The match is a tight one, with the model favouring an away win at 38%. Home and away win chances sit at 36% and 38% respectively, with a 26% chance of a draw. The expected total is three goals, yet the most likely total is two, a 23% probability. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 12.1% chance. Dundee, playing at home against a stronger side, averages 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Hibernian, on the road against a weaker opponent, averages 1.5 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (98.7%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.5% with a 6% edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.2% with a 5% edge), Under 6.5 (96.4% with a 1% edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (96.2% with a 5% edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (94.7% with a 4% edge), Home under 3.5 goals (93.5%), and Away under 3.5 goals (92.9% with a 2% edge). Both teams are coming off recent positive runs, with Dundee on a winning streak and Hibernian unbeaten in five.
Results analysis
The Pythia model nailed the outcome, as Hibernian secured a 1-2 away victory, extending their recent winning streak while Dundee slipped after a defeat. The model’s favourite, an away win, was correct, with a pre-match probability of 38%. Every suggested pick landed: Under 7.5 goals hit at 98.7%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 97.9%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 97.7%, Under 6.5 at 96.4%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 96.0%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 95.5%, Home under 3.5 goals at 93.5%, and Away under 3.5 goals at 92.9%. The model’s selections performed exceptionally, confirming its predictive strength.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Dundee win✗ Miss
35.8%
Avg Implied 31.3% · @ 3.00
Edge
+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.20
Superbet
3.10
Dafabet
3.05
Unibet
3.05
Bet365
3.00
Draw✗ Miss
26.3%
Avg Implied 28.1% · @ 3.35
Edge
-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
3.50
Pinnacle
3.49
10Bet
3.45
Superbet
3.45
Betano
3.40
Hibernian win✓ Hit
37.9%
Avg Implied 40.6% · @ 2.31
Edge
-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.43
BetVictor
2.38
Betano
2.37
Bet365
2.35
1xBet
2.35
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Dundee
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.27
2.14
1.14
1.12
1.38
vs Stronger (11)
1.18
1.73
1.80
1.60
0.67
1.83
vs Similar (17)
1.53
1.12
2.12
1.00
1.00
1.22
vs Weaker (2)
4.50
0.00
4.00
0.00
5.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Hibernian) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hibernian
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
1.13
1.62
1.06
1.21
1.21
vs Stronger (7)
1.29
1.14
1.00
1.67
1.50
0.75
vs Similar (13)
1.23
1.46
1.57
1.43
0.83
1.50
vs Weaker (10)
1.80
0.70
2.00
0.33
1.50
1.25
Clean sheet %
30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Dundee) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.8%
@ 1.25+7.0%
Under 1.5
18.2%
@ 3.72-7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.28
Betano
1.28
Pinnacle
1.27
Superbet
1.27
Bet365
1.25
Under
Bet365
4.00
Pinnacle
3.95
Superbet
3.85
Betfair
3.80
Unibet
3.80
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
58.6%
@ 1.86+7.7%
Under 2.5
41.4%
@ 1.93-7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
1.92
Bet365
1.91
10Bet
1.90
Pinnacle
1.88
Betfair
1.87
Under
Pinnacle
2.01
Betano
2.00
Superbet
1.97
1xBet
1.94
Marathonbet
1.94
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
36.2%
@ 3.07+5.6%
Under 3.5
63.8%
@ 1.35-5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.25
Bet365
3.20
Pinnacle
3.11
Betfair
3.10
Unibet
3.10
Under
Betano
1.40
Pinnacle
1.39
Superbet
1.38
Bet365
1.36
Betfair
1.36
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
62.2%
@ 1.65+5.7%
No
37.8%
@ 2.14-5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
10Bet
1.73
Superbet
1.67
William Hil
1.67
Bet365
1.67
Marathonbet
1.64
No
Betfair
2.30
Betano
2.20
BetVictor
2.15
1xBet
2.13
Superbet
2.12
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.1%@ 6.08+4.8%
1-2 ✓
8.5%@ 8.41+3.2%
2-1
8.3%@ 9.84+3.7%
2-2
6.4%@ 11.58+2.5%
0-1
6.3%@ 7.97+0.6%
1-0
6.0%@ 9.55+1.3%
0-0
5.9%@ 9.99+1.4%
0-2
5.7%@ 11.34+1.7%
Dundee goals ↓
Hibernian goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.9%
6.3%
5.7%
2.9%
1.1%
1
6.0%
12%
8.5%
4.4%
1.7%
2
5.4%
8.3%
