This opponent (Livingston) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Livingston
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.13
1.47
0.87
1.13
1.40
vs Stronger (6)
0.67
2.67
0.33
1.33
1.00
4.00
vs Similar (23)
1.43
0.78
1.75
0.75
1.09
0.82
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Dunfermline) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 1.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
57.1%
Under 1.5
42.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
28.9%
@ 2.37-10.5%
Under 2.5
71.1%
@ 1.54+10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
12.0%
Under 3.5
88.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
37.0%
No
63.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
16.7%
0-1
15.8%
1-1
14.3%
1-0
10.4%
0-2
9.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-1
5.0%
2-0
4.5%
Dunfermline goals ↓
Livingston goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
17%
16%
9.5%
3.5%
1.0%
1
10%
14%
7.2%
2.7%
0.7%
2
4.5%
5.0%
2.7%
1.0%
0.3%
3
1.1%
1.3%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
4
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dunfermline goals (down), columns = Livingston goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Falkirk
2.00
Livingston
1.98
Ayr
1.75
Ayr Utd
1.75
Partick
1.58
Raith Rvs
1.47
Raith Rovers
1.47
Morton
1.42
Cove Rangers
1.25
Hamilton Academical
1.00
Hamilton
1.00
Airdrie United
1.00
Queens Park
0.97
Queen's Park
0.97
Dunfermline
0.94
Queen of the South
0.50
Stenhousemuir
0.00
Dunfermline is 1.04 points worse than Livingston in terms of average points per game (0.94 vs 1.98).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Falkirk
1.94
Livingston
1.63
Ayr
1.58
Ayr Utd
1.58
Raith Rvs
1.31
Raith Rovers
1.31
Partick
1.25
Morton
1.19
Hamilton Academical
1.06
Hamilton
1.06
Airdrie United
1.04
Queens Park
1.00
Stenhousemuir
1.00
Queen's Park
1.00
Dunfermline
0.77
Cove Rangers
0.75
Queen of the South
0.50
Dunfermline is 0.87 goals worse than Livingston in terms of goals scored per game (0.77 vs 1.63).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Livingston
0.73
Cove Rangers
0.75
Falkirk
0.96
Partick
1.00
Queen of the South
1.00
Ayr
1.08
Ayr Utd
1.08
Raith Rvs
1.19
Raith Rovers
1.19
Morton
1.23
Dunfermline
1.23
Queens Park
1.53
Queen's Park
1.53
Airdrie United
1.66
Hamilton Academical
1.78
Hamilton
1.78
Stenhousemuir
2.50
Dunfermline is 0.50 goals worse than Livingston in terms of goals conceded per game (1.23 vs 0.73).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Dunfermline
For 5.1 · Against 3.4 · Total 8.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.0 · Against 11.4 · Total 20.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Livingston
For 4.0 · Against 5.8 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 10.7 · Total 23.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Dunfermline
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.9
8.1
10.0
0.9
1.2
0.7
20.1
20.1
20.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (47)
8.9
8.1
10.0
1.0
1.2
0.7
20.1
20.1
20.0
vs Weaker (3)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
42%
43%
40%
12%
15%
8%
33%
43%
20%
% under line
58%
57%
60%
88%
85%
92%
67%
57%
80%
This opponent (Livingston) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Livingston
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
8.6
9.7
2.4
2.2
2.7
23.1
23.2
22.9
vs Stronger (13)
9.2
8.5
9.7
2.9
2.3
3.4
21.4
20.7
22.0
vs Similar (36)
9.1
8.7
9.6
2.3
2.1
2.6
24.0
24.5
23.5
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
44%
28%
61%
32%
28%
36%
58%
61%
56%
% under line
56%
72%
39%
68%
72%
64%
42%
39%
44%
This opponent (Dunfermline) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Falkirk
10.9
Morton
10.7
Queens Park
10.5
Ayr
10.5
Dunfermline
10.5
Stenhousemuir
10.2
Raith Rvs
10.2
Partick
10.0
Airdrie United
10.0
Cove Rangers
9.9
Hamilton
9.9
Livingston
9.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Raith Rvs
4.6
Morton
4.5
Stenhousemuir
4.3
Falkirk
4.0
Dunfermline
3.9
Livingston
3.8
Hamilton
3.7
Partick
3.6
Queens Park
3.5
Ayr
3.4
Airdrie United
3.4
Cove Rangers
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Livingston
23.8
Stenhousemuir
22.7
Morton
22.6
Falkirk
22.2
Raith Rvs
20.9
Hamilton
20.8
Ayr
20.4
Partick
19.7
Dunfermline
19.6
Queens Park
19.2
Cove Rangers
19.0
Airdrie United
18.9
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
47.4%
Under 9.5
52.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
63.5%
Under 3.5
36.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
47.2%
Under 21.5
52.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Dunfermline
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.53
0.33
0.47
0.73
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.54
0.54
0.31
0.46
0.73
0.60
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Livingston) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Livingston
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.57
0.27
0.27
0.53
0.87
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
1.17
0.00
0.00
0.67
2.33
vs Similar (23)
0.43
0.43
0.33
0.33
0.55
0.55
