1
-
6Ayr UtdAyr Utd3663
50%
1.8
5739+18
2.7
78%
42%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.61.1
-
7Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United5656
27%
1.0
5893-35
2.7
75%
52%
29%
11.4
50%
3.6
56%
22.3
62%
0
0001.01.7
-
8Raith RoversRaith Rovers3653
42%
1.5
4743+4
2.5
75%
42%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1101.31.2
-
9
RR
Raith Rvs		3653
42%
1.5
4743+4
2.5
75%
42%
19%
7.9
28%
4.1
58%
23.1
67%
0
0001.31.2
-
10DunfermlineDunfermline5249
25%
0.9
4064-24
2.0
60%
31%
12%
9.2
38%
3.9
50%
22.9
62%
4
2020.81.2
-
11
H
Hamilton		3636
28%
1.0
3864-26
2.8
78%
61%
31%
10.9
50%
4.1
53%
23.0
69%
0
0001.11.8
-
12Hamilton AcademicalHamilton Academical3636
28%
1.0
3864-26
2.8
78%
61%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.8
-
13Queens ParkQueens Park3635
25%
1.0
3655-19
2.5
75%
53%
19%
11.8
64%
4.0
58%
19.4
36%
0
0001.01.5
-
14QueenQueen's Park3635
25%
1.0
3655-19
2.5
75%
53%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.5
-
15Cove RangersCove Rangers45
25%
1.2
33+0
1.5
50%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.8
-
16Queen of the SouthQueen of the South21
0%
0.5
12-1
1.5
50%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.51.0
-
17StenhousemuirStenhousemuir20
0%
0.0
25-3
3.5
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.5
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Scotland: Championship 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Championship stats & trends →

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