6.4%
3.3%
1.3%
3
2.7%
4.1%
3.2%
1.6%
0.6%
4
1.0%
1.5%
1.2%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dundee goals (down), columns = Hibernian goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Celtic
2.16
Heart Of Midlothian
2.11
Rangers
1.89
Motherwell
1.61
Hibernian
1.50
Falkirk
1.29
Dundee Utd
1.18
Dundee
1.11
Kilmarnock
1.05
Aberdeen
1.05
ST Johnstone
1.05
ST Mirren
0.95
Dundee is 0.39 points worse than Hibernian in terms of average points per game (1.11 vs 1.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Rangers
2.00
Celtic
1.92
Heart Of Midlothian
1.76
Motherwell
1.55
Hibernian
1.53
Kilmarnock
1.32
Falkirk
1.32
Dundee Utd
1.29
Dundee
1.11
Aberdeen
1.05
ST Johnstone
1.00
ST Mirren
0.80
Dundee is 0.42 goals worse than Hibernian in terms of goals scored per game (1.11 vs 1.53).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Heart Of Midlothian
0.89
Motherwell
0.95
Celtic
1.08
Rangers
1.13
Hibernian
1.16
ST Mirren
1.40
Aberdeen
1.45
ST Johnstone
1.56
Dundee Utd
1.58
Dundee
1.61
Falkirk
1.63
Kilmarnock
1.79
Dundee is 0.45 goals worse than Hibernian in terms of goals conceded per game (1.61 vs 1.16).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Celtic
66%
Rangers
58%
Motherwell
58%
Heart Of Midlothian
53%
Falkirk
51%
Aberdeen
48%
Hibernian
47%
ST Mirren
46%
Dundee
44%
Kilmarnock
42%
Dundee Utd
42%
Dundee is 3.1 percentage points worse than Hibernian in terms of average possession (44% vs 47%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Dundee
For 4.9 · Against 5.2 · Total 10.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 2.4 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.3 · Against 10.3 · Total 18.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Hibernian
For 4.2 · Against 6.1 · Total 10.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.4 · Total 5.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 11.4 · Total 22.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Dundee
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
10.1
9.2
3.1
3.0
3.2
22.0
21.4
22.5
vs Stronger (20)
10.3
10.3
10.2
2.8
3.0
2.6
21.6
22.0
21.1
vs Similar (27)
9.1
9.8
8.5
3.7
3.2
4.1
22.6
21.5
23.5
vs Weaker (3)
12.0
12.0
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
14.0
14.0
-
% over line
63%
71%
55%
44%
43%
44%
51%
38%
64%
% under line
37%
29%
45%
56%
57%
56%
49%
62%
36%
This opponent (Hibernian) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hibernian
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.4
11.4
9.3
4.4
4.3
4.4
23.4
23.2
23.5
vs Stronger (13)
10.9
11.6
10.3
4.3
4.7
4.0
21.7
22.0
21.5
vs Similar (21)
9.6
10.3
8.9
5.0
5.7
4.4
24.6
24.9
24.4
vs Weaker (16)
11.2
12.9
9.0
3.6
2.6
5.0
22.7
21.7
24.0
% over line
64%
73%
55%
62%
56%
68%
68%
68%
68%
% under line
36%
27%
45%
38%
44%
32%
32%
32%
32%
This opponent (Dundee) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
ST Mirren
11.2
Celtic
10.8
Dundee Utd
10.5
Hibernian
10.5
Heart Of Midlothian
10.3
ST Johnstone
10.1
Rangers
10.1
Aberdeen
10.1
Dundee
9.9
Falkirk
9.6
Kilmarnock
9.4
Motherwell
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Aberdeen
4.8
Hibernian
4.8
Motherwell
4.7
Heart Of Midlothian
4.6
Kilmarnock
4.2
Rangers
4.2
Falkirk
4.2
Dundee Utd
4.1
ST Johnstone
4.0
Celtic
3.9
Dundee
3.7
ST Mirren
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Rangers
26.3
Motherwell
25.8
Aberdeen
25.5
Falkirk
25.2
Kilmarnock
24.3
Heart Of Midlothian
24.3
Hibernian
23.2
Dundee Utd
22.0
ST Johnstone
22.0
ST Mirren
21.9
Dundee
21.6
Celtic
21.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
52.9%
@ 1.57-5.8%
Under 9.5
47.1%
@ 2.23+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.63
Pinnacle
1.61
Betano
1.60
1xBet
1.55
Marathonbet
1.54
Under
Unibet
2.35
Pinnacle
2.27
Betano
2.25
Marathonbet
2.22
1xBet
2.15
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
57.5%
@ 1.48-4.6%
Under 3.5
42.5%
@ 2.42+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.52
Superbet
1.46
Betano
1.45
Under
Betano
2.62
Superbet
2.37
Unibet
2.28
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
57.7%
Under 21.5
42.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Dundee or Draw✗ Miss
62.1%
Avg Implied 59.0% · @ 1.59
Edge
+3.1%
36%
26%
38%
covers Dundee + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.64
Unibet
1.63
Betano
1.62
William Hil
1.60
10Bet
1.60
Dundee or Hibernian✓ Hit
73.7%
Avg Implied 72.3% · @ 1.29
Edge
+1.4%
36%
26%
38%
covers Dundee + Hibernian