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Dunfermline) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dunfermline over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunfermline over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunfermline over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Livingston over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Livingston over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Livingston over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Dunfermline
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.73
0.60
0.53
0.33
0.93
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.50
0.71
0.69
0.46
0.33
0.93
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Livingston) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Livingston
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.57
1.20
0.60
0.60
0.53
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
1.50
0.33
1.33
0.33
1.67
vs Similar (23)
1.00
0.35
1.42
0.42
0.55
0.27
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
73% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Dunfermline) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dunfermline over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunfermline over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunfermline over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Livingston over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Livingston over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Livingston over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 3.5
88.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
81.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
81.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
75.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
72.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5
71.1%
1.54
-
-
-
-
-
+10.5%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Livingston · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jeremy Bokila22%
Connor McLennan19%
Lewis Smith17%
Robbie Muirhead15%
Graham Carey14%
Scott Pittman14%
Brooklyn Kabongolo12%
Tete Yengi11%
Jon Nouble10%
Stevie May6%
Mahamadou Susoho6%
Cristian Montaño4%
Mohammad Sylla3%
Danny Wilson3%
Joshua Brenet0%
Scott Arfield0%
Barrie McKay0%
Andrew Shinnie0%
Shane Blaney0%
Andy Winter0%
Cammy Kerr0%
Ryan McGowan0%
Alex Matthias Tamm0%
Jérôme Prior0%
Danny Finlayson0%
Joshua Zimmerman0%
Emmanuel Danso0%
Babacar Fati0%
Adam Montgomery0%
Macaulay Tait0%
Samson Lawal0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Connor McLennan38%
Mahamadou Susoho33%
Cristian Montaño27%
Adam Montgomery25%
Macaulay Tait24%
Emmanuel Danso23%
Danny Finlayson23%
Jeremy Bokila22%
Robbie Muirhead21%
Brooklyn Kabongolo19%
Stevie May18%
Ryan McGowan17%
Babacar Fati17%
Mohammad Sylla16%
Graham Carey14%
Scott Pittman14%
Joshua Zimmerman14%
Samson Lawal13%
Scott Arfield12%
Jérôme Prior11%
Cammy Kerr9%
Lewis Smith6%
Tete Yengi5%
Danny Wilson3%
Joshua Brenet0%
Barrie McKay0%
Andrew Shinnie0%
Shane Blaney0%
Andy Winter0%
Alex Matthias Tamm0%
Jon Nouble0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Barrie McKay29%
Jon Nouble20%
Graham Carey14%
Adam Montgomery12%
Cristian Montaño12%
Macaulay Tait9%
Emmanuel Danso8%
Joshua Brenet7%
Robbie Muirhead6%
Stevie May6%
Scott Pittman6%
Lewis Smith6%
Ryan McGowan4%
Danny Finlayson3%
Jérôme Prior3%
Scott Arfield0%
Jeremy Bokila0%
Mohammad Sylla0%
Andrew Shinnie0%
Shane Blaney0%
Connor McLennan0%
Andy Winter0%
Cammy Kerr0%
Danny Wilson0%
Alex Matthias Tamm0%
Joshua Zimmerman0%
Babacar Fati0%
Tete Yengi0%
Mahamadou Susoho0%
Samson Lawal0%
Brooklyn Kabongolo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tete Yengi11%
Jon Nouble10%
Robbie Muirhead9%
Stevie May9%
Connor McLennan6%
Brooklyn Kabongolo6%
Lewis Smith6%
Cristian Montaño4%
Joshua Brenet0%
Scott Arfield0%
Jeremy Bokila0%
Mohammad Sylla0%
Barrie McKay0%
Andrew Shinnie0%
Shane Blaney0%
Graham Carey0%
Scott Pittman0%
Andy Winter0%
Cammy Kerr0%
Ryan McGowan0%
Danny Wilson0%
Alex Matthias Tamm0%
Jérôme Prior0%
Danny Finlayson0%
Joshua Zimmerman0%
Emmanuel Danso0%
Babacar Fati0%
Adam Montgomery0%
Mahamadou Susoho0%
Macaulay Tait0%
Samson Lawal0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (27)
€6m
LIV (25)
€4m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
AU (17)
€2m
QP (19)
€2m
RR (18)
€2m
MOR (14)
€1m
HA (5)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
Dunfermline and Livingston have a similar squad value (both €4m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (9)
€2m
DUN (9)
€2m
LIV (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
QP (8)
€1m
AU (6)
€1m
RR (5)
€1m
MOR (4)
€0m
HA (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
Dunfermline and Livingston have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
RR (6)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
QP (1)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
Dunfermline and Livingston have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (13)
€3m
DUN (13)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
AU (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
QP (10)
€1m
RR (7)
€0m
MOR (6)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
Dunfermline and Livingston have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Scotland: Championship 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Championship stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Falkirk
Partick
Morton
Ayr Utd
Airdrie United
Raith Rovers
Hamilton Academical
Queens Park
Queen's Park
Cove Rangers
Queen of the South
Stenhousemuir