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Dunfermline vs Dumbarton Result & Analysis

Date: 14/07/2026
Time: 18:45
Final 4-1
Dunfermline
Dunfermline
Vs
88%
9%
3%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Dumbarton
Dumbarton
Scotland: League Cup
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dunfermline win✓ Hit
88.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
8.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton win✗ Miss
2.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

DunfermlineDunfermline

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L20W20W00D10W00D11D12L13L03LH·ST 21/04A·QUE25/04A·QUE25/04H·ARB01/05H·ARB05/05A·ARB08/05H·PAR12/05A·PAR15/05A·CEL23/05A·EAS11/07← PremiershipLeague Cup →
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.430.931.500.501.361.43
vs Stronger (3)1.671.002.000.001.003.00
vs Similar (27)1.410.931.430.571.381.31
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Dumbarton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DumbartonDumbarton

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-520W11D21W22D11D21W02L01L05L04LH·STR10/03A·ELG14/03H·ANN21/03H·FOR28/03A·STR04/04H·STI11/04A·CLY18/04H·EAS25/04A·EDI02/05H·ST 11/07← League TwoLeague Cup →
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.801.351.530.692.15
vs Stronger (12)1.001.751.251.620.502.00
vs Similar (18)1.111.831.441.440.782.22
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Dunfermline) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%10%16%21%3%08%117%221%320%415%517%6+
The model estimates around 3.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
89.4%
Under 1.5
10.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
72.6%
Under 2.5
27.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
52.0%
Under 3.5
48.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
39.0%
No
61.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
3-0
13.4%
2-0
12.3%
4-0
10.9%
1-0
7.2%
5-0
7.1%
3-1
6.9%
2-1
6.3%
4-1 ✓
5.6%
Dunfermline goals ↓
Dumbarton goals →
01234
02.7%0.8%0.3%0.1%0.0%
17.2%4.3%1.0%0.2%0.0%
212%6.3%1.6%0.3%0.0%
313%6.9%1.8%0.3%0.0%
411%5.6%1.4%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dunfermline goals (down), columns = Dumbarton goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Heart Of Midlothian
2.60
ST Johnstone
2.60
Partick
2.50
Alloa Athletic
2.40
Rangers
2.33
ST Mirren
2.25
Airdrie United
2.25
Dunfermline
2.25
Kilmarnock
2.20
Motherwell
2.00
Falkirk
2.00
Ayr Utd
1.80
Morton
1.80
Celtic
1.75
Ross County
1.75
Cove Rangers
1.75
Inverness CT
1.50
Hibernian
1.50
Dumbarton
1.50
Spartans
1.50
Dundee
1.50
Aberdeen
1.50
Livingston
1.50
Queen's Park
1.50
Raith Rovers
1.50
East Kilbride
1.50
Stranraer
1.25
Clyde
1.25
Arbroath
1.00
Stenhousemuir
1.00
East Fife
1.00
Forfar
1.00
Hamilton Academical
0.75
Montrose
0.75
Queen of the South
0.75
Kelty Hearts
0.33
Annan Athletic
0.25
Edinburgh City
0.25
Dundee Utd
0.00
Brechin
0.00
Peterhead
0.00
Stirling
0.00
Elgin
0.00
Dunfermline is 0.75 points better than Dumbarton in terms of average points per game (2.25 vs 1.50).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Heart Of Midlothian
3.40
Raith Rovers
3.25
ST Johnstone
3.00
Falkirk
3.00
Ayr Utd
2.80
ST Mirren
2.75
Ross County
2.75
East Kilbride
2.75
Celtic
2.50
Rangers
2.33
Inverness CT
2.25
Queen's Park
2.25
Dunfermline
2.25
Partick
2.17
Airdrie United
2.00
Dundee
2.00
Livingston
2.00
Morton
2.00
Kilmarnock
1.80
Alloa Athletic
1.80
Aberdeen
1.50
Arbroath
1.50
Montrose
1.50
Clyde
1.50
Motherwell
1.43
Cove Rangers
1.25
Dundee Utd
1.00
Hibernian
1.00
Spartans
1.00
Peterhead
1.00
Queen of the South
1.00
Annan Athletic
1.00
Hamilton Academical
0.75
Stenhousemuir
0.75
Forfar
0.75
East Fife
0.67
Dumbarton
0.50
Stranraer
0.50
Elgin
0.50
Edinburgh City
0.25
Brechin
0.00
Kelty Hearts
0.00
Stirling
0.00
Dunfermline is 1.75 goals better than Dumbarton in terms of goals scored per game (2.25 vs 0.50).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Heart Of Midlothian
0.40
ST Johnstone
0.40
Aberdeen
0.50
Cove Rangers
0.50
Kilmarnock
0.60
Dundee
0.75
Stranraer
0.75
Airdrie United
1.00
Hibernian
1.00
Motherwell
1.00
Falkirk
1.00
Rangers
1.00
Livingston
1.00
Ayr Utd
1.00
Partick
1.00
Ross County
1.00
Queen of the South
1.00
ST Mirren
1.12
Celtic
1.25
Arbroath
1.25
Dunfermline
1.25
Alloa Athletic
1.40
Spartans
1.50
Queen's Park
1.50
Stenhousemuir
1.50
Forfar
1.50
Morton
1.60
Hamilton Academical
1.75
Dundee Utd
2.00
Inverness CT
2.00
Dumbarton
2.00
East Fife
2.00
Clyde
2.00
Raith Rovers
2.25
Peterhead
2.25
Stirling
2.25
Kelty Hearts
2.33
Montrose
2.50
East Kilbride
3.00
Edinburgh City
4.00
Brechin
4.25
Elgin
4.75
Annan Athletic
5.25
Dunfermline is 0.75 goals better than Dumbarton in terms of goals conceded per game (1.25 vs 2.00).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Celtic
63%
ST Mirren
37%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