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.32
Betano
1.31
Unibet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Draw or Hibernian✓ Hit
64.2%
Avg Implied 68.6% · @ 1.36
Edge
-4.4%
36%
26%
38%
covers Draw + Hibernian
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.42
10Bet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.38
1xBet
1.38
Superbet
1.37
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Dundee over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
77.6%
@ 1.31+6.5%
Under
22.4%
@ 3.23-6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.33
Superbet
1.33
Betfair
1.33
Unibet
1.32
Betano
1.31
Under
Pinnacle
3.44
Betfair
3.40
Bet365
3.40
Betano
3.25
BetVictor
3.20
Dundee over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
44.1%
@ 2.53+7.1%
Under
55.9%
@ 1.49-7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.63
Pinnacle
2.61
Superbet
2.55
10Bet
2.55
Unibet
2.55
Under
Pinnacle
1.53
Betano
1.52
Betfair
1.50
Marathonbet
1.50
1xBet
1.50
Dundee over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
19.0%
@ 5.94+3.4%
Under
81.0%
@ 1.11-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.50
10Bet
6.25
Unibet
6.10
Bet365
6.00
Superbet
6.00
Under
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Betfair
1.11
Superbet
1.11
BetVictor
1.10
Dundee over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.5%
@ 15.81+0.5%
Under
93.5%
@ 1.02-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
21.00
Bet365
17.00
Superbet
15.00
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Hibernian over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
78.7%
@ 1.23+2.5%
Under
21.3%
@ 3.92-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
Superbet
1.23
1xBet
1.22
Under
Betfair
4.50
Pinnacle
4.02
Bet365
4.00
Unibet
3.95
Superbet
3.90
Hibernian over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
45.7%
@ 2.13+1.8%
Under
54.3%
@ 1.67-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.24
1xBet
2.17
Marathonbet
2.17
10Bet
2.15
BetVictor
2.15
Under
Betfair
1.73
Superbet
1.69
Pinnacle
1.69
Unibet
1.68
Betano
1.67
Hibernian over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
20.2%
@ 4.63+0.1%
Under
79.8%
@ 1.17-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
5.00
BetVictor
4.80
10Bet
4.75
Marathonbet
4.65
Under
Pinnacle
1.20
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Unibet
1.17
Hibernian over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
7.1%
@ 10.33-2.0%
Under
92.9%
@ 1.03+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
Betfair
11.00
Unibet
10.00
Superbet
10.00
1xBet
9.90
Under
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Unibet
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Dundee, so a minus line means Dundee give that many goals of a start and Hibernian receive them. At -1, Dundee must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Dundee win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Dundee)Actual: Hibernian
Dundee -2
6.7%
@ 14.60+0.5%
Draw -2
10.9%
@ 8.48+0.2%
Hibernian +2
82.4%
@ 1.09-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
18.00
Bet365
15.00
Unibet
14.00
10Bet
13.00
Superbet
13.00
Draw
Betfair
10.00
Bet365
8.50
Unibet
8.50
Superbet
7.90
10Bet
7.50
Away
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.10
10Bet
1.10
Unibet
1.08
Betfair
1.06
Handicap -1 (Dundee)Actual: Hibernian
Dundee -1
17.6%
@ 6.16+3.1%
Draw -1
18.2%
@ 4.54-1.6%
Hibernian +1
64.2%
@ 1.36-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
7.50
Unibet
6.25
Bet365
6.00
Superbet
5.90
10Bet
5.75
Draw
Bet365
4.75
Superbet
4.65
Unibet
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Marathonbet
4.50
Away
10Bet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Marathonbet
1.38
Superbet
1.36
Unibet
1.34
Handicap +1 (Dundee)Actual: Draw
Dundee +1
62.1%
@ 1.59+5.6%
Draw +1
18.8%
@ 3.93-4.1%
Hibernian -1
19.1%
@ 4.34-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.62
Superbet
1.62
10Bet
1.60
Bet365
1.57
Betfair
1.57
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
3.98
Superbet
3.90
10Bet
3.85
Betfair
3.75
Away
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
4.50
Marathonbet
4.25
10Bet
4.20
Superbet
4.10
Handicap +2 (Dundee)Actual: Dundee
Dundee +2
80.9%
@ 1.17+4.2%
Draw +2
11.6%
@ 6.46-2.4%
Hibernian -2
7.5%
@ 9.65-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.20
Unibet
1.19
Bet365
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.15
Draw
Bet365
7.00
Betfair
7.00
Marathonbet
6.50
10Bet
6.25
Superbet
6.00
Away
Betfair
12.00
Bet365
11.00
10Bet
9.00
Unibet
9.00
Marathonbet
8.50
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Dundee
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.50
0.71
0.71
0.38
0.31
vs Stronger (11)
0.45
0.55
0.60
1.00
0.33
0.17
vs Similar (17)
0.65
0.53
0.88
0.62
0.44
0.44
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Hibernian) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hibernian
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.37
0.75
0.25
0.64
0.50
vs Stronger (7)
0.57
0.57
0.33
0.67
0.75
0.50
vs Similar (13)
0.62
0.46
0.57
0.29
0.67
0.67
vs Weaker (10)
0.90
0.10
1.17
0.00
0.50
0.25
Clean sheet %
67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Dundee) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
72.9%
@ 1.36+4.3%
Under 0.5
27.1%
@ 2.97-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
Superbet
1.38
BetVictor
1.38
1xBet
1.37
Marathonbet
1.37
Under
Betfair
3.20
Pinnacle
3.20
William Hil
3.10
Bet365
3.00
Superbet
3.00
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
36.7%
@ 2.65+1.6%
Under 1.5
63.3%
@ 1.43-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.76
Betano
2.75
Betfair
2.75
Unibet
2.70
10Bet
2.65
Under
Superbet
1.46
Pinnacle
1.45
BetVictor
1.45
Betano
1.45
William Hil
1.44
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
13.2%
@ 6.55-1.0%
Under 2.5
86.8%
@ 1.08+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
7.50
BetVictor
7.00
Bet365
7.00
William Hil
6.50
Superbet
6.50
Under
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Bet365
1.10
William Hil
1.10
Unibet
1.08
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dundee over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
46.9%
@ 2.15+3.6%
Under
53.1%
@ 1.64-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.20
Pinnacle
2.19
Unibet
2.18
Betano
2.15
1xBet
2.11
Under
Pinnacle
1.69
10Bet
1.67
Betano
1.65
1xBet
1.63
Marathonbet
1.63
Dundee over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
13.3%
@ 6.89-0.2%
Under
86.7%
@ 1.07+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.00
10Bet
7.00
Unibet
7.00
Marathonbet
6.95
Superbet
6.90
Under
Betano
1.09
Unibet
1.07
10Bet
1.07
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
Dundee over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.1%
@ 18.25-3.2%
Under
97.9%
@ 1.01+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
24.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
Hibernian over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
47.3%
@ 1.95-0.5%
Under
52.7%
@ 1.79+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.99
Betano
1.98
10Bet
1.95
1xBet
1.94
Marathonbet
1.94
Under
Pinnacle
1.83
Unibet
1.81
10Bet
1.80
Betano
1.78
Superbet
1.78
Hibernian over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
15.2%
@ 5.67-1.1%
Under
84.8%
@ 1.11+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.90
1xBet
5.90
10Bet
5.75
Unibet
5.60
Betano
5.50
Under
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.12
Unibet
1.11
10Bet
1.10
1xBet
1.09
Hibernian over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.3%
@ 14.25-4.3%
Under
97.7%
@ 1.01+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
17.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Dundee
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.77
1.43
0.43
0.75
1.06
vs Stronger (11)
0.73
1.18
1.20
0.60
0.33
1.67
vs Similar (17)
0.88
0.59
1.25
0.38
0.56
0.78
vs Weaker (2)
4.50
0.00
4.00
0.00
5.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Hibernian) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hibernian
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.77
0.88
0.81
0.57
0.71
vs Stronger (7)
0.71
0.57
0.67
1.00
0.75
0.25
vs Similar (13)
0.62
1.00
1.00
1.14
0.17
0.83
vs Weaker (10)
0.90
0.60
0.83
0.33
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Dundee) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
80.2%
@ 1.21+3.5%
Under 0.5
19.8%
@ 3.99-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.22
Under
Betano
4.15
Unibet
4.10
Superbet
4.10
Bet365
4.00
1xBet
3.94
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
45.5%
@ 2.01-1.0%
Under 1.5
54.5%
@ 1.74+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.05
10Bet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.01
1xBet
2.01
Bet365
2.00
Under
Betano
1.80
1xBet
1.75
William Hil
1.75
Marathonbet
1.75
Superbet
1.74
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