DunfermlineDunfermline

For 4.4 · Against 2.9 · Total 7.2

🚩 Corners

130236665137176235126638135A·CELA·ARBH·ARBA·QUEA·AYRH·RAIH·ABEH·QUE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.1

🟨 Cards

70113423221424111127545622A·CELA·ARBH·ARBA·QUEA·AYRH·RAIH·ABEH·QUE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.4 · Against 12.5 · Total 21.9

⚠️ Fouls

3007811121111711111361381614161523221824192430A·CELA·ARBH·ARBA·QUEA·AYRH·RAIH·ABEH·QUE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

DumbartonDumbarton

For 4.9 · Against 5.1 · Total 10.0

🚩 Corners

1603213106186263763104784541698913131112H·EASA·CLYH·STIA·STRH·FORH·ANNA·ELGH·STRH·SPAA·STI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.1 · Total 3.0

🟨 Cards

50222123212112221314352122434H·EASA·CLYH·STIA·STRH·FORH·ANNA·ELGH·STRH·SPAA·STI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.2 · Against 8.2 · Total 18.4

⚠️ Fouls

270131410611111261291589575598927162218212314121417H·EASA·CLYH·STIA·STRH·FORH·ANNA·ELGH·STRH·SPAA·STI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

DunfermlineDunfermline

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)7.67.47.71.31.11.523.124.022.1
vs Stronger (3)9.013.05.01.31.02.019.524.015.0
vs Similar (46)7.36.58.21.31.11.523.724.023.3
vs Weaker (1)---0.00.0----
% over line21%14%29%20%15%26%64%71%57%
% under line79%86%71%80%85%74%36%29%43%
This opponent (Dumbarton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DumbartonDumbarton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.411.29.53.03.32.720.821.420.2
vs Stronger (23)10.612.49.12.72.82.521.221.221.2
vs Similar (27)10.210.59.83.43.92.820.521.519.4
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line50%57%43%40%50%29%43%52%33%
% under line50%43%57%60%50%71%57%48%67%
This opponent (Dunfermline) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Queen's Park
12.0
ST Mirren
11.2
Morton
11.0
Stirling
11.0
Ross County
10.9
Hibernian
10.8
Celtic
10.7
Dumbarton
10.5
Dundee Utd
10.4
Partick
10.4
East Kilbride
10.4
Rangers
10.4
ST Johnstone
10.4
Stranraer
10.4
Elgin
10.3
Airdrie United
10.1
Aberdeen
10.1
Livingston
10.1
Brechin
10.0
Heart Of Midlothian
10.0
Annan Athletic
9.9
Falkirk
9.9
Dundee
9.9
Clyde
9.7
East Fife
9.7
Arbroath
9.6
Kilmarnock
9.5
Cove Rangers
9.4
Kelty Hearts
9.4
Inverness CT
9.2
Edinburgh City
9.2
Dunfermline
9.1
Spartans
9.1
Peterhead
9.0
Forfar
8.9
Stenhousemuir
8.6
Montrose
8.4
Motherwell
8.4