19.6%
@ 4.16-2.8%
Under 2.5
80.4%
@ 1.20+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
4.33
Bet365
4.33
Superbet
4.30
William Hil
4.20
Unibet
4.10
Under
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.21
William Hil
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Unibet
1.19
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dundee over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
51.1%
@ 1.80-0.4%
Under
48.9%
@ 1.91+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.85
Betano
1.78
1xBet
1.78
Marathonbet
1.78
Under
Betano
1.98
1xBet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.90
Superbet
1.85
Dundee over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
15.3%
@ 4.97-3.3%
Under
84.7%
@ 1.14+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
5.25
Superbet
5.10
1xBet
4.95
Marathonbet
4.95
Betano
4.60
Under
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
10Bet
1.12
Dundee over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.0%
@ 13.12-3.2%
Under
96.0%
@ 1.02+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
16.00
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
Hibernian over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
53.6%
@ 1.65-2.5%
Under
46.4%
@ 2.11+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.66
1xBet
1.65
Betano
1.65
Under
Betano
2.15
Superbet
2.10
1xBet
2.08
Hibernian over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
19.4%
@ 4.15-3.0%
Under
80.6%
@ 1.19+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
4.33
Marathonbet
4.20
1xBet
4.20
Superbet
4.10
Betano
3.90
Under
Betano
1.23
Superbet
1.20
10Bet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
Hibernian over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.5%
@ 10.33-4.5%
Under
95.5%
@ 1.02+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
12.00
1xBet
10.00
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
1xBet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.9%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
97.7%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.3%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
96.4%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
+0.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
96.0%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
95.5%
1.02
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+4.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
93.5%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.01
-
-0.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
92.9%
1.03
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Unibet
1.01
+2.0%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
91.2%
1.03
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Unibet
1.02
-0.4%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
86.8%
1.08
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Bet365
1.10
William Hil
1.10
Unibet
1.08
+1.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
86.7%
1.07
Betano
1.09
Unibet
1.07
10Bet
1.07
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
+0.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
84.8%
1.11
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.12
Unibet
1.11
10Bet
1.10
1xBet
1.09
+1.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
84.7%
1.14
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
10Bet
1.12
+3.3%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
82.4%
1.09
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.10
10Bet
1.10
Unibet
1.08
Betfair
1.06
-0.7%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
81.8%
1.25
10Bet
1.28
Betano
1.28
Pinnacle
1.27
Superbet
1.27
Bet365
1.25
+7.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
81.0%
1.11
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Betfair
1.11
Superbet
1.11
BetVictor
1.10
-3.4%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
80.9%
1.17
Superbet
1.20
Unibet
1.19
Bet365
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.15
+4.2%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
80.8%
1.11
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.14
Pinnacle
1.14
Bet365
1.12
10Bet
1.11
-3.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
80.6%
1.19
Betano
1.23
Superbet
1.20
10Bet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
80.4%
1.20
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.21
William Hil
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Unibet
1.19