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
East Kilbride
5.6
Edinburgh City
5.1
Peterhead
5.0
Hamilton Academical
5.0
Stenhousemuir
4.9
Aberdeen
4.8
Ayr Utd
4.8
Motherwell
4.7
Hibernian
4.7
Morton
4.6
Heart Of Midlothian
4.4
Partick
4.4
Elgin
4.3
Forfar
4.3
Kelty Hearts
4.3
Clyde
4.3
Kilmarnock
4.3
Livingston
4.3
Spartans
4.2
Rangers
4.2
Stranraer
4.2
ST Johnstone
4.2
Falkirk
4.1
Annan Athletic
4.0
Stirling
4.0
Dundee Utd
4.0
Celtic
4.0
Dunfermline
3.9
Montrose
3.7
Arbroath
3.6
Dundee
3.6
East Fife
3.6
Brechin
3.5
Dumbarton
3.5
ST Mirren
3.5
Ross County
3.4
Airdrie United
3.4
Inverness CT
3.2
Cove Rangers
3.2
Raith Rovers
3.0
Queen's Park
2.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
27.4
East Kilbride
26.4
Motherwell
25.9
Rangers
25.8
Aberdeen
25.7
Stenhousemuir
25.2
Livingston
25.0
Kilmarnock
24.7
Falkirk
24.5
Forfar
24.1
Edinburgh City
23.9
Heart Of Midlothian
23.5
East Fife
22.8
Elgin
22.7
Hibernian
22.6
ST Johnstone
22.6
Kelty Hearts
22.5
Montrose
22.3
Dundee
22.2
Annan Athletic
22.2
Stranraer
22.1
Clyde
22.0
ST Mirren
22.0
Dundee Utd
21.8
Morton
21.8
Inverness CT
21.8
Celtic
21.7
Ross County
21.5
Dunfermline
21.3
Cove Rangers
20.9
Arbroath
20.8
Stirling
20.8
Spartans
20.5
Dumbarton
20.4
Brechin
20.4
Airdrie United
20.0
Partick
19.9
Queen's Park
18.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
40.5%
Under 9.5
59.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
53.9%
Under 3.5
46.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
67.0%
Under 21.5
33.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Dunfermline or Draw✓ Hit
97.3%
Avg Implied -
88%
9%
3%
covers Dunfermline + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Dunfermline or Dumbarton✓ Hit
91.1%
Avg Implied -
88%
9%
3%
covers Dunfermline + Dumbarton
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Dumbarton✗ Miss
11.6%
Avg Implied -
88%
9%
3%
covers Draw + Dumbarton
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Dunfermline over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
96.2%
Under
3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunfermline over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
83.6%
Under
16.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunfermline over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
63.2%
Under
36.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunfermline over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
41.0%
Under
59.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
40.1%
Under
59.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
9.4%
Under
90.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
1.5%
Under
98.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.2%
Under
99.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Dunfermline, so a minus line means Dunfermline give that many goals of a start and Dumbarton receive them. At -1, Dunfermline must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Dunfermline win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Dunfermline)Actual: Dunfermline
Dunfermline -2
52.4%
Draw -2
20.6%
Dumbarton +2
27.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Dunfermline)Actual: Dunfermline
Dunfermline -1
73.0%
Draw -1
15.4%
Dumbarton +1
11.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Dunfermline)Actual: Dunfermline
Dunfermline +1
97.3%
Draw +1
2.1%
Dumbarton -1
0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Dunfermline)Actual: Dunfermline
Dunfermline +2
99.4%
Draw +2
0.5%
Dumbarton -2
0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

DunfermlineDunfermline

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W10W00D10W00D11D10W02L01LH·ST 21/04A·QUE25/04A·QUE25/04H·ARB01/05H·ARB05/05A·ARB08/05H·PAR12/05A·PAR15/05A·CEL23/05A·EAS11/07← PremiershipLeague Cup →
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.470.620.250.500.71
vs Stronger (3)0.670.671.000.000.002.00
vs Similar (27)0.560.440.570.290.540.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Dumbarton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DumbartonDumbarton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W01L00D02L10W10W00D01L04L02LH·STR10/03A·ELG14/03H·ANN21/03H·FOR28/03A·STR04/04H·STI11/04A·CLY18/04H·EAS25/04A·EDI02/05H·ST 11/07← League TwoLeague Cup →
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.930.590.760.151.15
vs Stronger (12)0.330.920.500.750.001.25
vs Similar (18)0.440.940.670.780.221.11
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Dunfermline) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dunfermline over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunfermline over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunfermline over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

DunfermlineDunfermline

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L10W10W00D00D00D00D02L11D02LH·ST 21/04A·QUE25/04A·QUE25/04H·ARB01/05H·ARB05/05A·ARB08/05H·PAR12/05A·PAR15/05A·CEL23/05A·EAS11/07← PremiershipLeague Cup →
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.470.880.250.860.71
vs Stronger (3)1.000.331.000.001.001.00
vs Similar (27)0.850.480.860.290.850.69
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %70% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Dumbarton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DumbartonDumbarton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W21W20W01L11D02L00D01L02LH·STR10/03A·ELG14/03H·ANN21/03H·FOR28/03A·STR04/04H·STI11/04A·CLY18/04H·EAS25/04A·EDI02/05H·ST 11/07← League TwoLeague Cup →
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.870.760.760.541.00
vs Stronger (12)0.670.830.750.880.500.75
vs Similar (18)0.670.890.780.670.561.11
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Dunfermline) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dunfermline over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunfermline over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunfermline over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dumbarton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Away under 3.5 goals99.8%-------✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap99.4%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals98.5%-------✓ Hit
Home or Draw97.3%-------✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap97.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 7.596.2%-------✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals96.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.591.2%-------✓ Hit
Home or Away91.1%-------✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals90.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.589.4%-------✓ Hit
Home win88.4%-------✓ Hit
Home over 1.5 goals83.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.582.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners80.9%--------
Over 19.5 fouls80.8%--------
Under 5.5 cards80.6%--------
Over 2.5 cards74.1%--------
Home -1 handicap73.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.572.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners71.3%--------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
DU (22)
€11m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
FAL (27)
€6m
DUN (21)
€5m
SJ (25)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
AU (17)
€2m
QP (19)
€2m
RR (18)
€2m
RC (11)
€1m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
KH (4)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
HA (5)
€0m
AA (2)
€0m
EK (4)
€0m
MON (4)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
Dunfermline's squad is €4m more valuable than Dumbarton's (€4m vs €0m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
DU (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
SJ (9)
€2m
FAL (9)
€2m
DUN (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
QP (8)
€1m
AU (6)
€1m
RR (5)
€1m
KH (3)
€1m
AA (1)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
EK (3)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
HA (1)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
RC (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
Dunfermline's attack is €2m more valuable than Dumbarton's (€2m vs €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DU (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
RR (6)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
RC (3)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
MON (2)
€0m
QP (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
EK (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
Dunfermline and Dumbarton have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
FAL (13)
€3m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
DUN (13)
€2m
SJ (11)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
AU (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
QP (10)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
RR (7)
€0m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
KH (1)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
EK (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
Dunfermline's defence is €2m more valuable than Dumbarton's (€2m vs €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
6
DUN wins
2
Draws
0
DUM wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Dunfermline vs Dumbarton · H/A from DUN
DateH/AGameScore
19/07/25ADumbarton Vs DUN0-4
28/04/18HDUN Vs Dumbarton4-0
06/01/18ADumbarton Vs DUN0-1
25/11/17HDUN Vs Dumbarton2-2
26/08/17ADumbarton Vs DUN0-4
15/04/17ADumbarton Vs DUN0-2
04/03/17HDUN Vs Dumbarton5-1
29/10/16ADumbarton Vs DUN2-2