+2.8%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
80.2%
1.21
Superbet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.22
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
79.8%
1.17
Pinnacle
1.20
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Unibet
1.17
-0.1%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
78.7%
1.23
Betano
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
Superbet
1.23
1xBet
1.22
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
77.8%
1.39
Betano
1.45
Superbet
1.33
-
-
-
+11.9%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
77.6%
1.31
10Bet
1.33
Superbet
1.33
Betfair
1.33
Unibet
1.32
Betano
1.31
+6.5%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
76.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls
73.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
73.7%
1.29
Superbet
1.32
Betano
1.31
Unibet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
+1.4%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
73.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
72.9%
1.36
Betano
1.42
Superbet
1.38
BetVictor
1.38
1xBet
1.37
Marathonbet
1.37
+4.3%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
70.8%
1.49
Unibet
1.56
Pinnacle
1.51
Superbet
1.50
1xBet
1.45
Betano
1.45
+8.8%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Dundee
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
J. Westley40%
D. Wright20%
C. Reilly20%
Owen Bevan20%
Joe Bevan20%
Brad Halliday0%
Ethan Hamilton0%
Alan Forrest0%
F. Robertson0%
Ryan Astley0%
Bradley Fink0%
I. Odutayo0%
Ryan Finnigan0%
Owen Goodman0%
B. Wales0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ethan Hamilton20%
D. Wright20%
Ryan Finnigan20%
J. Westley20%
Owen Bevan20%
Brad Halliday0%
Alan Forrest0%
F. Robertson0%
C. Reilly0%
Ryan Astley0%
Bradley Fink0%
I. Odutayo0%
Owen Goodman0%
B. Wales0%
Joe Bevan0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Alan Forrest20%
Joe Bevan20%
Brad Halliday0%
Ethan Hamilton0%
D. Wright0%
F. Robertson0%
C. Reilly0%
Ryan Astley0%
Bradley Fink0%
I. Odutayo0%
Ryan Finnigan0%
Owen Goodman0%
J. Westley0%
B. Wales0%
Owen Bevan0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
C. Reilly20%
J. Westley20%
Joe Bevan20%
Brad Halliday0%
Ethan Hamilton0%
D. Wright0%
Alan Forrest0%
F. Robertson0%
Ryan Astley0%
Bradley Fink0%
I. Odutayo0%
Ryan Finnigan0%
Owen Goodman0%
B. Wales0%
Owen Bevan0%
Hibernian
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
M. Boyle50%
C. Wright50%
A. Mayor25%
F. Passlack20%
J. Kerr20%
R. Sallinger0%
Josh Mulligan0%
J. McGrath0%
Jordan Obita0%
T. Klidje0%
Warren O'Hora0%
A. Šuto0%
Miguel Changa Chaiwa0%
N. Lowe0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
F. Passlack20%
Josh Mulligan20%
A. Šuto20%
Miguel Changa Chaiwa20%
R. Sallinger0%
M. Boyle0%
J. Kerr0%
J. McGrath0%
Jordan Obita0%
T. Klidje0%
Warren O'Hora0%
C. Wright0%
N. Lowe0%
A. Mayor0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Josh Mulligan40%
J. McGrath25%
F. Passlack20%
N. Lowe20%
R. Sallinger0%
M. Boyle0%
J. Kerr0%
Jordan Obita0%
T. Klidje0%
Warren O'Hora0%
C. Wright0%
A. Šuto0%
Miguel Changa Chaiwa0%
A. Mayor0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Josh Mulligan40%
N. Lowe40%
M. Boyle25%
J. McGrath25%
A. Mayor25%
R. Sallinger0%
F. Passlack0%
J. Kerr0%
Jordan Obita0%
T. Klidje0%
Warren O'Hora0%
C. Wright0%
A. Šuto0%
Miguel Changa Chaiwa0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
DU (22)
€11m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
FAL (27)
€6m
DUN (21)
€5m
SJ (25)
€5m
Dundee's squad is €14m less valuable than Hibernian's (€5m vs €20m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
DU (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
SJ (9)
€2m
FAL (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
Dundee's attack is €6m less valuable than Hibernian's (€1m vs €7m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DU (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
Dundee's midfield is €6m less valuable than Hibernian's (€2m vs €8m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
FAL (13)
€3m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
SJ (11)
€2m
Dundee's defence is €2m less valuable than Hibernian's (€2m vs €5m).
Scotland: Premiership 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Premiership stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Celtic
ST Mirren
Heart Of Midlothian
Motherwell
Rangers
ST Johnstone
Dundee Utd
Aberdeen
Falkirk
Kilmarnock