DunfermlineDunfermline

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/07/26AEast Kilbride Vs DUN3-0
23/05/26ACeltic Vs DUN3-1
15/05/26APartick Vs DUN2-1
12/05/26HDUN Vs Partick1-1
08/05/26AArbroath Vs DUN0-0
05/05/26HDUN Vs Arbroath1-0
01/05/26HDUN Vs Arbroath0-0
25/04/26AQueens Park Vs DUN0-2
25/04/26AQueen's Park Vs DUN0-2
21/04/26HDUN Vs ST Johnstone0-2

DumbartonDumbarton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/07/26HDUM Vs ST Mirren0-4
02/05/26AEdinburgh City Vs DUM5-0
25/04/26HDUM Vs East Kilbride0-1
18/04/26AClyde Vs DUM2-0
11/04/26HDUM Vs Stirling2-1
04/04/26AStranraer Vs DUM1-1
28/03/26HDUM Vs Forfar2-2
21/03/26HDUM Vs Annan Athletic2-1
14/03/26AElgin Vs DUM1-1
10/03/26HDUM Vs Stranraer2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Dunfermline
Dunfermline
Scotland: League Cup
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLLL1.68
HomeDLDWD1.81
AwayWDLLL1.52
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%52%43%
AVG goals2.402.192.65
Over 1.5 %72%67%78%
Over 2.5 %46%41%52%
Over 3.5 %22%19%26%
Scored1.421.411.43
Conceded0.980.781.22
BTTS36%30%43%
Clean Sheet50%59%39%
Corners7.577.437.71
Cards4.504.144.86
Dumbarton
Dumbarton
Scotland: League Cup
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLL1.20
HomeWDWLL1.35
AwayDDDLL1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%38%25%
AVG goals3.082.813.38
Over 1.5 %88%85%92%
Over 2.5 %62%69%54%
Over 3.5 %38%31%46%
Scored1.341.271.42
Conceded1.741.541.96
BTTS60%58%62%
Clean Sheet18%27%8%
Corners10.3611.249.48
Cards3.624.143.10

🏆 17. League Table

Dunfermline plays in Scotland - Championship
RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1StenhousemuirStenhousemuir410
75%
2.5
82+6
2.5
100%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.00.5
-
2PartickPartick48
50%
2.0
41+3
1.2
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.00.2
-
3Raith RoversRaith Rovers47
50%
1.8
53+2
2.0
75%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1101.20.8
-
4ArbroathArbroath47
50%
1.8
33+0
1.5
50%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.80.8
-
5LivingstonLivingston46
50%
1.5
43+1
1.8
75%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1111.00.8
-
6Ayr UtdAyr Utd45
25%
1.2
44+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.0
-
7DunfermlineDunfermline45
25%
1.2
23-1
1.2
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2020.50.8
-
8Inverness CTInverness CT43
0%
0.8
24-2
1.5
50%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.51.0
-
9MortonMorton41
0%
0.2
26-4
2.0
75%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.51.5
-
10QueenQueen's Park41
0%
0.2
16-5
1.8
75%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.21.5
-
Scotland: Championship 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Championship stats & trends →
Dumbarton plays in Scotland - League Two
RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ElginElgin511
60%
2.2
175+12
4.4
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.41.0
-
2ClydeClyde510
60%
2.0
116+5
3.4
80%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.2
-
3ForfarForfar58
40%
1.6
65+1
2.2
80%
40%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.0
-
4Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City58
40%
1.6
78-1
3.0
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.6
-
5StranraerStranraer57
40%
1.4
66+0
2.4
60%
40%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.2
-
6SpartansSpartans56
20%
1.2
1211+1
4.6
80%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.42.2
-
7Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic56
40%
1.2
67-1
2.6
60%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.4
-
8Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts56
40%
1.2
710-3
3.4
80%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.42.0
-
9StirlingStirling54
20%
0.8
612-6
3.6
100%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.4
-
10DumbartonDumbarton53
20%
0.6
210-8
2.4
80%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.42.0
-
Scotland: League Two 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

← all matches